A look at Kempton Wednesday.

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17:30 KemptonWed 12 Apr 5f Nov Stks

Golden Bungle: The horse has an inexperienced jockey, and her pedigree suggests she is more suited for longer distances. However, she is from a good sire and her stable has a 19% strike rate with two-year-olds, which may indicate some potential for the future.

Hot Front: Non-runner.

Out Of The Stars: This filly has a promising pedigree and is from a top stable with a 15% strike rate for two-year-olds. Her dam was a 5f/6.5f winner, and she is a half-sister to a US 5f 2yo winner, which suggests she has a good chance of doing well in this race.

Rogue Dream: This horse comes from a stable with a strong record with two-year-olds, and her pedigree is promising, with her dam being a 2-y-o 5f winner. She is a sister to a useful 7f winner, which adds to her credentials.

She’s Smart: This filly’s pedigree suggests she has both speed and stamina, and her half-siblings have performed well. She comes from a good sire and her dam was a 2-y-o 6f winner, which makes her an interesting contender.

Tiliana: This horse’s pedigree suggests that she is better suited for longer distances. Her dam was a maiden and her half-siblings have not achieved much, which suggests that she is unlikely to win.

Tokyo Drift: This filly is from a top sire and her dam was a 7f winner, which indicates some potential. She has a promising pedigree, and her half-siblings have performed well, making her a horse to watch.

Via Electriano: This horse’s pedigree is not as strong as some of the other contenders. Her dam was lightly raced, and her half-siblings have not achieved much, which suggests she is unlikely to win.

Ziggy’s Phoenix: This filly’s pedigree is strong, with her dam being a half-sister to two Gold Cup winners. She is from a top stable, and her siblings have performed well, making her a strong contender in this race.

Assessment of the top three horses:

  1. Ziggy’s Phoenix: This filly’s pedigree is the strongest of the contenders, and she is from a top stable. Her siblings have performed well, and she is likely to do well in this race.
  2. Out Of The Stars: This filly’s pedigree is promising, and she comes from a stable with a good record for two-year-olds. She has a good chance of doing well in this race.
  3. Rogue Dream: This horse comes from a stable with a strong record with two-year-olds, and her pedigree is promising. She is a sister to a useful 7f winner, which adds to her credentials.

18:00 KemptonWed 12 Apr 7f Hcap

In this 7f handicap race at Kempton, there are several horses with potential to win. Here’s an analysis of each horse’s chances:

Annie Law had a good start to her handicap career in a C&D contest 67 days ago, and that form has worked out well with the next three home scoring since. She looks to be the type to improve further and is strongly respected.

Billaki Mou showed some improvement on handicap/seasonal debut, finishing sixth in a similar event at Lingfield (7f) last week. She is unexposed but has something to find with Phoenix Glow on that form.

Captain Wentworth has yet to win in six races and has been dropped to 6f in his last two starts. He ran well in November and may have needed his recent reappearance. He has a bit to prove back over 7f.

Enborne made the running and weakened into eighth on her latest start over C&D, but the hood is now reapplied. She is from a family that has served her owner well and looks open to improvement in handicaps, making her an interesting contender.

Greavsie has been nicely recharged having been rested for 50 days since a busy period in January/February that included a C&D win off 4lb lower. While more exposed than some of these rivals, she could go well back here.

My Mate Mike ran well to finish second in a maiden race at Lingfield (7f, AW) last time out, which was his best effort to date. He is making his handicap debut, and his opening mark has been hit as a result of that run.

Phoenix Glow won a 6f handicap at Chelmsford in February and was collared only in the final strides when returned to 7f at Lingfield last week. She has a fighting chance off the same mark.

River Lyne hinted at ability in 7f novice events last term but is not obviously well treated on bare form. However, she may be capable of improvement now handicapping at three, and market support should be heeded.

Topo Chico is a consistent maiden who ran creditably to finish second in a 7f fillies’ handicap at Wolverhampton most recently. She is 0-8 but has clear possibilities off an unaltered mark, provided she takes well to first-time headgear.

Vasilissa’s form dipped on Tapeta ten weeks ago, but she has consistent form on Polytrack (at Lingfield), and the return to this surface looks a plus. She is 0-5 but is bred to do better still, being half-sister to a useful filly for her connections. She should not be dismissed.

Based on their recent form and potential, the top three horses with the potential to win this race are Annie Law, Phoenix Glow, and Enborne. Other horses that could be in with a chance include Billaki Mou, Greavsie, and Topo Chico, while Captain Wentworth and River Lyne may struggle to be competitive.

18:30 KemptonWed 12 Apr 1m Nov Stks

In this 1m novice stakes race at Kempton, there are some promising horses with potential to win.

Quantico has justified strong support in both his runs last year and recorded a good RPR of 92 with his dominant display at Newcastle (1m) in October. However, he has a double penalty after six months off, which may hinder his chances.

Yaanaas has an excellent pedigree and looked a good prospect when winning an 8-runner maiden at Newcastle (1m) on debut 26 days ago, with plenty in hand. This striking debut effort puts him firmly in the picture and he’s open to improvement.

Orzo is a well-bred filly who won her sole run back in October 2021, with a good RPR of 85 in a 7f novice at this track. However, she has a 17-month absence to overcome, which may affect her performance.

Timeless Melody made an encouraging start in a 1m novice at Newcastle last February, and she took a major step forward when runner-up here (1m3f, Polytrack) in April. Although she now drops back in trip on her return, she has leading claims on her latest form and is a key player on her first run for William Haggas.

Rayat is a 360,000gns yearling, who has a promising pedigree as a half-brother to useful winners Kodiak West and Angel Grey. He makes his belated debut in a hot race and needs checking in the market.

