13:30 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 1m4f Hcap
Buxted Too – Six wins from ten starts on AW since October including two over C&D. Respectable effort at Wolverhampton last time out and could bounce back.
Daheer – Non-runner.
Dinoo – Consistent since switched to the AW last autumn and won at Newcastle last time out. Each-way shout.
Dream Harder – Four-time winner on Tapeta since debuting for this yard in December. Not at his best in last two starts and still needs to prove stamina for this trip.
Fairmac – Looked unfortunate not to finish closer last time out. Needs a stiffer test than this and has a wide draw.
Idee Fixee – Runner-up in all five starts, the last four over 1m2f on Polytrack. Needs cheekpieces to make a difference and has a wide draw.
Legendary Day – Has been in good form on AW/over hurdles since joining this yard. Has a tongue-tie fitted and won last time out at Newcastle.
Mr Inspiration – Kempton novice winner in February and ran with credit on handicap debut last time out. May need a stiffer track than this but still open to improvement.
Muzaffar – Looked one to follow when winning at Southwell in February and was a creditable third last time out. Unexposed and could rate higher.
Pirate King – Has had a losing run up to 15 and finished fourth last time out. Drops into a 0-85 for the first time since the end of 2019 and worth a second look.
Pistoletto – Out of his depth in the Winter Derby last time out. Not performing well enough to suggest he can take advantage.
Red Flyer – C&D winner. Creditable third last time out and could be sharper with that run under his belt. Remains 6lb above last winning mark.
Satono Chevalier – Won his last two starts at Dundalk and is 12lb higher than his latest success. Major player.
Sausalito – Has proved that he can be effective outside of 0-50 classified company. Could have had excuses last time out and may bounce back.
Thefastnthecurious – Off the mark at Southwell in January and finished a creditable third last time out. May need a stiffer test than this.
Vega Sicilia – Unexposed and had a couple of these behind him last time out. Cheekpieces now given a go and could still have more to offer.
Overall, it looks like a competitive race with several horses having a chance. Legendary Day and Satono Chevalier are both in good form and should be thereabouts, while Muzaffar and Vega Sicilia are unexposed and could improve.
14:05 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 2m Hcap
- Ehteyat – Has already won two 1m6f Southwell handicaps and came close to winning over C&D in January. Lightly raced with more to offer as a stayer.
- Carzola – Showed a good performance in a four-runner race over 2m at this track, and has clear potential. The 8lb increase in a more competitive race should not deter her chances.
- First Emperor – Has previous Polytrack wins and is versatile regarding tactics. Good places on all four starts since and holds each-way claims.
Other horses that could also be in with a chance:
- Diamond Bay: Has previous AW wins and minor honours at Kempton, confirming each-way claims.
- Danni California: Performed well in January at Southwell, proving herself at 2m on turf last year. Should not be dismissed.
- Haku: An improver since upped to 1m4f this winter, but uncertainty remains on whether 2m will help with further progress.
- Halic: Low-mileage with overall potential, but employing the same tactics from stall 13 could be tricky in a larger field.
- Khadaash: Recent winner at Dundalk, has more in the tank and is one to note.
- Mr Escobar: Least exposed and has progressed in his three 1m4f maidens on Dundalk Polytrack, but this is a hot race for handicap debut.
Horses that are less likely to win:
- Blow Your Horn: Has not won in the past 17 races and is not as strong as before. Vulnerable to less exposed sorts.
- Forge Valley Lad: Stamina concerns as he has been beyond 1m4f only once, and well beaten over C&D in 2020.
14:40 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 1m Hcap
- Aussie Banker: With back-to-back wins at Kempton and Wolverhampton late last year and a close second at Kempton in January, Aussie Banker has proven to be fresh and still has relatively low mileage. The horse is up 2lb and has been off for three months but remains a strong contender in this race.
