The 2.15 race at Naas presents a field of competitive horses, each with their own strengths and challenges. Let’s analyse them according to their total ratings and then take into account other factors such as performance in previous races.

1. Moss Tucker (IRE) – With the highest total of 480.8, Moss Tucker leads the field. Recent career-best performance at this course and distance, albeit on heavier ground, suggests strong form. However, today’s ground may not be ideal for him, according to the comments, although this hasn’t seemed to affect his rating.
2. Ladies Church – Coming in second in total ratings at 473.6, Ladies Church has the potential to perform well. She’s a course and distance winner with ground conditions to suit. The addition of cheekpieces suggests an attempt to extract further improvement. Despite a below-par run last time, she’s identified as a major player and one that could bounce back today.
3. Mooneista (IRE) – Mooneista ranks third in total ratings with a score of 463.1. Despite her disappointing last run, she’s well suited to the trip and ground conditions. This will be her first run for a new yard, which could introduce an unpredictable factor, but on her best form, she’s seen as a significant contender.
4. Tees Spirit – With a total rating of 432.8, Tees Spirit is next in line. The comments suggest a preference for sound ground, indicating that the conditions could be in his favour. He’s a consistent front-runner, which could be advantageous in this race.
5. Castle Star (IRE) – Ranking fifth in total ratings at 382.1, Castle Star’s previous form suggests a return to form could make him dangerous. He will be running with a tongue tie for the first time this season. However, the comments imply that the 5f trip on good ground may not be ideal.

Looking beyond the top-rated horses, Arecibo (FR) is worth mentioning despite his 6th place in total ratings. With a speed score of 87.7, the highest in the field, he could pose a threat if able to recapture his best form, despite a disappointing last run.

In conclusion, Moss Tucker, Ladies Church, and Mooneista stand out as the top three contenders in this race based on total ratings. However, variables such as changes in ground conditions, alterations in equipment, and previous form can influence the outcome. While the ratings provide a solid starting point, it’s these additional factors that often make the difference in horse racing.