13:30 Fri 21 April 2023

DUBAI DUTY FREE GOLF WORLD CUP EBF MAIDEN STAKES (4)

Distance 5f 34y

Prize £5,400 Age 2yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

American Tale is a half-brother to a 6f/7f AW winner and is sired by Expert Eye. However, the comments suggest that other horses may be more appealing on paper.

Dapper Valley is a half-brother to a 6f winner and has a strong pedigree, but has not yet raced. However, the comments suggest that he is a likely type and could be a contender in the race.

Go Your Own Way is a Havana Grey half-brother to several winners, but the comments suggest that others may be more appealing.

Kalik has a strong pedigree and is a half-brother to a 6f-1m winner, and the owner has a good track record with 2-year-olds. These factors make Kalik an interesting contender in the race.

Matters Most has impressive sales details and a strong pedigree, including being from the first crop of Advertise. These factors make him a respected contender in the race.

Rust E Boy is potentially more forward than his rivals, having been foaled in January. However, the comments suggest that it may be worth checking the betting before considering him as a contender.

States is a Territories half-brother to several winners and is likely to be a strong contender in the race.

Succession has a strong pedigree, being sired by Showcasing and out of a Group-placed 6f 2yo winning half-sister to a prolific 5f-5.7f winner. Additionally, the connections have a good record with 2-year-olds. These factors make Succession a shortlisted contender in the race.

Overall, based on the provided data and the comments, the top four rated horses (Kalik, American Tale, Matters Most, and Succession) are likely to be the strongest contenders in the race. However, the comments suggest that some other horses may also be worth considering, such as Dapper Valley and States.

14:05 Fri 21 April 2023

DUBAI DUTY FREE HANDICAP (3)

Distance 6f

Prize £10,308 Rated (0-95) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 17

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

1. Faro De San Juan (IRE): This horse has a total rating of 443.1 and is currently at odds of 13/2. In its last race, it put in a good performance on soft ground at Doncaster, and it has a high speed rating of 63.8. Its jockey and trainer have strong ratings, and the comments suggest that it performed well fresh in France and may build on its recent British debut.
2. Crazy Luck: With a total rating of 423.0 and odds of 12/1, this horse has a versatile record on different ground types and has won twice at Newbury, including under jockey Oisin Murphy. It is nicely weighted and suited to today’s conditions, making it a contender for the win.
3. Marshal Dan (IRE): This horse has a total rating of 422.7 and is at odds of 15/2. It made a good seasonal debut at Redcar and has a strong record at Newbury, winning three times. Its trainer rating is also high, making it a strong contender for the win.
4. Tanmawwy (IRE): This horse has a total rating of 408.1 and is at odds of 13/2. While it has been disappointing on occasions, it has a useful overall record and has won on soft ground before. Its speed rating of 73.5 is also respectable, and if it can perform at its best, it could challenge for a place.

Factors that may be overlooked by the overall rating include the fact that Aplomb has been well handicapped and likes slow ground, while Bosh has performed well in two previous starts at Newbury and could be interesting back at the course. However, both horses are untested on the soft ground, which may be a concern. Additionally, Popmaster is dropping in grade on reappearance and is on its last winning mark, making it a potential danger to the top-rated horses.

14:40 Fri 21 April 2023

DREWEATTS MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (4)

Distance 1m 2f

Prize £6,480 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 17

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

Looking at the ratings, the top four horses in this race are Shining Jewel, Shiva Shakti, Mistral Star, and Value Added. Shining Jewel has the highest total points and is the favorite at odds of 2/1. She has shown clear promise on her sole 2yo run at Nottingham (1m, good to firm), and is sure to improve this season. She is also an Oaks entry, which suggests that her connections have high hopes for her.

Shiva Shakti, at odds of 7/2, is another horse that looks sure to progress this year. She is attractively bred, being by Siyouni out of a 1m5f winner for her connections, and she kept on for second behind a stablemate at Yarmouth (1m, good to soft) last October. She is also an Oaks entry and is respected in this race.

Mistral Star, at odds of 9/1, ran a promising race on her sole 2yo start at Lingfield (1m, AW) and is likely to be well-suited by middle distances this season. She is also an Oaks entry and is shortlisted in this race.

Value Added, at odds of 15/2, is the other Oaks entry in this race and is a leading contender. She shaped very nicely at Newbury (1m, heavy) on her sole 2yo start, moving smoothly into contention and leading from over 1f out until near the finish. She is also the granddaughter of a French Oaks winner, which suggests that she has the potential to be a high-class filly.

It is also worth noting that Beccara Rose, at odds of 12/1, has made the frame in 1m contests at Doncaster (soft) and Kempton (AW) last autumn, and should be suited by middle distances this year. She is also one of only two horses in the race to have an OR rating, which suggests that she has already shown some ability.

In terms of overlooked factors, it is worth considering that Maman Joon, at odds of 12/1, is an interesting newcomer who is the half-sister to winners Candleford (1m2f-1m4f) and Atty Persse (1m-1m4f). She is also an Oaks entry and may well have the potential to be a high-class filly.

Overall, the top four rated horses of Shining Jewel, Shiva Shakti, Mistral Star, and Value Added are the most likely winners of this race, with Beccara Rose also having a chance. It will be interesting to see how Maman Joon fares on her debut and whether she can make an impact in this race.

15:15 Fri 21 April 2023

DARLEY NOVICE STAKES (2)

Distance 1m 2f

Prize £25,770 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 6

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

Looking at the provided horse racing data and comments, the top-rated horse is Military Order with a total of 495.9 points. He is the favourite for the race with odds of 8/15 and has been assigned stall position 3. He has a good last race (LR) rating of 104.2 and a strong speed rating of 70.6, indicating he is well suited for today’s soft conditions. His jockey and trainer ratings are also impressive, with ratings of 102.8 and 98.5, respectively. Military Order has the potential to improve as a 3-year-old and is a brother to the Derby winner Adayar, which is a positive indicator of his pedigree. He is the horse to beat in this race.

The second-highest rated horse is Exoplanet with a total of 415.4 points. He has odds of 6/1 and has been assigned stall position 2. Exoplanet has a good LR rating of 66.7 and a strong speed rating of 76.6, indicating that he is also well suited to today’s conditions. He has won a novice race at this track before, but was last in a Group 3 race at Newmarket in October. However, it is expected that he can put that poor run behind him and perform well in this race.

Chesspiece is the third-highest rated horse with a total of 379.1 points. He has odds of 4/1 and has been assigned stall position 1. Chesspiece won a 12-runner maiden race at Newcastle last November, which is a positive indicator of his ability. He also has a good LR rating of 84.0 and a decent speed rating of 64.9, but he may prefer a firmer surface. Nonetheless, he cannot be overlooked in this race.

Arkendale is the fourth-highest rated horse with a total of 320.9 points. He has odds of 9/1 and has been assigned stall position 5. Arkendale has shown promise in his two races as a 2-year-old, finishing second in a maiden at Haydock and fourth in a Listed race at Pontefract. He has a good LR rating of 90.6 and a decent speed rating of 74.9, indicating that he is suited for today’s conditions. His trainer also had a good 3-year-old winner yesterday, which could be a positive sign. He may not be the most likely winner, but he has a form chance and could surprise.

The other horses in the race, One Night Thunder, Rajasthan, and Trust House, have lower ratings and are considered outsiders. One Night Thunder has won a maiden at Kempton but needs to improve against this level of competition. Rajasthan has been placed in two races as a 2-year-old but has not shown the same potential as the top four rated horses. Trust House is making his debut in this hot race and may need more experience before he can compete at this level.

In summary, Military Order is the favourite and the horse to beat in this race. Exoplanet and Chesspiece are also strong contenders and cannot be overlooked. Arkendale has shown promise and could surprise. One Night Thunder, Rajasthan, and Trust House are considered outsiders. It is important to note that factors such as recent form, course and distance preferences, and trainer and jockey form can also be important factors to consider when analysing horse racing data.

15:50 Fri 21 April 2023

COMPTON BEAUCHAMP ESTATES LTD SILVER BAR HANDICAP (2)

Distance 2m 110y

Prize £20,616 Rated (0-105) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

In the Compton Beauchamp Estates Ltd Silver Bar Handicap at Newbury, Vino Victrix leads the ratings with a total of 420.0 points, closely followed by Zain Nights with 408.3 points, Aztec Empire with 400.4 points, and Novel Legend with 394.5 points.

Aztec Empire won at Kempton this year in a 1m4f novice and a 2m handicap and is a big player if repeating his run two starts back. Call My Bluff mostly ran well in defeat last term and has a good record on softer than good ground. Mostly Sunny won last autumn at Newcastle over 2m with blinkers, and although up 3lb for this reappearance, he retains potential at 2m+. Novel Legend won at Kempton (2m, AW) last month and has further improvement in him.

It’s worth noting that Prince Imperial’s last flat turf run was a win on soft at Nottingham last October, while he has been mostly racing over hurdles lately. Secret Shadow registered a career-best form when narrowly winning at Goodwood (1m6f, good to soft) last August, and although this is her first run since being sold out of Andrew Balding’s, she often travels well and is worth watching.

In terms of jockeys, William Buick has a good strike-rate for Zain Nights’ yard, while Benoit De La Sayette is riding Vino Victrix, who has a solid campaign record, including a second in the Cesarewitch.

