Analysis of the Ayr card on Monday based on the Timewise rankings.

·

2.15 Ayr (7 runners)
Every Race Live On Racing TV Maiden
Stakes (GBB Race)

1m

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 2.15 Ayr race:

  1. Tajawal (IRE) – With a total rating of 385.4, Tajawal is the highest-rated horse in the field. Although he suffered a poor run and finished third in his last race at Sandown, his previous placings in all three runs indicate his consistency. The addition of a visor for the first time could bring improvement. Tajawal is considered the form pick in this race.
  2. Lil Frank – This Frankel colt has shown fairly useful form, finishing second in a minor event at Southwell in his last race. With a total rating of 371.4, Lil Frank is a player in this race and has the potential for further improvement.
  3. The Caltonian – The Caltonian, a twice-raced gelding, finished eighth in a maiden at Carlisle in his last outing. He needs to step forward and improve significantly to contend in this race.
  4. Genevieve – Genevieve finished last in a maiden at Ayr in her debut race. With limited form and being significantly up in trip, she has work to do and may struggle against stronger competition.
  5. Fiver Friday (IRE) – Fiver Friday showed promise with a third-place finish on debut but disappointed in her last race at Leopardstown, finishing eighth. If she can bounce back from that below-par performance, she could have place prospects.
  6. The Darien Scheme (IRE) – The Darien Scheme finished tenth in a maiden at Carlisle in his last race and has lots to find on form. He is not among the top contenders based on the provided information.
  7. Angel From Above (IRE) – Although Angel From Above appeals on paper as a half-sister to several winners, including smart winners over varying distances, her lack of racing experience and absence of recent ratings make it difficult to assess her chances accurately. Market indicators may provide better insights.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Tajawal is the top-ranked horse with a notable rating and the title of the form pick. Lil Frank is the next contender with useful form and potential for improvement. The Caltonian, Genevieve, Fiver Friday, The Darien Scheme, and Angel From Above are not considered as strong contenders based on the provided information.

2.45 Ayr (5 runners)
Join Racing TV Now Fillies Handicap

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 2.45 Ayr race:

  1. Alethiometer (FR) – Alethiometer is the highest-rated horse in the field with a total rating of 369.0. She resumed from a 10-month break with a good second in a handicap at Redcar over 8 furlongs. Despite a 2 lb increase in weight, she remains a strong player in this race.
  2. Gometra Ginty (IRE) – Gometra Ginty finished seventh in a handicap at Catterick in her last race. However, she has the potential to bounce back as she returns to a potentially lenient mark. Her previous form suggests she could be a contender in this race.
  3. Cosa Sara (IRE) – Cosa Sara is a course winner and had a recent win at Ayr in May. Although she finished below form and fifth in a handicap at Hamilton, she has the capability to bounce back. With the cheekpieces refitted, she should be considered as a contender.
  4. Woobay (IRE) – Woobay is a progressive maiden who finished second in a maiden race at Ayr in her last outing. This will be her handicap debut, and based on her recent form, she should be strongly considered as a contender.
  5. Floral Splendour – Floral Splendour finished fourteenth in a handicap at York in her last race. She needs to get back on track and improve to be competitive in this field.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Alethiometer is the top-ranked horse and should be considered as a strong contender. Gometra Ginty, Cosa Sara, and Woobay are the other contenders in this race, with each of them having the potential to perform well based on their recent form and comments.

3.15 Ayr (7 runners)
Book The Unite Scotland Summer Raceday Handicap
1m2f

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 3.15 Ayr race:

