14:05 Tue 18 April 2023
WELCOME TO TIPPERARY MAIDEN HURDLE (D.I)
Distance 2m 4f 45y
Prize €10,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 22
- Lets Go Champ (IRE) – With the highest total points (337.8), Lets Go Champ is the clear favourite with odds of 8/15. Having shown impressive form in previous races, finishing second to a subsequent Grade 2 winner, this horse is the one to beat.
- Kansas City Star (IRE) – Kansas City Star has a total of 275.5 points and odds of 100/30. This point-to-point winner had a good debut but needs to bounce back from recent disappointing runs. If Kansas City Star can return to its best form, it has a strong chance.
- Itstimetomoveon (IRE) – With a total of 230.6 points and odds of 7/2, Itstimetomoveon has shown improvement in its last two starts. The horse will need to settle better over today’s longer trip, but the form suggests that it can go close.
- The Mass Path (IRE) – The Mass Path is the first reserve with 210.5 points and odds of 11/2. It has shown a glimpse of ability in its previous races and should have improved since its Limerick debut.
Notable mentions:
- Le Goom (FR) – Although only ranked sixth in terms of points, Le Goom showed some promise on its debut at Cork, despite not jumping fluently. With a total of 197.6 points and odds of 18/1, this horse could run a respectable race and is worth keeping an eye on.
- Clonmeen (IRE) – As a second reserve with 168.3 points and odds of 10/1, Clonmeen has had some creditable runs in novice chases over 3m lately. However, the shorter distance today might not be in its favour.
Keep in mind that the comments provided may highlight factors not entirely covered by the ratings. It is essential to consider all aspects of each horse’s performance before making any predictions.
14:40 Tue 18 April 2023
WELCOME TO TIPPERARY MAIDEN HURDLE (D.II)
Distance 2m 4f 45y
Prize €10,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 20
- Castle Field Boy (IRE) (Total Points: 258.8, Odds: 11/4): Castle Field Boy had his best effort in four hurdle starts when finishing second at Limerick last time over a similar trip to today’s race. He should be closely involved again, considering his high total points and favourable odds. His last race rating of 81.5 and speed rating of 60.5 are quite impressive as well.
- Suttons Hill (IRE) (Total Points: 229.4, Odds: 9/2): Suttons Hill holds Linden Arden on recent form, having run well in bumpers and performed well against Nick Rockett at Naas last time. With a total points score of 229.4 and odds of 9/2, Suttons Hill has a solid chance of performing well in this race.
- Linden Arden (IRE) (Total Points: 227.4, Odds: 2/1): Linden Arden has faced strong competition in previous races and has performed admirably. He won’t face the same calibre of opponents today, which should give him a good chance of success. With a total points score of 227.4 and favourable odds of 2/1, Linden Arden is a strong contender in this race.
- Transmission (IRE) (Total Points: 200, Odds: 13/2): Although Transmission’s form has been inconsistent, his second-place finish to recent Grade 1 winner Inthepocket at Wexford last October shows potential. If he can return to that level of performance, he could be a serious contender in this race, given his total points score of 200 and odds of 13/2.
Other notable contenders:
Rule The Wind (IRE) (Total Points: 191.8, Odds: 15/8): Despite having a lower total points score, Rule The Wind is worth keeping an eye on due to his strong pedigree and connections. He may improve over hurdles, but he will need to make significant progress from his debut run at Navan.
In summary, Castle Field Boy, Suttons Hill, Linden Arden, and Transmission have the best chances of winning based on their total points, odds, and other factors. However, Rule The Wind could be an interesting contender if he improves over hurdles.
15:15 Tue 18 April 2023
JUNCTION HANDICAP HURDLE
Distance 2m
Prize €10,000 Rated (80-95) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 23
- Beeverstown Bullet (IRE) (244.1 Total Points): Although winless in 18 races, Beeverstown Bullet has been in the frame several times and shouldn’t be too far away. The horse will need to improve upon recent starts, but considering its total points, it seems to be one of the top contenders.
- Leading The Way (IRE) (233.2 Total Points): With its best run coming in third place at Cork last time, Leading The Way seems to be a major player in this race. The shorter trip in today’s race should suit the horse better, and it has a strong speed rating of 31.2, making it a strong contender.
- Likable Chancer (IRE) (220.4 Total Points): Despite being the third reserve, Likable Chancer recently won at 33/1 over fences at Tramore. The horse has a high total points score and could be a surprise contender if it manages to participate in the race.
- Go Gill Go (IRE) (211.8 Total Points): Go Gill Go is a maiden hurdle winner and ran well enough after a break at Limerick last time. The horse should have improved a bit from that race and is considered a top contender with a good speed rating of 27.3.
Other noteworthy contenders based on comments:
- Hide Out (IRE) (184.2 Total Points): A maiden after 22 starts but has run well at times lately off this mark. The trip was too far last time, and Hide Out can be involved in this race.
- Lakomet Of Saints (FR) (175.6 Total Points): Although well beaten in a Leopardstown handicap last time, the horse has attracted an interesting jockey booking, which might be a positive sign. Keep an eye on the market for any indication of support for this horse.
It’s important to keep an eye on the market for any indications of support or lack of confidence in any of these horses. However, based on the provided data and comments, these horses seem to have the best chances of winning.
15:50 Tue 18 April 2023
BALLYKISTEEN BEGINNERS CHASE
Distance 2m 1f 105y
Prize €11,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 11
- Clifton Warrior (367.2 Total Points): This horse has the highest total points and has been performing well. The comments mention that with a more fluent round, Clifton Warrior will be tough to beat. The horse is also suited for soft ground conditions, has a good jockey rating, and is the favourite at 11/8 odds.
- Heather Rocco (298.3 Total Points): Although this horse has been absent for two years, it was previously rated 134, indicating potential. Heather Rocco is a winning pointer and should perform well over fences. The odds are 5/1, which is reasonable, and the horse has a decent speed and jockey rating. However, it’s worth noting that Rachel Blackmore rides the yard’s other horse.
- Red As Rust (257.8 Total Points): This 118-rated hurdler has placed third in two of her runs over fences. If she can replicate her latest performance at Thurles (2m2f, soft), she should not be far from winning. The odds are 7/1, and the horse has a good jockey rating, though its speed rating is slightly lower than the top two.
- Diamondinthemud (248.3 Total Points): Although the horse has a record of only 1-10 over hurdles and was never dangerous on her chase debut at Thurles, Diamondinthemud’s total points and odds (14/1) indicate she could be a contender. The horse has a good speed rating and jockey rating, but the comments suggest she might be up against it once more.
Another horse to consider based on the comments is The Banger Doyle (239.6 Total Points). The Banger Doyle has shown some solid races over hurdles, and despite failing to complete both chase runs, the comments point out that the horse was competitive when coming down at Gowran (2m4f, soft/heavy). The odds are 8/1, and the horse has a decent jockey rating. This horse might be overlooked due to its overall rating but could be a potential contender.
16:25 Tue 18 April 2023
tipperaryraces.ie RATED NOVICE CHASE
Distance 2m 4f 42y
Prize €16,000 Rated (0-125) Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 6
- Chameron (361.9 Total Points): With the highest total points, Chameron has recently won a Hexham handicap chase after a decent novice run at Down Royal. Although this race might be tougher, the horse cannot be ruled out. The odds are 8/1, and Chameron has a good speed rating and a reasonable jockey and trainer rating.
- Percy Warner (354.2 Total Points): A dual hurdles winner in 2021, Percy Warner is a maiden after four chase starts but has run respectably in handicap chases lately. The horse has the potential to perform well in this grade, with odds at 9/2, a good speed rating, and solid jockey and trainer ratings.
- All Those Years (332.4 Total Points): A comfortable winner of a Limerick novice before running a sound race on handicap debut at Cork, All Those Years is stepping up in trip today and could improve as a result. With odds at 5/2, the horse has a decent speed rating and strong jockey and trainer ratings.
