1.45 Curragh (9 runners)
Tally Ho Stud Irish European Breeders
Fund Fillies Maiden
6f
This race is a 6f maiden race at Curragh with nine runners. All horses are two-year-olds with no official ratings yet. We will rank the horses in order of their total ratings and provide analysis based on the additional comments.
- Back Down Under (IRE): Total – 270.4
Back Down Under tops the total ratings by a significant margin. She’s the only runner in the field with racecourse experience, having made a promising debut at Naas over the same distance. Despite the pedigree suggesting she might be better over a longer distance, her debut was still a fine performance, placing third. That experience and probable improvement from her debut run place her as the clear top contender. - Matrika (IRE): Total – 129.8
Matrika comes second in the total ratings. She is a newcomer, but has a promising pedigree being a sister to a smart Japanese 1m1f-1m2f winner Unicorn Lion. Interestingly, she will be blinkered for her debut, which is unusual and might suggest a few temperament issues or the need to focus. However, she still represents a powerful yard and has to be respected. - Gunzburg (IRE): Total – 95.2
Gunzburg is the third in the total ratings. She is the first foal out of a dam who was a 7f AW 2yo/11.4f turf winner. She comes from a successful second-crop sire and fetched a sizeable sum at the recent 2yo sales. There’s potential for a good debut, with the yard’s juveniles reportedly doing well. - Grand Job (USA): Total – 70.3
Grand Job ranks fourth in total ratings. A $105,000 yearling, she is closely related to a useful winner up to 9.5f, Divine Image. Being a US-bred, she might find the lively ground at Curragh to her liking. Although she’s a newcomer, her pedigree suggests she’s worth keeping an eye on. - Mysteries (IRE): Total – 61.7
Mysteries is fifth in the total ratings. She is the second foal of a Group-placed 1m winner. Given the good form of the yard’s juveniles and her pedigree, she could be an interesting contender.
Looking beyond the top five in the total ratings, Miss Black Jack, despite being low in the ratings, has a few positives. She is the sixth foal and half-sister to two winners up to 1m. She’s also by a first-season sire who’s been quite successful, which indicates she might have some potential despite the lower rating.
However, it’s clear from the total ratings that Back Down Under is the standout horse in this race, with Matrika and Gunzburg as the next best. These three should be closely watched.
2.15 Curragh (15 runners)
Barberstown Castle Irish European
Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap
6f
Analysis
In terms of total ratings, Wave Machine (FR) tops the list with 398.5, followed by Queen Maedbh (IRE) with a rating of 353.0 and then Craft Irish (IRE) with a rating of 341.8. It’s worth noting that a high total score indicates a strong record of consistent performance.
- Wave Machine (FR): As the top-rated horse, Wave Machine is a C&D winner with a decent performance in previous races. The horse won the Birdcatcher nursery at Naas last season and has also won a maiden race over this course and distance. The horse’s score is boosted by good speed, level, and training ratings, and the addition of first-time cheekpieces may help focus the horse. However, Wave Machine has contested two Listed races this season and will be dropping back down in class for this handicap.
- Queen Maedbh (IRE): The second-highest rated horse, Queen Maedbh, is a Dundalk maiden winner. Her rating is boosted by strong speed and training ratings. However, she was disappointing in her last outing over this course and distance, which was a softer ground. On the plus side, the yard is in good form, suggesting she might find this easier.
- Craft Irish (IRE): Craft Irish is a course winner and ranked third in total ratings. She has won four of her 12 starts and had a creditable second place at Naas recently. However, Craft Irish lost form a bit after consecutive wins last autumn and only made a low-key return at Cork last month.
Looking at the comments, a few other horses warrant attention due to positive reviews, despite not being in the top three in terms of total ratings.
- Marsa (IRE): Marsa has won twice at Dundalk in 2021 and likes the All-Weather surface, with a turf mark of 72. Marsa is considered to have an excellent chance on good ground, and the booking of the champion jockey is a plus.
- Queen’s Pardon: Queen’s Pardon has shown significant improvement this season. After winning here in March, she came second in a 20-runner contest at Navan, although her handicap mark has been raised quite harshly.
- Lovejoy (IRE): Lovejoy improved from her first two starts of the season when she came second to an improving filly over 7f at this venue earlier this month. She has been showing signs of recent progress.
