A look at Fairyhouse Saturday

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14:10 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 2m4f Mdn Hrd

The race is a maiden hurdle over 2 miles and 4 furlongs at Fairyhouse, with a field of 22 runners including three reserves.

Zaidi stands out as a leading contender on form, having won a bumper at Thurles on his first start for the current yard last month. He has solid claims on his hurdle debut, and his trainer’s 5lb claimer makes him an attractive proposition. Mint Boy also looks to be in with a strong chance, having won a point and placed in two bumpers at Navan this year. He should relish the step up in trip and is likely to improve now sent over hurdles.

Flamborough is another contender, having run well when second on his hurdles debut at Down Royal last month. He shaped like a longer trip would suit, and if he continues to progress, he should be in the mix. Gold Bullion is also of interest, having won a bumper on debut for Paul Nicholls and now sent over hurdles for a new yard. However, he has a long absence to overcome, and the market may provide a better guide as to his chances.

Canal End showed promise when third at Down Royal last time out, and the return to a longer trip should suit. However, he has a bit to find on form, and there are other more appealing options. Petit Dejeuner showed improvement when third in a bumper at Leopardstown last month, but he needs to step up on that form to be a contender on his hurdling debut.

The remaining runners have largely shown little to suggest they are likely to win this race. While some may improve, they are likely to be fighting it out for minor honours at best.

In summary, Zaidi, Mint Boy, and Flamborough are the top three horses that have the potential to win, with Gold Bullion and Canal End offering each-way value.

14:45 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 3m1f Hnt Chs

Annamix: A useful chaser, but hasn’t won in 17 runs since 2020. Fell in a hunter chase at Gowran last month. Hard to fancy.

Billaway: A highly experienced hunter who won at Cheltenham festival last year after being runner-up there twice. Has won twice from four runs this season. Fell in the Festival Challenge Cup at Cheltenham last time. Solid claims if his jumping holds up. Blinkers on for the first time.

Er Dancer: A fairly useful chaser who won his first hunter chase at this course in 2020 but has not won in nine further attempts since. Well beaten third behind Ferns Lock in November and fourth to a stablemate of that one at Down Royal last month, where he was let down by his jumping. Fitter for that run but very much up against it.

Ferns Lock: An exciting young hunter who has won three of his last three starts, including a hat-trick in a six-runner hunter chase at Gowran last month. Course winner. Recorded wide-margin victories here in November, where Er Dancer was third, and Thurles in January, where Billaway was a remote second. Will be very hard to beat.

Vis Ta Loi: A fairly useful hurdler for Willie Mullins, off the mark on his seventh point-to-point start at Knockanohill last month. Cheekpieces on for the first time. Very much an outsider in this company.

Assessment:

Ferns Lock looks the clear pick of this field and should be very hard to beat. Billaway is the most likely danger, but he will need to improve his jumping after his fall at Cheltenham last time. Er Dancer has a bit to prove, but he is fitter for his run at Down Royal and could outrun his odds. Vis Ta Loi is an outsider and would need a significant step forward to challenge the top two.

15:20 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 2m5f Listed

Allegorie De Vassy looks to be the clear standout in this field, having won two Grade 2 chases and finishing a close second in a Grade 1 at Cheltenham last month. She has an 8lb penalty to carry but is still expected to be very hard to beat.

Limerick Lace is another with solid claims, having won a competitive novice handicap over 2m4f at Naas and finishing second in a Grade 3 there last time out. However, she may need Allegorie De Vassy to underperform significantly in order to come out on top.

Broomfield Hall has won three of her four starts this season, but pulled up behind Allegorie De Vassy in a Grade 2 at Limerick last time out. If she can bounce back from that disappointment, she could be in with a chance.

Instit has won a chase over this course and distance but was a distant third in a listed chase at Thurles last time out. She’s young and could improve, but faces a tough task here.

Motown Maggie has won her last two starts over fences but looks outclassed in this company, while Sit Down Lucy and Time To Rocco are both facing a significant step up in class and are unlikely to challenge for the win.

In summary, Allegorie De Vassy is the one to beat, with Limerick Lace and Broomfield Hall her main challengers.

15:55 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 2m5f Hcap Chs

An Fraoch Mor (IRE) may be worth monitoring in the betting due to a significant drop in handicap mark, but his recent form is a concern. Bold Emperor (IRE) is back on a workable mark, but his current form is questionable, and he’s returning from a long break. Charlie Stout (IRE) is a veteran who ended a long losing run in heavy ground last week and could benefit from his lower mark. Routine Excellence (IRE) won well last time out but faces a tough ask off a 10lb higher mark. Stansfield (IRE) is struggling in points and has a lengthy losing run in NH races.

