13:50 Wed 19 April 2023
CONNAUGHT ACCESS FLOORING HANDICAP (4)
Distance 1m
Prize £13,085 Rated (0-85) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 15
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
Surely Not (IRE) has the highest total points of all the horses in this race, but his odds are quite long at 14/1. He has shown good form on both good ground and the AW, but his last race rating was only average. He is suited to today’s conditions and has a decent jockey and trainer rating, but his speed rating is not as high as some of the other horses in the field. Overall, he is a horse with potential but will need to improve on his last race to win.
Gulmarg (IRE) has a lower total points score than Surely Not (IRE) but has shorter odds at 8/1. He has won two of his nine starts as a 2-year-old and has shown decent form on softer ground. He ran respectably on his only run on softer than good in his last race, and his speed rating is the highest of the top four horses. His jockey and trainer ratings are also good, and he is suited to today’s conditions. Overall, he looks like a strong contender.
Dionysian has a slightly lower total points score than Gulmarg (IRE) but is also at longer odds at 11/1. He has shown good form on both good to soft ground and the AW, winning two 1m novice races at Kempton. He is the top weight in this race and is making his handicap debut, but his pedigree suggests he has the potential to handle the weight. His jockey and trainer ratings are good, and he is suited to today’s conditions. He could be a dark horse in this race.
Playupskyblues (IRE) has a lower total points score than the other three top-rated horses but is also at longer odds at 12/1. He won a 1m novice race at Redcar in October and looked like he had more in the tank. He is making his handicap/seasonal debut and has the potential to improve. His jockey and trainer ratings are good, and he is suited to today’s conditions. Overall, he is another horse that could surprise.
Among the other horses, Almarin (IRE) is making his seasonal debut but showed improvement in his three races as a 2-year-old and won his last race comfortably. Burdett Road has better form on AW and looks like he has more to offer, while Bussento has shown improvement with each run and should not be dismissed on his handicap debut. Gentle Whinny has won a 1m novice race at Windsor and is open to further progress, while Dream Pirate has shown potential in his two runs on Lingfield AW.
It is worth noting that Cobalt Blue (IRE) has not raced on softer ground before, and Seductive Power (IRE) has only shown his best form in small-field AW handicaps. Lion Kingdom has delivered plenty of progress so far but is facing a tougher test in this handicap debut.
In conclusion, the top four rated horses – Surely Not (IRE), Gulmarg (IRE), Dionysian, and Playupskyblues (IRE) – are all strong contenders in this race. Other horses with potential include Almarin (IRE), Burdett Road, Bussento, Gentle Whinny, and Dream Pirate. It is worth paying attention to factors such as the horses’ form on softer ground, their pedigree, and their potential to improve.
14:25 Wed 19 April 2023
WEATHERBYS DIGITAL SOLUTIONS HANDICAP (2)
Distance 6f
Prize £20,616 Rated (0-100) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 11
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
- Aleezdancer (IRE) – With a total points score of 439.0, Aleezdancer is the top-rated horse in the field. He has a flawless record in 5f/6f races on ground slower than good, and his last race rating of 111.1 is the highest in the field. He is also suited to today’s conditions, and his jockey and trainer both have strong ratings. The only concern may be his 7lb rise in the weights, but he may still be up to the task.
- Aphelios – With a total points score of 402.0, Aphelios is the second-highest rated horse in the field. He has shown good progress since joining this yard and is likely to improve further this year. However, he is untested on ground slower than good, which could be a concern.
- Admiral D (IRE) – With a total points score of 357.0, Admiral D is the third-highest rated horse in the field. He has shown good form in Ireland and has been competitive in some big 3yo sprints. He is also well handicapped and effective on most ground. The only concern may be his record fresh.
- Above (FR) – With a total points score of 365.9, Above is the fourth-highest rated horse in the field. He has finished second in a 7f handicap at this meeting last year and has also filled the runner-up berth over C&D at the Guineas meeting. However, he couldn’t threaten on his reappearance at Chelmsford last month and is best suited to good or quicker ground.
One horse that the comments highlight as having a good chance but may be overlooked by the overall rating is Probe. Although he has a relatively low total points score of 315.3, he won twice on soft ground for Dermot Weld as a 3yo and created a positive impression in a 6f Wolverhampton handicap on his stable debut last month. There is a strong suspicion that he’s still well treated, and a strong pace would enhance his claims.
15:00 Wed 19 April 2023
bet365 FEILDEN STAKES (Listed) (1)
Distance 1m 1f
Prize £28,355 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
- Bold Act (IRE) – Total: 666.4, Odds: 9/4
- Regal Honour (IRE) – Total: 466.6, Odds: 17/2
- Kolsai – Total: 451.3, Odds: 25/1
- Blanchland (IRE) – Total: 437.7, Odds: 100/30
Bold Act appears to have the best form in this field, with an impressive record of being unbeaten in his last four starts. He has also confirmed his form with a recent win in a valuable conditions stakes race. Additionally, his speed rating is high and he appears to be suitable for today’s conditions. His odds are short, but he is a deserving favorite.
Regal Honour has also shown some promising form, finishing strongly in two 7f maidens last autumn. He is a Dubawi colt who cost 625,000gns as a yearling and is a half-brother to smart pair Rizeena and Summer Romance. He is expected to relish the extra 2f and could be a strong contender.
Kolsai has won his maiden race in good style and showed plenty of promise when narrowly beaten on debut. He has a strong pedigree and is trained by a trainer who won this race last year with a 22-1 shot. Although his odds are longer, he is a horse with plenty of potential and could cause an upset.
Blanchland is a progressive horse with four starts as a 2-year-old. He has improved with each start and finished a good second in a Group 3 race over 1m2f. However, his suitability for today’s conditions is a concern, as he has not raced on softer ground.
15:35 Wed 19 April 2023
LANWADES STUD NELL GWYN STAKES (Group 3) (1)
Distance 7f
Prize £45,368 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 15
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
Looking at the data and comments provided, the top four rated horses in terms of total points are Fairy Cross, Barefoot Angel, Coppice, and Believing. Of these, Coppice has the lowest odds and is also highly rated by the comments, being a clear runner-up in her debut race and a strong contender for the 1,000 Guineas. Jockey Frankie Dettori also rides her, adding to her chances.
Fairy Cross has a respectable rating and is respected by the comments, being a Group 3 winner at Goodwood last year. She may have more to offer under her top trainer and could be a possible contender.
Barefoot Angel has won a Group 3 at Ayr and did well to finish fourth at Redcar under a penalty. She may appreciate the step up to 7f and is an each-way possibility.
Believing, trained by the same trainer who won this race last year, has performed well in Group 3 and Listed races last season. However, she needs something extra on this reappearance to come out on top.
It is worth noting that Girl Racer, a very likeable prospect with a classy pedigree, won comfortably on her debut at Wolverhampton and could be involved for her top trainer who won this race two years ago.
Overall, Coppice appears to be the strongest contender based on the data and comments provided, followed by Fairy Cross and Barefoot Angel as possible each-way options. It is important to also consider any additional factors such as track conditions and any changes in form or improvement since their last race.
16:10 Wed 19 April 2023
bet365 BRITISH EBF MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (2)
Distance 5f
Prize £15,462 Age 2yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places
Looking at the provided data, the top four rated horses are Shes Smart, Persian Dreamer, Cuban Secret, and Dorothy Lawrence. Shes Smart has the highest total points, and also had a good run in her last race, finishing 1l fourth of eight at Kempton. This puts her in a good position to win today’s race.
