Race Analysis
This 1m2f Listed race for fillies and mares at Ayr seems to be a competitive affair with a varied mix of form and performances. The ratings provided give us some guidance, but let’s break it down further.
Rankings
- Al Husn (IRE) – 508.5
- Makinmedoit (IRE) – 415.3
- Pink Carnation – 413.1
- Crystal Caprice (IRE) – 374.0
- Angels Wrath (IRE) – 368.0
- Jewel In My Crown – 360.8
- Madame Ambassador – 340.4
Assessment
Al Husn (IRE) tops the list in terms of the total ratings. This is an improving filly who recently finished second in a Group 2 race at Newmarket, suggesting she’s capable of competing at this level. Her overall form is also impressive (7411112). The fact that her trainer has won this race in previous years is also an encouraging sign. She is certainly a top contender for this race.
Makinmedoit (IRE) ranks second in the total ratings. She is a progressive mare over the race’s distance and has scored victories on turf. Last seen four months ago finishing a close third in a valuable fillies’ handicap, she is noted to go well fresh, and she could pose a significant challenge in this race.
Pink Carnation holds the third spot in the total ratings. She won two races last year and had an encouraging reappearance in a Nottingham Listed race, where she led by a wide margin at the halfway point. However, it is mentioned that she might be flattered by that bare form, suggesting a note of caution.
Crystal Caprice (IRE) and Angels Wrath (IRE) are in the mid-range of the ratings but both hold some interest. Crystal Caprice, despite a couple of recent underwhelming performances due to conditions, has otherwise shown progression and ran well in this grade last year. Angels Wrath, although winless since her debut, gave an encouraging performance in a Gowran Listed event, implying she might have more to offer.
Despite their lower ratings, both Jewel In My Crown and Madame Ambassador have consistent form at the handicap level but will need to step up their game to compete effectively at this level.
Overall, while Al Husn (IRE) seems to hold a strong hand in this race due to her rating and recent form, horses like Makinmedoit (IRE) and potentially Crystal Caprice (IRE) and Angels Wrath (IRE) could pose some challenges. The lower-rated horses shouldn’t be discounted outright but will need to show improvement.
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