7.40 Warwick (6 runners)
Thompson Property & Risk Services
Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m

The Thompson Property & Risk Services Mares Handicap Hurdle is a class 4 race, covering a distance of 2m, featuring six participants. The analysis that follows is primarily based on the Total Ratings, supplemented by insights drawn from the horses’ commentary.

1. Pop The Champagne (FR) – Total Rating: 525.9
   Pop The Champagne tops the rating chart with a substantial lead. The horse has previously proven herself by winning four consecutive races over 2m/2m1f on good/good to soft ground last summer. She has had a slight dip in her performance, but her recent fair third place on the all-weather surface signals a positive trend. Based on her rating and consistent performance, Pop The Champagne holds a strong position in this race.
2. Lady Reset – Total Rating: 425.1
   Coming in second in the ratings, Lady Reset has previously demonstrated her aptitude on this course and distance. Her most recent win was off 6lb lower at Stratford last July. Since then, her performance has been fair, which included a fourth-place finish on the flat at Sandown on her first run post-wind surgery. Given her track record, Lady Reset is a strong contender in this competition.
3. Fenney Brook – Total Rating: 355.5
   Fenney Brook, third in terms of the ratings, was in good form towards the end of last year, winning two of her last three races. However, she’s returning from a break and will be running on a career-high mark over a distance that might not be ideal for her. Despite this, Fenney Brook’s prior form cannot be overlooked.
4. Prime Time Lady – Total Rating: 326.6
   Prime Time Lady is ranked fourth based on the ratings. She won a course and distance mares’ maiden and a mares’ novice at Cartmel last May. However, she hasn’t quite matched that form this year without the eyeshield. The horse appears to be well handicapped, but she enters the race without her usual headgear, suggesting she has a bit to prove.

In summary, Pop The Champagne and Lady Reset emerge as top-ranked horses with exceptional chances based on their consistent past performances. Fenney Brook, despite facing a shorter trip than ideal, can also pose a challenge given her form last year. Lastly, Prime Time Lady might need to step up her game but could potentially surprise given her past course and distance win.

8.10 Warwick (5 runners)
Bromwich Hardy Handicap Chase
2m4f

The Bromwich Hardy Handicap Chase is a Class 5 race over a distance of 2m4f, with five contenders. Our analysis is primarily based on the Total Ratings, with additional insights derived from the horses’ past performance.

1. Fortunate Fred (FR) – Total Rating: 314.3
   Fortunate Fred heads the rating list with a good lead. He has shown consistency by placing in four of his six races at up to 2m5f over hurdles. Although his chase debut resulted in a well-beaten sixth, the form has surprisingly panned out well. This will be his first run on good to firm ground, and as the only one in the handicap, he stands a chance in this event. Given his rating and track record, Fortunate Fred is a clear favourite for this race.
2. Junior Massini – Total Rating: 283.1
   Junior Massini ranks second in the ratings. He returned from a near year-long break to be runner-up to a stable companion on his chase debut over 3m here 18-days ago. This form suggests a strong chance, however, the good to firm ground could pose a concern given his last performance on such ground was less than satisfactory. Nevertheless, Junior Massini could potentially prove a tough competitor.
3. Mix Master – Total Rating: 225.0
   Third in the ratings, Mix Master, despite his overall poor form over hurdles, was showing promise until an unfortunate fall on his chase debut at Ludlow. He’s 5lb out of the handicap but shouldn’t be dismissed outright considering his performance prior to the fall.

The two horses with lower total ratings are Cheers Delboy and Fair To Dream. Cheers Delboy has a track record of being well-beaten over hurdles recently and has been pulled up on three of his four chase outings. Fair To Dream, despite being a runner-up in maiden points in March, has shown modest form under Rules.

In conclusion, Fortunate Fred stands out as a top-ranked horse with a high chance of performing well, based on his consistent past performances and his position in the handicap. Junior Massini is another strong contender despite concerns over the ground. Mix Master, if able to avoid incidents, could also surprise despite a lower overall rating. Cheers Delboy and Fair To Dream appear less likely to compete strongly based on their current form.