16:05 Wed 19 April 2023

GOWRAN PARK GOLF CLUB MAIDEN

Distance 7f

Prize €12,000 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10

Going Yielding

Looking at the provided data, the top four horses in terms of total points are Simpsons Paradox, Grey Leader, Spanish Saint, and Navy Beach. However, we need to take into account other factors such as last race rating, speed rating, suitability for today’s conditions, jockey rating, and trainer rating.

Simpsons Paradox stands out as a strong contender with a high last race rating, a good speed rating, and a positive comment highlighting his performance at Galway. He is also suited to today’s conditions and has a high jockey rating. With odds of 8/11, he is the favorite to win.

Grey Leader also has a positive comment from his last race and is expected to improve. He is suited to today’s conditions and has a good jockey rating. With odds of 100/30, he is the second favorite to win.

Spanish Saint has a moderate last race rating but has improved in his comeback run last month. He is also suited to today’s conditions but has a lower jockey rating compared to the top two horses. With odds of 11/1, he is an outside contender.

Navy Beach has a low last race rating and has not performed well in his previous races. He is not suited to today’s conditions and has a low jockey rating. With odds of 80/1, he is the least likely to win.

16:40 Wed 19 April 2023

DINING PACKAGES AT GOWRAN PARK HANDICAP

Distance 7f

Prize €10,000 Rated (47-65) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 18

Going Yielding

After analysing the provided horse racing data and comments, it seems that the top four rated horses with the best chances of winning are Golden Spangle, Happenstance, Summer Snow, and Rio Largo. However, some factors might be overlooked by the overall rating, which we will highlight below.

Starting with Golden Spangle, she has the second-highest total points and the lowest odds of 9/4. Her last race rating and speed rating are both impressive, and she showed a cracking comeback run against her elders at the Curragh on Sunday, finishing off her race nicely over 6f away from the pace on the far side. The extra furlong seems sure to suit, and although her wide draw may not be ideal, she remains a major contender.

Happenstance has the highest odds of 9/1 but has the highest last race rating and the second-highest speed rating. Although unproven on soft ground, she showed a significant improvement on her second nursery run at Dundalk last autumn, rallying under a positive ride to hold off a subsequent winner over this trip. Her 3lb rise seems manageable, and she could be a value bet.

Summer Snow has the third-highest total points and odds of 7/1, with a respectable last race rating and a decent speed rating. She was the pick of a busy enough juvenile campaign when touched off (rider dropped whip) over today’s C&D on soft off 59, and the heavy ground may not have suited her subsequent run at Galway. If the ground conditions suit her better, she could be a significant threat.

Rio Largo has the sixth-highest total points and odds of 5/1. His last race rating and speed rating are both decent, and he kept on well after meeting trouble in running in his turf return at Bellewstown recently. Although he was kept busy on AW last winter without success, some creditable runs in defeat show that he has some ability. His trainer and jockey both have a good rating, which adds to his appeal.

It’s also worth mentioning Cherry Pink, who has the eighth-highest total points and odds of 9/1. Her last race rating is eyecatching, and she had a promising handicap debut at Dundalk in February when staying on late from a high draw to finish third behind a better-fancied stablemate Doctor Grace over this trip. Although unproven on turf, she could have more to offer and is a lively outsider.

Overall, Golden Spangle seems to be the standout contender, but Happenstance and Summer Snow both have the potential to cause an upset. Rio Largo is also worth considering, while Cherry Pink could be an interesting outsider. However, it’s essential to keep an eye on the ground conditions as they could play a crucial role in the outcome of the race.

17:15 Wed 19 April 2023

THOMASTOWN HANDICAP

Distance 7f

Prize €10,500 Rated (47-70) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 18

Going Yielding

Looking at the provided data, the top four horses based on total points are Brave Troop (IRE), Gegenpressing, Elmos Fire (IRE), and Lucky Queen (IRE).

Brave Troop (IRE) is the favourite with odds of 5/2 and has been in good form, winning his last two races at 1m2f at Navan. However, he has been given an 8lb rise in weight for this race, and the drop in trip to 7f may not be ideal.

Gegenpressing has odds of 12/1 and has not recaptured the form that saw him win at Down Royal last year, but he was not beaten too far on his recent comeback at Leopardstown. His trainer has begun the turf season well, which could be a positive sign.

