13:15 ExeterTue 11 Apr 2m2f Nov Sell Hrd
This is a 2m2f Novice Selling Hurdle race at Exeter with a field of five runners. Here’s an analysis of the runners:
Captain Jack has been competitive in handicap and selling company. The ground may be suitable for him, and he can’t be far away.
Defferella has limited appeal, having finished down the field on the AW in a Class 6 race.
Dirk Gently showed minor promise when finishing sixth in a maiden hurdle. This is his first attempt in a seller and he has low mileage, but it is hard to be confident. He will be wearing a visor instead of cheekpieces.
First Class Return has winning form as a chaser, but was running moderately before returning to form back over hurdles, which he won by 3 lengths. The form can be questioned, but he should be a contender based on his last run.
Fortune Cookie has shown improvement for her new yard, finishing fourth in a couple of handicap hurdles, but all her form is on soft or heavy ground. She could be dangerous down into a seller.
Happy Company won a 2m handicap in December, but has lost his way since, finishing 23 lengths behind in his latest race. However, being demoted into a seller can help, along with the return of cheekpieces.
Symphorine is a lightly-raced maiden who showed promise at the start of her hurdle career. Her efforts in handicap company have been disappointing, but she drops in grade here and is wearing a visor for the first time.
Based on the above analysis, the top three horses with the potential to win are First Class Return, Fortune Cookie, and Symphorine. Captain Jack is also a contender, while Dirk Gently and Defferella are unlikely to win.
13:45 ExeterTue 11 Apr 2m5f Nov Hcap Hrd
In the 13:45 at Exeter, there are several horses that could be in with a chance of winning. Bumpy Johnson may struggle off top weight, despite a good run last time out. Commander Of Ten has had a breathing operation and could improve now sent into handicaps, but his opening mark looks on the stiff side. Arthalot is 2lb out of the weights and would need to improve significantly to be competitive.
Exmoor Forest is an interesting contender, having shown significant improvement in his first run for a new yard. If he can back up that performance, he could be well handicapped. Tikitov has finished runner-up in his last five starts, but doesn’t look obviously well treated on handicap debut.
Gingerbred is another to consider, having won a handicap at this track in February and returned to a similar level when third at Taunton. The step up in trip is likely to suit, and he should be in the mix. Marmalaid has been allotted a fair opening mark and may be capable of better, having shown promise after a long layoff last time out.
Riskintheground has been inconsistent over hurdles but won a weak race at Fontwell last time out. He needs to step up again to be competitive in this tougher handicap. Sporting Mike has been in good form recently and was only fourth at Newbury due to a minor blip. He looks like a solid each-way option.
King’s Threshold has shaped with promise in both starts over hurdles and should benefit from the step up in trip, but his opening mark could have been kinder. Bombay Sapphire has yet to reach the level of his bumper win in Ireland, but could improve now sent into handicaps with a refitted tongue strap.
Overall, Exmoor Forest, Gingerbred, and Marmalaid look like the top three contenders, with Sporting Mike as a solid each-way option.
14:15 ExeterTue 11 Apr 2m1f Hcap Hrd
The 2m1f handicap hurdle at Exeter features a field of 11 runners, and it looks a competitive race. Here’s a runner-by-runner analysis:
Bannister has won four hurdle races over 2m in France and Britain, but he ended last season in disappointing fashion, and his jumping is now a concern. He’s likely to be of more interest after this when back on a sharp track and sound surface.
General Medrano returned from wind surgery to win a 2m1f maiden hurdle in good style at Fontwell (good). He then ran well in third next time with more weight on his back. Now handicapping and stepping up in trip, he could well find more for the stiffer test.
Gentle Connections won four maiden and novice hurdles up to 2m5f in the first half of 2022. However, she struggled in a Grade 2 in October and was pulled up on her handicap debut at Chepstow later that month. She has something to prove with regular cheekpieces left off.
Gregor was promising for Dan Skelton in 2021 but has been sidelined for 16 months. Since then, he has been a shadow of his old self, pulled up for the second time when cheekpieces were fitted in December. He is now with a new yard, and it’s probably best to watch him.
Gyenyame is a dual 2m flat winner, and he has taken well to hurdles. He divided subsequent winners on first completion at Wincanton (1m7f) before making all in emphatic fashion over 2m4f there last month. He acted with a stiff finish on the flat, and he should make a go of it on handicap debut.
