This race seems quite open and competitive based on the ratings provided, with several horses displaying close total scores. However, by analyzing the information, we can discern the horses that appear to have the highest potential for this particular race.
- “At Liberty (IRE)” – Total rating: 338.8. The horse has proven successful in past races, and it has also won over the course and distance (C&D). The fact that it performed at a similar level during its last race, coming third, means it is likely to be a solid contender. Its recent form, as well as the favourable comments, suggests that it merits strong consideration for this race.
- “Cavalluccio (IRE)” – Total rating: 335.1. This horse has had a good run on the All-Weather (AW) and has improved its ranking significantly. The fact that the horse won twice in spring indicates it is in good form and should therefore compete well in this race. However, the transition from AW to turf can sometimes be a challenge and that adds a slight uncertainty.
- “Moonlit Cloud” – Total rating: 321.3. This horse appears to perform better on turf than on the AW, which is encouraging for this race. The victory on heavy ground 12 days ago and a fair 2lb rise for that achievement suggests it’s one to consider. However, a further evaluation of the horse’s form and the ground conditions on race day might be necessary.
- “Hotspur Harry (IRE)” – Total rating: 279.5. This horse appears to have maintained good form during recent AW races, and is considered to be better treated on turf. The experienced 7lb claimer George Eddery should be a valuable asset. The step up in trip could also play to the horse’s strengths.
- “Meng Tian” – Total rating: 276.9. This horse is down to a career-low mark, which could be a potential advantage. However, it’s primarily raced over 1m round Lingfield and the step up in trip raises questions about its stamina, particularly as its dam has reportedly produced mainly sprinters.
Other notable contenders, despite not being in the top five total ratings, include “Jean Danjou” and “Giovanni Baglione (IRE)”. “Jean Danjou” has an obvious plus with William Buick on board and is trying a first-time tongue-tie, which could improve its performance. “Giovanni Baglione” also stands out due to the trainer’s record at this course, and the market could provide further clues to its chances after a break of six months.
To sum up, while “At Liberty (IRE)”, “Cavalluccio (IRE)”, and “Moonlit Cloud” lead the total ratings and are expected to do well, other horses such as “Jean Danjou” and “Giovanni Baglione (IRE)” should not be disregarded based on the positive comments. This analysis highlights the complexity of horse racing, where several factors like form, jockey, trainer, and specific race conditions interplay to determine the outcome.
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