13:40 Thu 04 May 2023

BYERLEY STUD BRITISH EBF NOVICE STAKES (4)

Distance 5f

Prize £5,400 Age 2yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Good to Soft

1. Matters Most (6/5): Adjusted Timefigure 88++ A 500,000gns yearling with a strong debut, finishing just behind Kalik at Newbury. The rematch between Matters Most and Kalik should be interesting, as both have significant potential for improvement. The horse has a strong jockey and trainer combination, making it a leading contender in this race.
2. Kalik (13/8): Adjusted Timefigure 92++ A 300,000€ yearling, Kalik showed clear promise with a second-place finish at Newbury. With a strong owner who does well in the 2yo department, this horse is expected to be a top contender in this race.
3. Liv My Life (6/1): Adjusted Timefigure 81++ Despite needing further than 5f in due course, Liv My Life displayed potential in the fillies’ maiden at the Newmarket Craven meeting. Open to improvement, this horse could perform well in this race.
4. Part Time Britain (100/1): Adjusted Timefigure 70 Although this horse has modest RPRs in previous races, a return to turf may suit it. However, Part Time Britain will need to improve significantly to be competitive in this race.
5. States (12/1): Adjusted Timefigure 74+ Held by Kalik and Matters Most on its Newbury debut, States may improve and achieve a better finishing position this time. This horse should not be ruled out as a potential contender.
6. Surface To Air (33/1): Surface To Air’s performance on heavy ground at Leicester was not impressive, but it may perform better on a less testing surface. Improvement is needed for this horse to be competitive.
7. Chinese Knot (16/1): A 70,000gns yearling and half-sister to multiple winners, Chinese Knot has potential. The booking of Oisin Murphy is a positive sign, and the stable has a 9% strike rate with 2yos. The betting market should be monitored for further guidance.
8. Zoulu Chief (66/1): A 27,000gns yearling and half-brother to a 5f winner, Zoulu Chief is a newcomer in this race. The yard has an 8% strike rate with 2yos, and the market should be monitored for guidance on this horse’s potential.

In conclusion, Matters Most and Kalik remain the leading contenders, followed by Liv My Life and Chinese Knot. However, horse racing is unpredictable, and various factors could influence the outcome. This analysis should be treated as a guide and not a guarantee, as odds are notional and subject to change.