Assessment
Based on the ratings and the comments provided, Wave Machine seems to be the most promising contender, followed by Queen Maedbh and Craft Irish. However, Marsa, Queen’s Pardon, and Lovejoy have also shown good potential in previous races. It’s worth noting that horse racing can be unpredictable, and various factors such as track conditions, jockey, and the horse’s condition on the day can impact the outcome.
2.45 Curragh (6 runners)
Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1)
1m2½f
Here’s an analysis of the Tattersalls Gold Cup race at Curragh based on the ratings and comments provided.
- Luxembourg (IRE) – 609.1
Luxembourg tops the ratings with 609.1 and, judging by the comments, he seems to be a very high-class horse. His recent form suggests he wasn’t at his best on his seasonal debut, but he has strong previous performances, notably defeating Vadeni in the Irish Champion Stakes. He has had an injury in the past and will need to show more agility than in his most recent appearance. Given his ratings and his previous performances, Luxembourg looks like a strong contender in this race. - Vadeni (FR) – 544.3
Vadeni sits second in the ratings. He has been impressive, winning last year’s Prix du Jockey Club and the Eclipse, beating Bay Bridge in the process. While he finished behind Bay Bridge in the Prix Ganay recently, it seems he wasn’t fully exerted, which suggests he could have more to offer. It’s also mentioned that he could be much sharper for this race. Based on this, Vadeni is another leading contender. - Bay Bridge – 534.9
The third highest in the ratings is Bay Bridge. He had a solid run last season and placed third on his reappearance in the Prix Ganay. Bay Bridge has demonstrated consistent form and could be interesting in a rematch with fourth-placed Vadeni, whom he beat. The comments suggest Bay Bridge is a high-class horse with major player potential, reinforcing his strong position. - Piz Badile (IRE) – 445.4
Although Piz Badile is rated fourth based on the totals, he seems to have a fair amount to find with the top three. He’s shown some promise, with a creditable performance in the Mooresbridge Stakes, but seems to struggle when speed is emphasised. While he could still put up a decent show, he’s likely to find it hard against Luxembourg, Vadeni, and Bay Bridge. - Layfayette (IRE) – 420.3
Layfayette sits fifth in the ratings, but the comments suggest he may be outclassed in this company. While he has placed in all his runs this season, he seems to have a lot to find with the top contenders. His recent run in the Huxley Stakes at Chester was creditable, but this Group 1 competition may be a step too far. - Trevaunance (IRE) – 350.0
Trevaunance is the lowest-rated horse and appears to be up against it in this race. Her most recent performance was underwhelming, and she appears to have a lot to find against the higher-rated competitors. Even though her yard is in good form, the comments suggest she has her work cut out for her in this competition.
Overall, Luxembourg, Vadeni, and Bay Bridge stand out as the top contenders based on their ratings and the positive comments about their previous performances and potential. Among the other contenders, Piz Badile, Layfayette, and Trevaunance would need to significantly up their game to challenge for the top spots.
3.15 Curragh (8 runners)
Lanwades Stud Stakes (Fillies And Mares Group 2)
1m
In order to analyse this race, we’re looking at the total ratings of each horse, their past performances, as well as comments provided. Please note that the final outcome of a race can be influenced by numerous unpredictable factors.
Based on the total ratings, our rankings are as follows:
- Honey Girl – 570.8
- Goldana (IRE) – 528.2
- Jumbly – 479.4
- Insinuendo (IRE) – 454.6
- Just Beautiful – 410.4
Honey Girl is the highest-rated horse with a total rating of 570.8. She had standout runs last year at the Group 1 level, reversing her last season’s form in an impressive way in the 7f Athasi Stakes. She is on a good form currently and has shown promising performances.
Coming in second is Goldana (IRE) with a rating of 528.2. This filly had her first run since leaving Peter Schiergen in the Gladness Stakes at this course, winning the race. She seems to be in good form and has shown a notable performance on her Irish debut.
Jumbly is ranked third with a rating of 479.4. She won three of her four starts at two, and she competed at a high level last season. While her fitness needs to be taken on trust, she has the potential to show an impressive performance.
Fourth is Insinuendo (IRE) with a rating of 454.6. She’s a course Group 2 winner in 2021, showing a high-class form when second in the Blandford Stakes and third in the Fillies & Mares at Ascot. Her recent performance has been a bit keen, but she can’t be ruled out of consideration.
Finally, Just Beautiful rounds out the top five with a rating of 410.4. She showed useful form for Ivan Furtado in 2021, signing off with a Group 3 win. However, she has struggled on soft ground in her Irish outings and would need to retrieve her best form to be competitive in this race.
Looking at the horses not at the top of the ratings but with positive comments, we have Redressed, who despite a last-place finish in her most recent race at Gowran, was a solid second to Insinuendo in a Group 3 Park Express Stakes previously. Star Girls Aalmal also deserves mention; despite a tame showing last time, she showed promise when fourth in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and may improve with cheekpieces on for the first time.
To conclude, based on ratings and recent performances, Honey Girl seems to be the strongest contender, followed by Goldana (IRE) and Jumbly. But racing is unpredictable and it would be interesting to see how all horses perform on the race day.
3.50 Curragh (10 runners)
Tattersalls Irish 1,000 Guineas (Fillies Group 1)
1m
Based on the total ratings provided for this race at Curragh, the rankings would be:
- Meditate (IRE) – Total Rating: 634.1
- Tahiyra (IRE) – Total Rating: 605.8
- Breege – Total Rating: 447.8
- Jackie Oh (IRE) – Total Rating: 437.1
- Aspen Grove (IRE) – Total Rating: 428.6
Starting with Meditate (IRE), the highest-rated horse with a total rating of 634.1, this filly has a proven track record with a clear-cut success in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. Despite some defeat at the hands of Tahiyra in the Moyglare and second to Lezoo in the Cheveley Park, she remains a serious contender for the top spot. However, a recent subpar performance in the 1,000 Guineas needs to be considered.
Next in line is Tahiyra (IRE) with a total rating of 605.8. This horse has shown impressive form in both juvenile starts and notably outperformed Meditate in the Moyglare Stud Stakes. Even though she had a slow start in the 1,000 Guineas, she still managed a commendable second place. Tahiyra presents a clear threat to Meditate and is a strong candidate for victory.
Breege, with a total rating of 447.8, is a solid performer. She is a debut winner and has shown she can compete at Group 3 level, even showing promise in the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac. While she shares an official rating of 100 with Aspen Grove, her recent break from racing may be a disadvantage.
Jackie Oh (IRE) is the fourth horse on our list with a rating of 437.1. As a sister to four winners including US Grade 1 scorer Line Of Duty, she has pedigree. She showed promise by beating a short-priced stablemate at Naas on her debut but struggled in a recent Listed race at Navan.
Finally, Aspen Grove (IRE) has a total rating of 428.6. This filly managed to win at the Curragh and had a decent display on her seasonal debut at Leopardstown. However, she ranks lower in this Group 1 race and may struggle against stronger competitors.
Considering additional insights from comments on the horses not in the ratings top five, Tarawa (IRE) could be one to watch. Despite being the second string from the stable, her recent form is positive, and she has the potential for an each-way place. She performed well on her reappearance at Leopardstown and could pose a challenge to higher-rated horses.
In conclusion, based on total ratings and taking the comments into account, Tahiyra and Meditate appear to be the strongest contenders in this race. However, there are several other potential each-way threats including Tarawa and Jackie Oh. It should make for an exciting race.
4.25 Curragh (7 runners)
Heider Family Stables Gallinule Stakes (Group 3)
1m2f
Here’s an analysis of the horse race:
- Drumroll (IRE) – With a total rating of 504.0, Drumroll stands out as the top contender in the race. The horse’s promising performance was evident in his maiden win at Navan and a strong runner-up position in a Listed race at Curragh, both over 1m. While the ground is faster today, the horse’s demonstrated form suggests that it may not be a significant hindrance. Drumroll’s yard has a strong track record in this race, which also boosts its standing.
- Mister Mister (GER) – Rated at 361.0, Mister Mister is the second strongest contender according to the ratings. Last year, he showed his mettle by winning a maiden race at Gowran, and his recent performance, where he finished just 1.75l behind Drumroll at Curragh, was respectable. The comments suggest the horse may appreciate this longer trip, so there’s potential for improvement.
- Save Your Love (IRE) – Save Your Love has a rating of 348.1. The horse demonstrated improved form by winning a maiden over 1m at Gowran, and is deemed likely to be well-suited by this trip. While the performance of the second and third horses from that race since then has been disappointing, the fourth horse did win earlier this week. Save Your Love may need to show more to come out on top in this race.