- Gallyhill (324.7 Total Points): Gallyhill has had plenty of sound runs in defeat over fences since winning at Down Royal last year. While the horse doesn’t seem to be improving, it still has a chance in an open race. The odds are 6/1, and Gallyhill has a good speed rating, as well as solid jockey and trainer ratings.
Another horse to consider based on the comments is Solness (303.6 Total Points). Solness is a French hurdle winner who disappointed in that discipline on debut for this yard. However, the horse has taken really well to chasing, winning at Leopardstown with a bold round of jumping. The comments suggest that there should be more to come from Solness. The odds are 11/8, making the horse the favourite. The jockey and trainer ratings are strong, but it’s worth noting that the speed rating is not provided.
17:00 Tue 18 April 2023
TIPPERARY HANDICAP CHASE
Distance 2m 7f 135y
Prize €11,000 Rated (0-109) Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 13
- Goodnightngodbless (300.2 Total Points): This horse has shown good form recently, finishing second over 3m at Thurles in December and not far below that form when fourth of 17 back there over 2m6f. With 8/1 odds and a decent speed, jockey and trainer ratings, Goodnightngodbless should perform well in today’s conditions.
- Positive Thinker (291.2 Total Points): Though still a maiden, Positive Thinker has been running well in hurdles, narrowly defeated in previous races. Making its chase debut over a new trip, Positive Thinker is on a competitive mark with 7/2 odds and solid speed, jockey and trainer ratings.
- Baldurs Gate (243.5 Total Points): Placing in three of its five chases, Baldurs Gate maintains a partnership with Rachael Blackmore after good runs over 2m4f at Thurles and Wexford. With 6/1 odds, this horse is worth another try over this distance, with a reasonable speed rating and jockey/trainer ratings.
- Mahler Appeal (243.3 Total Points): Having placed in both of its runs over fences, Mahler Appeal may have gone close with greater fluency at Wexford (3m1f, heavy; first-time cheekpieces). With 7/1 odds, this horse is a likely contender, showing a decent speed rating and solid jockey/trainer ratings.
Another horse worth considering based on the comments is Eddies Pride (228.5 Total Points). Recently off the mark in a 3m handicap chase at Fairyhouse (soft), Eddies Pride followed up with another good run when finishing second at Clonmel. With 5/1 odds, this horse is one to watch with decent speed, jockey and trainer ratings.
17:35 Tue 18 April 2023
IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MARES I.N.H. FLAT
Distance 2m 4f 45y
Prize €11,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 17
- Impulse (FR): Impulse has the highest total points of 277.8 and odds of 9/1. She had a decent third-place finish at Limerick (2m3f, soft) and should be respected for today’s race.
- Armed And Fabulous (IRE): Armed And Fabulous has 253.7 total points and is the second favourite with odds of 3/1. She finished third at Punchestown and had a good run at Cork on heavy ground, making her a strong contender.
- Getaway Rua (IRE): With 200.4 total points and odds of 20/1, Getaway Rua had an encouraging fifth-place finish at Galway. However, she was beaten at Cork when up against Armed And Fabulous.
- Matilda Park (IRE): Matilda Park has 200.2 total points and odds of 10/1. She showed improvement to finish fourth at Thurles (good) but faces different conditions in today’s race.
Other notable horses based on the comments:
- Four Clean Aces (IRE): Four Clean Aces has 145 total points and is the current favourite at 11/8. She is the first foal from a dam who has a strong racing record and hails from a powerhouse yard. This horse may be worth considering despite not being in the top four rated.
- Vedetta Star (IRE): Vedetta Star has 151.4 total points and odds of 11/1. She is well-related and cost 50,000 euros as a 3-year-old. However, her performance at Gowran left something to be desired. She may have potential, but will need to show improvement to compete with the top contenders.
Overall, the top four-rated horses seem to have the best chances of winning. However, it is worth keeping an eye on Four Clean Aces (IRE) as the comments suggest she has potential to be a strong contender, and Vedetta Star (IRE) as she could improve from her previous performance.
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