Haloa Mail has had little encouragement in his first two runs, but he was much improved when winning at Newton Abbot last July. He has been off for a long time, and he is eligible for lower grades than this.
Jolly Nellerie had three hurdle runs in French provinces at about 2m1f, winning on heavy last June. It’s hard to assess his sole run for this yard when a remote last of two at Haydock in March, but he could come on a good deal now handicapping.
Kincardine is a bumper and 2m maiden hurdle winner, but he has pulled up in both handicaps this year over 3m and 2m4f. He has had wind surgery since but is questionable, and cheekpieces have been added as he returns to 2m.
Le Patron won a soft-ground hurdle in France and shaped well when second on stable debut in December. He has failed to build on that twice since at Plumpton, but it’s still early days, and his yard is in superb form.
Maclaine confirmed his bumper promise when winning a 2m1f novice hurdle in November. He faded on handicap debut at Doncaster in January (2m3f, good), but he has had wind surgery since. The ground is key for him, as he has been a non-runner three times on heavy/soft.
Platinumcard made a winning debut for Gordon Elliott last spring (2m, good to soft), but he made no progress over hurdles afterward. He was a remote finisher on his debut for this yard at Cheltenham in November with cheekpieces added, which are now discarded. It’s hard to predict a major turnaround.
Saintemilion was much higher-rated as a chaser in earlier times for Paul Nicholls, winning over 2m3f at this course in 2019. He didn’t show much when back from two years off 16 days ago and is not yet one to be interested in
14:45 ExeterTue 11 Apr 2m3f Nov Hcap Chs
Looking at the comments for the horses in this 2m3f Nov Hcap Chs at Exeter, there are a few that stand out with a chance of winning.
Shutthegate is one of the top picks, with a comfortable win at Chepstow last time out. Despite being 8lb higher, he remains a sound player with his low mileage over fences, and the first-time blinkers were effective in helping him secure the victory.
Eros is another to consider, having been placed on five of his six starts this season. He was a close runner-up at Warwick last time out despite the drop in trip and should be able to handle the extra distance here. He has only gone up 2lb and looks to have a good chance.
Keplerian also has the potential to do well in this race, with his best form over hurdles giving him a good chance here. He was not disgraced on his chasing debut at Leicester and could improve for the shorter distance in this race. The tongue-tie is retained and he looks set to do better.
Investment Manager is worth a mention as he is off his reduced mark and has shown promise over fences despite not building on his debut effort at Ffos Las. The yard is in better form now, and he could be in with a chance of bouncing back to form.
As for the others, Blue Ribbon has been disappointing over fences since returning from an absence and is hard to back, while Electric Annie has had mixed form over fences, although the cheekpieces and tongue tie may help her do better. Baily Gorse has not been appealing since his runner-up finish 12 months ago, while Aces Full and Dannystory have it all to prove after their recent performances. Fanfan La Colmine may need more time to adjust to chasing after a long absence, while Foillmore needs to step up from his maiden hurdle form to be competitive here. Lastly, Professor Calculus is a bit of a risky proposition with poor jumping performances in the past.
15:15 ExeterTue 11 Apr 3m Hcap Chs
In this 3m handicap chase at Exeter, the field includes a mix of experienced and inexperienced chasers, making it difficult to predict a clear winner. Let’s assess each horse’s chances based on the comments provided:
Etincelle Artiste: The horse achieved little over hurdles and performed poorly on his chase debut. The wind surgery is a positive, but he is well out of the weights and has a lot to prove.
Haldon Hill: Haldon Hill is 2-2 over 2m7f+ after narrow wins at Ffos Las and Taunton. He has been raised 12lb in the process but only seems to do enough and could cope with that.
Head And Heart: After a win at Huntingdon yesterday, she is penalized accordingly and had a fairly hard race, so there may be some reservations if she is turned out again.
Henschke: The horse won at Ffos Las on his second chase start but has had two non-completions since then. The cheekpieces could do something, but he is 1-15 and looks risky.
Hipop Des Ongrais: Not particularly consistent but won over hurdle/chase and saw out the new trip of 2m7f at Taunton last time. An even stiffer stamina test might benefit, but the horse is a non-runner.
King Turgeon: A grinding win on heavy ground at Fontwell in his first run after wind surgery is a positive sign. The horse has only had two runs for the yard and could improve, but he needs to prove himself under these drier conditions.
Kingsmill Gin: She needs to sharpen up her act after below-par runs over hurdles and fences on her last two starts, making her an unlikely winner.
