Rankings based on Timewise ratings:

1. Free Wind (IRE) – 531
2. Sea Silk Road (IRE) – 471
3. State Occasion – 470
4. Aristia (IRE) – 459
5. Poptronic – 435
6. Stay Alert – 418
7. Rogue Millennium (IRE) – 389
8. Toskana Belle (FR) – 66

Analysis and Assessment:

1. Free Wind (IRE) – With the highest HRB rating of 531, Free Wind stands out as the top contender. Her impressive performance in the Lancashire Oaks at Haydock on her sole start in 2022, despite being badly impeded, makes her the one to beat. She has had a break of 10 months, but her past performance suggests she has high-class potential.
2. Sea Silk Road (IRE) – Rated second highest on HRB ratings at 471, Sea Silk Road has shown solid form. She landed a listed event at Goodwood last May, followed by commendable efforts in Ribblesdale, Prix de la Nonette at Deauville and Princess Royal Stakes at Newmarket. As a filly by Sea The Stars, she is expected to improve and needs considering.
3. State Occasion – Ranking third with an HRB rating of 470, State Occasion is a smart mare who impressively won a handicap over this course and distance last August. Although she was below form in the Pride Stakes at Newmarket on her final run, she has the potential to bounce back.

Additional Comments:

Aristia (IRE) – Despite not being among the top three in HRB ratings, Aristia ended 2022 with a win in the Prix Jean Romanet at Deauville and was the runner-up in this event last season, making her a potential contender.

Toskana Belle (FR) – Toskana Belle, although having a relatively low HRB rating, is a smart ex-German filly who won three times over 1m/1m2f last term. With few miles on the clock and starting off with a new yard, she can’t be discounted.

In summary, Free Wind (IRE), Sea Silk Road (IRE), and State Occasion are the top-rated contenders based on their HRB ratings. Additional attention should be given to Aristia (IRE) and Toskana Belle (FR) due to their impressive past performances and potential. As always, it is important to monitor any changes in form, race conditions, and other factors leading up to the race.