Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Saturday’s ITV4 races.

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2.00 York (15 runners)
Queen Mothers Cup Handicap (Lady Amateur Jockeys)
1m4f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the York race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Saratoga Gold – Total: 450.2
  2. Kihavah – Total: 445.9
  3. Postmark – Total: 376.9
  4. Yorkshire Lady – Total: 365.1
  5. Shake A Leg (IRE) – Total: 362.9
  6. Dream Harder (IRE) – Total: 358.2
  7. Furzig – Total: 345.4
  8. Cardano (USA) – Total: 325.7
  9. Outsmart (IRE) – Total: 321.3
  10. Impulsive One (USA) – Total: 315.1
  11. Masque Of Anarchy (IRE) – Total: 300.4
  12. Piecederesistance (IRE) – Total: 296.6
  13. Billy Roberts (IRE) – Total: 294.9
  14. Bollin Margaret – Total: 278.8
  15. Noble Anthem (IRE) – Total: 268.7

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Saratoga Gold: Saratoga Gold is a four-time winner over staying trips and ran up to his best when finishing third on his return at Newmarket. With good form and a suitable mark, Saratoga Gold is considered a top contender in this race.
  2. Kihavah: Kihavah is a dual-purpose performer who recently won a C&D handicap at the Dante Meeting and followed up with a victory over hurdles. In good form, Kihavah is worth considering as a strong contender.
  3. Postmark: Postmark won twice last summer and has shown success over hurdles. However, his recent form in the sphere has not been as strong. Others may have more appeal at the level.

Additional Considerations:

Yorkshire Lady has shown progress at 3 years old and is entitled to come on for her midfield effort over a shorter distance at York. Cardano (USA) has been given a chance by the assessor and may be worth considering after a year off.

Exceptional Chance:

Saratoga Gold stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and positive comments about recent form and performance. With a good mark and a strong return at Newmarket, Saratoga Gold is considered to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this York race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Saratoga Gold, Kihavah, Postmark, Yorkshire Lady, and Shake A Leg (IRE). However, Saratoga Gold is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

2.15 Sandown (13 runners)
Aspall Cyder 1728 Handicap
1m

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the Sandown race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. First View (IRE) – Total: 473.6
  2. Ashky (IRE) – Total: 438.7
  3. Helm Rock – Total: 434.5
  4. New Dimension – Total: 427.1
  5. Dutch Decoy – Total: 421.8
  6. Eilean Dubh (IRE) – Total: 420.5
  7. Bodorgan (IRE) – Total: 410.1
  8. Autumn Festival – Total: 392.2
  9. Zu Run – Total: 390.6
  10. Maysong – Total: 360.8
  11. Magical Morning – Total: 343.9
  12. Repertoire – Total: 335.9
  13. Baltimore Boy (IRE) – Total: 332.4

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. First View (IRE): Lightly raced for his age, First View proved better than ever when winning the London Mile at Kempton in September. Although he didn’t perform well in Meydan earlier this year, a better showing is expected back on British soil. His wind operation and blinkers may help his chances.
  2. Ashky (IRE): Ashky showed progress in 1-mile handicaps in the second half of last year, winning three times at Newmarket. While he hasn’t been at his best in two starts this campaign, his previous form suggests he can be competitive in this race.
  3. Helm Rock: With three victories last year, including one at Haydock over 1 mile, Helm Rock has quickly resumed his form this season. He finished second in a C&D handicap 23 days ago and should be suited by this mark.

Additional Considerations:

New Dimension, a successful 2-year-old, has shown improvement in defeat and should be considered for this race. Dutch Decoy has won multiple times over 7 furlongs to 1 mile and ran well when second at Epsom recently. Eilean Dubh (IRE) was a fast improver in 2022 and may have a lower handicap rating now. Bodorgan (IRE) is a good-looking colt who could improve further after a fifth-place finish on his return/handicap debut at Haydock.

Exceptional Chance:

First View (IRE) stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and positive comments about his recent form and potential. He has shown improvement and has the added advantage of a wind operation and blinkers. Based on the provided comments, First View has an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this Sandown race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are First View (IRE), Ashky (IRE), Helm Rock, New Dimension, and Dutch Decoy. However, First View (IRE) is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

2.35 York (13 runners)
Sky Bet Handicap
7f 

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the York race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Wild Lion (IRE) – Total: 420.1
  2. Liamarty Dreams – Total: 415.1
  3. Gweedore – Total: 381.1
  4. Eligible (IRE) – Total: 380.8
  5. Scottish Summit (IRE) – Total: 377.3
  6. Darkness (FR) – Total: 365.6
  7. Carnival Zain – Total: 362.0
  8. Snash (IRE) – Total: 345.9
  9. Judgment Call – Total: 342.9
  10. Admiral D (IRE) – Total: 342.5
  11. Fortamour (IRE) – Total: 336.1
  12. Indian Falcon – Total: 305.7
  13. Snazzy Jazzy (IRE) – Total: 274.7

