A longshot in the last at Tipperary.

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After analysing 7.10 Tipperary and considering various factors such as past performance, win and place percentages, performance on the current going, distance, track, track and distance, season, weights carried, and trainer and jockey statistics, the horse with the best chance of winning the race seems to be Kodiac Prince (IRE).

Here’s a comprehensive analysis of Kodiac Prince (IRE) and the reasoning for this choice:

  1. Past performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has a total of 39 races, with 3 wins and 13 places. This indicates a win percentage of 8% and a place percentage of 33%, which are relatively competitive percentages compared to other horses in the race.
  2. Going performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has raced 4 times on the current going, with 2 wins (50%) and 2 places (50%). This suggests that the horse is comfortable and performs well on this particular surface.
  3. Distance performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has raced once on the current distance with no wins, but considering the horse’s overall performance, it doesn’t appear to be a significant disadvantage.
  4. Track performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has raced twice on the current track with no wins, but with 2 places (100%). This indicates that the horse is familiar with the track and has placed every time it has raced on it.
  5. Track/Distance performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has not raced on the combination of the current track and distance. However, given its performance on the track and its comfort on the going, this shouldn’t pose a significant disadvantage.
  6. Season performance: Kodiac Prince (IRE) has not raced in the current season, which makes it difficult to assess its recent form. However, the horse’s overall past performance should be taken into consideration.
  7. Weights carried: Kodiac Prince (IRE) will be carrying weights of 9-7, 10-0, and 9-9 in this race. Given its past performances, the horse seems capable of handling these weights.
  8. Trainer and Jockey statistics: The trainer of Kodiac Prince (IRE) has no wins in the last 30 days, while the jockey has a 3% win rate. Although these statistics are not particularly impressive, the horse’s overall performance and adaptability to the current conditions outweigh these factors.

In conclusion, Kodiac Prince (IRE) stands out as the horse with the best chance of winning the race based on its past performance, comfort on the going, familiarity with the track, and relatively competitive win and place percentages. While there are a few potential drawbacks, such as the lack of races in the current season and the trainer’s and jockey’s recent performance, Kodiac Prince (IRE)’s overall statistics suggest that it has a strong chance of winning this race. At current odds of 33/1 it is worth a small each way wager. Market support would of course increase confidence in this selection.

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