16:03 Tue 18 April 2023

IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF

Distance 7f

Prize €22,000 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 6

1. Lord Massusus (409.1 total points) – This horse has shown significant improvement after its initial outings, winning at 6f and finishing second in a C&D maiden. Its versatility in terms of going and distance, combined with a strong jockey and trainer rating, make it a strong contender. Its current odds of 6/1 also offer good value.
2. Panic Alarm (407.1 total points) – With the lowest odds of 11/8, Panic Alarm is the favourite in this race. It has already won a Down Royal maiden and an auction race series final at Naas, both over this trip. The horse’s handicap mark was justified on reappearance, and the form was boosted by the runner-up Duke Of Leggagh. The strong jockey and trainer ratings add to Panic Alarm’s appeal.
3. Shadowed (397.8 total points) – Shadowed’s best run at two was chasing home a subsequent Group 1 winner, and it performed well on very soft ground in its seasonal debut. The form was boosted by a win for the runner-up Something Nice at Cork. With odds of 2/1 and a good jockey rating, this horse is one to watch.
4. Not Even Close (353.3 total points) – Although it has a lower total points rating than the top three, Not Even Close is worth considering due to its 7f maiden win at Dundalk and an impressive barrier trial. However, the suitability of the soft ground is uncertain for this horse. Its odds of 7/2 could make it an interesting outsider.
5. Lovejoy (265.0 total points) – Lovejoy made a winning debut, but its form since then has been mixed, and it did not seem to handle the track at Bellestown. With odds of 40/1, it is a longshot, but the strong jockey rating and potential for improvement should not be overlooked.

In conclusion, the top three rated horses – Lord Massusus, Panic Alarm, and Shadowed – seem to have the best chances of winning. Panic Alarm is the favourite, but Lord Massusus and Shadowed have good value odds and are capable of causing an upset. Not Even Close is an interesting outsider, while Lovejoy remains a longshot with potential for improvement.

16:38 Tue 18 April 2023

PAULSTOWN HANDICAP

Distance 1m

Prize €10,500 Rated (47-65) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 19

1. Everylittlestep (Total Points: 273.3, Odds: 5/1) Everylittlestep is a maiden but has placed several times, and the heavy ground 1m2f at Navan may have been a stretch when it was only beaten by 2l. It could be interesting to see this horse return to 1m, and it appears to be one of the better options.
2. Asisaid (Total Points: 266.1, Odds: 100/30) Asisaid may have been helped by its first encounter with heavy ground at Leopardstown (7f), where it narrowly prevailed. An 8lb rise seems stiff, but this horse could be open to further improvement.
3. Barnhill Rose (Total Points: 258.4, Odds: 5/1) Barnhill Rose is a consistent mare that goes well on the ground and won’t mind returning to 1m after finishing close up behind Asisaid over 7f at Leopardstown. This horse should be shortlisted.
4. You Owe Me Money (Total Points: 252.3, Odds: 10/1) You Owe Me Money is a 17-race maiden, but it was placed five times and had a close race here in September before signing off with a lesser effort. This horse is now with a new yard, which might bring some improvement.

Other horses to consider:

• Narlita (Total Points: 217.6, Odds: 9/1) Narlita is returning from a 299-day break and placed third on its handicap debut at Bellewstown (1m, heavy). However, there are concerns that this race could come a bit quick for the horse only 12 days later. The addition of a hood is a first for Narlita, which might help its performance.
• Rock Etoile (Total Points: 250.6, Odds: 10/1) Rock Etoile didn’t finish with much gusto behind Asisaid at Leopardstown (7f, heavy), but it still ran well enough to warrant each-way consideration.

In summary, the top four horses, Everylittlestep, Asisaid, Barnhill Rose, and You Owe Me Money, appear to have the best chances of winning. Other horses worth considering include Narlita and Rock Etoile, based on the comments provided.

