2.10 Haydock (5 runners)
Jewson Tool Hire Apprentice Handicap
1m4f
In the 2.10 race at Haydock, the Timewise ratings rank the horses as follows:
- Wynter Wildes
- Bollin Margaret
- Swift Tuttle (IRE)
Wynter Wildes comes in first with a total score of 299.9, just edging out Bollin Margaret. However, the horse’s form this year is a concern, as it has yet to score a win despite being a three-time winner in 2022. The recent performance at Chester, where it finished a respectable fifth, suggests the horse is in decent shape but not necessarily in winning form.
Bollin Margaret, a close second with a total score of 299.2, appears to be a strong contender. The horse returned to form with a second-place finish at Redcar and followed that up with an emphatic win at Thirsk 9 days ago. It’s worth noting that Bollin Margaret is still well-positioned despite a 5 lb penalty, indicating that the horse holds obvious claims.
Swift Tuttle (IRE), ranking third with a total score of 285.2, is also worth consideration. The horse showed significant improvement on its reappearance, finishing a good second at this course 18 days ago. Despite a minor 1 lb higher now, the comments suggest that it should perform well again.
In summary, while Wynter Wildes leads based on Timewise ratings, its current form does not inspire confidence. Bollin Margaret, in contrast, is in top form and seems well-positioned to build on its recent successes. Swift Tuttle (IRE), although ranking third, also showed promise in its recent outing and should not be overlooked. All told, Bollin Margaret seems to have an exceptional chance, based on both the Timewise ratings and recent performance.
2.40 Haydock (5 runners)
Jewson Wigan EBF Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
1m4f
This analysis of the 2.40 race at Haydock is based on the provided Timewise ratings and additional comments on the horses:
- Truthful (IRE): With a total score of 399.9, Truthful ranks at the top of the list. The comments suggest that she’s a sister to the smart winner Sea On Time and won on debut at Salisbury. Given that she showed room for improvement by running green and staying on to lead in the final strides, she could be a strong contender in this race.
- Shagpyle: Close on the heels of Truthful, Shagpyle ranks second with a total score of 394.0. This horse has a strong pedigree, being a half-sister to the high-class winner Pyledriver. She made a promising debut with a win at Ascot, where she displayed her strength by overcoming pace bias. With a step up in trip expected to suit, Shagpyle is likely to put on a strong performance.
- Montevideo (IRE): Ranked third with a total score of 332.3, Montevideo improved her form when she finished fourth at Goodwood after an 8-month break. Given that she fared the best among the trio that had run before and is expected to give a good account with an increased trip, Montevideo holds potential.
- La Belle Aurore (FR): In fourth place with a total score of 296.9, La Belle Aurore demonstrated ability in her belated debut at Goodwood, finishing fifth and showing gradual progress without being overly pushed. She has the potential to improve from that experience.
- Fifth Harmonic (FR): With a significantly lower total score of 79.8, Fifth Harmonic ranks fifth. As a 400,000 gns yearling and a Dubawi filly, she has a good pedigree, but she will have a high standard to meet on her first outing.
In summary, based on the total ratings, Truthful (IRE) and Shagpyle emerge as the leading contenders in this race. Truthful’s promising debut and room for improvement and Shagpyle’s impressive debut win and promising pedigree suggest that they have exceptional chances in this race and warrant special mention. Despite her lower ranking, Montevideo is also noteworthy given her improvement and potential in the longer trip.
3.15 Haydock (8 runners)
Jewson St Helens EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f
Here’s the analysis for the 3.15 race at Haydock, based on the Timewise ratings and accompanying comments:
- Watcha Matey: Ranking first with a significant total score of 329.8, Watcha Matey is worth watching in this race. This horse was able to show ability in his debut at Chester despite a poor draw position, finishing fourth out of seven. Given this performance, and considering the opportunity for improvement, he is deemed a serious contender.
- Fauntleroy (IRE): Although he ranks second with a total score of 143.8, it’s worth noting that Fauntleroy hasn’t raced before. As a 140,000 gns yearling with a mixed pedigree, the Mehmas colt’s performance could be insightful. His market vibes will be interesting to observe on debut.
- Lake Forest: With a total score of 117.6, Lake Forest takes the third spot. Another first-timer, this 130,000 gns yearling is a No Nay Never colt. With numerous winning half-siblings, he presents an appealing prospect on paper.
