Analysis of Wednesday’s 2yo races based on the Timewise rankings + Adjusted timefigure from their last race.

·

2.40 Beverley (9 runners)
Cottingham Claiming Stakes
5f

Based on the total ratings and the comments provided, here’s an analysis of the horse race:

  1. Patasola (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 57. With the highest total rating of 233.8, Patasola tops the list. Her performance has been satisfactory, and while she was below par in her last race over a longer distance, she is dropping back in trip and grade today, which might improve her chances significantly. The inside draw could also be beneficial. Patasola stands out as a strong contender in this race.
  2. Mist Of Lir (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 0 Ranking second with a total rating of 233.5, Mist Of Lir is another potential candidate. However, the comments suggest that he had a less than ideal performance in his last race and has since been fitted with blinkers. His standout performance came at Brighton last month, and this drop in class might help, but others appear stronger at this point.
  3. BellestarrAdjusted Timefigure 56 Bellestarr is the third-highest rated horse at 222.9. She has run at a low level in three races this spring and failed to improve in her last outing. This race might be more suitable for her, but it’s evident she will need to improve to win.
  4. Travel Candy (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 85 Despite ranking fourth in total ratings at 216.6, Travel Candy could potentially be a strong contender. She didn’t place in two Naas maidens, but remained prominent for a considerable amount of the race last time out. The comments suggest she has been found a weak race here, which could work in her favour.
  5. Bargain BasementAdjusted Timefigure 65 Bargain Basement, rated at 216.4, completes the top five. His form has been average this month. Today’s race is more on his level, and if there’s market support for him, he could be of interest.

Special mention:

Patasola (IRE) – Based on the comments, Patasola seems to be the top-rated horse with an exceptional chance. Her performance in her last race wasn’t ideal, but the change in trip and grade, along with an inside draw, should be beneficial.

Travel Candy (IRE) – Travel Candy’s total rating ranks her fourth, but the comments suggest she could be a big player in this race. She showed potential in her last race and is stepping down in grade, which could be a significant advantage.

In conclusion, the top-rated horses to consider for this race, based on the ratings and comments provided, would be Patasola and Travel Candy. Mist Of Lir, Bellestarr, and Bargain Basement could also be in the running, but the former two appear to have the best prospects. However, as is always the case with horse racing, any race can be unpredictable and the outcome could be influenced by factors not taken into account in this analysis.

2.50 Hamilton (9 runners)
EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
5f

Based on the provided ratings, this analysis will focus on the top contenders for the 2.50 Hamilton, EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes.

  1. Lieutenant Rascal (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 89 Total rating: 421.5
    Lieutenant Rascal tops the rating list by a considerable margin. He has shown improvement on his debut, demonstrating resilience when placed second over the same course and distance 12 days ago, presenting a strong form claim. Despite this, it’s hard to predict the impact of first-time blinkers on him. Although he leads the pack in terms of total ratings, this consideration makes it slightly difficult to outrightly confirm him as the strongest contender.
  2. Grecian Princess (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 88 Total rating: 292.7
    Grecian Princess comes second in the rating list. Despite a disappointing performance on her soft-ground debut at Beverley, she managed a better position at Doncaster 11 days ago, finishing fourth. She demonstrates the potential for further progress, giving her a solid ranking in this race.
  3. Crack The Kode (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 69+ Total rating: 250.6
    Crack The Kode ranks third on the rating list. His notable performance came in his Beverley debut, where despite never threatening the leader, he presented a decent run in fourth place, just behind an impressive subsequent winner. His pedigree also suggests a knack for sprinting. The yard’s 2021 victory in this event with a second-start contender adds weight to his chances. He is a good candidate for improvement.
  4. Invincible Tiger (IRE)Adjusted Timefigure 78++Total rating: 244.5
    Invincible Tiger is fourth in the ratings. Although he struggled on his Thirsk debut, he maintained a commendable performance in the closing stages. He has the potential to fare better on the stiff finish of this course.
  5. Tees Douge (FR)Adjusted Timefigure 66 Total rating: 237.9
    Tees Douge ranks fifth. While his best performance came as a runner-up on the AW in April, he has struggled on testing surfaces on either side of that race. He would need to show significant improvement to pose a threat here.

Outside the top rankings, based on comments, one horse deserves a mention:

  • MoyolaAdjusted Timefigure 78Total rating: 236.0
    Although her debut was low-key, Moyola showed promise when she finished third at Ayr recently, demonstrating her ability to travel strongly. She should be capable of further improvement.

In summary, while Lieutenant Rascal is the top-rated contender, the potential impact of first-time blinkers makes his performance somewhat unpredictable. However, Grecian Princess, Crack The Kode and Invincible Tiger, ranked 2nd to 4th respectively, all show potential for improved performances. Furthermore, despite a lower ranking, Moyola presents potential for improvement based on her recent performance.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe