Based on the total ratings and analysis, the contenders in the 7.25 Roscommon race are:

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  1. Autocrat (IRE) – 315.4
  2. Dubawi Spectre – 279.7
  3. Play It Again Zaam (IRE) – 275.3
  4. Narlita (GER) – 274.6
  5. Butterfly Garden (IRE) – 245.2

Analysis:

Autocrat (IRE) is the top-rated contender in this race with a total rating of 315.4. The horse seems to be on an improving curve, having gained two wins from four runs this year. Despite being raised 5lb for his last victory at Dundalk and coming back in trip, he is considered a formidable candidate due to his potential to adapt to turf conditions.

Second in the ratings order is Dubawi Spectre with a total rating of 279.7. This horse managed a close fourth in a handicap at Cork, showing a career-best performance. The decision to put a visor on for the first time might further enhance his focus in the race, making him a serious contender.

In third place, Play It Again Zaam (IRE) has a rating of 275.3. Despite being a maiden, he put in a creditable performance at Gowran and is taking a significant step up in trip. If this increased distance suits him, he could be a key player in this race.

Coming fourth in the ratings order, Narlita (GER) with a rating of 274.6 also has potential. She recently displayed improved form at Gowran and, although raised 5lb, could offer further improvement.

Lastly, Butterfly Garden (IRE), although fifth in the rankings with a rating of 245.2, has to overcome some recent form hurdles. A solid return at Leopardstown was marred by underperformance at Navan.

Additional Considerations:

Based on the comments, Halla Ban (IRE), despite a lower rating, should not be overlooked. As a lightly raced maiden, she made a good impression at Gowran and with her trainer in form, she could be worth considering.

Similarly, Stormy Jenn (IRE) has shown a respectable form at the Curragh and could factor into the race if the step up in trip suits her.

In summary, while Autocrat (IRE) leads the ratings, several horses have potential to pose a challenge, including Dubawi Spectre, Play It Again Zaam (IRE), and Narlita (GER). The comments suggest that despite lower ratings, both Halla Ban (IRE) and Stormy Jenn (IRE) could also be interesting contenders.

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