- Action Plan (IRE): Despite a lower total rating of 92.2, Action Plan could be a dark horse in this race. As a 100,000 gns foal with a pedigree steeped in speed, this Soldier’s Call colt could turn heads in this race. His yard is known for its clued-up juveniles, adding to his appeal.
- Tropical Air (IRE): Tropical Air ranks fifth with a total rating of 91.7. Unfortunately, this Showcasing colt had a rocky start, being withdrawn from his intended debut in April due to unruly behaviour. Nevertheless, he bears watching given his high-quality pedigree.
In summary, Watcha Matey, with a significant lead in total ratings and a promising debut, emerges as the top contender in this race. Both Fauntleroy and Lake Forest, despite their absence of racing experience, are also worth mentioning due to their high pedigree and potential to shine on their first outing. Despite his lower rating, Action Plan also presents an interesting prospect with his pedigree suggesting speed and his yard’s reputation for well-prepared juveniles.
3.50 Haydock (11 runners)
Pat Hodgson And Mary Shields ACSIL
Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f
- State Of Desire – Total Rating: 402.3
State Of Desire stands out with the highest total rating. This Frankel colt was well backed but needed the experience during his debut where he finished third in a 7-runner Yarmouth novice. This strongly suggests he has room for improvement and could potentially live up to his rating. The fact that he is part of an excellent yard also indicates a high probability for growth and overall success. - Phone Tag – Total Rating: 263.5
Phone Tag ranks second highest in total rating. He showed signs of potential during his debut, finishing fourth in a Newbury maiden. Although he ran green, he seemed to be getting the idea towards the end of the race. Given his relative inexperience and this encouraging start, there’s a good chance he’ll perform even better in this race.
The remaining horses, while not as highly rated, also bring some interesting considerations into play:
- By The Book – Total Rating: 160.1
By The Book may not be as high in ratings, but this Frankel colt comes from leading connections and is one to note. He’s a half-brother to a 1m winner and his dam is an unraced half-sister to the smart winner up to 9f, Lord Admiral. Despite his rating, the comments suggest a potential for a strong debut performance. - Serenity Dream – Total Rating: 139.7
Serenity Dream is another horse worth mentioning. He’s a Night of Thunder colt out of a 6f winner dam who stayed at 1m. The dam is closely related to the smart 2-y-o 6f winner Charming Thought. Despite the yard not having many 2-y-o runners this term, the comments suggest he’s one to keep an eye on. - Sea The Dream – Total Rating: 129.2
Sea The Dream’s rating suggests he might not be a top contender, but he’s worth a mention. He’s a Sea The Moon colt and half-brother to three winners. He’s yet to race, but the familial connections suggest he may have potential.
In conclusion, State Of Desire and Phone Tag are the top contenders based on the total ratings, but By The Book, Serenity Dream and Sea The Dream also have encouraging aspects to consider in terms of potential debut performances. The future races will further illuminate the actual capabilities of these young horses.
4.20 Haydock (11 runners)
Jewson Warrington Handicap
7f
In analysing this race at Haydock, I’ll be primarily focusing on the Total ratings provided, with secondary consideration given to the additional information provided in the horse comments. Here’s how they line up based on total points:
- The Toff (IRE) – 376.7
- Eternal Class – 336.6
- Renesmee – 336.0
- Drafted (IRE) – 335.5
- Seagrave Fox (IRE) – 313.7
- Calypso (IRE) – 307.3
- Concert Boy (IRE) – 299.1
- Ararat (IRE) – 298.2
- Bajan Bandit – 279.1
- Saracen Head – 246.4
- Indrapura Star – 223.4
Looking at the top contenders, ‘The Toff (IRE)’ leads the pack significantly with a total rating of 376.7. His recent form suggests good consistency, having achieved his breakthrough win at Lingfield and putting up a strong showing over C&D 20 days ago, finishing third out of 11. The fact that the form from that race has since been franked adds further confidence. The Toff appears to be a strong contender and should be watched closely.
‘Eternal Class’ and ‘Renesmee’ are next in line, with total ratings of 336.6 and 336.0, respectively. Eternal Class showed promise in his last C&D appearance, finishing sixth out of 11 and is now competing with a 2lb lower mark. Renesmee also comes off a strong second-place finish at Kempton and should not be dismissed lightly.
‘Drafted (IRE)’, with a total rating of 335.5, is another worthy of attention. His recent third-place finish at Doncaster is a positive sign, and the reintroduction of cheekpieces could provide a boost to his performance.
Just behind the top four, ‘Seagrave Fox (IRE)’ rounds out the top five with a total of 313.7 points. Having proven himself on turf with a solid sixth place finish in a C&D handicap 20 days ago, and given a slight ease in weights, he could have a strong showing.