- Brewing: Unbeaten in three starts, Brewing’s latest win was in a handicap debut at Newcastle. Although he didn’t have a significant advantage there and is now 6lb higher on this return, the horse remains unexposed, and the extra furlong should not be an issue based on breeding. Brewing is certainly one to watch.
- Mulgrave: Thriving at Dundalk this year, Mulgrave has completed a hat-trick over 1m despite a significant climb up the weights. With only a neck to spare last time, the runner-up was also bidding for a hat-trick, and Mulgrave managed to win comfortably. If he can produce similar form at this different venue, he could be a strong contender.
Other contenders:
- Final Voyage: With a five-time win on AW for James Tate, Final Voyage has been running well lately, coming in second in a competitive handicap at Dundalk. Off 11 weeks but having won off a similar absence before, this horse is worth shortlisting.
- Hafeet Alain: Currently 6lb lower than when winning over C&D early last year, Hafeet Alain is worth considering, especially given his close fourth of 13 at Kempton in January.
- Keyser Soze: A course winner, Keyser Soze remains well treated on old form and had success at Kempton in January. His recent performance at Wolverhampton can be attributed to a slow start. This horse is an each-way shout.
- Power Of Darkness: Coming back from a couple of lengthy absences, Power Of Darkness showed promise with a third of 11 at Newcastle recently. If he can build on that performance, he may be an interesting contender.
- Unlikely to win:
- Amber Island: Rated too highly to contest in the fillies’ race this time and has struggled with form this year. Appears to be up against it.
- On A Session: This horse has only one win in his last 32 starts and is 0-9 on the AW, making others stronger contenders in this race.
- The Menstone Gem: Although he ran well in his last race, he would need to find more to be a serious contender in this event.
- In summary, Aussie Banker, Brewing, and Mulgrave appear to be the top three horses with the potential to win this race. Final Voyage and Hafeet Alain could also be in with a chance, while Amber Island, On A Session, and The Menstone Gem seem less likely to win.
15:15 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 6f Hcap
- Epsom Faithfull: Progressive sprinter in 2022 and ran very well in Listed company over C&D in February. Two runs since can be excused. Cheekpieces are added for the first time, and the wide draw might not be a huge concern. Epsom Faithfull is an interesting contender.
- Walking On Clouds: Has enjoyed a fine winter, and his latest second at Newcastle (7f) was as good as anything he had achieved in victory. Billy Loughnane takes off a very handy 5lb, making Walking On Clouds one for the shortlist.
- Adeb: Has missed his 3yo campaign but is now making up for lost time, winning handicaps at Newcastle in January (6f) and February (7f). Adeb still looks feasibly treated and enters calculations on his polytrack debut.
Other contenders:
- Shalaa Asker: In a rich vein of form, winning three of his last five starts. However, this race looks more competitive than his last win at Chelmsford and has a 5lb penalty to shoulder. Still a contender with Ryan Moore taking over.
- The Green Man: Had been threatening prior to a win at Kempton last month (6f). The sharper test should be in his favor. One for the shortlist.
Unlikely to win:
- Lequinto: Quirky sort and has the widest stall to overcome. Others are more persuasive.
- Emperor Spirit: Short of his best on stable debut at Newcastle in February. Needs to show improvement with cheekpieces returning and a new tongue-tie added.
15:50 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 1m2f Hcap
- Outbreak: A course winner in February, Outbreak has shown a creditable performance in recent races and remains low mileage for a leading stable. His recent fourth-place finish at Wolverhampton suggests he is in good form and should handle the return to this trip well.
- Obsidian Knight: With a solid AW record, this horse has consistently performed well since returning to the AW last October, including two C&D victories. He is raised another 1lb after finishing second at Wolverhampton last time, but his record under these conditions makes him a strong contender from the inside stall.
- Queen Of Ipanema: With a series of wins late last year, Queen Of Ipanema bounced back from a couple of lesser efforts with a win at Newcastle last month. She will have to contend with a 4lb rise, but there’s a possibility that she may need a stiffer track over this trip.
Other horses to consider:
- War In Heaven: Started 2023 with four consecutive wins at Wolverhampton and, although his winning run came to an end in the Lincoln Trial, he may fare better back up in trip.
- Diderot: Has run well in recent starts and narrowly lost at Chelmsford last time out. However, he may be better over a shorter distance, and more is needed to defy his current mark.
- Million Thanks: Has come close in his last two starts at Kempton and is due for a 2lb rise. The longer trip should be within range on pedigree, making him a potential contender for the frame.
- Dembe: Last year’s winner of this race, Dembe has shown creditable performances this year, but he will need to be better than ever to defy a 5lb higher mark this time around.
Unlikely to win:
- Civil Law: Despite a respectable performance at Wolverhampton, Civil Law hasn’t been favoured by the draw and has previously finished seventh in this race.
- Tequilamockingbird: Though she has two C&D wins to her name, her wide draw and recent below-par performance at Newcastle make her an unlikely winner.
- Precision Storm: Despite a creditable performance at Wolverhampton, he was well held in this race last year and is now 4lb higher, making his chances of winning less likely.
16:25 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 7f Hcap
- Sayifyouwill: With a good strike-rate in 7f handicaps and 3-4 C&D wins, Sayifyouwill has been in strong form recently. The break since February shouldn’t pose a problem, making this horse a major player in the race.
- Spring Promise: This well-connected filly has shown improvement and tenacity in recent races. The penalized runner-up in her last race put up a smart effort on handicap debut after, indicating that Spring Promise can continue to improve further and be a strong contender in this race.
- Centre Court: Having a winning debut at Newmarket and two close calls on Newcastle Tapeta, Centre Court also acts well on Polytrack. This horse could have a say in the race and may be a contender.
Other horses with potential:
- Algheed: With a recent hat-trick and solid form, Algheed has a form chance, especially with Billy Loughnane taking off 5lb. If the horse hasn’t gone off the boil, Algheed could be in with a chance.
- Granary Queen: A tough mare with four wins in 2022, Granary Queen will need something special to make a winning return off a highish mark. However, her good run of form into the autumn means she could enter calculations.
- Incrimination: Having won all races at 6f and being unexposed, Incrimination is stepping up in trip and could be a contender if adapting well to the new distance.
Horses unlikely to win:
- Amber Dew: This horse has had disappointing recent performances and will have a difficult time winning in this race.
- Theotherside: With better form needed and not performing well on Tapeta this winter, Theotherside isn’t a strong contender in this race.
- Daytona Lady: Failing to impress in her first run over 7f, Daytona Lady is drawn on the outside and is unlikely to defy that disadvantage in this race.
17:00 LingfieldFri 7 Apr 6f Hcap
- Expert Agent: Showed significant improvement since gelding operation, winning at Kempton and demonstrating a good step forward over C&D last month. Despite being 5lb higher against better opposition, it’s dangerous to rule out further progress for this horse.
- Huberts Dream: Completed a quick course hat-trick in November/December and has run with credit in recent starts. Likely to be a more potent threat back up in distance, making this horse one to watch in the race.
- Havana By The Sea: With two wins as a 2yo and solid efforts since, this horse should be winning more races this year. The form from her last outing has worked out well, so she must be considered a contender.
Other horses with potential:
- Maharajas Express: Unlucky in the last race when badly hampered, but clearly on a sporting mark. Worth another chance and could be a contender.
- Matching Sox: Beaten around 1l in two handicap runs in February and has low mileage. Improvement will be required, but could still be in with a chance.
Horses unlikely to win:
- Democracy Dilemma: Showed plenty of speed over 6f but tied up in the straight. This trip might be as far as he wants to go, making him less likely to win.
- Radio Goo Goo: Finally opened her account but will find life tougher back in handicap company.
- Warminster: Hasn’t made a significant impression in handicaps, and the addition of cheekpieces needs to elevate his form to a new level, making him an unlikely winner.
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