Analysis of some of the Tipperary card on Tuesday based on the Timewise Rankings.

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4.45 Tipperary (14 runners)
Tipperary Races Claiming Race
7½f 

Analysis:

  1. Bringsty (369.6 total points) – The top-rated horse in this race, Bringsty, won its last race at Gowran over 9.4f. Even though it’s going down in trip for this race, its impressive performance in the last outing, where it won readily, puts it in pole position. This race might be tougher, but Bringsty has shown good form, which could be a significant advantage.
  2. Qasbaz (IRE) (304.3 total points) – Qasbaz ranks second in terms of total points. He finished a creditable third in his last race at Gowran, where he was behind Bringsty. His latest performance suggests that he might be a contender, especially as he was nearest at the finish last time out. Despite the drop in trip, Qasbaz could pose a strong challenge.
  3. Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) (294.3 total points) – The third-rated horse, Tai Sing Yeh, didn’t perform well in his last outing, finishing thirteenth at Naas. However, he has shown fair form, including a win at Dundalk in March. He is stepping up in trip, which could be an advantageous factor, making him a possible contender.
  4. The Cola Brasil (290.0 total points) – Ranking fourth, The Cola Brasil had a decent run in his last race, finishing third at Cork. He seems to be in good form and might be a contender in this race.
  5. Hypernova (IRE) (282.1 total points) – Rounding out the top five, Hypernova finished fifth in a claimer at Dundalk 60 days ago. The stable is reportedly in good form, which may be a positive sign.

Special Mentions:

  • Big Baby Bull (IRE), although ranking seventh in total points, is worth mentioning. Despite a disappointing thirteenth place in his last race at the Curragh, this race is easier, and the horse showed significant promise in the last season. The first-time application of blinkers could sharpen him up, and on his best form, he could pose a real threat.
  • Hypernova (IRE) should also be highlighted. Although it comes in fifth on total points, the stable is in good form, and the horse was a fairly useful gelding. He could be the standard bearer in this race.

Conclusion:
Based on total points and the form guide, Bringsty appears to have the best chance in this race, followed by Qasbaz and Tai Sing Yeh. However, the horse race’s outcome may change based on several factors, including race conditions, jockey form, and other factors on the day of the race. Also, special attention should be given to Big Baby Bull (IRE) and Hypernova (IRE) based on their previous form and potential.

6.45 Tipperary (15 runners)
TipperaryRacecourse.ie Handicap
5f

Based on the provided total ratings, the top five contenders are:

  1. Harrys Hill (502.6)
  2. Lokada (FR) (431.2)
  3. Collective Power (IRE) (361.9)
  4. Excesso Velocidad (IRE) (360.5)
  5. Curraheen Princess (IRE) (343.7)

Analysis:

  1. Harrys Hill is the top-rated horse, boasting a total rating of 502.6. Its last performance at Naas, where it won a 19-runner handicap race, suggests it’s in excellent form. The main challenge is that it’s now on a career-high mark, but the comments suggest it should still give a good account of itself.
  2. Lokada (FR) is the second-highest rated contender, with a total rating of 431.2. It recently finished second to Harry’s Hill at Naas, showing it’s also in good form. The fact that it remains less exposed than most and worth a second look suggests that it has potential for improvement.
  3. Collective Power (IRE), with a total rating of 361.9, secured a career-best win at Dundalk 49 days ago and thus enters calculations. This suggests it’s been running well and is one to watch.
  4. Excesso Velocidad (IRE) is next with a total rating of 360.5. However, the comments suggest that more is needed for this horse to be competitive, especially since it is making its turf debut.
  5. Curraheen Princess (IRE), with a total rating of 343.7, has been described as a model of consistency, with three 5f handicap wins last term. The expectation that it will be closer to form here after a first run for 7 months could make it a good contender.

It’s worth noting that Cash Or Crypto (IRE) (total rating of 323.7) isn’t in the top five based on ratings, but it has had few career starts and performed well last time out at Naas, suggesting it may have more to offer. This horse deserves a special mention and could prove to be a dark horse in this race.

In conclusion, Harrys Hill, Lokada (FR), and Collective Power (IRE) are strong contenders based on their total ratings and recent form. Curraheen Princess (IRE) is also one to watch due to its consistent performance. While Excesso Velocidad (IRE) ranks high in total ratings, its performance comments suggest it may face some challenges. Cash Or Crypto (IRE), despite not being among the top-rated horses, could surprise given its comments.