While not within the top rankings based on total points, ‘Calypso (IRE)’ is worth a mention. After a four month break, he posted a good third place on his handicap debut at Newcastle. The addition of a tongue strap for the first time might just give him that extra edge needed to be competitive.
In conclusion, based on total ratings and additional analysis, ‘The Toff (IRE)’ looks to be the standout competitor in this field, with ‘Eternal Class’, ‘Renesmee’, ‘Drafted (IRE)’ and ‘Seagrave Fox (IRE)’ as possible challengers. ‘Calypso (IRE)’ may also prove to be a dark horse worth watching in this race. As always in horse racing, while analysis and ratings can guide predictions, the final outcome can be influenced by many variables on the day.
4.50 Haydock (9 runners)
Jewson Widnes Fillies Handicap
1m
Based on the Timewise ratings provided, we have the following ranking in order of Total scores:
- Quick Change
- Chorus Line
- Five Towns
- Quantum Light (IRE)
- Alice Knyvet
- Scotch Mistress
- Ellade
- Regal Fanfare
- Bint Al Daar
The top contender according to these rankings, Quick Change, appears to retain her ability from her previous campaign, where she managed to defeat the capable Amanzoe over the same distance. The return to 1m should also be advantageous for her. A decent comeback run previously suggests she could perform well in this race.
The second-highest rated horse, Chorus Line, left her last efforts far behind when she won her handicap debut. Her jockey William Buick, who is renowned for his racing acumen, helped her show a good turn of foot. The minimal weight rise of 3 lb shouldn’t be a hindrance, and further improvement is likely, indicating a strong chance in this race.
Five Towns, ranking third in the total ratings, has had a good performance previously, winning at the third time of asking. A credible fifth place on her handicap debut/reappearance shows promise, and she seems likely to adapt well to today’s longer trip.
In fourth position, Quantum Light (IRE) has consistent form, reaching the frame on all 5 starts. She also came second in her recent 8.6f Wolverhampton handicap, which implies she will again be competitive in this race.
Despite being fifth in the rankings, Alice Knyvet shows great potential. She has shown progressive form and was a strong fourth in a decent 1m Windsor maiden. Being well-bred, she is expected to achieve greater success in handicaps.
Of special mention, despite lower rankings, are Regal Fanfare and Chorus Line. Regal Fanfare has fair form and is a likely improver moving into handicap company. Chorus Line made a successful handicap debut and further improvement is anticipated. Both horses could be dark horses in this race despite their current ratings.
In conclusion, based on Timewise ratings and horses’ comments, Quick Change, Chorus Line, and Five Towns appear to be strong contenders for the top spots. However, Alice Knyvet and Regal Fanfare should not be discounted due to their potential for improvement.
5.20 Haydock (6 runners)
Jewson Chorley Handicap
1m2½f
In the 5.20 race at Haydock, the Timewise ratings place the horses in the following order:
- Coverdale (IRE)
- Feel The Need
- Gozo (IRE)
- Playactor
- Almarin (IRE)
Coverdale (IRE) leads the field with an impressive total rating of 498.0. According to the race commentary, Coverdale is a progressive horse who has won both its races this year, including a comfortable win at Nottingham a month ago. There’s a suggestion that Coverdale is open to further improvement and could very well complete the hat-trick. This all points to Coverdale having an exceptional chance in this race.
Feel The Need comes in second with a rating of 351.1. This horse was a fairly useful 7f juvenile winner who resumed racing with an excellent second-place finish at Beverley after a seven-month break. However, its recent performances have been a bit underwhelming. Now up in trip, it’s uncertain if Feel The Need will regain its previous form.
Gozo (IRE) holds the third position with a total score of 270.5. This horse showed fair form last season under trainer Ian Williams. After a nine-month hiatus and a wind operation, Gozo is back and now under a new yard that has recently had a win. With cheekpieces on for the handicap debut, Gozo is worth keeping an eye on, especially given the positive commentary regarding its new yard.
Playactor and Almarin (IRE) are in fourth and fifth positions, with scores of 241.9 and 240.2 respectively. Both horses showed promise in their past races but also have some uncertainties surrounding their current form and the longer trip.
In conclusion, based on both the Timewise ratings and the comments, Coverdale (IRE) appears to be the horse to beat in this race. The other horses each have their strengths but will need to improve or adjust to the current race conditions to challenge the favourite.
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