- Kingswood – With a rating of 329.0, Kingswood ranks fourth in this analysis. Kingswood displayed an improved performance in his last outing, winning a Cork maiden over the same trip. Given it was his seasonal debut, there is a likely scope for further improvement. A notable point is that the third-placed horse in that race has since emerged victorious.
Beyond these, Pivotal Trigger, although fifth in terms of ratings, is mentioned as a useful colt with leading claims, provided he is ready to roll after a 7-month break. Young Ireland (IRE) is also noted for some fine form last year, including a third in the Group 2 Beresford Stakes at Curragh. However, he will need to show a significant improvement on his recent form to be competitive in this race.
Overall, while Drumroll seems to be the favourite based on total ratings and past performances, horses such as Mister Mister and Save Your Love also hold potential. Kingswood, being a likely improver, could also put up a good show. Pivotal Trigger and Young Ireland might be considered as potential dark horses based on the comments, despite their lower overall ratings.
4.55 Curragh (11 runners)
Barberstown Castle Irish European
Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden
1m2f
Based on the total ratings, the horses are ranked as follows:
- High Chieftess (IRE)
- All Time Great (USA)
- Star Galaxy (IRE)
- Esquiline (FR)
- Ameerat Jumaira
- Fairytale Princess (IRE)
- Kirkuila (IRE)
- Report (IRE)
- Eziva (IRE)
- Feathertop
- Elsas Pride (IRE)
Analysis:
“High Chieftess (IRE)” has the highest total ratings score, indicating that she may have a good chance in this race. However, the comments suggest that despite improvement from her previous races, she is considered the stable’s second string. The addition of blinkers for this race could enhance her focus and performance.
“All Time Great (USA)” comes in second in the ratings and the comments suggest that she may significantly improve on a faster surface after a poor performance in heavy ground last time out. If the weather conditions are favourable, this could be a horse to watch.
“Star Galaxy (IRE)” has the third-highest total rating, and from the comments, it seems to have performed well in the past. A notable point is the addition of a hood for this race, which could help her settle better. She is considered a major player.
“Esquiline (FR)” ranks fourth in the ratings. The comments show that she could potentially improve from her previous performance at Leopardstown last year. Being part of an in-form yard, she is expected to run well on her seasonal debut.
Despite the lower rating, “Eziva (IRE)” is worth mentioning. She has no previous races to influence her rating, and the comments suggest that she comes from a strong pedigree and is worthy of consideration.
Assessment:
“High Chieftess (IRE)” and “All Time Great (USA)” could be the primary contenders for the top position based on their total ratings. However, conditions on the day, such as the ground, will likely play a significant role in the outcome. “Star Galaxy (IRE)” and “Esquiline (FR)” are also strong contenders and should not be disregarded. “Eziva (IRE)” is a wildcard entry with a strong pedigree, and market movements could provide further insight into her potential. It is crucial to remember that this assessment is not predictive and merely an analysis based on the given data. Horse racing can be unpredictable, and various factors on race day could impact the results.
5.25 Curragh (21 runners)
Download The App At Novibet Handicap
1m6f
The 5.25 at Curragh is a competitive handicap race with 21 runners over 1 mile 6 furlongs. A review of the runners’ stats and recent form suggests a few horses to watch.
“The Very Man (IRE)” is the highest-rated runner with a total rating of 433.3. Recent form has been good, finishing strongly in last races. The horse has proven stamina and is likely to be in the mix, but the shorter distance and firmer ground may pose a challenge.
“Star Kissed (IRE)” has been performing well recently and comes with a total rating of 369.3. Star Kissed won a Navan handicap on seasonal debut; the form has held up well, and the horse is expected to handle the conditions.
“Mellow Magic” is another contender with a total rating of 350.3. Though the last run was a bit disappointing, the horse has been consistent and won a Gowran handicap on debut for the yard over this trip.
“Newfoundland (IRE)” is another to consider with a rating of 342.9. This horse won a 1m5f Navan maiden last year before running respectably in a valuable Ascot handicap; a fine return at Leopardstown over the same trip, but he is unproven over this far.
Lastly, “Golden Twilight (IRE)” rated 338.5, is a four-time AW winner and has won a maiden here in 2021. The ground was too soft on the seasonal debut, and this ground condition will suit better.
However, with such a large field, the race could potentially be open to a surprise result. Always remember that horse racing can be unpredictable and it’s important to gamble responsibly.
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