14:00 Deauville (FRA)Thu 6 Apr 7f Grp.3
- Belbek – This horse is the most favoured, having won the Group 1 7f Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere with Breizh Sky coming in third. Belbek’s trainer is in good form, and the horse does not have any penalties to deal with. Moreover, it is the only horse with an entry in the 2000 Guineas, highlighting its potential.
- Breizh Sky – This horse displayed solid progression as a 2-year-old and achieved a career-best when it came third in the Group 1 7f Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere, where Belbek was the winner. It had a less impressive run in the 1m Criterium International but has Christophe Soumillon back as the rider, increasing its chances of a big performance.
- Kubrick – It had a promising start to its 2-year-old career, with a win in the Group 3 1m Prix des Chenes. Although it had a disappointing run in the Group 1 Criterium International, it’s best to ignore that performance as it still has claims if it bounces back.
Other horses in the race:
- Duc De Morny – This horse has raced at longer distances and produced its best effort in the 1m Premio Gran Criterium (Group 2). However, it falls short of the market principals, and a significant improvement is needed after a winter off.
- Good Guess – This horse started its career brightly but disappointed in the Prix de Cabourg. It ran better after a break, but it was only a third-place finish in Listed company. Trying 7f for the first time might bring improvement, but it still faces a stiff task based on its juvenile efforts.
In summary, Belbek, Breizh Sky, and Kubrick appear to be the top three contenders for the race, with Duc De Morny and Good Guess being less likely to win based on their previous performances.
15:10 Deauville (FRA)Thu 6 Apr 7f Grp.3
- Beginnings – This impeccably bred filly had a strong performance in a 7f Dundalk maiden and was a promising fourth behind Spirit Gal. Representing leading connections, Beginnings could be a major contender and is entered in the 1000 Guineas.
- Spirit Gal – With a transfer to Andre Fabre and previous smart form in Ireland at up to 7f, this horse is one to watch. It is easy to overlook her last modest performance in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. If she handles the soft ground, she should be in contention and also holds an entry in the 1000 Guineas.
- Moon Ray – Closely matched with Eternal Dance on 2022 form and consistently progressing, Moon Ray has a good chance of being in the mix for a first-four place if near her best.
Other horses in the race:
- Eternal Dance – Although she has an impressive performance in a 7f Listed event at Chantilly, she was beaten next time up. She needs the right race conditions to come from off the gallop, but could play a part here with a quick pace.
- Ritournelle – This horse showed potential with two wins, including a 7f heavy-ground Listed event at Saint-Cloud. If her remarkable performance in that race is genuine, she could be a smart contender.
- Sauterne – Unbeaten after her debut, she holds a fitness advantage and has the services of Christophe Soumillon. However, it is uncertain how she will adapt to turf.
- Next Episode – An interesting prospect with two juvenile wins, she will be competing in Group company for the first time. William Buick’s booking as a jockey is notable.
- Fancy Me, Quickstep, Gain It, Lady Bullet, Shalromy, and Wed – These horses have shown some promise in previous races, but they would need to show significant improvement or have other contenders underperform to be major factors in this race.
- Showay – This horse is far more exposed than most, and others would need to not perform well for her to be a major factor.
In summary, Beginnings, Spirit Gal, and Moon Ray appear to be the top three contenders for the race, with Eternal Dance, Ritournelle, Sauterne, and Next Episode also having potential depending on race conditions and their form on the day. Fancy Me, Quickstep, Gain It, Lady Bullet, Shalromy, Wed, and Showay are less likely to win based on their previous performances.
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