My naps for Thursday’s Racing using the Timewise Rankings.🏇

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Analysis below 👇

14:00 Ayr Thu 04 May 2023

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AYRSHIRE CANCER SUPPORT HANDICAP (5)

Distance 5f

Prize ÂŁ4,187 Rated (0-70) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7

Going Good to Firm (Good in places)

Based on the analysis and comments, Bert Kibbler seems to be the most likely winner in this race. Despite a disappointing performance at Musselburgh last month, the early pace was hot and the good to soft ground may not have suited him. Today’s race appears less competitive, and he deserves another chance to prove himself.

Possible dangers include Jordan Electrics, who is well-handicapped on some of last season’s 6f form and looked suited by a strongly run 5f on his recent seasonal/stable debut at Musselburgh. He can be considered a likely contender in this race. Additionally, Sixcor, a three-time C&D winner last season, might pose a threat, though he begins the new campaign on a fairly tough mark and could benefit from today’s outing.

14:10 Salisbury Thu 04 May 2023

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WILLIAM HILL EXTRA PLACE RACES DAILY HANDICAP (5)

Distance 6f

Prize ÂŁ4,580 Rated (0-75) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 10

Going Soft

Based on the analysis and comments, Grenham Bay seems to be a strong contender for the most likely winner in this race. Although he needs to prove his effectiveness on turf, his recent performance in a 6f AW novice at Kempton last month showed promise. He should have more to offer and is respected in this race.

Possible dangers include De Bruyne, who improved with experience during his three-race 2yo campaign, and Skallywag Bay, who showed significant improvement when dropping in trip and winning a Kempton novice race in September. Another horse to watch is Musical Tribute, who displayed promise in his previous starts and still has potential as he drops back in trip for today’s handicap debut.

14:45 Salisbury Thu 04 May 2023

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WILLIAM HILL EPIC VALUE HANDICAP (5)

Distance 6f

Prize ÂŁ4,580 Rated (0-70) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 12

Going Soft

In the 2.45 Salisbury race, With Respect seems to be the most likely winner, considering the horse’s recent form and success on soft ground. Other potential dangers in the race include Airshow, who has multiple wins at sprint trips and has shown ability on soft ground, and Michaels Choice, who has a good track record at this course and distance. Additionally, Oriental Spirit and Parisiac are worth keeping an eye on as they have shown potential in previous races and could surprise.

15:05 Ayr Thu 04 May 2023

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WESTERN HOUSE HOTEL AWARD WINNING WEDDINGS HANDICAP (5)

Distance 1m

Prize ÂŁ4,187 Rated (0-75) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 5

Going Good to Firm (Good in places)

In the 3.05 Ayr race, Flylikeaneagle appears to be the most likely winner, given the horse’s previous success at the course and distance and the recent victory at Musselburgh. Possible dangers in the race include Star Shield, who has a history of performing well at this course and distance and had a close finish in a recent race, and Showmedemoney, who had a decent effort at Musselburgh and could be a factor in this race. Additionally, Alpine Sierra, who has had wind surgery and a tongue-tie added, could be a threat if able to dominate the race.

15:25 Redcar Thu 04 May 2023

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RACING TV PROFITS RETURNED TO RACING HANDICAP (4)

Distance 1m 2f 1y

Prize ÂŁ5,574 Rated (0-80) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Soft (Good to Soft in places

In the 3.25 Redcar race, Razoni seems to be a strong contender, having consistently finished in the top two and recently posting an impressive performance at Wolverhampton. The addition of cheekpieces could further enhance Razoni’s chances. Potential dangers in the race include Ribal, a progressive horse with a solid performance at Doncaster, and Feud, who retains potential for improvement and is stepping up in distance on handicap debut. Coverdale and Roaring Legend, both gelded since their last runs, are also worth considering as they step up in distance and enter handicap company, respectively.

15:40 Ayr Thu 04 May 2023

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JOIN RACING TV NOW HANDICAP (5)

Distance 6f

Prize ÂŁ4,187 Rated (0-75) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 5

Going Good to Firm (Good in places)

In the 3.40 Ayr race, Water Of Leith appears to be a strong contender, having enjoyed a revival after rejoining Jim Goldie last summer and winning three times, including once over this course and distance. This horse is likely to appreciate the significant ease in grade today. Potential dangers include Our Absent Friends, a lightly raced horse who recently won at Newcastle, though still needs to prove effectiveness over 6f and on turf. Thaki, with recent placings over 6f at Newcastle, could also have a say in the outcome, despite not running on turf often.

17:00 Lingfield Thu 04 May 2023

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SKY SPORTS RACING HD VIRGIN 535 HANDICAP (5)

Distance 1m 1y

Prize ÂŁ3,873 Rated (0-70) Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 8

Going Standard

In the Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap at Lingfield, Phenomenon stands out as a strong contender. The horse has shown potential in its first two starts as a 2-year-old, and despite a slightly underwhelming return at Southwell, it now goes in cheekpieces for its handicap debut. Phenomenon could be given the benefit of the doubt for now, and may well prove to be the most likely winner.

Possible dangers in the race include Totnes, who has shown promise in previous races and still has potential. While the horse encountered some bad luck in running during its handicap debut, it is worth considering how it may perform on its Polytrack debut at 1m. Butterfly Effect is another horse to watch, as its current mark seems manageable. Although the addition of blinkers is uncertain, it could help improve the horse’s performance.

In conclusion, Phenomenon appears to be the most probable winner of this race, with Totnes and Butterfly Effect posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they fare in the competition.

17:35 Lingfield Thu 04 May 2023

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11th BARRY GURR MEMORIAL HANDICAP (5)

Distance 1m 1y

Prize ÂŁ3,873 Rated (0-75) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 7

Going Standard

In the 11th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap at Lingfield, Covert Mission appears to be the most likely winner. The horse has been in good form for much of the winter and managed to hold on well over the same course and distance last month. Despite being weighted to his best, Covert Mission looks set for another solid run.

Potential dangers in the race include Lafan and Hul Ah Bah Loo. Lafan has responded well to a change of scenery and performed admirably for new connections. The horse has twice won off higher marks than today’s in the past, making it a strong contender. Hul Ah Bah Loo has been reliable over 7f and 1m at Lingfield this winter, and there was little to separate him and Covert Mission in their last encounter. A good pace would suit this horse, and it’s likely to be in contention again.

In conclusion, Covert Mission seems to be the most probable winner of this race, with Lafan and Hul Ah Bah Loo posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they perform in the competition.

18:05 Lingfield Thu 04 May 2023

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SKY SPORTS RACING SKY 415 HANDICAP (5)

Distance 7f 1y

Prize ÂŁ3,873 Rated (0-70) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 7

Going Standard

In the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap at Lingfield, Revolutionary Man seems to be the most likely winner. The horse has three 7f wins, including one over this course and distance, and ran promisingly after a break behind a subsequent winner at Wolverhampton last month. With the help of Billy Loughnane’s claim, Revolutionary Man can put up a strong performance.

Potential dangers in the race include Buraback and Lilkian. Buraback has had ups and downs since his 7f Newcastle win, but is now 3lb lower and nearly made it pay on his third start for the new yard over this course and distance last week. With first-time cheekpieces replacing the hood, he has every chance to be competitive. Lilkian, a multiple AW winner, has been reliable since his 6f win at Lingfield in March. Although he hasn’t run over 7f for two years, his past performances suggest he shouldn’t be far away.

In conclusion, Revolutionary Man looks to be the most probable winner of this race, with Buraback and Lilkian posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they perform in the competition.

18:35 Lingfield Thu 04 May 2023

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AT THE RACES APP FORM STUDY HANDICAP (4)

Distance 6f 1y

Prize ÂŁ5,129 Rated (0-78) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 7

Going Standard

In the At The Races App Form Study Handicap at Lingfield, Mellys Flyer appears to be the most likely winner. The horse returned to winning ways with a comfortable success at Wolverhampton last month and is not handicapped out of things off a 4lb higher mark. With a talented apprentice taking off a valuable 3lb, Mellys Flyer should prove effective on his first run at Lingfield.

