Analysis of my pick of the Carlisle card on Friday based on the Timewise rankings.

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2.15 Carlisle (8 runners)
Southwaite Fillies Handicap
5f

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. Princess Karine – Total Rating: 393.3
  2. Open Market (IRE) – Total Rating: 352.8
  3. Havagomecca – Total Rating: 343.4
  4. May Blossom – Total Rating: 333.9
  5. Lady Lade – Total Rating: 330.9
  6. Enraged – Total Rating: 316.3
  7. Iris Dancer – Total Rating: 295.6
  8. Hoof It Hoof It (IRE) – Total Rating: 260.7

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. Princess Karine:
    Princess Karine has consistently performed well and narrowly missed out on a win in her last race over the same course and distance. With a high total rating and a strong recent performance, she is a big player in this race.
  2. Open Market (IRE):
    Open Market had a successful debut in Ireland and has been performing well in handicap races, including a good second-place finish in his last outing at Doncaster. He remains fairly treated in the handicap and should be considered as a top contender.
  3. Havagomecca:
    Havagomecca comes into this race after a win at Musselburgh and a fourth-place finish in a handicap over the same course and distance. Despite not having the highest total rating, her recent form suggests she should be taken seriously as a contender.
  4. May Blossom:
    May Blossom is returning to a favorable distance of 5 furlongs with the visor reapplied. Although she finished tenth in her last race at Doncaster, she is now below her last winning mark and could be dangerous in this race. Consider her as a potential value bet.
  5. Lady Lade:
    As a previous course and distance winner, Lady Lade cannot be discounted. While she finished sixth in her last race at Musselburgh, her past performances suggest she has the ability to contend for a place in this race.

Special Mention:

Princess Karine stands out as the top-ranked horse with a consistently strong performance and a recent near-miss in her last race. She should be considered a strong contender to win the race based on her total rating and positive comments.

Overall, the race appears to be competitive with several horses having a realistic chance of success. Princess Karine, Open Market (IRE), and Havagomecca are the top-rated contenders and should be given the most consideration. However, it’s also worth keeping an eye on May Blossom and Lady Lade, who have positive comments that suggest they could be threats to the top contenders.

2.50 Carlisle (9 runners)
Lanercost Handicap (Div 1)
6f

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. B Associates (IRE) – Total Rating: 334.6
  2. Stormy Pearl – Total Rating: 290.4
  3. Congress – Total Rating: 233.2
  4. Zebadaay – Total Rating: 227.8
  5. Capofan (IRE) – Total Rating: 224.3
  6. Heart Of Sofia (IRE) – Total Rating: 220.7
  7. Ceilidh – Total Rating: 212.4
  8. Amazing Arthur – Total Rating: 197.5
  9. Heartlander (IRE) – Total Rating: 175.7

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. B Associates (IRE):
    B Associates comes into this race off the back of a career-best win at Musselburgh and carries a 4-pound rise in the handicap. With a strong total rating and a recent victory, B Associates is a strong contender and holds strong follow-up claims.
  2. Stormy Pearl:
    Stormy Pearl put in a creditable fifth-place finish in a handicap at Ripon in his last outing. While not the highest-rated horse, his recent form suggests he shouldn’t be ruled out and could be competitive in this race.
  3. Congress:
    Congress finished tenth in a handicap at Catterick in his last race, but his previous performances indicate that he has the ability to be competitive in this field. Consider him as a dark horse capable of an improved showing.
  4. Zebadaay:
    Zebadaay showed some improvement in his last race at Wolverhampton, finishing second in first-time cheekpieces. Now tried in a visor, he warrants respect and could be a factor in this race.
  5. Capofan (IRE):
    Capofan finished fourth in a handicap at Musselburgh in his last outing, but was unable to sustain his effort. While there may be stronger contenders in the field, he cannot be completely discounted based on previous form.

Special Mention:

B Associates (IRE) stands out as the top-ranked horse with a career-best win in his last race. With a fair rise in the weights and strong follow-up claims, he should be considered a top contender to win the race based on his total rating and positive comments.

