2.15 Southwell (3 runners)
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3m1f
Based on the ratings provided, the rankings for the 2.15 Southwell race, focusing primarily on total ratings, are as follows:
- Bbold (IRE) – Total: 440.9
- Jaytee – Total: 437.9
- Tango Boy (IRE) – Total: 365.1
Bbold (IRE) holds the top spot in our ratings. This horse won at Southwell a year ago off 8 lb higher and ran up to his best at Warwick in September. Though recent performances have been below par, the horse might have needed the run on its second start for this yard at Newton Abbot three weeks ago. If Bbold (IRE) can recapture the form shown at Warwick, this horse could have a strong chance of outperforming its odds.
Second in the ratings, Jaytee, has shown excellent recent form, performing better than ever when finishing runner-up over C&D last month and went one better here two weeks ago, soon clear. Based on this recent success, Jaytee looks set to challenge Bbold (IRE) for the top spot and has clear claims for a strong performance.
Third in our ratings, Tango Boy (IRE), won a handicap at Wetherby in October and bounced back from a weaker run by winning a match race at Catterick in February. This horse seems to be a bit in and out but is very capable off this mark and has a good record when fresh. Tango Boy (IRE) could certainly challenge the higher-rated horses in this race, particularly if he runs as well as he did at Catterick.
In conclusion, while Bbold (IRE) and Jaytee are top-rated and both have shown strong recent form, Tango Boy (IRE) also has potential to outperform its rating. However, Jaytee’s recent performances are notably impressive, and this horse could have an exceptional chance of claiming the top spot in this race.
2.45 Southwell (7 runners)
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2m5f
The 2.45 Southwell race rankings, focusing primarily on total ratings, are as follows:
- Fabrique En France (FR) – Total: 379.0
- Limerick Leader (FR) – Total: 341.2
- Coupdebol (FR) – Total: 303.7
- Harry Du Berlais (IRE) – Total: 258.7
- Begoodtoyourself (IRE) – Total: 213.3
- Glebe Road (IRE) – Total: 213.2
- Grow Nasa Grow (IRE) – Total: 204.4
Fabrique En France (FR) holds the top spot in the rankings. This horse achieved victory over fences in a handicap at Worcester a year ago, but hasn’t been able to maintain that level of performance since. There was some encouragement in a third-place finish over the C&D last time out, but stamina is still a question mark.
Second in the ratings, Limerick Leader (FR) is a fair hurdles winner who displayed career-best form in only its third start over fences when coming in second at Newcastle three weeks ago. This horse still possesses untapped potential over fences and is seen as a strong contender to improve on its previous performance.
Third in our ratings, Coupdebol (FR), began its chase account at Warwick last February and could likely have followed up had it not been for a fall at the last fence at Uttoxeter the next month. Despite a disappointing last season, this horse is steadily declining in weights which could open up a chance to recapture its earlier form.
Among the rest, Harry Du Berlais (IRE) is noteworthy for having won at Market Rasen in November, though it hasn’t been able to reproduce that form in the three subsequent starts. On the other hand, Begoodtoyourself (IRE), Glebe Road (IRE), and Grow Nasa Grow (IRE) are lower-rated and currently struggling with form, making them less likely to be competitive in this race.
In conclusion, while Fabrique En France (FR) and Limerick Leader (FR) are top-rated and have shown promising signs, it is Limerick Leader (FR) that stands out with its potential for improvement over fences. This horse could have an exceptional chance of outperforming its rating in this race.
3.15 Southwell (8 runners)
Star Sports Split Second Offer Mares Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
2m
The 3.15 Southwell race rankings, focusing primarily on total ratings, are as follows:
- Most Agreeable – Total: 243.1
- Darting Rose – Total: 227.0
- Not Now Foxy (IRE) – Total: 161.4
- Aston Martini – Total: 137.8
- Riccirella – Total: 128.0
- Granny Hawkins – Total: 95.5
- Gone Away Madam – Total: 84.6
- Canyouseeme – Total: 68.2
Most Agreeable stands out at the top of the rankings, bred to stay the course and previously shaped promisingly when fifth out of twelve in a bumper race at Warwick on debut in February. However, this horse does need to step up from that performance and the addition of a tongue tie might help.
Second in the ratings, Darting Rose hails from a family well-known to the connections. She demonstrated considerable promise when placing fourth out of ten in a bumper race at this C&D on debut 22 days ago. Although she failed to sustain the effort having not fully settled, her performance sets a standard for this race.
