The 3.15 race at Haydock is a Listed race for Fillies and Mares, with 9 runners. Based on the total ratings, the following analysis can be made:
- Aramis Grey (IRE): With a total rating of 417.0, Aramis Grey tops the list. She’s been performing notably this year, especially on All Weather surfaces over 6f/7f. Although she has something to prove against the key players, she’s shown great potential on turf in the past, particularly on fast ground.
- Gale Force Maya: Holding a total rating of 401.5, Gale Force Maya comes in second. Her performance at Newmarket three weeks ago was underwhelming, however, she has had several impressive runs last year, including two Listed wins. There’s potential for her to excel if the ground conditions suit her better this time.
- Makarova: Makarova has a total rating of 386.8. She progressed well last season, highlighted by a Listed second at Newmarket. Her recent performance at Newmarket suggests she could improve in this race, making her a solid contender.
- Get Ahead: With a total rating of 384.8, Get Ahead has delivered solid efforts on both runs this year. She’s performed well on fast ground in the past and the move to 6f could be beneficial for her.
- Kape Moss: Holding a total rating of 374.6, Kape Moss has been showing progress this year. Her fourth-place finish in a Listed race at Newmarket was impressive. She’s performed well on fast ground before and could challenge the top contenders.
- Princess Shabnam (IRE): With a total rating of 368.9, Princess Shabnam has shown potential, but needs to regain the form that led to her Listed win at Pontefract last August. There’s potential for improvement based on her last performance at Newmarket.
- Sweet Harmony (IRE): Sweet Harmony holds a total rating of 360.6. Despite fading in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes, she showed sprinting potential. However, her performance in the 1,000 Guineas was disappointing. The drop in trip and grade might suit her better.
- It’s Showtime Baby: It’s Showtime Baby has a total rating of 344.2. Despite some creditable runs in Ireland last year, she needs to improve on that form. The introduction of blinkers may make a difference, but it’s uncertain.
- Scots Grace (IRE): Scots Grace has the lowest total rating at 310.4. She was close to winning a Chester handicap last July but her performance has dropped since. She has a lot to prove in this race.
In terms of the positive comments for horses outside of the ratings, “It’s Showtime Baby” and “Sweet Harmony (IRE)” seem to have some potential despite their lower rankings, with conditions and gear changes possibly working in their favour. However, they would need to substantially improve to challenge the top contenders.
Leave a comment