Overall, the race appears to be open with several horses having a chance of success. B Associates (IRE), Stormy Pearl, and Congress are the top-rated contenders and should be given the most consideration. However, it’s also worth keeping an eye on Zebadaay, who has shown improvement with the aid of cheekpieces and is now tried in a visor.

3.25 Carlisle (9 runners)
Lanercost Handicap (Div 2)
6f

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. Little Red Dancer – Total Rating: 315.0
  2. Captain Dandy (IRE) – Total Rating: 285.3
  3. Bedazzling (IRE) – Total Rating: 254.5
  4. Kasino – Total Rating: 244.2
  5. Beautron – Total Rating: 219.5
  6. Pub Club – Total Rating: 187.7
  7. Azaim – Total Rating: 187.2
  8. Artemis Flyer (IRE) – Total Rating: 183.8
  9. Helianthus – Total Rating: 173.4

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. Little Red Dancer:
    Little Red Dancer comes into this race off the back of a career-best win at Catterick and carries a penalty for that victory. With the highest total rating in the field and recent good form, Little Red Dancer is likely to go well again and should be considered a top contender.
  2. Captain Dandy (IRE):
    Captain Dandy has shown previous winning form and was fifth in a handicap at Bath in his last outing, indicating he is still in form. Although not the highest-rated horse, he should be considered as a contender based on his recent performance.
  3. Bedazzling (IRE):
    Bedazzling finished third in a handicap at Catterick, just over five lengths behind Little Red Dancer. However, Bedazzling is now on better terms with that rival and should be given respect in this race.
  4. Kasino:
    Kasino finished seventh, over eleven lengths behind Little Red Dancer, in a handicap at Catterick. Based on recent form, it appears that Kasino is up against stronger rivals in this race.

Special Mention:

Little Red Dancer stands out as the top-ranked horse with a career-best win in his last race. Carrying a penalty for that victory, he is likely to be competitive again and should be considered the horse with an exceptional chance to win based on the comments.

Overall, the race seems to be primarily between Little Red Dancer, Captain Dandy (IRE), and Bedazzling (IRE). These three horses have shown recent good form and are the top-rated contenders. However, it’s worth keeping an eye on Beautron, who has positive comments as a lightly raced horse making his handicap debut.

4.05 Carlisle (9 runners)
Kirkbampton Handicap
1m

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. United Force (IRE) – Total Rating: 398.9
  2. Ludos Landing (IRE) – Total Rating: 363.5
  3. Slippin Jimmy (IRE) – Total Rating: 302.0
  4. Kristal Klear (IRE) – Total Rating: 291.1
  5. Kelpie Grey – Total Rating: 285.2
  6. Two Rivers (IRE) – Total Rating: 275.2
  7. Sunny Orange (IRE) – Total Rating: 259.0
  8. No Barrier – Total Rating: 258.4
  9. Reginald Charles – Total Rating: 253.4

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. United Force (IRE):
    United Force comes into this race off the back of a career-best win at Leicester and has shown improvement with the addition of cheekpieces. With the highest total rating in the field, United Force is likely to be suited by the stiff finish at Carlisle and should be considered a top contender.
  2. Ludos Landing (IRE):
    Ludos Landing is a course winner and finished sixth in his last outing at Ascot. With blinkers applied for the first time, he could show improvement in this less competitive event and should be given consideration as a contender.
  3. Slippin Jimmy (IRE):
    Slippin Jimmy put in a good third-place finish in a handicap at Newcastle in his last race. With that form and potential for further improvement, he merits respect in this race and should be considered a top contender.
  4. Kristal Klear (IRE):
    Kristal Klear finished third in a handicap at Haydock in his last outing and has shown promise as a lightly raced maiden. With that creditable performance, he should be taken seriously in this race.

Special Mention:

United Force stands out as the top-ranked horse with a career-best win in his last race. With the addition of cheekpieces and being suited by the track, he is the horse deemed to have an exceptional chance to win based on the comments.