16:25 Fri 21 April 2023

DUBAI DUTY FREE FULL OF SURPRISES HANDICAP (2)

Distance 7f

Prize £15,462 Rated (0-100) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

Based on the provided data and comments, the top four rated horses in this 7f handicap at Newbury are:

1. Tafreej (IRE) – with a total of 435.9 points and odds of 15/8, Tafreej is the top-rated horse in this race. He has shown progressive form as a 2yo and won impressively at Yarmouth over 6f on good to soft ground. His pedigree suggests that he should stay the extra furlong and he looks a promising type.
2. Caragio (IRE) – with a total of 397.9 points and odds of 8/1, Caragio won a 7f novice race at Leicester on good to firm ground and showed promise as a 2yo. He may do better as a 3yo and could be suited by the conditions today.
3. Lord Uhtred (IRE) – with a total of 385.9 points and odds of 9/2, Lord Uhtred has shown improvement with each start as a 2yo and won a 7f race at Kempton on the all-weather. His pedigree is notable and he looks like one to watch now handicapping.
4. Hectic – with a total of 377.2 points and odds of 12/1, Hectic won over 6f at Newbury as a 2yo but was out of his depth in a Group 3 next time out. He has been gelded since and needs to have come on plenty over the winter to be competitive in this race.

Factors that might be overlooked by the overall rating include recent form, suitability for today’s conditions, jockey and trainer ratings, and any potential improvement or progression from previous runs. It is worth noting that Little Edi has improved with cheekpieces on the all-weather this year but may struggle now significantly higher in the weights on turf. Additionally, Tiriac has shown excellent progress with each race and could have more to come this year, despite some question marks over the value of his heavy-ground form.

16:55 Fri 21 April 2023

BRIDGET MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (Newcomers) (4) (D.I)

Distance 7f

Prize £6,480 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

Looking at the provided data and comments, the top four rated horses are Fakhama, Valtellina, Gentle Light, and Azahara Palace.

Fakhama has the highest total points and is the favorite with odds of 15/8. She is a late foal, but her dam was a dual South African 1m Group 1 winner and her half-sister has an RPR of 118. Fakhama comes from a powerful stable and should be considered a strong contender.

Valtellina has the second-highest total points and has odds of 12/1. She is a 7th foal and half-sister to four winners, including a UAE dirt Group 3 winner with an RPR of 111. While her dam was not successful on the track, Valtellina comes from a decent pedigree and could surprise on debut.

Gentle Light has the third-highest total points and is the second favorite with odds of 3/1. She is a late foal and comes from a major stable that won the big newcomers race at Newmarket on Thursday. Her half-sister has an RPR of 111 and her dam is a 7f 2yo winner who is closely related to a useful 6f-1m winner. Gentle Light is an interesting newcomer and should be considered a strong contender.

Azahara Palace has the fourth-highest total points and has odds of 12/1. She is a 10,000gns yearling and half-sister to several winners, including a 5f-6f Group 3 winner with an RPR of 112. Her trainer had a 3yo debut winner at 12-1 on Monday, which is a positive sign. While her pedigree is not as strong as the top three rated horses, she could still be a contender.

It is worth noting that the comments suggest that Just A Notion and Laura’s Breeze may not be as competitive as the top four rated horses, while Cracking Filly and Marisitta are likely to be outsiders.

Overall, Fakhama, Valtellina, Gentle Light, and Azahara Palace should be the focus of any betting strategies.

17:30 Fri 21 April 2023

BRIDGET MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (Newcomers) (4) (D.II)

Distance 7f

Prize £6,480 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

Going Soft (Good To Soft In Places)

Looking at the data, the top four rated horses are Lady Of Anjou, Eleutheromania, Heavenly Wish, and Tuki Tuki. Lady Of Anjou has the highest total points at 129.6 and is currently priced at 13/2. She has no previous racing form to go off, but her dam’s pedigree suggests she could be a decent horse. Eleutheromania has the second-highest total points at 114.0 and is currently priced at 4/1. She comes from a strong pedigree and is from the same connections who won a big race at Newmarket yesterday, so she should be considered a strong contender. Heavenly Wish has a total of 106.8 points and is currently priced at 10/1. She is a half-sister to a 2-year-old winner and her dam is closely related to some useful horses, so she could be worth a check. Tuki Tuki has a total of 94.2 points and is currently priced at 9/1. She is hooded for her debut, but her trainer had a 3-year-old debut winner on Monday, so she might be worth a second look.

Other factors to consider include the horses’ suitability for today’s soft conditions, as well as the jockey and trainer ratings. Reminder is a horse that should also be noted, as she has a strong pedigree and her trainer’s 3-year-olds are currently performing well. It is also worth noting that all of the horses in this race are making their debut, so their performance may be harder to predict. Overall, Lady Of Anjou, Eleutheromania, Heavenly Wish, and Tuki Tuki look to be the main contenders, with Reminder also worth considering.