Analysis for KILLARNEY using the Timewise Rankings.

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13:55 Sun 14 May 2023

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KILLARNEY TOWERS HOTEL MAIDEN HURDLE

Distance 2m 1f

Prize €10,500 Age 4yo Race State Declaration Runners 19

Going Good to Yielding

  1. Flamborough – Total rating: 274.1
  2. Shajak (IRE) – Total rating: 264.4
  3. Morning Soldier (IRE) – Total rating: 257.6
  4. Rushford – Total rating: 226.6
  5. Highland King (IRE) – Total rating: 214.6
  6. Boher Road (IRE) – Total rating: 199.9
  7. Jeriko De Baune (FR) – Total rating: 195.3
  8. Baltic Bird – Total rating: 192.9

Let’s analyse the top contenders in the race:

  1. Flamborough – With the highest total rating, Flamborough is a notable contender in this race. He was a flat winner for the Johnstons in Britain, rated 78, and made a promising hurdle debut coming second at Down Royal in March. However, his subsequent performance at Fairyhouse was less impressive, and he’s now down in trip. It’s worth keeping an eye on how he adapts to the change.
  2. Shajak (IRE) – Shajak has a solid total rating and a notable history, having won once from eight starts with Johnny Murtagh. Shajak has shown some uneven form but managed to place third in a five-runner Listed race over 1m6f at Leopardstown. After finishing fourth off 92 in a Gowran handicap last month, he should be well-prepared for this race.
  3. Morning Soldier (IRE) – Morning Soldier boasts a strong total rating and has displayed potential in his past performances. He started last year’s Flat campaign with a Listed second over 1m at Dundalk but subsequently lost form. However, he seems to have found his stride again running in good company in juvenile hurdles. His second place to the useful Sir Allen at Naas in February, with Boodles winner Jazzy Matty fourth, indicates he is capable of winning a maiden.

Looking beyond the top-rated horses, there are a couple of notable competitors worth mentioning:

  • Baltic Bird – Despite having a lower total rating, Baltic Bird has an intriguing past. He ran six times on the Flat for the Gosdens, winning a Yarmouth maiden on the third occasion. His hurdles debut was encouraging, finishing fourth at Down Royal in March, although he fell at the fifth at the same venue on his second attempt. Depending on his recovery and adaptation to hurdles, he could be a potential underdog.
  • Custom Of The Sea – While this horse doesn’t feature in the top ratings, it is potentially interesting given its pedigree and stable. As a first foal, the dam is an unraced half-sister to the smart Kalashnikov and the useful Kalane. Coming from a top stable that won this race last year with an experienced sort, there is potential for a strong performance.

14:25 Sun 14 May 2023

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MONGEY COMMUNICATIONS MAIDEN HURDLE

Distance 2m 1f

Prize €10,500 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 19

Going Good to Yielding

Race Analysis and Report

Looking at the overall total ratings, the top five horses are:

  1. Ideal De Ciergues (FR) – 281.4
  2. Caradoc (IRE) – 253.7
  3. Val The Man (IRE) – 250.1
  4. Valleyoftheeagles (IRE) – 232.5
  5. Chiefs Kingdom (IRE) – 230.3

1. Ideal De Ciergues (FR)
With the highest total rating of 281.4, Ideal De Ciergues is a prominent contender. The horse demonstrated promise in both bumpers from the season before last and started over hurdles with a commendable third place. Though it didn’t seem to maintain the pace over 2m3f at Naas in December, the shorter distance in this race could be a potential advantage, making it a strong contender.

2. Caradoc (IRE)
Caradoc follows with a total rating of 253.7. The horse has a respectable history on the Flat in Britain, and although it’s a latecomer to hurdling, its prior performances suggest it could be a decent contender. It’s worth noting that the horse’s last win was quite a while ago, in September 2019, which may be a point of concern.

3. Val The Man (IRE)
The third-highest total rating belongs to Val The Man, with a score of 250.1. The horse showed promise with a second-place finish in a 2m4f maiden hurdle at Killarney last July. However, it’s failed to build on that in three subsequent starts, suggesting inconsistency. The addition of cheekpieces may improve its focus in this race.

4. Valleyoftheeagles (IRE)
Valleyoftheeagles has a total rating of 232.5, securing the fourth place. It hinted at winning potential when it finished fourth on its hurdling debut in a 2m maiden at Kilbeggan last month. Although it only showed a glimmer of ability in six Flat maidens, its recent performance suggests it might fare better in this hurdle.

5. Chiefs Kingdom (IRE)
Chiefs Kingdom rounds up the top five with a total rating of 230.3. The horse ran well at long odds first time out at Thurles in December, finishing only 4 1/2l behind third-placed Ideal De Ciergues. This suggests that Chiefs Kingdom may be a dark horse and can potentially outperform its rating if conditions are right.

Other Notable Mentions

Outside the top five, a couple of horses merit attention based on positive comments:

Nene River: Although not within the top five ratings, Nene River is an interesting prospect. It has a win in a maiden point for Tom Ellis in Britain eight weeks ago and has now joined Emmet Mullins’ team. Despite the trip possibly being on the sharp side, it’s one to watch.

Make The Plan: This horse ran its best race so far when second to an easy winner at Ballinrobe 12 days ago. If it can reproduce that form, Make The Plan could be a contender despite not being in the top five by total ratings.

Overall, Ideal De Ciergues appears to be the strongest contender based on total ratings, but the performances of Caradoc, Val The Man, Valleyoftheeagles, Chiefs Kingdom, Nene River, and Make The Plan suggest that this could be a closely contested race.

14:55 Sun 14 May 2023

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EASYCLEAN TOURIST ATTRACTION MARES HURDLE (Listed)

Distance 2m 1f

Prize €26,000 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 7

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

Based on the total ratings, the top five contenders for this race are:

  1. Night And Day – 486.4
  2. Anna Bunina (FR) – 484.3
  3. Shecouldbeanything (IRE) – 447.6
  4. Party Central (IRE) – 421.1
  5. Walk With Paul (FR) – 353.7

Let’s assess each of these top five horses in more detail:

  1. Night And Day: With a total rating of 486.4, Night And Day is the highest-rated horse in this race. This horse was placed on the Flat in France and was a runaway winner of a maiden hurdle at Clonmel in January. However, she had issues with racing too keenly and poor jumping at Fairyhouse. Improved behaviour but a seeming need for further distance resulted in a fifth-place finish behind Shecouldbeanything at Punchestown.
  2. Anna Bunina (FR): This horse has a total rating of 484.3, very close to Night And Day. Anna Bunina was last year’s Scottish Champion Hurdle winner and finished third in the same race this year. Her most recent achievement was an excellent second place in a Grade 1 event at the Punchestown festival, suggesting she has maintained good form.
  3. Shecouldbeanything (IRE): With a total rating of 447.6, Shecouldbeanything comes third in our rankings. She has been consistent with a good standard of form recently, finishing fifth in the Grade 2 Mares’ novice at Cheltenham and winning comfortably in this grade at Punchestown. She’s officially rated 14lb below her stablemate, Party Central.
  4. Party Central (IRE): Party Central has a total rating of 421.1. She made an impressive comeback after a year off to win a Flat maiden at Gowan last month, indicating good form. The fact that the second horse in that race went on to win a handicap suggests the form is strong. She also has potential for further progression, which could make her a dark horse in this race.
  5. Walk With Paul (FR): Walk With Paul, with a total rating of 353.7, rounds out our top five. She won a Limerick maiden hurdle in January and has had three good runs since then. She was third to Shecouldbeanything at Punchestown, just 1 3/4l behind Night And Day. While a win may be difficult, she could potentially reach the money again.

In addition to these top-rated horses, it’s worth considering We Got This, who isn’t in the top five based on the total ratings but showed potential when making a winning debut at Navan in March. The second horse in that race, Broomfield Bijou, has since won a Ballinrobe maiden and a Punchestown festival handicap, which strongly supports the form.