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Wild Lion (IRE): Wild Lion has a strong total rating and recent form, including a win at Newcastle and a decent performance at Meydan. With cheekpieces on for the first time, Wild Lion is considered a top contender in this race.
  2. Liamarty Dreams: Liamarty Dreams got back on the up with a win at Musselburgh and has shown good form. With a higher mark and recent success, Liamarty Dreams is worth considering as a strong contender.
  3. Gweedore: Gweedore won three times in 2022 and had a promising reappearance with a career-best performance at Musselburgh. However, the horse’s recent form has been poor.

Additional Considerations:

Scottish Summit (IRE) confirmed promise in the last run with a win at Thirsk, making him likely to go well again. Darkness (FR) confirmed his return to form with a second-place finish at Goodwood, making him an obvious player from the same mark.

Exceptional Chance:

Wild Lion (IRE) stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and positive comments about recent form and performance. With a strong recent win and cheekpieces on for the first time, Wild Lion is considered to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this York race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Wild Lion (IRE), Liamarty Dreams, Gweedore, Eligible (IRE), and Scottish Summit (IRE). However, Wild Lion (IRE) is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

2.50 Sandown (9 runners)
Molson Coors Scurry Stakes (Listed)
5f 

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the Sandown race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Tajalla (IRE) – Total: 571.3
  2. Great State – Total: 566.2
  3. Perdika – Total: 508.6
  4. Katey Kontent – Total: 485.0
  5. Havana Pusey – Total: 424.5
  6. Yahsat (IRE) – Total: 410.6
  7. Lady Hamana (AUS) – Total: 404.6
  8. Lakota Blue – Total: 353.9
  9. Can To Can (IRE) – Total: 346.8

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Tajalla (IRE): Tajalla made a winning debut in a 5f Newmarket novice last spring and returned impressively after a year off, defying a penalty at Hamilton 6 weeks ago. With more to offer, Tajalla is a strong contender in this race.
  2. Great State: Great State upped his game considerably and showed smart form when winning a listed event at York, completing a hat-trick in the process. Despite the penalty, Great State is still considered one of the top contenders.
  3. Perdika: This useful filly won a listed event at Chantilly and followed up with another victory in a listed race at the same venue. With a penalty to carry, Perdika is expected to give a good account of herself.

Additional Considerations:

Katey Kontent has won a couple of novice events over the same trip, while Havana Pusey stepped up on debut to win a Nottingham maiden. Yahsat (IRE) has shown promise as a 2-year-old but needs to produce a career-best performance after a year off.

Exceptional Chance:

Tajalla (IRE) and Great State stand out as the top contenders based on their high total ratings and positive comments about their recent form and performances. Tajalla, in particular, has shown impressive form after a year off and is expected to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this Sandown race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Tajalla (IRE), Great State, Perdika, Katey Kontent, and Havana Pusey. However, Tajalla (IRE) is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

3.05 York (7 runners)
Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed)
1m6f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the York race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Roberto Escobarr (IRE) – Total: 530.2
  2. Israr – Total: 523.7
  3. Quickthorn – Total: 462.6
  4. Outbox – Total: 406.9
  5. Ching Shih (IRE) – Total: 357.7
  6. Divine Jewel – Total: 349.6
  7. Rhythmic Intent (IRE) – Total: 327.2

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Roberto Escobarr (IRE): Roberto Escobarr is a low-mileage 6-year-old who won a Group 3 at Sandown after a 13-month break. However, the race he won was considered below par, and with a penalty in this race, he might be vulnerable.
  2. Israr: Israr showed progression in handicaps last season, winning at Newbury and Doncaster. The horse had a strong return when narrowly denied in a Group 3 at Newbury and is considered a leading contender, likely to stay the distance.
  3. Quickthorn: Quickthorn showcased his ability as a smart stayer with a 14-length victory in the Lonsdale Cup at York. Although he hasn’t replicated that form recently, his fourth-place finish in the Yorkshire Cup at the same distance suggests he’s a big shout back down in class.

Additional Considerations:

Outbox is a smart performer at best but hasn’t shown his best form in two starts this season. Ching Shih (IRE) has useful form but hasn’t made a significant impact in listed/Group 3 races. Divine Jewel, a useful filly, has plenty to find against the males in this race. Rhythmic Intent (IRE) is a useful sort but likely to be outclassed in this company.