Elmos Fire (IRE) won a maiden at Listowel and has been struggling in handicaps until his more encouraging comeback run at Bellewstown over 1m. The drop back in trip to 7f could suit him, and he is likely to be a major player in this race.

Lucky Queen (IRE) is a consistent performer in this grade, winning at Cork and finishing second in her final two starts last season on soft ground. However, the drop in trip to 7f is short of her best.

Other horses that could be worth considering are Mr Stanley, who has good form at 7f on better ground and could cope with the heavy ground on recent form, and Yester, who has numerous placings on soft ground and is making his first start for John McConnell here off a high enough mark.

Factors that might be overlooked by the overall rating include the jockey and trainer ratings. For example, Maggie And Me’s jockey has a good claim and has been riding well, while Whatharm’s trainer has a good record at the course. Additionally, the comments suggest that some horses may be suited to different ground conditions, which could be a factor to consider when making a selection.

17:45 Wed 19 April 2023

IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF FILLIES HANDICAP

Distance 7f

Prize €26,000 Age 3yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 11

Going Yielding

All Lies Ahead (IRE) has a total points score of 438.4 and is the favorite at odds of 5/2. She showed good attitude to hold on in her last race at Leopardstown, albeit on heavy ground, and her relative inexperience with just five starts could mean she has more improvement in her. However, the 8lb rise in the weights may be a challenge.

American Sonja has a total points score of 378.9 and is the second favorite at odds of 9/4. As the sole 3yo in the field, she has shown promise with a narrow defeat in a Curragh nursery over this trip last autumn and a maiden win at the same venue. She could be a type to train on and the yard is in good form.

Pale Iris (IRE) has a total points score of 337.8 and is priced at 14/1. She hasn’t won since landing a premier Naas handicap nearly two years ago, and her handicap mark has suffered from being highly tried at times. However, she showed some encouraging form in her last run and could be suited to today’s conditions.

Celtic Crown has a total points score of 325.3 and is priced at 15/2. She has won four times, including a premier handicap at Curragh, and has had two solid runs for her current yard. She was sixth of 27 in the Lincoln, and the drop in trip could be beneficial. Her jockey and trainer rating are also positive factors to consider.

Bells On Her Toes (IRE) could be another horse to consider based on her comments. She has won a C&D maiden last year and went close in a couple of handicaps on testing ground. Her seasonal return was encouraging, and she should come on for it. Her total points score is 295.8, and she is priced at 16/1.

Coill Na Sionainne (IRE) may struggle on today’s ground, given that her wins have been on better ground, so may be worth overlooking despite her total points score of 297.2 and odds of 28/1.

Miss Mirabell, the top-weight in the field, has shown some useful placed form, including a premier Curragh fillies handicap win, and should be respected despite her recent poor form in the Lincoln. Her total points score is 237.7, and she is priced at 7/1.

In summary, All Lies Ahead (IRE), American Sonja, Pale Iris (IRE), and Celtic Crown are the top-rated horses with the best chances of winning, based on their total points and odds. Bells On Her Toes (IRE) and Miss Mirabell also have respectable ratings and could be worth considering. Ground conditions may play a significant role, and other factors, such as jockey and trainer ratings, should also be taken into account.

18:15 Wed 19 April 2023

IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MEDIAN AUCTION FILLIES MAIDEN

Distance 1m

Prize €16,000 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 13

Going Yielding

1. Why Comply (IRE) – Total points: 227.0, Odds: 7/1
   • Has the highest total points and a good last race rating.
   • Showed potential on debut and may improve with more experience.
   • Suitable for today’s conditions and has a decent jockey/trainer rating.
2. Snowcapped (IRE) – Total points: 212.1, Odds: 7/1
   • Has a good last race rating and a decent speed rating.
   • May benefit from the extra furlong and Shane Foley’s presence on Paris Review implies a stable preference.
   • Suitable for today’s conditions and has a decent jockey/trainer rating.
3. Kaydees Magic (IRE) – Total points: 206.5, Odds: 12/1
   • Has a good last race rating and a high LR-2LR rating.
   • May have better prospects in a handicap, but is still suitable for today’s conditions.
   • Has a decent jockey/trainer rating.
4. Paris Review (IRE) – Total points: 205.1, Odds: 4/1
   • Has a good last race rating and the second highest total points.
   • Classic-entered filly from a top stable, but needs to show considerable improvement from her debut.
   • Suitable for today’s conditions and has a decent jockey/trainer rating.