  1. Fifty Sent – Fifty Sent is the highest-rated horse in the field with a total rating of 364.7. He had a good start for his new yard at Newcastle, fending off the reopposing Tafsir to secure a recent victory. He remains competitive and should be considered as a strong contender with a 2 lb rise in weight.
  2. St Andrews Castle – St Andrews Castle won over this course and distance in his last outing, defeating some of today’s rivals. However, he was partnered by a 5 lb claimer on that occasion, so he carries a higher weight now. His previous form suggests he can be competitive, but the weight increase needs to be taken into account.
  3. Tafsir (USA) – Tafsir was narrowly beaten by Fifty Sent in their last meeting at Newcastle and finished behind St Andrews Castle and two other rivals in a race over this course and distance. While he may need to find a little more improvement to win, he should still be considered as a strong contender based on his recent form.
  4. Flying Moon (GER) – Flying Moon is a three-time course and distance winner, including winning this race last year. Although he finished second to stablemate Royal Countess in his last outing, he finished last in the race won by St Andrews Castle. His previous course form makes him a contender, but he needs to improve from his recent performance.
  5. Royal Countess – Royal Countess won on her reappearance over this course and distance, defeating stablemate Flying Moon. However, a 4 lb rise in the weights seems to have halted her progress. She cannot be discounted completely but may face a tougher challenge this time.
  6. Havana Party – Havana Party has been winless in his last eleven starts. He finished fourth over this course and distance in his last race. Although not the most straightforward horse, the change to first-time blinkers from usual cheekpieces may have a positive effect. He should still be respected in the field.
  7. Coconut Bay – Coconut Bay had a recent poor performance when she finished last at Carlisle after pulling too hard from the front. However, in her previous outing, she had a creditable third-place finish over this course and distance behind St Andrews Castle. The addition of a tongue strap may help her perform better.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Fifty Sent is the top-ranked horse and should be considered as a strong contender. St Andrews Castle, Tafsir, and Flying Moon are the other contenders in this race, with each of them having the potential to perform well based on their recent form and comments.

3.45 Ayr (6 runners)
Take That Tribute At Western House Handicap
1m7f

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 3.45 Ayr race:

  1. Grand Canal (IRE) – Grand Canal has yet to achieve a top placing this season but did win this race 12 months ago. The addition of first-time blinkers could spark a revival, and he cannot be discounted based on his previous success in this race.
  2. Imperative – Imperative has had a good start for his new yard, winning a handicap at this course on his latest outing. He has scope for further improvement with a lightly-raced profile and should be considered a leading contender in this race.
  3. Baez – Baez is a fair maiden who showed promise in his first run for his new yard, finishing creditably third in a handicap at this course. He was caught further back than ideal in that race, and with the potential for further improvement, he should be respected in this field.
  4. Annandale (IRE) – Annandale is a course winner and finished a creditable third in a handicap at Carlisle on his last outing. He is significantly back up in trip for this race, which could suit him well. With his course form and recent performance, he should be considered as a strong contender.
  5. Red Missile (IRE) – Red Missile has had recent jumps form, including a pulled-up effort in a handicap hurdle. He finished third to Grand Canal in this race last year but hasn’t been seen on the Flat since then. The addition of first-time blinkers replaces cheekpieces, but others may have more obvious chances.
  6. Aighear – Aighear is a C&D winner from last September. He finished sixth in a handicap at Musselburgh on his reappearance and should be fitter for this race. While he may need to improve to contend, his previous course success cannot be entirely discounted.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Grand Canal and Imperative are the top-ranked horses and should be considered as the leading contenders. Baez and Annandale are also strong contenders based on their recent performances and positive comments. Red Missile and Aighear may need to show improvement to challenge the top contenders.

4.15 Ayr (6 runners)
Staycations At Western House Hotel Handicap
5f

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 4.15 Ayr race:

  1. One Last Hug – One Last Hug is a C&D winner and has two wins from six runs this year. Although he finished sixth in his recent outing, he had a wide trip under an inexperienced rider. He should be respected based on his previous C&D success and could bounce back in this race.
  2. Indian Sounds (IRE) – Indian Sounds has had a long run without a win, but he finished fourth in a handicap at Pontefract on his latest outing, which represented a drop in class. This race provides another opportunity for him to compete at a lower level, and he should be considered as a contender.
  3. Kraken Power (IRE) – Kraken Power finished third in a handicap at this course in his recent run over 6f. Returning to 5f should suit him well, and with his respectable performance in his last race, he is likely to put up another strong effort in this contest.
  4. Stay Smart – Stay Smart has not won in a while, but he produced a good second-place finish in a handicap at Musselburgh on his most recent outing. While he couldn’t catch a thriving rival, his performance suggests he is in good form and should be considered as a strong contender.
  5. Freedom Flyer (IRE) – Freedom Flyer has a win at Thirsk in April and finished fifth in a handicap at this course over 6f in his last race. The way he has been shaping suggests that a return to 5f will be more suitable for him, and he could improve in this race.
  6. Sixcor – Sixcor is a three-time C&D winner but finished last in a handicap at this C&D in his recent run. However, that run can be excused as he reportedly lost both fore shoes. His previous course successes cannot be disregarded, but he will need to bounce back from his last performance.