Exceptional Chance:

Israr stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and positive comments about the horse’s progression, strong form, and narrow denial in a Group 3 race. Israr is considered to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this York race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Israr, Roberto Escobarr (IRE), Quickthorn, and Outbox. However, Israr is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

3.20 Chester (12 runners)
Edinburgh Gin Seaside Handicap
7½f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the Chester race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Tafreej (IRE) – Total: 461.1
  2. In These Shoes (IRE) – Total: 434.0
  3. Monte Linas (IRE) – Total: 423.5
  4. Royal Dubai (FR) – Total: 404.2
  5. Saxon King – Total: 402.0
  6. Berkshire Phantom (IRE) – Total: 396.7
  7. Man Of Eden – Total: 376.3
  8. Venetian (IRE) – Total: 354.1
  9. Sophias Starlight (FR) – Total: 347.8
  10. Supaspecialawesome (IRE) – Total: 328.9
  11. Reidh (IRE) – Total: 249.4
  12. Lunatick – Total: 237.7

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Tafreej (IRE): Despite not seeing his best effect in his recent starts, Tafreej has shown promise as a novice winner at 2 years old. He remains the type to win handicaps and should be considered as a top contender in this race.
  2. In These Shoes (IRE): With improved form, including a recent win at Beverley and a third-place finish at Haydock, In These Shoes is in good shape. However, the wide draw may present a challenge.
  3. Monte Linas (IRE): Although Monte Linas made a winning debut at Chelmsford, his subsequent form in defeat has been less impressive. His opening mark looks high enough, and he faces tough competition.

Additional Considerations:

Royal Dubai (FR) had a useful win for Bhupat Seemar on dirt at Meydan and made a winning start for the current yard at Chelmsford. Saxon King has shown good form, winning at Haydock and Newmarket, but a wide draw poses a challenge. Berkshire Phantom (IRE) was a good second at Kempton but remains vulnerable to improvers. Man Of Eden has shown promise, and his recent runs at Goodwood were better than the bare results. Venetian (IRE) has shown improvement in recent starts but faces a wide draw. Sophias Starlight (FR) is a recent winner at Wetherby but faces competition for the lead. Supaspecialawesome (IRE) and Reidh (IRE) have shown some promise but have yet to fully deliver. Lunatick struggled in his last outing after a strong performance at Windsor.

Exceptional Chance:

Tafreej (IRE) stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and the positive comments about his potential to win handicaps. Despite not being at his best in recent races, Tafreej’s previous success as a novice winner suggests he has the ability to perform well in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this Chester race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Tafreej (IRE), In These Shoes (IRE), Monte Linas (IRE), Royal Dubai (FR), and Saxon King. However, Tafreej (IRE) is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and potential to win handicaps.

3.40 York (22 runners)
Oakmere Homes Supporting Macmillan
Sprint Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

6f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, let’s analyze the horses in the York race and provide a report with rankings in totals order, analysis, and assessment of the top contenders.

Rankings in Totals Order:

  1. Catch The Paddy (IRE) – Total: 489.9
  2. Quinault (GER) – Total: 452.6
  3. Miss Jungle Cat – Total: 448.4
  4. Rabaah (IRE) – Total: 445.7
  5. Washington Heights – Total: 441.1
  6. Zouky – Total: 428.2
  7. Quintus Arrius (IRE) – Total: 424.1
  8. Buccabay (IRE) – Total: 420.0
  9. Pure Angel – Total: 419.4
  10. Redemption Time – Total: 390.1

Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:

  1. Catch The Paddy (IRE): Catch The Paddy won a C&D nursery last July and finished a close second in a 7f course handicap on reappearance. Back down in trip to 6f, he is considered a strong contender in this race.
  2. Quinault (GER): Quinault is on a roll, having completed a 6f 4-timer in a competitive heat at Newmarket. With recent form and the potential for further improvement, Quinault is a leading contender.
  3. Miss Jungle Cat: Miss Jungle Cat won a C&D nursery last July and showed promise with good runner-up efforts at Newmarket. Although she reappears in a tough race, she cannot be discounted.

Additional Considerations:

Rabaah (IRE) displayed potential when easily winning a pair of 6f AW novices earlier this year. With a recent outing in a 6f Newbury listed event, Rabaah retains potential. Washington Heights shaped well with second-place finishes in 6f handicaps at Newmarket and is likely to go well again.

Exceptional Chance:

Catch The Paddy (IRE) stands out as the top contender based on the highest total rating and positive comments about recent form and performance in a C&D nursery. Catch The Paddy is considered to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Overall, the top contenders in this York race, based on the provided ratings and comments, are Catch The Paddy (IRE), Quinault (GER), Miss Jungle Cat, Rabaah (IRE), and Washington Heights. However, Catch The Paddy (IRE) is the horse with an exceptional chance based on the highest total rating, positive comments, and recent form.

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