Other factors that may be overlooked by the overall rating include:

• Fleadhfest (IRE) may improve with more experience and may be better suited for today’s conditions.
• Green Sky (IRE) is an Irish Oaks entrant from a leading stable and may be of interest.
• Queen Mab (IRE) has a decent pedigree and is in good hands with a stable that recently got off the mark for the season.

18:45 Wed 19 April 2023

IRISH INJURED JOCKEYS HANDICAP

Distance 1m

Prize €11,500 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Yielding

The top four rated horses in this race are Duke Of Leggagh, Devore, The Snapper, and Semblance Of Order. Duke Of Leggagh, with a total of 363 points, is the favourite at 6/4 odds and has shown good form on soft ground, winning a nursery at Galway and producing a fine effort in the Madrid Handicap. The Snapper has also won recently on soft ground and has a total of 297 points, placing him third in the ratings. Devore, with 316.8 points, has won a nursery at the Curragh and has been rated as a possible contender by the comments, with her trainer also running Mere Accountant who has won a barrier trial. Semblance Of Order has been consistent on good ground and has a total of 296 points, placing him in fourth in the ratings.

Other horses to note include One Boss, who has placed in a small-field nursery over this trip at Leopardstown and may benefit from a race-fit advantage. Pigeon House has shown good form on testing ground over 7f at Cork and is interesting as jockey Shane Foley prefers her to One Boss. Long Count has shown promise on heavy ground but has been inconsistent in subsequent runs.

Factors to consider include the weight each horse is carrying, the suitability of today’s conditions, and the jockey and trainer ratings. Duke Of Leggagh and The Snapper have shown they handle soft ground and are carrying reasonable weights. Devore and Mere Accountant have the same trainer and could be well-handicapped. Semblance Of Order has been consistent on good ground but may struggle on the softer going. One Boss and Pigeon House have shown promise but may need more race fitness.

19:15 Wed 19 April 2023

@GowranPark1 HANDICAP

Distance 1m 5f 160y

Prize €10,000 Rated (47-65) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 12

Going Yielding

Based on the provided data and comments, the top four horses to focus on are:

1. Striking (FR) – with a total of 276.5 points, the highest in the field. Striking has had two satisfactory runs on the flat in France and is a half-brother to top-class hurdler Supasundae. Although it has taken a while for Striking to find form for trainer Jessica Harrington, the horse looks very interesting on the basis of his second placing in a 21-runner maiden hurdle at Fairyhouse. Striking has a good last race rating of 94.6 and a high speed rating of 46.5. The horse’s odds of 15/8 reflect the market’s confidence in its chances of winning.
2. Pale Moonlight (IRE) – with a total of 265.7 points and odds of 13/2, Pale Moonlight is a previous nursery winner on testing ground at this venue. Although longer trips seemed to find her out later on, Pale Moonlight was touched off over 1m4f at Galway festival last year. The horse’s last race rating of 54.4 and high jockey rating of 68.2, suggest that Pale Moonlight has a good chance of being competitive today.
3. Ellaat – with a total of 254.0 points and odds of 11/4, Ellaat is a versatile sort who has won six times, three on Flat and three over hurdles. Although Ellaat was not beaten far in fifth behind the Charles Byrnes-trained Wajaaha at Dundalk last October on his final start for Noel Kelly, the horse has since joined the Byrnes team. Although Ellaat possibly wants better ground, it merits respect today.
4. Perfect Arch (IRE) – with a total of 230.0 points and odds of 18/1, Perfect Arch is a 22-race maiden who finished second last month in a handicap hurdle behind the in-form Thecornerhouse. Perfect Arch has a good last race rating of 74.2 and a high speed rating of 64.4. Although the horse’s flat form does not amount to much, it is not a lost cause and may surprise the field at a good price.

The comments suggest that Astrophysicist, Elle Dorado Rock, and Ballycommon Chapel are worth a market check with their respective trainers making changes or putting up top jockeys. However, they may have more to prove compared to the top four rated horses in the field