Analysis of the Fakenham card on Sunday based on the Timewise rankings.

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2.30 Fakenham (3 runners)
1st The Queens Dragoon Guards Prince
Of Wales Cup Handicap Chase

3m1½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Mystic Man (IRE) – 343.8
  2. Kym Eyre (IRE) – 337.1
  3. Rebel Leader (IRE) – 301.3

Top Contenders:

  1. Mystic Man (IRE) – With a total rating of 343.8, Mystic Man has shown improvement since switching to fences. He won a handicap chase at Southwell in a field of 11 runners just three weeks ago. The 4-pound rise in the weights seems lenient, and the test of speed over this trip should suit him well. Mystic Man is considered a top contender based on the provided comments.
  2. Kym Eyre (IRE) – With a total rating of 337.1, Kym Eyre has also shown progress over fences, winning at Stratford over 27.5 furlongs. However, the comment mentions that a messy race could be an issue for her back in trip, which is a factor to consider. Nonetheless, Kym Eyre’s overall rating makes her a strong contender.

Other Horse to Consider:

  • Rebel Leader (IRE) – With a total rating of 301.3, Rebel Leader has shown improved form in the past, winning at Perth and following up at Stratford in 2021. However, there are concerns about his well-being as he hasn’t competed in a year, and he has failed to complete two of his three starts since. Rebel Leader’s recent form and lack of race fitness make him a less reliable option in this race.

3.00 Fakenham (7 runners)
British Racing School 40th Anniversary
Female Jockeys Handicap Hurdle

2m5f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Enthused (IRE) – 392.7
  2. Never No Trouble – 297.2
  3. Pollypockett (IRE) – 258.8
  4. Rebel Royal (IRE) – 242.5
  5. Valamix (IRE) – 232.0
  6. The Bandit (IRE) – 231.1
  7. Sermando (FR) – 224.6

Top Contenders:

  1. Enthused (IRE) – With a total rating of 392.7, Enthused is the top-ranked horse in this race. She is a fairly useful Flat winner who showed promise when winning over hurdles at Huntingdon 12 days ago. The race she won is starting to work out well, and the 4-pound rise in the weights seems fair. Enthused is considered a top contender based on the provided comments.
  2. Never No Trouble – With a total rating of 297.2, Never No Trouble has been consistent and gained reward for her efforts with a win at Hereford in February. Despite a slight setback in jumping in her subsequent race, she quickly bounced back to form with a third-place finish at Ludlow. Never No Trouble’s consistency and ability to perform well in this field make her a strong contender.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Pollypockett (IRE) – With a total rating of 258.8, Pollypockett has shown promise as a bumper winner and took a step back in the right direction with a third-place finish at Market Rasen in her second handicap start. If she can build on that performance, she could be dangerous at this level.
  • Rebel Royal (IRE) – While Rebel Royal has only one win over hurdles, his mark continues to drop, which could work in his favor. However, there are concerns about his recent form and pulling on his last outing, which may affect his chances.

3.30 Fakenham (8 runners)
Jarrold Norwich, Cromer & Wymondham Handicap Chase
2m1f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Cloudy Wednesday (IRE) – 389.8
  2. Arbennig (IRE) – 279.3
  3. Order Of St John – 252.2
  4. Go Fox – 249.1
  5. Overtougeorge – 242.9
  6. Estate Italiana (USA) – 237.0
  7. Uncle O – 226.1
  8. Pittsburg (IRE) – 222.1

Top Contenders:

  1. Cloudy Wednesday (IRE) – With a total rating of 389.8, Cloudy Wednesday is the top-ranked horse in this race. He has shown promise over fences, winning over 21 furlongs at Fakenham in February and adding to his tally at Huntingdon. While the shorter trip might pose a different question, Cloudy Wednesday is still considered a top contender based on the provided comments.
  2. Arbennig (IRE) – With a total rating of 279.3, Arbennig has a solid record at Fakenham, having previously won a handicap over the same course and distance. He made a sound return from another breathing operation when finishing third at Ludlow. The venue clearly suits Arbennig, making him a strong contender.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Order Of St John – While Order Of St John is making a switch to fences, he got off the mark over hurdles with a narrow success at Leicester. However, his recent flat efforts have not been impressive, and his form ahead of this race raises some concerns.
  • Go Fox – Although struggling for form recently, Go Fox is considered well handicapped if he can stage a revival. His previous form over fences and the potential for improvement make him a horse to keep an eye on.
  • Overtougeorge – Overtougeorge has previously won over hurdles but didn’t perform well on his recent reappearance over fences. However, he has undergone wind surgery and has a history of performing well fresh. The booking of jockey Harry Cobden adds to his appeal.

