14:15 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 1m4f Hcap
Miss Down Under (IRE) has a decent record over 10 furlongs, having won twice at that distance in September. However, she hasn’t been seen in action for over five months and was disappointing on her last start. She may need the run and the step up in trip may not suit her.
D Day Odette has won over this course and distance in January and followed up with a solid third at Kempton last time out. She is well in the mix off the same mark and could have more to offer at this new trip.
Rikona won at Kempton over 1m3f in February, but her form has gone downhill in her last two starts. She is worth trying at this new trip, but she will need to bounce back near her best to have a chance.
Arenas Del Tiempo has won three times over 1m2f last year and ran respectably over the same trip on her first run since rejoining Simon Dow. She is still unproven at this trip, but she is well-weighted and could be a player.
Based on the above, my top 3 horses for this race would be:
- D Day Odette
- Arenas Del Tiempo
- Rikona
D Day Odette looks to have a solid chance based on her recent performances and her proven ability over the distance. Arenas Del Tiempo is worth considering due to her weight advantage, while Rikona could surprise if she can bounce back to form at the new trip.
14:45 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 1m4f Nov Stks
Sea Flawless (IRE) An impressive winner on debut at Newcastle over 10.2f, beating a small field by over 3 lengths. Has an excellent pedigree, being a sister to Group 3 winner Al Aasy, and has plenty of scope for improvement. Should be the one to beat despite carrying a penalty.
Capstan A lightly-raced maiden on the Flat who made a pleasing start for his current yard when finishing fourth over 1m4f at Kempton in February, but was pulled up on his hurdling debut at Newbury the following month. Has bit to prove back on the Flat and has not progressed in this sphere.
Explorers Way (IRE) A fairly useful gelding who posted decent RPRs in Ireland on a few occasions, but was well-beaten in a 1m2f maiden at Newcastle on his stable debut. Shaped as though he needed the run, though, and respected back up in trip. Makes his polytrack debut here.
Old Harrovian A Sea The Stars colt who was green on his debut at Newmarket almost a year ago and finished a remote seventh of nine. Returns after a long break and will likely need the run. Could be one for further down the line.
Top 3:
- Sea Flawless – the most promising horse in the field who looked very impressive on debut and has plenty of scope for improvement. Should take all the beating.
- Explorers Way – a fairly useful type who shaped as though he needed the run on his stable debut and is respected back up in trip.
- Capstan – showed promise on his first start for his current yard but has not progressed in this sphere and has bit to prove back on the Flat.
15:15 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 1m Hcap
Outrace appears to be a solid contender based on his recent form, having won at Kempton in February and finished third in two subsequent runs, including a Class 4 event at Chelmsford over 1m2f. The drop back in trip and grade should suit him and he is a strong contender.
Margaret’s Fuchsia has been improving with each start and comes into this race off a second-place finish in a 1m handicap at Newcastle, where she was sporting cheekpieces for the first time. Blinkers are now added, and she looks an interesting proposition off the same mark.
Mickey Mongoose is a lightly-raced maiden who has had both gelding and wind operations since his last run. While he has been inconsistent in his five career starts so far, his handicap debut cannot be ruled out.
Based on the above, my top three selections for the race are:
- Outrace
- Margaret’s Fuchsia
- Mickey Mongoose
15:45 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 7f Hcap
Gone has the potential to be a major player in this race, having won over this trip before and with potential for further improvement. Phoenix Glow and Star Of Cotai are also worth considering, with the former having won a handicap at Chelmsford and dropping down in class for this race, and the latter showing improvement when adding cheekpieces for the first time and finishing third over course and distance last week. Cloud Queen is an interesting runner on her handicap debut, with the step up in trip potentially suiting her, while Equiami and Billaki Mou both need to show significant improvement to be competitive. My Roxanne and Smart Shot are also unlikely to feature at the business end of the race.
Top 3 picks:
- Gone
- Phoenix Glow
- Star Of Cotai
16:15 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 7f Hcap
Navy Drums is the standout candidate in this field, having won his last two starts over 6f at this track and now stepping up to his preferred distance of 7f. He is only 3lb higher than his last win and looks feasibly treated, so he is the top pick for this race.
Dutugamunu is a course winner who has been running consistently well without winning. He was unlucky last time out when drawn wide, and with Oisin Murphy on board, he looks to have leading claims in this race.
Showdiemlad is a 15-race maiden but has been dropping in the weights and put in a fair performance last time out on his stable debut. He has shown some ability in the past and could be a lively outsider here, particularly with the return to 7f likely to suit.
Of the others, Rainbow Sign is a dual C&D winner but has been out of form since his last win and needs to improve, while Purple Poppy has been a maiden for 16 starts but put in a good performance last time out and is not without each-way claims. The remaining runners, Luna Queen, Gharbeyih, Al Tarmaah, and Miss Connaisseur, have all struggled to make an impact recently and are likely to find this tough.
16:45 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 1m Hcap
Covert Mission has won four times on Polytrack and has been running well to finish placed in recent months. With only a 1lb higher mark than his last win, he remains feasibly treated and should be respected back at this track.
Hul Ah Bah Loo is a C&D winner and was a good second of 11 in a C&D handicap a week ago. He is at the top of his game at present and should put in another bold show.
Ower Starlight has won on Polytrack in three of his last nine starts, including his last outing at Kempton. He is only 3lb higher in the weights and is a big player here.
Pangloss was a promising fourth at Wolverhampton on his recent return after a 7-month break. If he can build on that, he should be in with a chance.
Lenny’s Spirit has a record of 1-16 on AW and has some work to do after 158 days off. While he went close off a similar mark last summer, his lack of success on AW makes him a riskier proposition.
Otago has been off for 6 months and doesn’t have a great record when fresh. He is also unproven on AW, so he is best watched on this occasion.
Cap D’antibes was a creditable third of 9 in a C&D handicap 26 days ago but had the run of the race from the front, and there were no excuses. He is on the same mark here, and while he could make another bold bid, he has yet to prove he can win off this rating.
In conclusion, Covert Mission, Hul Ah Bah Loo, and Ower Starlight are the top 3 horses in this race. Covert Mission and Hul Ah Bah Loo have been running well and should continue to do so, while Ower Starlight is a consistent type who remains competitive after a 3lb rise. Pangloss could also be in the mix if he can build on his recent return.
17:15 LingfieldMon 3 Apr 6f Hcap
Sir Rodneyredblood is the standout contender in this field, having won his last two starts including an impressive victory at Kempton last month. He’s been given a 5 lb penalty but still looks well-treated and has a great chance of completing his hat-trick.
Porfin is another C&D winner who returned to form with a good second here last time out. With a good draw and dropping back in grade, he could pose a threat to the favorite.
Hit Mac is a previous winner but has struggled to make an impact in his recent runs. However, he’s back down to his winning mark and could be a danger if he can recapture his early season form.
Overall, my top 3 picks for this race would be:
- Sir Rodneyredblood
- Porfin
- Hit Mac
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