Overall, the race appears to be competitive with several horses having the potential to be in contention. United Force, Ludos Landing (IRE), and Slippin Jimmy (IRE) are the top-rated contenders and should be given the most consideration. However, it’s worth keeping an eye on Kristal Klear (IRE), who has shown promise and could be a threat to the top contenders.

4.45 Carlisle (9 runners)
Kingmoor Handicap
7f 

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. Gunnerside (IRE) – Total Rating: 402.8
  2. La Feile – Total Rating: 336.2
  3. Saisons Dor (IRE) – Total Rating: 320.1
  4. Northbound (IRE) – Total Rating: 316.0
  5. Cassy O (IRE) – Total Rating: 281.3
  6. Yoshimi (IRE) – Total Rating: 250.1
  7. Banner Road (IRE) – Total Rating: 248.0
  8. Earn Your Stripes – Total Rating: 237.6
  9. Blame The Farrier (IRE) – Total Rating: 172.6

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. Gunnerside (IRE):
    Gunnerside is a course winner and has a strong total rating, indicating good form. Despite finishing fifth in his last race, he was left poorly placed, and this should be taken into consideration. Gunnerside remains a top contender based on his overall rating and past performance.
  2. La Feile:
    La Feile finished second in his last outing at Catterick and is coming off a good performance. With recent form and a competitive total rating, La Feile is a horse that should be considered among the top contenders in this race.
  3. Saisons Dor (IRE):
    Saisons Dor has shown previous winning form but has had some poor recent performances. With a lower total rating compared to the top contenders, Saisons Dor may need to show improvement to be a serious threat in this race.

Special Mention:

Gunnerside stands out as the top-ranked horse with a strong total rating and a previous course win. Despite a fifth-place finish in his last race, the circumstances were not in his favour, and he should be considered a top contender with an exceptional chance to win based on the comments.

Overall, Gunnerside, La Feile, and Saisons Dor are the top-rated contenders, with Gunnerside being the standout horse based on total rating and course form. However, it’s worth keeping an eye on Northbound (IRE), who has a recent win and a creditable fourth-place finish, and Cassy O (IRE), who may improve on the back of a poor previous run.

5.16 Carlisle (8 runners)
Dockray Handicap
2m1f

Based on the total ratings provided, here is the rankings in totals order for the Carlisle race:

  1. Yorkindness – Total Rating: 317.2
  2. Trailblazer – Total Rating: 282.4
  3. Two Auld Pals (IRE) – Total Rating: 281.9
  4. Hellenista – Total Rating: 280.5
  5. Scottish Wind (FR) – Total Rating: 220.1
  6. Tarbat Ness – Total Rating: 209.5
  7. Zephlyn (IRE) – Total Rating: 203.2
  8. Riffa Fort – Total Rating: 187.4

Analysis and Assessment:

  1. Yorkindness:
    Yorkindness has a competitive total rating and has shown consistent form with recent performances. While finishing tenth in the previous race, the significant step up in trip could work in their favor. Although not posing a serious threat to the top contenders, Yorkindness is expected to put up a good fight.
  2. Trailblazer:
    Trailblazer returned to form with a third-place finish in the last race. Racing off the same mark, Trailblazer is likely to be in contention once again and holds a strong chance based on recent performances and the total rating.
  3. Two Auld Pals (IRE):
    Two Auld Pals has posted creditable efforts in the last two races, including a second-place finish at Ayr over a longer trip. Effective over this distance, Two Auld Pals is expected to deliver another strong performance and should be considered among the top contenders.

Special Mention:

Yorkindness is the top-ranked horse with a competitive total rating. Despite finishing tenth in the previous race, the significant step up in trip could work in her favour. However, the top contenders in this race are Trailblazer and Two Auld Pals, who have shown recent form and performances that make them strong contenders for the win.

Overall, Trailblazer and Two Auld Pals are the top contenders based on total ratings and recent form. Yorkindness, despite a lower total rating, cannot be overlooked due to the significant step up in trip.

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