13:50 Tue 18 April 2023
bet365 BRITISH EBF CONDITIONS STAKES (2)
Distance 7f
Prize £15,462 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9
Based on the provided data, Majestic Pride seems to be the most likely winner. He has the highest total points and has a good last race rating and speed rating. He is also favoured in the odds. Additionally, the comments suggest that he is a promising colt and represents a top yard. However, it is worth noting that he is wearing a hood, which could be a factor that some bettors might overlook.
City Of Kings is another strong contender. He has a high total points and is favored in the odds. He also has a good last race rating and speed rating. The comments suggest that he is a useful prospect for this year and should progress further. However, it is worth noting that he will be discarding his hood, which could be a factor that some bettors might overlook.
Hi Royal is also a strong contender. He has a solid last race rating and has been performing well in his previous races. The comments suggest that he is a useful prospect for this year and looks interesting back down in distance. However, his total points are slightly lower than the top two contenders.
Holguin is a consistent performer and has a good last race rating and speed rating. He is also near the top of the pack on RPRs. The comments suggest that he looks likely to give his running provided he stays the new trip. However, his total points are slightly lower than the top three contenders.
It is worth noting that Mukeedd, despite having the lowest total points, is in good hands and looks open to progress this year. Market support should be noted, which could make him an interesting outsider.
In conclusion, the top four rated horses, Majestic Pride, City Of Kings, Hi Royal, and Holguin, are all strong contenders. Betters should take into account the factors highlighted in the comments, such as the use or discarding of hoods and the ability to perform well at new distances, when making their final decisions. Additionally, Mukeedd could be an interesting outsider to consider based on the comments about his potential progress and market support.
14:25 Tue 18 April 2023
NATIONAL STUD HANDICAP (2)
Distance 7f
Prize £20,616 Rated (0-105) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9
New Kingdom is the highest-rated horse with a total of 491.9 points, and he is also the favorite at 100/30 odds. He has had two good runs in Dubai this year, including a win over 1m in February on good ground. He has also won on good to soft ground and has shown he can run well with cheekpieces. The only concern is that he is untested on slower ground.
Vafortino is the second-highest rated horse with 419.9 points and has odds of 7/1. He is fully effective on soft ground, and his last run was a third-place finish at Kempton three weeks ago. He won the Victoria Cup at Ascot last spring off a 6lb lower mark and ended 2022 with a good win at Goodwood on good to soft ground.
Tacarib Bay is the third-highest rated horse with 401.2 points and has odds of 9/2. He had some very useful form as a 3yo, including over 7f on soft ground. He had a promising seasonal return at Wolverhampton, but couldn’t build on it in a Listed event last time, racing too freely for the conditions. The drop back to 7f should not be an issue, and this mark is within range.
Rebel Territory is the fourth-highest rated horse with 371.9 points and has odds of 9/2. He is a course winner and made a winning seasonal return over 1m at Sandown last May off this mark. He ran some creditable races in defeat afterward and 7f on soft ground should not be an issue.
Among the other horses, Hodler is worth considering as he won three 7f handicaps, including on soft ground, last season and has had a good second over C&D in a 17-runner Class 4. He looked rusty on his last month’s AW return at Lingfield, but there should be more to come from him.
It should be noted that Al Rufaa, despite being the fifth-highest rated horse with 299.7 points, has a relatively high odds of 22/1. He won three races over 7f in the summer of 2020 on AW and good to firm ground, but has drawn a blank since then. He starts out for new connections off a reduced mark and won on soft ground as a 2yo, but his usual hood is left off today, and he often races freely.
In conclusion, the top four horses that have the best chance of winning based on the data are New Kingdom, Vafortino, Tacarib Bay, and Rebel Territory. However, factors such as suitability for the ground, recent form, and running style should also be considered before placing a bet.
15:00 Tue 18 April 2023
CLOSE BROTHERS HANDICAP (2)
Distance 1m
Prize £20,616 Rated (0-100) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 13
Ashky has a good record on good/faster ground and has been in good form in handicaps. However, her performance may depend on how well she copes with the forecasted slow ground.
Unforgotten has been progressive on the all-weather since returning from a long absence and has yet to finish out of the first two. He is a big player provided he is just as good on turf.
Point Lynas has been first past the post in three of his six starts for his current stable and made all at Newcastle on his seasonal debut. However, his best turf form is on good/faster ground, and he needs drying ground to perform well.
Outbreak has won on turf as a 2yo and has been in good form on the all-weather this year. He tied in with Unforgotten on Lincoln Trial running and posted a creditable effort over 1m2f on Good Friday, suggesting he has possibilities back down in distance.
Other horses to consider based on the comments are Bucephalus, who has won on soft ground and may have more to offer for his yard, and Harswell Duke, who has form figures of 01551131 on soft/heavy and is respected provided he again gets ideal ground.
Factors that might be overlooked by the overall rating include the suitability of the horse to the ground conditions, their previous form on similar tracks, and the jockey and trainer ratings. It’s also essential to consider the horse’s recent form and how it compares to their past performances.
15:35 Tue 18 April 2023
bet365 EARL OF SEFTON STAKES (Group 3) (1)
Distance 1m 1f
Prize £45,368 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7
Looking at the provided horse racing data, the top four rated horses are Ottoman Fleet, Poker Face, Reach For The Moon, and Blue Trail. Ottoman Fleet has the highest total points and is also the favorite at 7/4 odds. He has been consistent in Group races at Meydan and has had success at this venue in the past, including an impressive Listed win last October. His jockey, William Buick, also adds to his appeal.
Poker Face has been unbeaten in his first season last year and posted a very useful RPR last time out. He has the potential to develop into a Listed/Group performer this season and could be a threat. Reach For The Moon is a one-time Derby hope who landed the Solario as a 2yo. He has an excuse for his poor effort in a French Group 3 race on his last outing due to heavy ground, and the fact that he has been gelded since and now goes in blinkers provides him with clear possibilities.
Blue Trail has recorded a smart RPR in a Meydan handicap two months ago, but it remains to be seen whether he can transfer that improved form back to British soil. He is the stable second-string with William Buick riding Ottoman Fleet, which is something to consider.
Of the other horses, Raadobarg looks interesting on debut for George Boughey. He has won twice in 2022 and has been gelded since his last run. He also drops back in class and has made a winning reappearance for the last two seasons, which could be a positive factor. Masekela was fourth in last year’s Derby, but he showed no further progress afterwards. However, his subsequent gelding operation may bring him on.
In summary, Ottoman Fleet, Poker Face, Reach For The Moon, and Blue Trail look like the strongest contenders based on the provided data. However, factors such as jockey and trainer ratings, as well as suitability for today’s conditions, should also be considered.
16:10 Tue 18 April 2023
ALEX SCOTT MAIDEN STAKES (4)
Distance 7f
Prize £5,400 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7
Covey, the current favorite at 8/11 odds, finished second in his debut at Southwell and is expected to improve with the experience. Trained by William Haggas, who has a good record in this race, Covey is a strong contender to win.
Molaqab, trained by John & Thady Gosden, finished third in his debut at Doncaster after a poor start and greenness. With the potential to do better this year and no issue with the 7f distance, Molaqab is a horse to be respected.
Palamon showed promise in his debut, finishing second to a smart rival on the July Course, but then disappointed in his next start. His pedigree suggests that he may perform better over a longer distance. Trained by Roger Varian, Palamon has a chance of being in the mix.
Daarree is making his debut and doesn’t have any prior form to analyze. However, based on his pedigree, which includes some useful winners, he could surprise the field. Daarree is worth a market check and could be a contender.
The comments suggest that Yellow Lion, Wheres Freddy, and Art Of Romance are unlikely to contend for the win in this race. Art Of Romance is making his debut, and the market will reveal what is expected of him. Wheres Freddy’s pedigree suggests he may need more distance, and Yellow Lion looks like the stable second-string, with handicaps being an option after this race.
Overall, Covey, Molaqab, Palamon, and Daarree are the top four rated horses and have the best chances of winning. However, the market should be watched for any significant changes in the odds or unexpected performance from other horses.
16:45 Tue 18 April 2023
PAT SMULLEN MEMORIAL BRITISH EBF NOVICE STAKES (4)
Distance 5f
Prize £5,400 Age 2yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7
Yorkshire Terrier is the clear favourite with the highest total points, an impressive last race rating, and top speed rating. He won his debut at Southwell with ease, although he did show some signs of greenness. His jockey and trainer ratings are also strong. However, he is conceding weight to some interesting newcomers.
Cuban Thunder is next in the ratings with a decent chance based on his pedigree and stable form. He is the first foal of a 7f AW 2yo winner and comes from a stable that had a 2yo winner recently. His odds suggest he is considered a leading contender.
Blue Storm has a similar chance to Cuban Thunder, with no form to go on but a good pedigree. He is a half-brother to two winners and his dam was a Listed-winning sprinter. The fact that he was a relatively expensive yearling also suggests he may have been showing promise at home.
Hackman has a decent chance based on his price tag and pedigree. He is a March foal and cost 70,000 euros as a foal and £130,000 as a yearling. He is a half-brother to five winners, including one well-suited by soft ground. His stable’s first 2yo runner of the season won at Musselburgh, so there is optimism he can do the same.
Of the other horses, Mr Baloo is worth a market check based on his pedigree, being an April foal out of a mare who was placed over 7f on AW. King Garwood is due to run in first-time blinkers after being tailed off behind Yorkshire Terrier last time, but it’s hard to see him reversing the form. The remaining two runners, Flag Of St George and Fullofbrightideas, have less appealing pedigrees and form.
Overall, Yorkshire Terrier is the one to beat based on his impressive debut win, although he will face some interesting newcomers. Cuban Thunder and Blue Storm are both bred to be decent, while Hackman is from a stable that is doing well with its 2yos.
17:20 Tue 18 April 2023
BET BOOST AT bet365 HANDICAP (3)
Distance 5f
Prize £12,885 Rated (0-95) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10
- Al Barez – with a total of 447.1 points and odds of 5/2, Al Barez has had a successful start to his racing career with two wins from three starts as a 2-year-old. He won his seasonal/handicap debut at Doncaster last year and should be quick enough for 5f. However, he is untested on slower ground.
- Lihou – with a total of 393.7 points and odds of 9/1, Lihou has recently found form on the AW, winning three of his last four starts. He seems to handle most ground and although this is a step up in class, he cannot be discounted.
- Ey Up It’s Maggie – with a total of 348.2 points and odds of 9/4, Ey Up It’s Maggie is well suited by slow ground and has already shown good form this season with a win at Doncaster. She can race off a 5lb lower mark today and has a strong chance of winning.
- Isle Of Lismore – with a total of 360.6 points and odds of 9/1, Isle Of Lismore won a 5f handicap on the July course at Newmarket last summer and seems to handle most ground. However, he is returning after a 206-day break and will need to be at his best to defy this mark.
Factors that may be overlooked by the overall rating include the recent form and track preference of each horse, as well as their suitability for today’s conditions. It is also worth considering the jockey and trainer ratings, as these can provide insight into the horse’s potential to perform at their best.
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