Race Analysis:

Looking at the total ratings, the race appears to be between Mutasarref, Lord Massusus and Yerwanthere, with Mutasarref leading the pack with a total rating of 502.3. Following them in the rating list, we have Panic Alarm, Smile Of Love, and New Energy.

1. Mutasarref (502.3):

Mutasarref tops the total ratings, suggesting he has the potential to win. The last race rating is 122, which signifies a good recent performance. Furthermore, the horse has managed to complete a hat-trick of 7f wins and has shown career best performances in the past, notably winning a Listed race at Cork last August. Having been off for 9 months, there may be concerns about Mutasarref’s current form, but the high rating suggests the gelding is in good hands and is expected to perform well.

2. Lord Massusus (495.9):

With a rating only slightly lower than Mutasarref, Lord Massusus is a strong contender. His last race rating of 123 indicates a recent high-quality performance. Lord Massusus is an improving horse and recently won a 6f course handicap at this course. The positive commentary suggests that Lord Massusus is worth a shot at this race, particularly given his recent success.

3. Yerwanthere (404.1):

Yerwanthere is the third in the list of total ratings. With an impressive level rating of 66.5, the horse looks promising. It joined the stable after a debut win last June and won again at Dundalk in December. Although it is taking a big jump in class, Yerwanthere is unbeaten and could surprise in this race.

4. Panic Alarm (398.6):

Panic Alarm is fourth on the list. The horse has a strong history, with two wins at two, including over course and distance. However, based on Gowran running, it appears to be held by Lord Massusus.

5. Smile Of Love (387.8):

Smile Of Love has a decent total rating. The filly has shown progressive form in her four starts last year. However, based on the comments, she may not be in the same league as her stablemate, Mutasarref.

6. New Energy (371.0):

New Energy ranks sixth based on the total ratings, with a particularly strong speed rating. He was second in last year’s Irish 2,000 Guineas, suggesting a high level of potential. Although he didn’t perform as well on his seasonal debut, this race represents a drop in class for him. Given his potential, he may perform better than his rating suggests.

To summarise, based on the total ratings, Mutasarref, Lord Massusus and Yerwanthere are the top contenders. However, New Energy also presents a strong case given his past performance in the Irish 2,000 Guineas. It should be a competitive race, with these top-rated horses leading the field.