7.15 Tipperary (11 runners)
Tipperary Handicap
5f

Based on the total ratings provided, the horses are ranked as follows:

  1. El Tesoro (IRE) – 352.4
  2. Sam’s Xpress (IRE) – 324.2
  3. Coco Hill (IRE) – 252.5
  4. Oneplusone (IRE) – 246.5
  5. Reinforce (IRE) – 246.0

Analysis:

El Tesoro (IRE), holding the highest total rating of 352.4, shows consistent strong performance with very good third of 10 in a handicap at Cork recently. The yard is also noted to be in good form, suggesting the horse’s preparations are likely optimal.

Sam’s Xpress (IRE), ranked second in total ratings at 324.2, is in good form this year, with two wins from three runs. The horse had a respectable third place in a minor event at Bellewstown. The expectation is that Sam’s Xpress will be in the mix again, suggesting a strong competitive spirit.

Coco Hill (IRE) holds the third position in total ratings at 252.5. However, it didn’t perform well recently, being fourteenth of 16 in a handicap at Cork. This horse might face a challenge bouncing back, but the drop in trip could work in its favour.

Fourth-ranked Oneplusone (IRE), with a total rating of 246.5, displayed potential when she gave her best effort yet, finishing fifth of 10 in a handicap at Cork. This lightly-raced filly showed determination by making headway under pressure during the final furlong and keeping on. She may do better again.

Lastly, Reinforce (IRE), also with a rating of 246.0, seems to have underperformed recently, finishing last of 10 in a nursery at Dundalk. The return to the race after some time off will be a test, and although it has been eased by 1 lb, other contenders appear to be stronger for win purposes.

Special Mention:

El Tesoro (IRE) and Sam’s Xpress (IRE), being the top two horses based on total ratings, appear to have the strongest chances. El Tesoro, in particular, seems to have an exceptional chance based on the strong form of the yard, as well as the horse’s recent good performance.

Please note this analysis is primarily based on total ratings and recent performance comments, not including the odds.

7.45 Tipperary (18 runners)
Visit Tipperary Handicap (47-65)
1m4½f

Analysis of the Visit Tipperary Handicap:

Based on the provided total ratings, the top contenders are as follows:

  1. Sea Oscar – 291.6
  2. Wild Shot – 285.9
  3. Tastyee (IRE) – 229.6
  4. Miss Upbeat (IRE) – 224.6
  5. Contrapposto (IRE) – 220.6

Sea Oscar, with the highest total rating of 291.6, is in impressive form. The comments note her current form for her yard is good, with a strong second-place finish in her last race at Dundalk. The trainer is currently performing well, which might indicate a continuation of her excellent form. As such, Sea Oscar is expected to put on a bold show in this race.

Next in line is Wild Shot, with a total rating of 285.9. This horse has previously won over this course and distance. Despite being sixth in its last outing, the horse was deemed to have had an inadequate test. With a significant increase in trip length for this race, Wild Shot is expected to be in the mix and is one to watch.

Tastyee (IRE) is the third highest-rated horse at 229.6. The horse performed well, securing a respectable third place in her last outing at Cork. Now, with an increase in trip, Tastyee should be considered a notable contender in this race.

Miss Upbeat (IRE), with a total rating of 224.6, is also worthy of consideration. The horse placed seventh in a 21-horse race at Leopardstown recently, finishing strong. This could signal that Miss Upbeat has more to give in this contest.

Contrapposto (IRE) completes the top five in terms of total ratings, coming in at 220.6. However, the horse hasn’t won since 2016, and was placed 17th in its last outing. The horse’s form does not inspire confidence, but given its rating, it can’t be ruled out entirely.

Other notable horses include Itsalonglongroad, who despite having a lower total rating of 205.6, has received positive comments regarding its ability to put on a good account. Nusra (IRE) also, with a rating of 199.3, is deemed competitive on form despite being a maiden after 22 flat runs.

To sum up, Sea Oscar and Wild Shot are strong contenders for the top spot based on their high total ratings and positive comments, while Tastyee and Miss Upbeat also hold solid chances. It should be an exciting race!

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