Potential dangers in the race include Bobby On The Beat and Mamillius. Bobby On The Beat has three of his five wins over this course and distance, most recently in cosy fashion last month. However, he is 6lb higher against stronger opposition today. Mamillius, a veteran now 6lb lower than his 7f win at Lingfield last spring, put a run of disappointing efforts behind him when finishing third over this course and distance last week. If this is the start of a revival, he could be dangerous.

In conclusion, Mellys Flyer looks to be the most probable winner of this race, with Bobby On The Beat and Mamillius posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they perform in the competition.

18:45 CHELMSFORD CITY  Thu 04 May 2023

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FAIRWOOD BRASSERIE HANDICAP (5)

Distance 1m 6f

Prize ÂŁ5,051 Rated (0-70) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 7

Going Standard

In the Fairwood Brasserie Handicap at Chelmsford City, Cedar Cage seems to be the most likely winner. With form figures of 2121 in 1m6f/2m contests on the all-weather, including a recent victory at Chelmsford City, Cedar Cage has very solid claims. The horse has a good record under jockey George Eddery and is not fully exposed beyond 1m4f.

Potential dangers in the race include What Will Be and Melakaz. What Will Be boasts a 2-2 record over the course and distance, with the latest win coming on April Fools’ Day in his first Flat start since 2020. He ties in closely with Cedar Cage on 2m form at Chelmsford City three weeks ago and has a strong chance back at 1m6f. Melakaz, on the other hand, completed an all-weather hat-trick at Lingfield early last year and ran respectably in two turf races in September. Returning to this sphere, Melakaz could show further progress and should be respected.

To sum up, Cedar Cage appears to be the most probable winner in this race, with What Will Be and Melakaz posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they perform in the competition.

19:45 CHELMSFORD CITY Thu 04 May 2023

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BETSI HANDICAP (5)

Distance 1m 2f

Prize ÂŁ5,051 Rated (0-75) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 5

Going Standard

In the Betsi Handicap at Chelmsford City, Boasty appears to be the most likely winner. Seeking a hat-trick after an effortless course and distance success and another win where he still had something in hand, Boasty is up 6lb but it wouldn’t be surprising if he is capable of defying that rise and securing another victory.

Potential dangers in the race include Cavalluccio and Mayfair Gold. Cavalluccio has been in good form, with wins at Southwell and Chelmsford City, and only one horse bested him in his other two starts. Although he’s in a higher grade than last time, Cavalluccio should remain competitive. Mayfair Gold is an improving filly who comfortably won at Southwell in January when last seen. She has been too eager over this course and distance previously, but with more experience, she may settle better for this step back up in trip. Up 4lb, Mayfair Gold is certainly a contender.

To sum up, Boasty seems to be the most probable winner of this race, with Cavalluccio and Mayfair Gold posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on these horses to see how they perform in the competition.

20:45 CHELMSFORD CITY  Thu 04 May 2023

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LADIES DAY 22nd JUNE 2023 HANDICAP (3)

Distance 7f

Prize ÂŁ8,100 Rated (0-90) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 4

Going Standard

In the Ladies Day 22nd June 2023 Handicap at Chelmsford City, Tarrabb seems to be the most likely winner. With a record of 3 wins in 7 races in her first season last year, including a course and distance success on debut, Tarrabb has the potential to improve further this term. Though she was an unplaced favourite in her final outing, she is expected to bounce back.

Possible dangers in the race include Sir Oliver and Wyvern. Sir Oliver is a multiple winner on turf and AW, and has returned in good form this season, with a respectable third over course and distance on reappearance and a close second at Lingfield. He should perform well again in this race. Wyvern is a fairly useful handicapper on AW and has demonstrated consistent form in his 7f races this year. He was a neck second at this course most recently, and with only a 1lb higher rating, he holds solid claims.

In conclusion, Tarrabb appears to be the most probable winner in this race, with Sir Oliver and Wyvern posing as potential threats. Keep an eye on their performances to see how they fare in the competition.

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