Thunder Roar made a promising debut when runner-up at Salisbury (7f, soft; RPR 87) in September 2021, but he failed to build on that when a well-held third at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last June. He has potential after another break and being gelded.

Poppyequiano is out of a modest 1m3f turf winner, and this looks a daunting task on her belated debut. Best to watch her.

Santiburi Spirit finished a tailed-off last at a big price at Lingfield (1m, Polytrack) on her belated debut in the autumn. It’s easy enough to look elsewhere for potential winners.

Based on the information provided, Quantico, Yaanaas, and Timeless Melody seem to be the top three horses with the potential to win. Orzo could also be in with a chance, but her 17-month absence may affect her performance. Thunder Roar has potential, but he has not raced for a long time, and it is unclear how he will perform. Rayat is an unknown quantity and could surprise, but it is best to watch him for market clues. Poppyequiano and Santiburi Spirit seem to have a tough task ahead of them.

19:00 KemptonWed 12 Apr 1m Hcap

  1. High Court Judge – After struggling in three runs in Ireland, High Court Judge has found form since joining his current yard. He won impressively on his stable/handicap debut at Chelmsford over 1m, before following up over C&D last month. Although the latter victory was narrow, he still managed to win despite being raised 3lb. The extra weight shouldn’t be too much of a problem, and he’s still lightly raced enough to improve further.
  2. Gold Aura – Having only run three times in maidens, Gold Aura has potential to improve on her handicap debut. She ran well on her debut at Newbury over 7f and returns from a 229-day break, but the step up in trip should suit on pedigree. With a good draw and the potential for improvement, she’s a live contender.
  3. Starlight Nation – Although yet to win, Starlight Nation has shown promise in his three runs over 7f at Kempton this year. He shaped like he would appreciate this step up in trip, and with his yard in decent form, he’s worth considering on his handicap debut.

Others to consider:

So Chic – Comes into this race off the back of a win at Wolverhampton over 7f, where she made up good ground late on. She’s only been raised 2lb, so another solid run could be expected.

Bingley Crocker – A well-bred gelding who showed some promise in maidens/novice events last summer before finishing tailed off in a nursery at Newbury. He’s since been gelded and goes up in trip for his new yard, so he could improve.

Kitaro Kich – Ran a good third on his handicap debut over C&D two weeks ago, and he may have more to offer on this occasion.

Unlikely to win:

Constitution – Has shown little in his four runs for his new yard, and although he’s dropped 5lb, he’s still a maiden and has plenty to prove.

Zafaan – Has shown no real progress in his three runs, and he’s unlikely to be a factor on his handicap debut.

Hobson Point – Ran a fair race last time out when third over 1m at Lingfield, but his overall record is patchy and he’s drawn poorly.

19:30 KemptonWed 12 Apr 1m Hcap

Arctician is in good form, having won his last two starts from tough draws over 7f at Kempton and Lingfield, respectively. He steps back up to 1m, but he has form at this trip, and the hood he has been wearing has helped his recent performances. He is still on a workable mark and should be respected in his hat-trick bid.

Tollard Royal is another horse with a good chance. He won over C&D in the past, and he hit a personal best when finishing a close second at Beverley over 7.4f last September. He returns to Polytrack for this race, and he is only 1lb higher on his return. He looks interesting and should be considered for the shortlist.

Fantasy Believer is a triple C&D winner and completed a double off this mark at Ascot last July. Although he was never involved at Newcastle over 1m Tapeta last month, he may have needed the run and has possibilities if he can get back near his best.

Intercessor is a front-runner who won three times on fast turf last season, and he ended 2022 with a good third in the mud at Leicester over 1m. He has a wide draw back on the AW after 170 days off, but he has won when fresh in the past, and he should not be ruled out.

Other horses to consider include Longlai, who is unexposed in this sphere and has been off for nine months since leaving Richard Hannon for a new yard; Spirit Of The Bay, who completed a four-timer in September 2021, ran well here on his seasonal return last year and may have a say if fit after a 172-day break; and Spinaround, who won twice for John and Thady Gosden last year, but was out of sorts in his final two runs, and was down the field again on his stable debut at Newcastle last month.

Horses that are unlikely to win this race are Cliffs Of Capri, who is on a dangerous mark and has not won in over three years, and Darwell Lion, who was out the back over C&D 11 days ago and has not hit the same level in four runs for his new yard.

20:00 KemptonWed 12 Apr 1m4f Hcap

This race looks quite open, but there are a few horses who stand out. Lednikov won his last two races and makes his Polytrack debut here. He is only 1lb higher than his last win and has a good chance on form. Where’s Tom has reached the frame in his last five runs, including two runner-up efforts on Polytrack. He should be in the mix again and is respected. Silastar was badly hampered in his last run over this course and distance, but had been going well. He’s a course winner and should be considered.

Trojan Truth was a creditable third last time out and has won over longer distances on the turf. He can’t be dismissed at a bigger price. Manor Park is a dual Flat and five-time hurdle winner who finished a close third in a Huntingdon handicap in his final run last year. He’s back on a dangerous mark in this sphere and could be worth a market check. Devizes is a C&D winner who won off 1lb lower at Lingfield last year, but he has a poor record when fresh and is probably best watched after a long absence.

Dynakite remains well treated on his best form, but he’s untried at this trip and others are more persuasive. Fight For It is well treated on his best Flat form, but he’s been poor in his recent outings, although the application of tongue strap and cheekpieces could help. Footsy needs to improve on his handicap debut, while Hammy End is an unreliable sort with a poor recent record.

Overall, Lednikov, Where’s Tom, and Silastar appear to be the top contenders. Trojan Truth and Manor Park could be in with a chance, while the rest have more to prove or may struggle at this level.

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