17:13 Tue 18 April 2023

SP OR BETTER GUARANTEED WITH TOTE HANDICAP

Distance 1m 5f 160y

Prize €22,000 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

1. Harry’s Legacy (Total Points: 408.4, Odds: 5/2): This horse has the highest total points and favourable odds. However, the horse’s wins have come over longer distances, so the finishing kick at this distance might be a concern. Nonetheless, it is still expected to run well.
2. Grecian Slipper (Total Points: 372.7, Odds: 11/4): Although this horse has been highly tried, its peak RPR of 100 suggests that the current mark is manageable. Grecian Slipper has the second-highest total points and good odds, making it a strong contender.
3. Mellow Magic (Total Points: 314.5, Odds: 3/1): This horse has the third-highest total points and decent odds. However, the trip might be on the short side for Mellow Magic, who has previously performed well over longer distances.
4. Molly’s Gamble (Total Points: 289.0, Odds: 10/1): Molly’s Gamble has two wins at Killarney last season, but might be high in the weights now. The odds are not as favourable as the top three, but the horse’s past performance indicates potential.
5. Dalton Highway (Total Points: 253.8, Odds: 12/1): Although this horse has a lower total points compared to the top four, the comments mention that it can go well fresh, which might be an overlooked factor.

In summary, Harry’s Legacy, Grecian Slipper, and Mellow Magic appear to have the best chances of winning, with Molly’s Gamble as a potential contender. Dalton Highway could be an interesting option due to its ability to perform well fresh, but it has more to prove compared to the top-rated horses.

17:45 Tue 18 April 2023

THANKS TO ALL OUR SPONSORS HANDICAP

Distance 1m 1f 130y

Prize €10,500 Rated (47-65) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 20

1. Shona Mea (IRE) – Total points: 293.2, Odds: 12/1 Shona Mea has the highest total points among all the horses, and has been fairly consistent at Dundalk. However, the horse was recently withdrawn due to heavy ground, which could be a concern if similar conditions persist today. Nevertheless, Shona Mea has a good speed rating and jockey rating, which makes it a strong contender in this race.
2. Dragon Roll (IRE) – Total points: 280.2, Odds: 15/2 Dragon Roll is the second highest rated horse in terms of total points and has been running well on the AW. It has a good last race rating, and although it’s uncertain how the horse will handle today’s ground, it’s not without hope.
3. Contrapposto (IRE) – Total points: 248.7, Odds: 25/1 Contrapposto has a good total points rating, but its odds are higher compared to the other top contenders. This horse has a respectable last race rating and speed rating, but its 1-38 record on the Flat could be a cause for concern. Nonetheless, Contrapposto’s performance in hurdles might translate well to this race.
4. Astrophysicist – Total points: 245.6, Odds: 8/1 Astrophysicist has a solid total points rating and a good last race rating. The horse has performed well on soft ground and over jumps, which could suggest its suitability for today’s conditions.

Other horses to consider:

Cleopatra’s Needle (IRE) – Total points: 190.9, Odds: 20/1 Cleopatra’s Needle is worth noting due to its recent encouraging performance at Navan on heavy ground. If the horse gets a run, it could have possibilities given its current form and suitability for the conditions.

In conclusion, Shona Mea, Dragon Roll, Contrapposto, and Astrophysicist seem to have the best chances of winning based on their total points, odds, and other factors. However, Cleopatra’s Needle could be an interesting choice if it gets a run, as it has shown potential on heavy ground.

18:15 Tue 18 April 2023

gowranpark.ie FILLIES MAIDEN

Distance 1m 1f 130y

Prize €12,500 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 13

Top four rated horses:

1. Water Nymph (IRE) – 327.5 points
2. Lambada (IRE) – 305.0 points
3. Astar (IRE) – 260.1 points
4. Hazalaya (IRE) – 253.2 points

Water Nymph (IRE) performed well in her last race at this venue, with a front-running second-place finish. Although her seasonal debut over 7f at Curragh was not as impressive, her previous form suggests she could have a strong chance today.

Lambada (IRE) showed significant improvement in her second start, finishing third at Leopardstown. With an entry in the Irish Oaks, she holds a leading chance for today’s race.

Astar (IRE) has strong maiden-winning potential, and his form at this venue is promising. He has proven to handle soft ground, which could be advantageous in today’s race.

Hazalaya (IRE) displayed staying power in her seasonal debut at Leopardstown, suggesting that a step up in trip could benefit her performance. Her pedigree, being related to Derby winner Harzand, also adds to her appeal.

Additional horse to consider:

Sugaree (IRE) – Though not within the top four rated horses, Sugaree’s comments highlight her as a potentially interesting newcomer. She was a costly yearling and holds an entry in the Irish Oaks, making her a horse to watch in this race.

In conclusion, the top four rated horses – Water Nymph (IRE), Lambada (IRE), Astar (IRE), and Hazalaya (IRE) – all have strong chances of winning today’s race. Sugaree (IRE) also presents an intriguing prospect as a newcomer with a promising background.

18:45 Tue 18 April 2023

IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN

Distance 1m 1f 130y

Prize €20,000 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 15

1. Lasting Peace (IRE) – Although this horse has the highest total points, it may not be the best choice for today’s conditions. The horse has shown a significant improvement needed from its recent Bellewstown run. However, with a rating of 213.9 and odds of 25/1, it could be worth considering as an outside chance.
2. Free Flow (USA) – This horse has the second-highest total points (213.1) and favourable odds of 5/1. Free Flow made a satisfactory debut at Dundalk and could have a decent chance if it handles the ground. The speed rating is 53.8, and the jockey and trainer ratings are both positive, indicating a strong contender for the win.
3. Blenheim Lad (IRE) – With total points of 211.2 and odds of 16/1, this horse ran a bit green at Leopardstown on his only start at two and is likely to need more experience. However, the speed rating of 48.9 and jockey rating of 35.2 suggest that this horse might still have a chance in today’s race.
4. Ifitwasme (IRE) – Although this horse has a lower total score of 195.9 and long odds of 66/1, it had a decent debut at Listowel and could be one to watch in future handicaps. The speed rating is 63.2, but the jockey rating is lower at 10.3, which may impact the performance.

Another horse that stands out based on the comments is Carlo Bianconi (FR). This horse has a lower total score of 74.7 and shorter odds of 9/4. As a first foal and potentially interesting newcomer for a top team, Carlo Bianconi could be a horse to watch out for in this race. The jockey and trainer ratings are also positive, which suggests a strong team backing the horse.

In conclusion, based on the analysis of the provided data and comments, Free Flow (USA) and Blenheim Lad (IRE) seem to be the strongest contenders for the win. Ifitwasme (IRE) and Lasting Peace (IRE) could be considered as outside chances. Additionally, Carlo Bianconi (FR) is a noteworthy newcomer that might outperform expectations.

19:15 Tue 18 April 2023

RACING AGAIN APRIL 19th MAIDEN

Distance 1m 1f 130y

Prize €12,000 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 20

1. Party Central (IRE): Total points 416.3, odds 4/1, with a strong Last Race rating (LR) of 124.6. This horse is a very useful jumper, and with multiple wins under her belt, she should perform well today.
2. Esculenta (IRE): Total points 298.3, odds 5/1, and a decent LR of 61.5. Although she has been defeated 11 times, she has come close to the top-class Tuesday in one of her maidens, and her last two defeats were in Pattern races. She should be a major player in this company.
3. Riverina Charm (IRE): Total points 283.4, odds 5/1, and an LR of 66.6. Although her only previous race didn’t show much promise, her breeding suggests she may improve now that she is raised in distance. She is likely to make her presence felt in this race.
4. Most Wanted (IRE): Total points 263.8, odds 2/1, and an LR of 69.5. This horse performed well when placed second in a 1m2f maiden at Leopardstown on yielding to soft ground, and the form has been franked. With the winner now a useful hurdler for Paul Nicholls and the second successful next time at the Curragh, Most Wanted should have a good chance in this race.

Outside of the top four, some notable mentions are:

• Expound: Although he has a total of 249.3 points and odds of 8/1, his previous run on soft ground led to him being pulled up in a maiden hurdle. However, he has shown fair efforts in three AW starts this year, so he might be in good form.
• Chicago Storm: With 245.2 points and odds of 16/1, he has shown his best performance in a 1m2f maiden at Down Royal. However, he may need to improve further to have a chance in this race.

Remember that these ratings and factors should only serve as a guide, and it’s always essential to consider other aspects, such as the ground conditions and each horse’s individual preferences. Good luck!