6.35 Windsor (10 runners) Fitzdares Sprint Series Qualifier Handicap 6f. Here are the rankings and analysis.

·

Analysis:

Based on the total ratings provided, here are the rankings:

  1. May Sonic: With a total rating of 427.5, May Sonic comes out on top. However, despite being a course and distance winner, it is noted that May Sonic has been more frequently seen on the All-Weather surfaces and could have issues with the fast ground. Therefore, while its ratings are high, there could be potential concerns on the day depending on the ground conditions.
  2. Count Otto: Count Otto has a total rating of 409.9 and is the second highest ranked. However, the comments highlight that this horse tends to need a run after a break, which could be a concern.
  3. Indian Creak: At 406.8, Indian Creak is third highest in the ratings and has a strong record over course and distance (4 out of 9 wins). The comment indicates that the horse acts well on most ground conditions and the mark is not beyond him, making him a solid contender.
  4. Blackrod: Blackrod is the fourth in the rankings with a total rating of 375.2. The comments suggest that Blackrod needs to show more spark than of late, suggesting there might be some inconsistency in recent performances.
  5. Bear Profit: With a total rating of 373.8, Bear Profit is fifth in the rankings. However, Bear Profit is coming off an eight-month break and it is suggested to watch the market for further clues on his condition.

Considering horses with positive comments outside the top rankings:

  1. Lethal Nymph: Despite being 8th in the total ratings (351.3), the comments suggest a potential for improvement. Lethal Nymph is described as progressive last year and is down in grade for this return from a significant break. This suggests that the horse may run better than the ratings suggest if in good form.
  2. Spanish Star: Spanish Star is ranked 6th in the ratings (373.1) but also gets a positive mention in the comments. The horse is carrying a 3lb higher mark than when winning last time out, but it’s suggested that he may prefer softer ground.

Assessment:

Overall, Indian Creak appears to be a very strong contender despite being third in the rankings. Its strong course and distance record and the ability to handle various ground conditions are key positives. While May Sonic and Count Otto rank higher in ratings, the comments suggest they might face challenges, particularly with May Sonic’s possible issue with fast ground and Count Otto’s potential need for a run after a break.

Lethal Nymph and Spanish Star are also worth considering based on their positive comments, despite their lower rankings. Their previous progress and performance, as well as the potential to handle the conditions, suggest they may outperform their current rankings.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe