Analysis of of Wednesday’s Newton Abbott meeting, based on theTimewise ratings:

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2.00 Newton Abbot (5 runners)
newtonabbotracing.com Novices Handicap Chase
3m2f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, the ranking in order of total scores is as follows:

  1. Tommydan (IRE)
  2. Heneryetta Bay (IRE)
  3. Sharp Note (IRE)
  4. Milanford (IRE)
  5. Wildfire Warrior (IRE)

Tommydan (IRE) holds the top rating. The horse has shown good form over hurdles in the autumn and recently scored a victory in an 11-runner event at Southwell after a 7-month break. As Tommydan returns to fences with a lower mark, it presents an interesting prospect. Given its recent win and good form, Tommydan has a strong chance in this race.

Next in line, Heneryetta Bay (IRE) is an Irish point winner who recently landed a 4-runner handicap chase at Huntingdon. The slight weight increase for this race shouldn’t significantly hamper her chances, and this seems a good opportunity for a follow-up win. Her recent victory and consistent performance indicate she could be a strong contender.

Sharp Note (IRE), third in the ranking, managed a win in a relatively weak maiden race at Hereford on hurdles debut but has since struggled. The horse didn’t show improvement when sent chasing at Stratford last month. However, the significant step up in trip now may potentially bring about a change in form.

Milanford (IRE) ran well two races ago at Taunton but pulled up at Worcester in its last outing. Given the inconsistency in its performance, it’s hard to be overly confident about this horse, especially with a change in trainer.

Finally, Wildfire Warrior (IRE), a winning hurdler, has unfortunately made little impact over fences to date. The application of a tongue strap indicates attempts to improve performance, but the horse’s jumping in this sphere is yet to convince.

In conclusion, based on the Timewise ratings and the horses’ comments, Tommydan (IRE) and Heneryetta Bay (IRE) are the top contenders for this race. However, horses like Sharp Note (IRE), despite recent struggles, might surprise us with their performances due to the significant change in trip.

2.30 Newton Abbot (4 runners)
Talk Tidy Marketing Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m2½f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, the rankings for the Newton Abbot race, in totals order, are as follows:

  1. Komedy Kicks (IRE)
  2. Magical Maggie
  3. Tibbie Dunbar
  4. Ayr Of Elegance

Komedy Kicks (IRE) is the top-rated horse. The horse has been a fair maiden on the Flat and recently made it two out of four victories over hurdles when racing at Stratford 11 days ago. Back in handicap company, the horse’s form makes it highly respected and therefore a strong contender in this race.

Next in the ratings is Magical Maggie, who has shown a progressive form and secured her third win in this sphere on her handicap debut at Cartmel 18 days ago. Being slightly nudged up by 2 lbs does not look like it will impact her chances significantly. Her consistent form and recent success indicate she is a top contender in this race.

Tibbie Dunbar, third in the ratings, is a fair winner in Flat/hurdles who ran well to finish second at Taunton in November. She continued this form on the level, finishing second at Goodwood 39 days ago. Her consistency suggests she could perform well in this race as well.

Finally, Ayr Of Elegance is a course winner but has been below her best after a six-month absence in her last two starts at Stratford and Huntingdon. However, if she manages to return to her previous form, the current weights suggest she could potentially go well in this race.

To summarise, based on the Timewise ratings and the horses’ comments, both Komedy Kicks (IRE) and Magical Maggie are top contenders for this race. Despite their recent victories, it is crucial to watch out for potential surprises from the likes of Tibbie Dunbar and Ayr Of Elegance, who are capable performers on their day.

3.05 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
Newton Abbot Racecourse On Facebook
Mares Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1f

Based on the Timewise ratings, the rankings for the 3.05 Newton Abbot race, in totals order, are as follows:

  1. Myristica (IRE)
  2. Tique
  3. Rockette (IRE) – Non-runner
  4. Jacktot
  5. Ryders Rock
  6. Allez Allez Dancer
  7. Beautiful Surprise

Myristica (IRE) is the top-rated horse with a significant lead over the others in the ratings. As a fairly useful Flat performer, she’s been able to translate that form over hurdles, making an impressive debut at Worcester before winning with ease at Southwell last month. She is an obvious strong contender for this race and her exceptional form suggests she has a great chance of success.

Next in the ratings is Tique. After her recent improvement leading to a victory in a bumper race at Bangor, she must be considered seriously despite this being her hurdles debut. The positive comments about Tique suggest she could be a dark horse in this race and it will be interesting to see how she handles the transition to hurdles.

Jacktot is third in the ratings but is making a return after a significant period and this is his hurdles debut. His past performance in bumpers does not inspire confidence, and so it’s recommended to watch his performance for potential future betting.

Ryders Rock and Allez Allez Dancer follow in the ratings, but their past performances and comments suggest they may struggle in this race. Ryders Rock has had a limited impact in a couple of bumpers and the addition of blinkers this time will need to provide a significant improvement. Allez Allez Dancer showed a slight improvement in her last race, but she will likely hold better claims when sent handicapping.

Finally, Beautiful Surprise is the lowest rated horse in the race and her comments suggest she’s likely to be well held, given her lacklustre performance in previous hurdles races.

In summary, based on the Timewise ratings and the horses’ comments, Myristica (IRE) stands out as the horse to beat. However, Tique could be a potential surprise package on her hurdles debut.

3.40 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
Peninsula Finance PLC Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
2m½f

Based on the Timewise ratings, the rankings for the 3.40 Newton Abbot race, in totals order, are as follows:

  1. Magic Saint (FR)
  2. Light N Strike (IRE)
  3. Elios Dor (FR)
  4. Clear The Runway (IRE)
  5. Noahthirtytwored (IRE)
  6. Kauto The King (FR)
  7. Geromino (FR)

Magic Saint (FR) is the top-rated horse with a solid lead in the ratings. He recently got off the mark in hunters at Wincanton before finding his stamina tested at Aintree. He has made the frame both starts this season and was runner-up at Stratford 12 days ago. With blinkers applied for the first time, he could perform well and he seems to have an exceptional chance of success based on his Timewise ratings and recent performances.

Light N Strike (IRE) follows closely behind Magic Saint in the ratings. After a six-month break, he has shown promising form, finishing runner-up at Kempton before gaining a fourth success over fences in a handicap at Warwick just three weeks ago. His smooth travel and quick clearance have marked him as a leading contender in this race.

Third in the ratings is Elios Dor (FR). He was successful three times last season and returned to winning ways in a handicap chase at Stratford 11 days ago. Although he will need to show more to succeed in this race, the return of blinkers could help his performance.

Clear The Runway (IRE) is next, known as a highly progressive hurdler/chaser last year. Despite his form dipping at Cheltenham in October, there is hope that he can get back on track in this race.

Noahthirtytwored (IRE) and Kauto The King (FR) follow in the ratings. Both have shown promise, with Noahthirtytwored being a four-time winner over hurdles and Kauto The King having previously won this corresponding event. However, both will need to step up their game to contend with the higher-rated horses.

Geromino (FR) ranks last in the ratings. Despite having bagged four small-field chase events last summer, he has not performed well in his two most recent starts. However, the return to better ground could be advantageous for him.

In summary, based on the Timewise ratings and the horses’ comments, Magic Saint (FR) and Light N Strike (IRE) stand out as the horses to beat in this race.

4.10 Newton Abbot (6 runners)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase
2m½f

The rankings for the 4.10 Newton Abbot race, based on the Timewise ratings and in totals order, are as follows:

  1. Opening Bid
  2. Duke Of Luckley (IRE)
  3. Princess Midnight
  4. Fanzio (FR)
  5. Forget You Not (FR)
  6. Mountain Grey (IRE)

Opening Bid tops the rankings with a substantial lead in the ratings. This horse won over hurdles at Uttoxeter in December and has remained in form since, even managing to mark his territory over fences at Worcester 19 days ago. Given his recent performances, he’s expected to perform well again and holds an exceptional chance of success in this race.

Duke Of Luckley (IRE) is second in the ratings. He was successful in his chase debut at Catterick in November and finished third at Market Rasen in February. Despite a slightly disappointing performance at Huntingdon last time with cheekpieces, a change to a visor might improve his game. He’s still a strong contender, but his latest performance and equipment change make him a bit of an uncertainty.

Princess Midnight is next in line. She had a productive 2022, winning three times, with her latest victory being at Hereford in October. She made an encouraging return as runner-up at Stratford last month. Given her winning streak and recent performance, she stands a good chance of resuming her winning ways in this race.

Fanzio (FR) follows Princess Midnight in the rankings. He ended his tenure with Richard Hobson with a victory at Taunton in March. However, his performances for his current yard have been less inspiring, leaving him a less persuasive option in this race.

Forget You Not (FR) and Mountain Grey (IRE) round up the ratings. Forget You Not had a win in October but has been well below par in all four starts since then. Meanwhile, Mountain Grey’s form over hurdles and fences has been poor, making both these horses less attractive choices for this race.

In summary, based on the Timewise ratings and the comments for each horse, Opening Bid and Princess Midnight emerge as strong contenders in this race. Both horses have demonstrated consistent form and recent wins, making them potential favourites for the upcoming race.

4.40 Newton Abbot (12 runners)
Peninsula Finance PLC Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

The rankings for the 4.40 Newton Abbot race, based on the Timewise ratings and in totals order, are as follows:

  1. Scrappy Jack (IRE)
  2. Kolisi (IRE)
  3. Vin Rouge (IRE)
  4. Urabamba (IRE)
  5. Alkhattaaf
  6. Reams Of Love
  7. Sassified (IRE)
  8. Amalfi Skyline
  9. Mutual Respect (IRE)
  10. Ollys Folly
  11. African Sun (IRE)
  12. Presgrave (IRE)

Scrappy Jack (IRE) tops the ratings list. Having won back-to-back juvenile hurdles here in 2021, he is no stranger to the Newton Abbot track. However, he has struggled in handicaps this season, and while the ratings indicate a strong performance, the recent form suggests otherwise.

Kolisi (IRE) comes second in the ratings and appears to be in good form. Having returned from an eight-month break after a breathing operation, he showed a good effort at Market Rasen last time, suggesting he has leading claims in this race. Given his recent performance and high rating, Kolisi seems to have an exceptional chance.

Vin Rouge (IRE) is third in the rankings. After scoring on the Flat last summer, he succeeded over hurdles at Fontwell. He returned to form there last time, so he’s a contender that can’t be discounted in this race.

Urabamba (IRE) follows closely. He won a 2m Wexford maiden hurdle for Henry de Bromhead in summer 2021 but has only shown modest form since joining this yard. Though he has a bit to prove, his handicap is becoming well and could be a dark horse in this race.

Alkhattaaf and Reams Of Love round up the top six. Alkhattaaf’s best hurdle effort was when he came second in a Wincanton maiden in April. Though he only came sixth at Huntingdon last time, first-time cheekpieces could help improve his performance. Reams Of Love, on the other hand, has not been so good recently. He was off for seven months before coming ninth in a 2m4f Huntingdon handicap 34 days ago, so other horses appeal more.

Outside the ratings, Mutual Respect (IRE) demands attention. Although he is yet to win after 19 attempts, he is coming off a strong second at Uttoxeter and this isn’t a strong contest. He seems to be a potential player despite his lower rating.

In conclusion, based on the Timewise ratings and recent performances, Kolisi (IRE) emerges as a strong contender in this race. Scrappy Jack (IRE), despite topping the ratings, will need to overcome his recent struggle in handicaps. Keep an eye on Mutual Respect (IRE) too, as his recent performance might result in a surprise.

5.10 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
newtonabbotracing.com Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
2m1f

In the 5.10 race at Newton Abbot, we have seven runners competing in an open National Hunt flat race.

The race assessment, based on the Timewise total ratings and respective comments, is as follows:

  1. Buck Of Maine (FR), with a total rating of 346.8, takes the top position. The horse showed promise when finishing third in a Plumpton bumper on debut a month ago, and its in-form stable suggests it could improve and deliver a strong performance.
  2. Corporal Jackjones (IRE) follows closely, earning a total rating of 337.2. This horse has improved from its debut, winning a 3-runner event over the same course and distance a week ago. The quick turnaround to a new stable could be challenging, but the horse’s recent form suggests it could fare well.
  3. Six And Out takes the third spot in the total ratings with 329.5. The horse has demonstrated a fair level of ability, finishing runner-up in bumpers at Ludlow and Wincanton, albeit with significant breaks between races. Despite being off the track for 7 months, it has proven to perform well fresh and will wear a first-time tongue tie. This horse sets a good standard for the race.

Looking at the rest of the field:

  1. Prelinsia (IRE), rated at 197.3, is related to winners but was beaten significantly in two bumpers seven months apart.
  2. Petrograd (GER), with a rating of 120.6, is set for its debut race. The horse will wear a tongue strap, and its performance could be influenced by the market.
  3. Telenn D’annain (FR), rated at 90.8, is also set for its debut race. The horse’s stablemate, Petrograd, might be the first string based on jockey bookings, but the betting will reveal more.
  4. Maillot Vert, with the lowest rating of 46.3, is another debutant. The gelding has strong relations, including a half-brother who was a smart hurdler and a fair chaser.

Based on the total ratings and comments, Buck Of Maine, Corporal Jackjones, and Six And Out are the top contenders and have exceptional chances of performing well in this race. Among these, Buck Of Maine stands out with its impressive debut and potential for improvement under its in-form stable.

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