Persian Dreamer also looks like a strong contender, with a relatively high total points and good odds. Her speed rating and jockey rating are also decent, and her trainer has a good track record with 2-year-olds. She’s Smart and Persian Dreamer are the top two rated horses and are likely to be the favourites.
Cuban Secret has slightly longer odds, but could still be a strong contender if her trainer can get the best out of her. She has a decent pedigree and could be one to watch.
Dorothy Lawrence also has a decent chance of winning, with a good pedigree and a trainer who does well with 2-year-olds. However, her odds are relatively short and she may struggle to beat the top two rated horses.
Of the remaining horses, Liv My Life has an interesting pedigree and could be worth watching, while Specific Times represents a powerful 2-year-old stable and could surprise on debut. Union Jackie and Bint Havana Gold may struggle to compete with the top-rated horses based on their ratings and comments.
It’s worth noting that the comments on Moreginplease suggest that she may not be the strongest contender in this race, despite her relatively high total points. The comments mention that she is a fifth foal and her dam is unraced, and therefore she may be best watched on debut.
Overall, based on the data and comments provided, Shes Smart and Persian Dreamer look like the strongest contenders for this race, with Cuban Secret and Dorothy Lawrence also in with a chance.
16:45 Wed 19 April 2023
bet365 EUROPEAN BREEDERS’ FUND MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (4)
Distance 1m
Prize £5,400 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 16
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
Looking at the provided horse racing data, the top four rated horses are Ludmilla, Mubhijah, Pillarsofcreation, and Never Ending. However, the comments suggest that Ludmilla may be the strongest contender due to her connections’ history of success in this race and her promising debut run, despite some greenness.
Mubhijah has placed in four out of five starts and ran well on her recent reappearance, but may need to find something extra on the slower ground. Pillarsofcreation has similar form in two AW runs but may not be as strong a contender as stablemate Mubhijah.
Never Ending, a sister to Group 2 winner Arizona, is open to improvement but her stablemate Ludmilla may have more obvious claims.
It’s also worth noting that Rising Bay could be a big improver this year, according to the comments, and should not be discounted.
Factors that may be overlooked by the overall rating include the jockey and trainer ratings, as well as the suitability of each horse for today’s conditions (soft ground).
Overall, Ludmilla seems to be the strongest contender based on both the ratings and the comments.
17:20 Wed 19 April 2023
PRICE PROMISE AT bet365 HANDICAP (3)
Distance 1m 2f
Prize £12,885 Rated (0-95) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9
Going Good to Soft (Soft in places)
High Honour has the highest total points and is rated 3/1 odds. He has shown clear potential for 1m2f+ and has cheekpieces added which might give him an edge. His last race rating and speed rating are both respectable, and he has a good jockey rating.
Regal Empire has the second-highest total points and is rated at 15/2 odds. He has won a 9.4f maiden at Wolverhampton and a 1m3f handicap at Southwell, showing good form on Tapeta tracks. His last race rating and speed rating are also good, and he is suited for today’s conditions.
Like A Tiger is rated at 4/1 odds and has a decent total point score. He has a promising record and has shown better form with longer trips, making him a strong contender on his seasonal/handicap debut. His last race rating and speed rating are good, and his stable is in good form.
Demilion is rated at 9/1 odds and has a solid total point score. He won his handicap debut at Wolverhampton and improved again when second of eight at Doncaster. He has the same mark today, making him look well handicapped. His last race rating and speed rating are good, but he faces strong rivals.
It is worth noting that Great Bedwyn has improved in each of his last two races, and his win in a six-runner maiden at Newcastle was tidy. He needs a good look on his handicap debut, and his odds of 22/1 may be overlooking his potential.
In conclusion, the top four horses with the best chances of winning are High Honour, Regal Empire, Like A Tiger, and Demilion. Great Bedwyn may also be worth considering for an each-way bet. The key factors to consider when analysing these horses are their total point score, odds, last race rating, speed rating, suitability for today’s conditions, jockey rating, and trainer rating.
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