Not Now Foxy (IRE), though third in the ratings, failed to impress in her previous outing, coming eighth of nine in a bumper at Bangor, making her a less likely contender.
Aston Martini ranks fourth and, while there isn’t much data on this horse, she is of interest as a newcomer from a leading yard. She is a half-sister to the useful 19f/2½m hurdle winner Landrake, suggesting some potential for strong performance in her bloodline.
While lower-rated, Granny Hawkins is a noteworthy newcomer, worth keeping an eye on. She’s a £23,000 3-y-o Blue Bresil filly, sister to the bumper winner and fair 2m hurdle winner Klitschko, as well as to the fairly useful 17f hurdle winner Arctic Bresil, indicating good pedigree.
In conclusion, the top-rated horse Most Agreeable does have potential but must show improvement from previous performance. However, the one to watch might be Darting Rose, given her promising debut and familial history of strong performance. The newcomer, Aston Martini, also warrants special attention due to her breeding and connection to a leading yard.
3.45 Southwell (8 runners)
starsports.bet National Hunt Maiden
Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m5f
The 3.45 Southwell race rankings, based on total ratings, are as follows:
- Genovese (IRE) – Total: 440.6
- A Definite Getaway (IRE) – Total: 382.7
- Delta Run (IRE) – Total: 310.0
- Piper Tom (IRE) – Total: 286.0
- Tommouse (IRE) – Total: 270.9
- Jean Pierre – Total: 205.2
- Malago Rose (IRE) – Total: 202.2
- Seefin (IRE) – Total: 96.5
Genovese (IRE) takes the top spot in the ratings. Despite being relatively inexperienced, this horse made a successful debut at Worcester in September. She found a tougher race at Chepstow more challenging but managed to get back on track when finishing third in November. She’s also bred for a step up in trip, suggesting she might perform well in this hurdle race.
Next in line is A Definite Getaway (IRE), a fair maiden hurdler who has consistently performed at a high level, finishing second in three successive starts. His last performance at Huntingdon 26 days ago was up to his best, suggesting that he has outstanding claims.
Ranked third is Delta Run (IRE). This horse has shown improvement with each start and shaped well when switched to hurdling. Despite weakening before the 2 out at Ffos Las in December, Delta Run hasn’t been seen since, and there’s reason to believe she may improve on the longer trip.
Lower in the rankings, but worthy of mention, is Tommouse (IRE). A Getaway gelding, Tommouse has demonstrated potential over hurdles and managed to improve his position at Market Rasen recently. There is promise for this horse to perform well as he moves up in trip.
In summary, the top-rated horse, Genovese (IRE), shows promise given her successful debut and recent performance. A Definite Getaway (IRE), second in the ratings, seems to have consistent form that may give him a strong chance in this race. And although lower in ratings, Tommouse (IRE) is a horse to keep an eye on due to his displayed potential.
4.20 Southwell (7 runners)
starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap Hurdle
2m5f
The 4.20 Southwell race rankings, based on total ratings, are as follows:
- Kincardine – Total: 454.1
- Dasher Riley – Total: 412.2
- Presenting Pete (IRE) – Total: 381.1
- Cabrakan (IRE) – Total: 359.0
- Ike Sport (FR) – Total: 334.3
- Pink Eyed Pedro – Total: 332.2
- Roxboro Road (IRE) – Total: 286.3
Kincardine is leading the ratings. A recent operation and the fitting of cheekpieces resulted in a return to form at Exeter in April, although his performance slipped at Ludlow next time out. Kincardine is somewhat unpredictable and his performance on the track can be inconsistent, but it’s worth noting he’s a course bumper winner.
Dasher Riley ranks second in the totals and presents a strong case for winning potential. He’s lightly raced and made an excellent start with his new yard when he won a 2m Worcester handicap hurdle last month. This is his first run away from that track and he’s moving up in trip, suggesting he could have more to offer.
In third place based on total ratings is Presenting Pete (IRE). He was in good form in handicap hurdles last summer and is expected to give a bold bid after a satisfactory return at Market Rasen recently.
Coming in fourth but deserving attention is Ike Sport (FR). He has raised his game significantly since coming back from a four-month break, beating a subsequent winner at Taunton in March and returning to form at Ludlow four weeks ago. Now fitted with cheekpieces, he’s one to watch closely.