Based on the total ratings and comments, One Last Hug and Indian Sounds are the top-ranked horses and should be considered as strong contenders. Kraken Power and Stay Smart also have positive comments and recent performances, making them viable contenders. Freedom Flyer and Sixcor will need to show improvement to challenge the top contenders.

4.45 Ayr (8 runners)
Book Family Racedays In July Handicap
1m

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 4.45 Ayr race:

  1. Biplane (USA) – Biplane is a course winner and won a handicap at Newcastle in his recent outing. Although he is 4 lb higher on turf, his previous win and well-positioned performance make him a strong contender in this race.
  2. Alpine Sierra (IRE) – Alpine Sierra finished seventh in a handicap at Wolverhampton in his last race after a break of 7 months. It is his first run for a new yard, and his current well-being may be indicated by the market. His previous experience as a course winner adds to his chances.
  3. Rory – Rory is a course winner and finished third in a handicap at Musselburgh in his recent outing. He was ridden more prominently than usual and up in trip, showing a creditable performance. With his previous success at this course, he should be considered as a contender.
  4. Kalahari Prince (IRE) – Kalahari Prince finished fifth in a handicap at Beverley in his last race with blinkers on for the first time. He has been eased 2 lb in the weights and is now under the care of David O’Meara. Although a recent addition to the yard, he has shown promise and could improve in this race.
  5. Retirement Beckons – Retirement Beckons is a C&D winner but finished seventh in a handicap at this C&D in his recent run. He seems to be out of form at the moment and may need to improve to be competitive.
  6. Tangled (IRE) – Tangled has not won in his last twenty runs and finished ninth in a handicap at this course in his latest outing. However, he will be wearing blinkers for the first time, which could potentially bring about a positive change in his performance.
  7. Spirit Of Ash (IRE) – Spirit Of Ash finished seventh in a handicap at Dundalk in her last race, and it is her first run for a new yard. Although she is off for 110 days, she may be worth a quick check in the market to gauge her current condition.
  8. Oot Ma Way (FR) – Oot Ma Way last competed in a handicap hurdle at Newcastle 125 days ago and finished last. It is her first run for a new yard, and her recent form is uncertain.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Biplane and Rory are the top-ranked horses and have a strong chance of performing well in this race. Alpine Sierra, Kalahari Prince, and Tangled also have positive comments and could be considered as contenders. Retirement Beckons, Spirit Of Ash, and Oot Ma Way will need to show improvement to challenge the top contenders.

5.15 Ayr (6 runners)
Book For Scottish Sun Ladies Night Handicap
7½f

Based on the provided ratings and comments, here is the analysis and assessment of the contenders for the 5.15 Ayr race:

  1. Primos Comet – Primos Comet is the top-ranked horse based on total ratings. Although he has been unreliable in the past, he won a handicap at this course in his last race over 6 furlongs. With the increase in distance, he may have a chance to continue his winning form.
  2. Global Humor (USA) – Global Humor won a handicap at this course over 6 furlongs in his recent outing. It was his first victory since 2021, and he is now back up in trip. While he may be inconsistent, his recent success makes him a contender.
  3. Angel Amadea – Angel Amadea won at Wolverhampton earlier this year and finished eighth in a handicap at Doncaster over 6 furlongs in her last race. With the increase in trip and a potentially favorable mark, she could be a dangerous contender.
  4. Monhammer – Monhammer is a C&D winner and finished seventh in a handicap at this C&D in his recent run. He has been gradually working his way back to form and could show improvement in this race.
  5. Jkr Cobbler (IRE) – Jkr Cobbler unseated the rider in a handicap at Hamilton in his last race but was plugging on before the saddle slipped. While his recent performance was affected by an incident, he could bounce back in this race.
  6. Elettaria (IRE) – Elettaria finished sixth in a handicap at this course over 6 furlongs in her latest outing. She will be wearing cheekpieces for the first time and is stepping back up in trip. However, her recent form and lower rating suggest she may face a tougher challenge.

Based on the analysis, Primos Comet, Global Humor, and Angel Amadea stand out as the top contenders. Primos Comet holds the highest total rating and is in good form, while Global Humor and Angel Amadea have recently tasted success at this course and have the potential to perform well again. Monhammer, Jkr Cobbler, and Elettaria will need to show improvement or overcome recent setbacks to challenge the top contenders.

Please note that the provided analysis is based on the available ratings and comments. Actual race outcomes may vary, and it is advisable to consider additional factors such as recent form, jockey and trainer form, and course conditions when making final assessments and selections.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe