Analysis of my pick of the Market Rasen card on Thursday based on the Timewise rankings.

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6.40 Market Rasen (6 runners)
Lincs Loos Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the analysis for the 6.40 Market Rasen race:

  1. Lenebane (IRE) – With a total rating of 336.6, Lenebane is the top-ranked horse in this race. It showed improvement when finishing a creditable third on its handicap debut over C&D. With the booking of jockey Brian Hughes and a 2 lb lower mark, it must be considered as a strong contender.
  2. Kolisi (IRE) – Ranked second with a total rating of 335.3, Kolisi has a solid record and has largely performed well in defeat. After an 8-month absence, it returns in good form and the reappearance of cheekpieces adds to its chances.
  3. Mr Coldstone (IRE) – Although not scoring for some time, Mr Coldstone is still worth considering. Its recent run over fences may have been affected by a possible ailment, so it’s best to watch its performance in this race.

Considering the positive comments for other horses not within the top total ratings:

More To Follow (IRE) – Despite being 5 lb out of the handicap, More To Follow produced an impressive second-place finish at Newcastle. It holds solid claims and cannot be overlooked.

Based on this analysis, Lenebane (IRE) stands out as the top-rated horse with a strong chance of performing well in this handicap hurdle. Kolisi is the next contender based on its ratings and previous form. Mr Coldstone and More To Follow, although not within the top ratings, have positive comments and can be considered as potential contenders.

Assess the race conditions, the form of the horses, and consider the comments before making a final decision.

7.10 Market Rasen (9 runners)
Blockfree Services Handicap Hurdle
2m5½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the analysis for the 7.10 Market Rasen race:

  1. Tardree (IRE) – With a total rating of 470.4, Tardree is the top-rated horse in this race. It is a dual chase winner who has shown success over hurdles as well. Despite a fortunate win over fences seven months ago, it remains worthy of interest off a lower hurdles mark and is returning for its first start since. Consider this horse as a strong contender.
  2. Mulberry Hill (IRE) – Ranked second with a total rating of 426.0, Mulberry Hill is a fair handicap hurdler. It was running well before departing on its chasing debut and now returns to the smaller obstacles. It merits respect in this race.
  3. Shallow River (IRE) – Shallow River is a contender based on its total rating of 414.9. It had some successful performances, including a good second-place finish to Filey Bay. However, it has been disappointing in recent outings, so its current form is a slight concern.

Considering the positive comments for other horses not within the top total ratings:

Kihavah – With previous success at this track and a recent win in a competitive handicap on the Flat, Kihavah is worth considering as a strong contender.

Midnight Ginger – After a second-place finish at Uttoxeter, Midnight Ginger is back to form. If the race doesn’t come too soon after its recent run, it can make its presence felt.

Based on this analysis, Tardree (IRE) stands out as the top-rated horse with a strong chance of performing well in this handicap hurdle. Mulberry Hill and Shallow River are the next contenders based on their ratings. Kihavah and Midnight Ginger, although not within the top ratings, have positive comments and can be considered as potential contenders.

Assess the race conditions, the form of the horses, and consider the comments before making a final decision.

7.45 Market Rasen (5 runners)
Lincs Loos Handicap Chase
2m4f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the analysis for the 7.45 Market Rasen race:

  1. Friary Rock (FR) – With a total rating of 414.1, Friary Rock is the top-rated horse in this race. It has shown good form in recent starts, including a win at Perth on its return to fences. With cheekpieces back on, it has every chance of being in contention again and is considered a strong contender.
  2. Reserve Tank (IRE) – Reserve Tank has a total rating of 327.3 and is considered an inconsistent sort. Despite not winning since 2019, it is tackling the weakest race yet and has a chance to perform well with a first-time visor and a tongue tie back on.
  3. Cilluirid (IRE) – Cilluirid has a total rating of 310.3. It returned from a long break with disappointing performances at Sedgefield and Uttoxeter, potentially indicating physical issues. With the mark continuing to tumble, it is best to watch its performance in this race.

Considering the comments for other horses not within the top total ratings:

Da Vinci Hand (IRE) – Da Vinci Hand failed to make an impact in its outings last season and had a recent wind operation. It is uncertain if the operation has had a positive effect, so caution is advised.

The White Volcano (IRE) – The White Volcano is a veteran who has struggled since joining its present yard. There is little encouragement from its recent performances, so it is difficult to consider it as a strong contender.

Based on this analysis, Friary Rock (FR) is the top-ranked horse and is deemed to have an exceptional chance of performing well in this handicap chase. Reserve Tank, despite its inconsistency, has the potential to be competitive in this weaker race. Cilluirid, Da Vinci Hand, and The White Volcano are less favored based on their ratings and comments.

Assess the race conditions and form of the horses, and consider the additional comments before making a final decision.

8.15 Market Rasen (5 runners)
Blockfree Services Handicap Chase
3m4½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the analysis for the 7.45 Market Rasen race:

  1. Friary Rock (FR) – With a total rating of 414.1, Friary Rock is the top-rated horse in this race. It has shown good form in recent starts, including a win at Perth on its return to fences. With cheekpieces back on, it has every chance of being in contention again and is considered a strong contender.
  2. Reserve Tank (IRE) – Reserve Tank has a total rating of 327.3 and is considered an inconsistent sort. Despite not winning since 2019, it is tackling the weakest race yet and has a chance to perform well with a first-time visor and a tongue tie back on.
  3. Cilluirid (IRE) – Cilluirid has a total rating of 310.3. It returned from a long break with disappointing performances at Sedgefield and Uttoxeter, potentially indicating physical issues. With the mark continuing to tumble, it is best to watch its performance in this race.

Considering the comments for other horses not within the top total ratings:

Da Vinci Hand (IRE) – Da Vinci Hand failed to make an impact in its outings last season and had a recent wind operation. It is uncertain if the operation has had a positive effect, so caution is advised.

The White Volcano (IRE) – The White Volcano is a veteran who has struggled since joining its present yard. There is little encouragement from its recent performances, so it is difficult to consider it as a strong contender.

Based on this analysis, Friary Rock (FR) is the top-ranked horse and is deemed to have an exceptional chance of performing well in this handicap chase. Reserve Tank, despite its inconsistency, has the potential to be competitive in this weaker race. Cilluirid, Da Vinci Hand, and The White Volcano are less favored based on their ratings and comments.

Assess the race conditions and form of the horses, and consider the additional comments before making a final decision.

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