In summary, based on total ratings, Kincardine is leading, but his inconsistency makes him less reliable. Dasher Riley, who ranks second, has shown promise in recent races and could have more to offer. Even though they’re lower in the rankings, both Presenting Pete (IRE) and Ike Sport (FR) have been highlighted for their recent form, and therefore could pose a threat.
4.50 Southwell (10 runners)
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2m
Based on the ratings provided, here’s my analysis:
- Appreciate (IRE): With a total rating of 432.8, Appreciate is the highest-rated contender in this race. Not only does it excel in terms of rating, but it has also won four consecutive hurdle races last summer and resumed this winning form recently at Cartmel. Given these strong performances and an effective 2 lb lower mark for this race, Appreciate stands out as the top contender and seems to have an exceptional chance of success.
- Bobby Socks: Bobby Socks is the second highest-rated horse with a total of 345.7. It demonstrated solid form last year when it won a bumper at Newton Abbot. However, its recent performance hasn’t been as impressive, showing below par form after a wind op. The horse needs to recover its form to contend strongly in this race.
- Ambassador (IRE): Rated third with a total of 327.9, Ambassador hasn’t shown encouraging form recently, especially after a lengthy absence. Despite its fairly good performances for Dan Skelton in 2021, it would be difficult to see it challenging for top honours based on recent performances.
- Chemical Warfare (IRE): Chemical Warfare is the fourth highest-rated horse with a total of 327.6. It had a clear victory in a 2m handicap chase at Newcastle in May but delivered only a fair performance in its latest hurdle at Hexham. Therefore, a bit more is required from this horse to be a serious contender in this race.
- Forget The Way: With a total rating of 326.9, Forget The Way takes the fifth spot. The horse has demonstrated fair form over hurdles, even placing fourth in a recent handicap hurdle at Warwick. It is certainly one to be considered in this race.
Other notable mentions include Allbetsoff (IRE), who is still a maiden but has shown good form recently and could bounce back to impress in this race.
In summary, Appreciate (IRE) appears to be the strongest contender in this race based on the provided ratings and recent performance. However, horses like Forget The Way and potentially Allbetsoff could pose a challenge if they perform to their best abilities.
5.20 Southwell (11 runners)
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3m1f
Based on the ratings provided, the following is an analysis of the horse race:
1. Tommydan (IRE) – Total 331.7: As the highest-rated contender, Tommydan is a strong candidate. He showed promise as the runner-up in his latest race and is increasing his distance this time, suggesting potential for improvement. His performance has been hit-and-miss, but if he’s in good form, he’s a serious contender. This is an exceptional horse to watch.
2. Doors Breaker (FR) – Total 290.1: Doors Breaker, the second highest-rated horse, bounced back well after a disappointing race. His third place finish at Haydock on a good to firm surface suggests he’s quite versatile. He recently underwent another wind operation, and if this proves beneficial, he could be a strong challenger.
3. Stripe Of Honour (IRE) – Total 289.6: Stripe Of Honour pulled off some surprise wins recently, including a 50/1 win at Worcester. Despite his strong performance, he’s saddled with an 8 lb higher mark which could be a stumbling block. However, given his recent form, he’s one to keep an eye on.
4. Jimvale (IRE) – Total 262.0: Jimvale has shown improvement since a winter wind operation. He’s being tested with a more challenging distance, which could work in his favour. He’s worth a second look as he enters the handicap race.
5. Get Phar (IRE) – Total 260.7: Despite Get Phar’s pace in handicap hurdles, he’s yet to secure a win in this category. His recent performance post a 10-month break suggests he may need more time to return to form.
6. Robbie Dazzler – Total 252.1: Robbie Dazzler has placed multiple times in 2022 but his last performance was hampered by jumping issues. If he’s able to bounce back after a wind operation, he could be a contender.
Looking outside the total ratings, Abington Park stands out due to his consistent performance under Alex Hales. A drop in weight and return to hurdles after a 6-month break could potentially make him a surprise contender.
In summary, Tommydan appears to have an exceptional chance based on his high total rating and his solid recent performance. The remaining top-rated horses, Doors Breaker and Stripe Of Honour, also have strong potential, but their recent medical procedures could be a variable to consider. Keep an eye on Jimvale who may surprise us in his first handicap race, and don’t disregard the outsider Abington Park.
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