Marettimo: Despite not having much to show for his last three runs, he came good last spring and should appreciate getting back on good ground. He cannot be ruled out.
Mormon: The horse stepped up on previous efforts for this yard when fourth in a 9-runner handicap chase at Chepstow but merely passed beaten horses without ever looking a serious threat. He is 0-12 over fences and likely to find a few too good once more.
No Hubs No Hoobs: He is not a model of consistency, but proved better than ever when landing a 25f handicap chase at Wincanton on Boxing Day. He is unlikely to be far away if he holds his form.
Sandy Boy: Sandy Boy is a quirky customer who was never going before pulling up at Chepstow. His two quiet runs since returning from a long absence suggest he might not be as good as he was.
The Macon Lugnatic: This horse gave it a good go over 3m6f here in February and assured stamina will be no bad thing today. He has three hurdle wins but is 0-9 as a chaser.
Based on the comments, it seems that Haldon Hill and Marettimo have the potential to win. Haldon Hill has shown good form over 2m7f+ and could cope with the raised weight. Marettimo has a pointing background and could appreciate getting back on good ground. No Hubs No Hoobs could also be in with a chance if he holds his form. The Macon Lugnatic could be an outsider for a place.
15:45 ExeterTue 11 Apr 2m7f Hcap Hrd
In this 2m7f handicap hurdle at Exeter, there are a few horses with potential to win. Ballydisco achieved a dead-heat at Ffos Las and the form of the race was confirmed when the other winner followed up at Ascot. He is off a 5lb higher mark, but jockey Ben Sutton rides again and he should be considered a danger to all. Gerico Ville has been consistent, with his last two races including a good second to Ramo at Plumpton and a win back at Plumpton over 25f on soft ground. He’s only nudged up 2lb for the win and could show further progress. So Said I is another horse to consider, as she won three hurdles at about 3m last season and ended her campaign with a good third in a Listed race at Doncaster. Although she was well held on her belated reappearance/handicap bow at Newbury 18 days ago, she could leave that form behind over this distance.
Of the others, Biowavego is lightly raced and won a clearcut race at Worcester in October, he has had a break, but the market may guide expectations. Hauraki Gulf is making his handicap debut and has been consistent over 2m3f-2m7f. Miss Fairfax is a fairly useful novice hurdler around 3m, but she was well held on her reappearance/handicap bow at Newbury 18 days ago.
Raddon Top achieved nothing in his next two chases, but he won over fences at Exeter in January and has a good record here, which could be an advantage. Ballymagroarty Boy has been bang in the groove with commendable efforts in defeat this season over hurdles at around 3m, but he has only won once in 27 starts. Ioupy Collonges landed a Chepstow maiden in good style, but he was turned over when odds-on for his handicap bow at Taunton. Skandiburg has fallen in the weights and achieved one of this season’s better efforts when third at Newbury, but he is on a losing run stretching back to January 2020. Snipe landed the odds in a 2¾m Ffos Las maiden back from a break in February, but his subsequent Cheltenham handicap bow was disappointing.
Overall, the top three horses with the potential to win are Ballydisco, Gerico Ville, and So Said I.
16:15 ExeterTue 11 Apr 3m Hunt Chs
Shantou Flyer is considered an excellent performer who confirmed how well Cheltenham suits him when a running-on third in the big hunter chase there last month. He will appreciate the soft ground and his stamina will come into play on this stiff track. Therefore, he is the top pick to win this race.
Dandy Dan is a temperamental sort who made a winning start for his new yard in a Cheltenham hunter chase last April. He is fit from points, and although he pulled up at last month’s Cheltenham Festival, he should make his presence felt back in calmer waters. Dandy Dan has a good chance of winning this race.
Singapore Saga is a multiple point scorer and has made a good start to her hunter chase career this year, winning over C&D in a first-time tongue tie (retained) 16 days ago. She is in good form and should give a good account on a track that suits her.
Go Whatever won the Sussex National at Plumpton last January over 3m4f on soft ground. He has been owner-trained and has had headgear left off for this race. He may come on for the run but has a good chance of being in the mix.
Wotzizname has been disappointing this year, pulling up at Cheltenham Festival last month. He has work to do in this race as well.
This Breac has been placed three times in points this year but he’s biting off more than he can chew in this company.
Overall, Shantou Flyer, Dandy Dan, and Singapore Saga are the top three horses with the potential to win this race, while Go Whatever has a chance of being in the mix.
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