13:50 Thu 20 April 2023

bet365 HANDICAP (2)

Distance 6f

Prize £20,616 Rated (0-100) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 15

Going Good

Looking at the provided horse racing data and comments, there are several factors to consider when determining which horses have the best chances of winning the bet365 Handicap at Newmarket (Rowley) over 6f on Good ground. The top four rated horses are Changing Colours, Kerdos, California Gem, and Pinafore.

Changing Colours has the highest total points and is currently the favorite at odds of 5/2. He has only raced twice, winning once, and his last run was a second-place finish at Pontefract in June 2022. However, his trainer won this race last year with Creative Force, who was returning from a break and having his first run since being gelded, just like Changing Colours. The addition of first-time cheekpieces could also be a plus.

Kerdos is the second-highest rated horse and is currently priced at 4/1. He won on his first two starts last autumn and was a close second on his handicap debut at Lingfield last month. His trainer is known for getting the best out of his horses, and Kerdos looks like a horse who is still improving.

California Gem is the third-highest rated horse and is priced at 13/2. She has three wins from ten 2yo starts and ran a close third in a Pontefract handicap last week on soft ground. She has run well over C&D last October and has blinkers on for the first time, which could help her focus and potentially improve.

Pinafore is the fourth-highest rated horse and is priced at 5/1. She won at Kempton on her second start and is making her handicap debut here. Her talented half-brother Khanjar took a major leap forward from two to three, which is a positive sign. However, she needs to improve on her last race rating.

Other horses that could potentially be overlooked by the overall rating but have positive comments include Bluelight Bay, who is wearing first-time cheekpieces and has room for improvement off his mark, and Grace Angel, who has shown promise on turf and could make a bold bid.

In conclusion, the top four rated horses have the best chances of winning the race, with Changing Colours and Kerdos appearing to be the strongest contenders. However, the comments on Bluelight Bay and Grace Angel should also be taken into account when making a final decision.

14:25 Thu 20 April 2023

bet365 WOOD DITTON MAIDEN STAKES (3)

Distance 1m

Prize £10,800 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

Going Good

Enrico Caruso, trained by a top stable, is high on the list with a rating of 106. He is the eighth foal and a half-brother to five winners, including Richard Pankhurst and Crazy Horse. His dam was a 1-mile winner with a rating of 84. The stable has won the last two runnings of this race, and with a good breeding background, Enrico Caruso has a high chance of performing well.

Kathab, one of the two runners from a leading trainer, has a rating of 117, the highest among all horses. He was bought for 180,000gns, and this is his first foal. His dam was a French 7f 2yo winner with a rating of 93 and closely related to Chrysanthemum, who won the 7f/1m Group 3. Kathab has been gelded, and his odds of 15/2 suggest he could be an outsider but still has potential.

Passenger has a rating of 109.8, the third-highest rating, and is trained by a highly respected trainer. He is the second foal and a brother to an Italian 1m1f/1m3f winner. His dam was a 1m AW winner with a rating of 90, and he comes from a classy family. Passenger could improve with this debut outing and has a bright future.

New Business has a rating of 98.9, and his breeding suggests he could be talented. He was bought for 110,000gns and 240,000gns as a foal and yearling, respectively. He is the fifth foal, and his dam was a 6f-7f winner with a rating of 106. New Business has two half-siblings who won over 7f-1m, and he could go well in this race.

Other horses to watch are Penzance and Tribute, both trained by the same stable. Penzance has a rating of 116.1 and is the third foal. His dam was a French 1m2f Listed winner, and he could go well in this race. Tribute has a rating of 83.2, and he is the seventh foal. He is closely related to Nations Alexander, a 6f Listed/7f Group 3 2yo winner, and has been gelded. The betting may guide his chances, and he could be an outsider to watch.

In summary, Enrico Caruso, Kathab, Passenger, and New Business seem to have the best chances of winning this race. However, the betting market could be informative, and the performance of Penzance and Tribute should not be overlooked.

15:00 Thu 20 April 2023

CONNAUGHT ACCESS FLOORING ABERNANT STAKES (Group 3) (1)

Distance 6f

Prize £45,368 Age 3yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Good

Looking at the ratings, Creative Force stands out as the top-rated horse with a total of 661.3, followed by Ehraz with 467.2, and Tiber Flow with 467.4. Garrus and Silky Wilkie also have respectable ratings with 445.4 and 424.8 respectively.