In conclusion, while Night And Day and Anna Bunina lead based on the total ratings, both Shecouldbeanything and Party Central have shown consistent form and potential for progression. Walk With Paul and We Got This are also worth considering based on their recent performances.

15:25 Sun 14 May 2023

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OYSTER TAVERN HANDICAP HURDLE (Muckross) (Listed)

Distance 2m 1f

Prize €45,000 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 14

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

Based on the provided ratings, the top five contenders in the Oyster Tavern Handicap Hurdle are:

  1. Magnor Glory (IRE) – 448.1
  2. Mighty Tom (IRE) – 373.4
  3. Glan (IRE) – 371.5
  4. Doyen Ta Win (IRE) – 336.7
  5. Man O Work (IRE) – 332.9

Starting with Magnor Glory, he tops the list with a significant lead in total rating. His last race performance indicates he’s in good form, and he has a history of winning at this racecourse, which is always a positive sign. Additionally, he has shown promise on his recent return from a winter break.

Second in the ratings, Mighty Tom, also offers a compelling case. His recent third-place finish in a competitive race at the Punchestown festival indicates that he’s in good form. His performance in shorter trips is also commendable, so this race may suit him well.

Glan is the third-highest rated horse, although his inconsistent performance since a significant win at Fairyhouse may be a cause for concern. Still, his rating suggests he’s a strong contender and should not be overlooked.

Doyen Ta Win, who ranks fourth, has shown some excellent form recently, winning three consecutive handicap hurdles. Her ground-versatility and consistent form could make her a strong contender.

Man O Work rounds out the top five in ratings. His recent form suggests a return to his earlier winning ways, but he may face stiff competition in this field.

In addition to the ratings, it’s worth noting the commentary on a few other horses. For instance, Kilbree Warrior is noted for her recent wide-margin win at Fairyhouse, which could make her a threat if she’s allowed to dictate the pace of the race. Similarly, Gordons Aura, although not ranking highly in the total ratings, has been noted for his previous solid performance at Fairyhouse, indicating potential each-way prospects.

In conclusion, while the ratings suggest Magnor Glory, Mighty Tom, Glan, Doyen Ta Win, and Man O Work as the top contenders, external factors and recent performances could see horses like Kilbree Warrior and Gordons Aura making an impact in the race.

15:55 Sun 14 May 2023

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GERARD O’SULLIVAN MEMORIAL NOVICE CHASE

Distance 2m 7f

Prize €13,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 7

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

  1. Saldier (FR): With the highest total rating of 452.7, Saldier is the leading contender in this race. Despite not having won beyond 2 miles, Saldier’s performance as a hurdler has been impressive, and his jumping skills were prominent in his beginners at Thurles. However, his previous pull up in a Grade 3 contest at Naas is a point of concern, so it’s essential for him to overcome that setback. If Saldier can maintain his form and adapt to the longer distance, he could prove to be tough to beat.
  2. Vina Ardanza (IRE): Standing second in the total rating order with 321.5, Vina Ardanza is a significant competitor. This horse is going into its second start over fences after a fall in its debut at this track. However, Vina Ardanza has a strong record as a hurdler and showed promise in a competitive handicap hurdle at Aintree last month. The horse is getting a 6lb allowance from the main rivals, which might play to its advantage.
  3. Mercury Lane (IRE): Mercury Lane comes third in the total rating, scoring 302.7. The horse has had a solid performance at Wexford, winning a beginners chase and delivering a solid runner-up effort. However, the horse’s performance was less inspiring when significantly upped in trip at Punchestown, and it will be necessary for it to bounce back from that.
  4. Perfect Attitude: With a total rating of 300.5, Perfect Attitude is next in line. The horse showed promise in its last chase start at Listowel, finishing as a good second. There was a hiccup in its most recent hurdles race, where it unseated four out at Punchestown, but if it can return to its form over fences, especially if the ground dries out, it could make its presence felt.
  5. Summer Tide (IRE): With a total rating of 274.2, Summer Tide is making its chase debut in this race. Its last performance saw it finishing tenth in a handicap hurdle at this track. Considering this is its first chase, and the cheekpieces have been left off, it might be prudent to observe its performance before making any strong predictions.
  6. Caesar Rock (IRE): Last in the rating order with a score of 240.4, Caesar Rock has yet to win in six chase starts but has delivered some good efforts in defeat. Its last run saw it finishing third to Idas Boy at Cork over 2m4f, a more suitable trip for this horse. Caesar Rock might need the run, and this race could prove too competitive for it.

