Three Group 1 Races At ParisLongchamp Today.

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14:50 ParisLongchamp (FRA)Sun 14 May 1m Grp 1

  1. American Flag: With impressive wins this campaign, including a victory over C&D almost a month ago from Marhaba Ya Sanafi, American Flag seems to be in good form. The only minor concern is that he hasn’t picked up a high RPR yet, but overall, he remains a strong contender.
  2. Breizh Sky: While Breizh Sky has a career-best third-place finish in a Group 1 race and a close defeat to Good Guess in the Prix Djebel, his appeal for the win is not as strong as some others. The addition of a tongue-tie may help, but there are stronger competitors in this race.
  3. Good Guess: Good Guess has shown improvement in his 3yo debut, winning the Prix Djebel from Breizh Sky. The step up to 1m isn’t guaranteed to suit, but he is open to further improvement, making him a notable contender.
  4. Hans Andersen: This son of Frankel has shown smart form and has recently won the 2,000 Guineas Trial Stakes at Leopardstown. If he stays the 1m distance strongly, he can run well and be a contender in this race.
  5. Isaac Shelby: After winning the Greenham Stakes, Isaac Shelby seems to be in good shape for this race. He has a low draw, which could be advantageous, but the Newbury form hasn’t had any significant boosts.
  6. Kendly: Kendly has won twice in 2023 and has an interesting jockey booking for this race. Although stall 9 might not be ideal, he has above-average ability to be involved if things fall right.
  7. Kubrick: Kubrick is not to be dismissed, as his trainer’s horses often improve after an outing. Returning to 1m is a positive, and with Ioritz Mendizabal on board for the first time, he could be a contender.
  8. Marhaba Ya Sanafi: Marhaba Ya Sanafi has shown improvement when chasing home American Flag in the C&D Prix de Fontainebleau. As a front-runner, he should give a solid account, but he may not be the top choice for the win.
  9. Valimi: Valimi is an interesting contender who has beaten American Flag on their debuts and has only ever run over 1m. He made all to land a C&D conditions event handily and seems to have more to offer.

Based on the analysis, the most likely contenders for this race are American Flag, Good Guess, Hans Andersen, Isaac Shelby, Kendly, and Valimi. While there are no clear-cut favourites, these horses have shown the most promise and potential to perform well in this race.

15:30 ParisLongchamp (FRA)Sun 14 May 1m Grp 1

Blue Rose Cen is the standout contender in the field. She was a four-time winner as a juvenile, notably taking the Group 1 Marcel Boussac over this course and distance. She made a winning reappearance at Group 3 level, confirming she has retained her ability. Her form, coupled with her affinity for the course and distance, puts her in a prime position to win this race.

Lindy is another strong contender who is undefeated at two, with all three wins coming over this distance, including at Listed level. She came second behind Blue Rose Cen over the same course and distance last month, and that was a promising performance. The fact that she could easily give her old rival a run for her money this time makes her a potent threat in this field.

Never Ending Story is a Group 3-winning juvenile who wasn’t far off Blue Rose Cen in the Marcel Boussac. She made a successful return in the Irish 1,000 Guineas trial, and it’s plausible she can close the gap on her old rival. She cannot be ruled out.

In terms of potential dark horses, Ritournelle is a Listed winner who just missed out on a Group 3 win last time at Deauville, and a return to 1m could suit her. Quickstep has shown steady progression, and while she has a lot to find, she’s a progressive filly that could surprise.

In conclusion, the race will likely be fought out between Blue Rose Cen, Lindy, and Never Ending Story, but keep an eye on Ritournelle and Quickstep as potential surprise packages.

16:10 ParisLongchamp (FRA)Sun 14 May 1m2f Grp 1

Jannah Rose stands out as a strong contender. She is a daughter of Frankel and showed great promise by winning a Group 3 race over 1m1f here last month, where she beat Sea The Lady. Given her pedigree, she shouldn’t have any issue with the extra furlong, making her a prime contender. However, her performance on testing ground remains unproven.

Crown Princesse is another key contender. She was unraced as a two-year-old but has quickly made a good impression this year, winning a Group 3 at Saint-Cloud over 10.5f just over three weeks ago, where she beat Elusive Princess and Wonderful Tonight. She looks like she has more to offer and is one to watch in this race.

Elusive Princess has also performed well. She won her first three starts and looked unlucky not to maintain her unbeaten record when she was a runner-up in a Group 3 at Saint-Cloud, where she was badly squeezed before flashing home to split Crown Princesse and Heartache Tonight. She seems to perform well on testing ground and is worth considering.

As for potential dark horses, Boogie Woogie’s recent form suggests she could be a surprise package. Her second to Savethelastdance looks even better now, and she won as she liked at Naas three weeks ago. Moreover, she’s bred for the job, and the addition of first-time cheekpieces could be beneficial.

In conclusion, the race will likely be fought out between Jannah Rose, Crown Princesse, and Elusive Princess. However, do not discount Boogie Woogie, who could offer a surprise.

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