Creative Force is a Group 1 winner at 3 years old and has run some excellent races in defeat at that level. He is not fussed about the state of the ground and should have plenty going for him racing in a Group 3 for the first time in nearly two years. This suggests that he could be a strong contender for the win.

Ehraz has a similar chance to Tiber Flow on 6f Listed form last May (6f, good), but he didn’t progress to the next level, even allowing for a 6f conditions stakes win in October (good to soft; three ran). He made a satisfactory return at Doncaster recently, but he will need to prove himself as a much better 4-year-old if he’s to win today.

Tiber Flow won four of his first five starts, just holding Ehraz in a 6f Listed race at Newbury last May (good). He did well to get within 3 lengths of the winner in an Ascot Group 3 in October (6f, good to soft) considering the ground he lost at the start. He has been gelded since and could improve.

Garrus is a smart sprinter who improved on a second in this race 12 months ago when winning a Group 3 at Deauville (his second on that course), then a close third in a Group 1 there in August (about 6f, good to soft). He was well below his best on his final 2022 start and in Saudi Arabia in February, but he could be of interest back here.

Silky Wilkie has done really well since July, with a recent wide-margin win at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) putting the seal on his progress. His fitness counts for plenty, but he has tons more on his plate now leaving handicap company in his first 6f turf run (has won at the trip on AW).

15:35 Thu 20 April 2023

bet365 CRAVEN STAKES (Group 3) (1)

Distance 1m

Prize £45,368 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7

Going Good

In the bet365 Craven Stakes, Mysterious Night and The Foxes are the top two rated horses with a total of 522.1 and 519.3 points, respectively. Mysterious Night won a Group 1 race in Canada over 1m on firm ground last year, which puts him in a strong position in this Group 3 race on good ground. The Foxes has won two of his three career starts, including the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes over this C&D (good) last September.

Indestructible, now in the care of a new yard, has a good record in Group races as a 2yo, finishing second in a Group 3 race at York (7f, good) and second in a Group 2 race at Doncaster (7f, soft), but is making his stable debut after undergoing wind surgery. Mostabshir is an interesting runner, having won by a wide margin on his only start at Kempton (1m, AW) last November, and is a half-brother to two Group winners.

Ancestral Land, who finished third in a Group 3 race at Newbury (7f, heavy) last October, and Dancing Magic, who finished fourth in Group 1 and Group 3 races over 1m and C&D, respectively, may struggle against the other runners. Mr Mistoffelees has won a Kempton novice (1m, AW) by a neck in December, but this is a much tougher race.

It is worth noting that William Buick, who has a good record in Group races, is riding Mysterious Night instead of Naval Power, who won two Listed races over 7f and 1m on good to firm ground last year and returned to form with a Listed win at Meydan (1m1f, soft) in January wearing a hood.

Overall, Mysterious Night and The Foxes look the strongest contenders, with Mostabshir and Indestructible being the potential threats.

16:10 Thu 20 April 2023

ROSSDALES MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (4)

Distance 7f

Prize £5,400 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

Going Good

Looking at the ratings, Prepense is the highest-rated horse with a total of 375.7 points, followed by Times Eye with 319.4 points and Britannica with 293.2 points. Awtaar, Shoolaa, and Spring Dawn have lower ratings but could still be considered as contenders.

Prepense has the shortest odds at 2/1, and her debut run at Newmarket last July was promising. She was a running-on second and has since had wind surgery. She could be a big form player and is definitely a strong contender.

Times Eye has good recent form, having finished second in a blanket finish in a C&D novice race at Newmarket last October, just behind Britannica. She could be suited to today’s conditions, and with a good jockey and trainer rating, she’s definitely one to watch.

Britannica, a 310,000gns yearling, was fifth in the same C&D novice race, and with an improving run, she could find her way to the winner’s circle. She also has a good trainer rating, which adds to her appeal.

Awtaar, a 1,000 Guineas entry, had a promising debut at Yarmouth last October but needs to show major improvement to win this. However, with a good jockey and trainer rating, she could be a surprise contender.

Shoolaa is another notable participant, trained by a stable that has won four of the last eight runnings of this race and three of the last five. Although she faded into fourth of five in her only run last May, she could still improve and be a contender.

Spring Dawn comes from a strong stable and has a good pedigree, being a half-sister to Firebird Song, a German Listed winner. She is making her debut, so it’s hard to say how she’ll perform, but her connections could make her a contender.

Overall, Prepense, Times Eye, and Britannica are the top-rated horses and have the best chances of winning. However, Shoolaa and Spring Dawn could also surprise and should not be overlooked, especially with their connections.

16:45 Thu 20 April 2023

bet365 BRITISH EBF “CONFINED” NOVICE STAKES (4)

Distance 1m 2f

Prize £5,400 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10

Going Good

Looking at the data and comments provided, there are a few horses worth considering for the win in this race. The top-rated horse is Quantum Cat with a total of 403.7 points and odds of 100/30. He has a decent last race rating and speed rating and is suitable for today’s conditions. However, his win in a nine-runner novice race at Wolverhampton may not be the strongest form in this race, but he is open to serious progress.

The second top-rated horse is Liberty Lane with a total of 401.9 points and odds of 13/8. She is a Dante and Derby entry and won her debut race by an impressive 5 lengths. She has a high last race rating and a good speed rating, and the conditions are suitable for her. She is the favorite for this race and has a strong chance of winning.

The third top-rated horse is Majestic Warrior with a total of 394.9 points and odds of 2/1. He is a Dante entry and had a striking debut win at Wolverhampton, despite being very green. He has a decent last race rating and a good speed rating and is suitable for today’s conditions. He is another strong contender for the win.

The fourth top-rated horse is Sealine with a total of 290.0 points and odds of 14/1. He is the first foal of his dam and was beaten by Liberty Lane in his debut race, but he has potential and is open to improvement. He is suitable for today’s conditions and has a decent last race rating and speed rating.

It is worth noting that August, despite not being one of the top-rated horses, has a Derby entry and is capable of better than his seventh place finish in his debut race. His jockey booking suggests he is the stable’s second string, but he could surprise at a decent price.

Overall, Liberty Lane, Majestic Warrior, Quantum Cat, and Sealine are the horses with the best chances of winning based on the provided data and comments.

17:15 Thu 20 April 2023

BEST ODDS GUARANTEED AT bet365 HANDICAP (4)

Distance 7f

Prize £8,100 Rated (0-80) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 17

Going Good

Looking at the provided data and comments, the top-rated horses are Harry Magnus, Nogos Dream, Naaser, and Novus.

Harry Magnus has a total of 403.6 points and is currently the favorite with odds of 7/2. He has been in good form on the All-Weather this winter and his last outing was a win in a 7f novice race at Kempton in January. He is returning to turf and is wearing a tongue-tie for the first time, which could help him transfer his form to this surface.

Nogos Dream has a total of 384.5 points and is priced at 11/1. He won a 5f AW race at Wolverhampton in February and his pedigree suggests he may appreciate today’s step up to 7f on his handicap debut.

Naaser has a total of 381.6 points and is priced at 6/1. He won a 7f maiden at Lingfield on his second start and was a solid third of 14 at Kempton three weeks ago. He is also making his handicap debut and could have more to offer with the potential for improvement.

Novus has a total of 365.1 points and is priced at 17/2. She won a big-field maiden at Newbury over 6.5f on soft ground last October and the form of that race has been franked. She is returning from a break and her trainer is in good form.

Land Of Summer, with a total of 320.6 points, is also worth considering. She has some strong form from last season, including a fast-finishing fourth of 16 in a nursery at Goodwood over 7f on good to firm ground. She is 3lb lower than that run and has the potential to be involved.

It’s important to consider the comments for each horse as well. For example, Giant has the potential off his opening mark and has been in good form, finishing second in a Kempton novice last month with the third and fourth both winning next time out. Daytona Lady may benefit from the expected strong pace and Hour By Hour may be able to make another bold bid if better ground prevails.

In conclusion, Harry Magnus, Nogos Dream, Naaser, and Novus are the top-rated horses and should be considered as strong contenders. Land Of Summer, Giant, Daytona Lady, and Hour By Hour may also have a chance if things go their way.