In conclusion, while Saldier (FR) and Vina Ardanza (IRE) are the top contenders based on their total ratings, horses such as Perfect Attitude and Mercury Lane (IRE) cannot be ruled out considering their previous performances. It will be interesting to see how the race unfolds.

16:25 Sun 14 May 2023

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DONIE SHEAHAN MEMORIAL IRISH EBF MARES BEGINNERS CHASE

Distance 2m 4f

Prize €14,000 Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 10

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

  1. Hauturiere (FR): Leading the race with a total rating of 523.1, Hauturiere is making its chase debut. Hauturiere, a two-time winner over hurdles, had a commendable performance as the fourth in the Grade 1 mares novice hurdle at Fairyhouse. The horse finished behind Eabha Grace at Limerick but is meeting her on better terms here. With Paul Townend as the rider, Hauturiere is expected to have a significant impact on the race.
  2. Eabha Grace (IRE): Second in the total ratings with 422.0, Eabha Grace is also making her chase debut. She is a useful hurdler and had her career-best performance winning Grade 3 at Limerick, beating Hauturiere by 2¼l. However, she pulled up on her last start at Fairyhouse but has shown resilience in bouncing back from poor efforts. Eabha Grace should be in the mix, considering her potential for chasing.
  3. Shannon Glory (IRE): With a total rating of 344.3, Shannon Glory comes third. She is making her chase debut and is a course winner over hurdles. However, her last performance at Fairyhouse was below form, and she needs to find significant improvement for fences to be in the mix.
  4. Happy Dex (FR): Standing fourth in the total rating with 325.0, Happy Dex has shown a decent level of performance over fences in her four starts, finishing runner-up on three occasions. While her last performance at Kilbeggan was commendable, this race seems to be a strong contest, and she might find one or two competitors too good again.
  5. Roseys Hollow (IRE): With a total rating of 315.7, Roseys Hollow had some smart form over hurdles, including a Grade 3 win at Fairyhouse, but her five chase starts have been just below that level. Her last appearance saw an awkward fall at a beginners chase at Ballinrobe. Despite this, her third-place finish at Cork on her penultimate start has worked out well, and she has solid claims with an experience edge.

In conclusion, Hauturiere (FR) and Eabha Grace (IRE) are the leading contenders based on their total ratings. However, horses such as Happy Dex (FR) and Roseys Hollow (IRE) can’t be dismissed due to their previous performances. Shannon Glory (IRE), despite her lower rating, could prove a surprise if she manages to significantly improve her form over fences. This race promises to be an intriguing one.

Here’s an analysis of the Tote Killarney National Handicap Chase based on the provided information:

1. **Ramillies (IRE)** – Total: 485.0
Ramillies holds the highest total rating. As a useful hurdler, he has transitioned well to fences. Although he failed to impress at Cheltenham and Punchestown, his unchanged mark could give him a significant edge here. The trip seems to suit him, and a bounce-back to form could make him a formidable contender.

2. **Ballykeel (IRE)** – Total: 393.7
Ballykeel sits second in the total ratings. His recent form is strong, with his latest win at Fairyhouse and a close second at Punchestown. Despite a 2lb raise, he’s in good form and handles dry ground well. His trainer’s past success in this race and his evident stamina make him a strong contender.

3. **Egality Mans (FR)** – Total: 357.5
Egality Mans has had a rough season, only completing half of his starts, but his rating puts him third in line. The step up in trip could suit him if his jumping holds up. However, his inconsistent performance suggests that he might not be a sure bet.

4. **Gateau De Miel (FR)** – Total: 351.3
Gateau De Miel, despite winning at Fairyhouse, has failed to build upon that success. He needs to find significant improvement and is also 2lb out of the handicap.

5. **Gallant John Joe (IRE)** – Total: 348.5
Although he hasn’t won over fences yet, Gallant John Joe’s consistent performances put him in the top five. His latest run at Punchestown was respectable, but the increased trip is an unknown factor, and he wouldn’t appreciate any rain.

Other notable contenders include:

– **En Beton (FR)**: Despite a 467-day absence and making his handicap chase debut, En Beton has shown potential. His beginners chase win at Punchestown was impressive, and if he can overcome the lay-off, he could be in the mix.

– **Everglow**: Everglow is an intriguing contender. His win at Kilbeggan and decent performance before falling at Punchestown indicate potential. The drop in trip and favourable ground conditions could suit him.

– **Pat Coyne (IRE)**: Pat Coyne’s consistency makes him a noteworthy contender. He’s a three-time winner over fences, and his recent hurdle win at Tramore suggests good form. The trip is uncertain, but on decent ground, he could have a big shout.

– **Routine Excellence (IRE)**: This lightly-raced chaser could be a dark horse. After a win at Thurles and a solid run at Fairyhouse, he’s unexposed over fences. The step up in trip should suit him, and he could have solid claims.

In conclusion, while the top contenders in terms of total ratings are Ramillies, Ballykeel, and Egality Mans, it’s worth keeping an eye on others like En Beton, Everglow, Pat Coyne, and Routine Excellence due to their favourable comments and potential. Please note that this assessment excludes odds and depends solely on the provided information.

The race at hand is a flat race at Killarney featuring 17 runners. The track is good to yielding and the race is 2m1f (3740 yards) long. The competing horses are 4 years old and none of them have an Official Rating (OR) as they are either debutants or lightly raced.

Based on the total ratings provided, the top five contenders for this race, in order, are:

1. Rainbow Lily (IRE) – Total Rating: 269.7
2. Weseekherthere (IRE) – Total Rating: 252.2
3. My Great Mate (IRE) – Total Rating: 190.7
4. Jay Pee M (IRE) – Total Rating: 136.0
5. Tramps Like Us (IRE) – Total Rating: 134.9

Rainbow Lily (IRE) leads the pack with a total rating of 269.7. She made a promising debut at Punchestown last month, finishing sixth in a strong looking contest. If she is able to build on that effort, she could be a strong contender.

Weseekherthere (IRE) has a total rating of 252.2, and has shown promise in both of her starts. Her last run at Punchestown was respectable, but she will need to improve to have a chance in this race.

My Great Mate (IRE) is the third highest-rated horse with a total rating of 190.7. The horse has a good lineage, closely related to Grade 1 winner Ashroe Diamond. Being a half-brother to Ashroe Diamond and with the excellent record of his connections in these contests, he looks set to play a leading role.

Jay Pee M (IRE) and Tramps Like Us (IRE) round out the top five with total ratings of 136.0 and 134.9 respectively. Jay Pee M showed signs of promise on his debut at Ballinrobe and could have place claims if he builds on that. Tramps Like Us, meanwhile, needs to step up his game to pose a challenge, having finished ninth at Down Royal in his most recent outing.

Outside of these top contenders based on ratings, there are a few horses with positive comments worth considering. Chicago Style has a very strong pedigree and it’s intriguing that he’s making his debut in a bumper. D’jo Dela Barriere is also noteworthy given the trainer’s success in these contests and the horse’s French lineage. Finally, Lionnar could potentially have a say in this race given his close relationship to the yard’s useful performer Lunar Display.

In conclusion, Rainbow Lily and Weseekherthere appear to be the strongest contenders based on their total ratings and recent form. However, it’s worth keeping an eye on My Great Mate due to his lineage, and Chicago Style and D’jo Dela Barriere due to their promising comments. The race is wide open and the performance on the day will be crucial in determining the winner.

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