Mars Harper is worth considering given he ran well at Leopardstown before a poor showing at Cheltenham, but he is returning from a short break. Fighting Fit has been promising and is expected to improve. Gain De Cause’s peak hurdle form suggests he may be suited to the step up in trip, but he needs to build on his latest fourth place. Robin De Roost won a handicap chase in his most recent start under Rules, but he is out of the handicap and returning from a long break. Halsafari is struggling over timber recently and not expected to improve over fences.

Therefore, based on the comments, the top three horses with the potential to win are Charlie Stout (IRE), Mars Harper, and Fighting Fit, with Gain De Cause and Routine Excellence having an outside chance.

16:30 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 3m Nov Hcap Hrd

Verdant Place arrives on the back of back-to-back handicap hurdle wins at Punchestown this year, and talented apprentice claiming 7lb helps offset a 10lb rise. Although this is a big step up, he is expected to be bang there.

Favori De Champdou had a tough time at Cheltenham last time, but the rival he beat in a Grade 2 at Limerick on his penultimate start ran well in that race at the Festival. He seems on a good mark for his handicap debut, and this race could be a good opportunity to bounce back.

Western Walk improved on debut for this yard when winning a maiden hurdle at Navan last month, and the top apprentice retains the ride. His pedigree hints at him having more to give at this trip, and he looks like a player here.

Other contenders include Landrake, who is well off at the weights but can still give a good account of himself, and Seabank Bistro, who had progressed with each run before a poor showing in the Albert Bartlett last time.

Hardy Bloke looked impressive when winning at Wexford last week, but this much tougher contest may prove too much for him, especially as his jumping has been poor. Desertmore House may struggle to compete at this level, while Mr Saxobeat and Story Rory are both on lengthy losing runs and may find this a challenge.

In conclusion, Verdant Place, Favori De Champdou, and Western Walk are the top three contenders in this race, with Landrake and Seabank Bistro having an outside chance of causing an upset.

17:05 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 2m Hcap Hrd

The 17:05 Fairyhouse race is a highly competitive 2m handicap hurdle with 16 runners, and it’s difficult to pick out clear-cut contenders. However, based on the information provided, there are several horses that look capable of being in the mix.

Ballybawn Belter is a progressive sort who has won his last two starts, including a valuable mares’ handicap hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival. He is up 8lb for that win but has a useful apprentice rider taking off 7lb, which helps his chances. He’s one to consider.

Da Capo Glory is a consistent sort who has shown good form in defeat since winning a maiden hurdle at Gowran last season. He was only 5 lengths behind Fil Dor in a Grade 3 in February and has a workable mark for his handicap debut. He is one to consider as well.

Magnor Glory is another progressive horse who won a valuable handicap hurdle at Listowel in September, and he may have more to offer. Although he has been absent since then, he deserves extra credit for coming from further back than other principals. If he can reproduce that form, he could be a danger.

Tax For Max is an interesting contender who won a hurdle at Punchestown in November and ran well in a valuable handicap at the Dublin Racing Festival. However, he disappointed in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham last month, and his mark may be a bit high. Nonetheless, he cannot be ruled out.

Monbeg Park is another runner who is on an upward curve. He was a maiden hurdle winner at Punchestown in November and was a good runner-up on his handicap debut at Down Royal last month. He’s only 3lb higher in a tougher race, but he remains low-mileage and could still have more to offer.

Horantzau D’airy has hit the crossbar in three runs in maiden hurdles and has just had his first run in a handicap at Leopardstown. He was second in that race and has the tongue strap on for the first time. He remains open to improvement.

Jazzy Matty is arriving on the back of a hard race, having won the Fred Winter at Cheltenham last month. Nonetheless, she’s only 2lb higher here, and her top apprentice retains the ride and claims 5lb. If she has recovered from that hard race, she could be dangerous.

Overall, it’s a tough race to call, but the top three horses that have the potential to win are Ballybawn Belter, Da Capo Glory, and Magnor Glory. Tax For Max, Monbeg Park, and Jazzy Matty could also be in with a chance.

17:40 FairyhouseSat 8 Apr 2m INHF

Arctic Fly was an impressive winner last time out and looks the stable’s first string based on jockey bookings, so should be respected here. Cuta Des As also comes into this race off the back of a winning debut for this yard, and could prove to be a real contender. Brianna Lily has shown potential in previous races and could be in with a chance if she can build on her last run.

West End Victory is another who could be in the mix if he can improve upon his debut run, but he will need to settle better in order to do so. Marie Philippe is capable of bouncing back from her last run, while Theatre Native is an interesting newcomer with a good pedigree. Ascending Lark could show improvement from her last run, but Miss Agusta and Tiger Bay Queen are unlikely to be in the mix based on recent form.

Overall, Arctic Fly, Cuta Des As and Brianna Lily look to be the top three horses with the potential to win this race.

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