4.00 Fakenham (5 runners)
Sworders Property Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. State Of Bliss (IRE) – 322.1
  2. Book of Secrets (IRE) – 289.5
  3. Thorpeness (IRE) – 281.8
  4. Sir Canford (IRE) – 256.6
  5. Smart Deal – 265.6

Top Contenders:

  1. State Of Bliss (IRE) – With a total rating of 322.1, State Of Bliss is the top-ranked horse in this race. He has shown promise both on the flat and over hurdles, with a promising third-place finish in a Kempton novice hurdle. Despite a quick run and finishing second over 2½ miles at Fakenham, he has since been freshened up and is considered to have leading claims in this race.
  2. Book of Secrets (IRE) – With a total rating of 289.5, Book of Secrets has displayed fair form on the flat and over hurdles. He finished a creditable second in a 2-mile Stratford seller last month, and his previous success on the flat adds to his credentials. With a good record in this race, Book of Secrets is considered a strong contender.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Thorpeness (IRE) – Although well-beaten in two bumpers, Thorpeness showed improvement on his recent hurdle debut at Huntingdon, finishing third of nine with the addition of a tongue strap. With the guidance of top hands, he has the potential to build on that performance.
  • Sir Canford (IRE) – While not seen for over 20 months, Sir Canford has a fair flat record and has also shown promise over hurdles. The new yard has a good record in this race, and if ready after the long break, Sir Canford could be a contender.
  • Smart Deal – Although not included in the top rankings, Smart Deal has displayed ability in his three outings. However, his headstrong racing style has hindered his performances. If he can learn to race more efficiently, there is potential for improvement.

4.30 Fakenham (5 runners)
Jarrold Handicap Chase
2m6f 

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Hatcher (IRE) – 408.3
  2. Quoi De Neuf (FR) – 352.9
  3. Pawpaw – 317.1
  4. Name In Lights (IRE) – 292.4
  5. Sopran Thor (FR) – 256.8

Top Contenders:

  1. Hatcher (IRE) – With a total rating of 408.3, Hatcher is the top-ranked horse in this race. While his record has been inconsistent, he showed promise with a third-place finish at Warwick in his last outing. Although not guaranteed to build on that performance, he could still be a contender.
  2. Quoi De Neuf (FR) – With a total rating of 352.9, Quoi De Neuf has resumed winning ways over hurdles and finished second back over fences at Ludlow. Despite a lesser run over hurdles in his most recent race, his previous form suggests that he should be thereabouts in this race.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Pawpaw – Although not included in the top rankings, Pawpaw produced a career-best performance when winning a handicap chase at Fontwell. Going in the right direction over fences, Pawpaw holds leading claims and should be respected.
  • Name In Lights (IRE) – With two hurdles wins under his belt, Name In Lights improved on his previous chasing efforts with a third-place finish in a handicap at Kempton. If his jumping sharpens up, he could improve further in this sphere and should be considered.
  • Sopran Thor (FR) – While not among the top-ranked horses, Sopran Thor scored over the course and distance in April. Although he has reverted to type since then, a return to this track could work in his favor.

5.00 Fakenham (5 runners)
Racing TV Handicap Hurdle
2m½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Lipa K (IRE) – 424.8
  2. Sisterandbrother – 418.2
  3. Too Friendly – 395.0
  4. Glimpse Of Gold – 371.2
  5. Nevendon – 292.7

Top Contenders:

  1. Lipa K (IRE) – With a total rating of 424.8, Lipa K is the top-ranked horse in this race. Chasing a hat-trick after recent victories at Warwick and Ludlow, Lipa K remains well treated and holds leading claims to continue the winning streak.
  2. Sisterandbrother – With a total rating of 418.2, Sisterandbrother is a fair winner on the Flat who showed promise in his hurdling debut and confirmed that promise by winning a novice hurdle at Huntingdon. Making the switch to handicaps, he may have more to offer and should be considered.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Too Friendly – Although not among the top-ranked horses, Too Friendly delivered a creditable third-place finish in a handicap hurdle at Southwell. With a favorable handicap mark and wearing cheekpieces for the first time, Too Friendly warrants respect.
  • Glimpse Of Gold – Despite being a veteran, Glimpse Of Gold had a hat-trick of wins last summer but has struggled to find the winner’s circle since then. With a tumbling mark, he may still be in contention despite making limited appeal.
  • Nevendon – Making a winning debut for new connections in a novice selling hurdle at Stratford, Nevendon enters calculations for this race. Although facing tougher competition, his recent success should not be overlooked.

5.30 Fakenham (5 runners)
Fakenham Races Friday 20th October
Novices Handicap Hurdle

3m½f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. For Gina – 338.2
  2. If Karls Berg Did – 327.2
  3. Boleyn Boy (IRE) – 295.8
  4. Blazing Hartingo (IRE) – 225.0
  5. Prince Of Bad Lins (GER) – 187.2

Top Contenders:

  1. For Gina – With a total rating of 338.2, For Gina is the top-ranked horse in this race. She has made the frame in all four starts over timber and delivered a creditable third-place finish on her handicap debut at Warwick. With a slight drop in weight and a good account expected, For Gina holds strong claims.
  2. If Karls Berg Did – With a total rating of 327.2, If Karls Berg Did has been far from disgraced in his recent performances. Despite still looking for his first win, he showed promise with a third-place finish in a handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter. While others may be more appealing, If Karls Berg Did cannot be ignored.

Other Horses to Consider:

  • Boleyn Boy (IRE) – Although not among the top-ranked horses, Boleyn Boy produced a creditable second-place finish at Chepstow on his latest start. If he can build on that form over this longer trip, he could be a contender.
  • Blazing Hartingo (IRE) – A promising individual, Blazing Hartingo was unsuited by a drop back in trip in his last outing. With a visor added for his handicap debut, he holds strong claims and should not be overlooked.
  • Prince Of Bad Lins (GER) – Still looking for his first win and coming off a disappointing performance in a handicap chase, Prince Of Bad Lins may be best watched in this race, especially back over hurdles.

Please note that these rankings are based solely on the provided ratings and comments. Other factors such as jockey and trainer performance, recent form, and course conditions should also be taken into account when making final judgments and selections.

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