1.45 Downpatrick (11 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle
2m3f
- Rankings in Totals Order
Based on the total ratings, the rankings of the horses in descending order would be:
- Mel Monroe (IRE)
- Howaya C D And E (IRE)
- Fizzle Rock (IRE)
- Angelsworknovrtime (IRE)
- Littel Flour (IRE)
- Winning Mischief (IRE)
- Ideal Dilemma (IRE)
- Jacks Fancy (IRE)
- Andyourbirdcansing (IRE)
- Sandy Montana (IRE)
- May Mahler (IRE)
- Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders
- Mel Monroe (IRE): Despite a disappointing performance during its hurdle debut at Down Royal, the total ratings indicate this horse as the top contender. Based on its initial promise in bumper debut, Mel Monroe is expected to perform better in the upcoming race.
- Howaya C D And E (IRE): A fair bumper winner, with a good track record in the hurdles, except for a fall at Thurles and an unimpressive run back in the sphere. Post-break, it’s predicted that this horse could bounce back with a good performance.
- Fizzle Rock (IRE): A strong performer in bumper winning, but recently struggled on the Tipperary hurdling debut. However, Fizzle Rock’s fair total rating indicates a potential for improvement.
- Angelsworknovrtime (IRE): A consistent performer with a solid performance at Limerick in its latest race. The step back up in the trip should suit this horse, suggesting a positive forecast.
- Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments
- Jacks Fancy (IRE): Although not high in the rankings based on the total ratings, Jacks Fancy is a newcomer from a top yard. It is also equipped with a hood for the race, suggesting potential improvements in performance.
- Exceptional Horses
- Mel Monroe (IRE): Despite a disappointing debut on hurdles, Mel Monroe was a promising performer in bumper debut. Hence, it stands out as a horse with a potentially exceptional chance in the upcoming race.
- Angelsworknovrtime (IRE): Angelsworknovrtime showed excellent performance when placed third at Limerick. A step back up in the trip could improve its performance, thus making it a horse to watch out for.
2.20 Downpatrick (12 runners)
AJC Group Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)
2m1½f
- Rankings in Totals Order:
- Downthecellar (IRE) – 322.4
- Moonovercloon (IRE) – 317.0
- Willyouwalkwithme (IRE) – 292.2
- Vale Of Glory (IRE) – 283.2
- Ask The Leader (IRE) – 270.9
- Laishann (FR) – 265.4
- Joshua Chamberlain (IRE) – 247.9
- Craic Eile (IRE) – 243.9
- Justicialism (IRE) – 227.1
- Robindevidastar (IRE) – 210.3
- Macs Xpress (IRE) – 198.6
- Montys Way (IRE) – 177.6
- Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:
- Downthecellar (IRE): With the highest total rating, this horse appears to have a strong statistical chance. However, recent performances have been poor, and a switch back to hurdles is planned. A return to form is needed, but the high rating suggests some underlying quality.
- Moonovercloon (IRE): This horse ranks second in total ratings. It’s coming off a half-year break following a solid fifth-place finish. The horse seems to be in good form but may need to shake off some rust.
- Willyouwalkwithme (IRE): Despite its third place in ratings, this horse seems to have a very good chance, given its track record. It had a solid recent performance, finishing fourth, and has proven itself with three wins on this course.
- Vale Of Glory (IRE): This horse has a lower total rating but recent form suggests a strong chance, especially given its recent win at Punchestown.
- Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings:
- Craic Eile (IRE): Although it doesn’t feature in the top four according to the ratings, it has a recent second-place finish at Tramore, showing promise and enthusiasm. It might be worth considering.
- Laishann (FR): Making its handicap debut, this horse has shown decent form in recent novice hurdles. It may be a dark horse in the race.
- Horses with Exceptional Chances Based on the Comments:
- Willyouwalkwithme (IRE): It is hard to overlook this horse’s record of three wins at this course, and a recent fourth-place finish. Regardless of its total rating, the course form is a significant factor that might give it an edge.
- Vale Of Glory (IRE): Despite a slightly lower total rating, it has demonstrated excellent recent form, winning at Punchestown. Current form is a powerful indicator, suggesting this horse may outperform its rating.
Please note, this is an analysis of the horses based on their ratings and comments about their form and performances. It should not be considered as an endorsement or prediction of the race’s outcome. The nature of horse racing means that outcomes can be unpredictable.
2.55 Downpatrick (15 runners)
Randox (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)
2m5½f
- Rankings in totals order:
- Ciankyle (IRE)
- Hockworthy Flyer (IRE)
- Nuttorridge (IRE)
- Jenny Flex (IRE)
- Beechroad Winnie (IRE)
- Westernerona (IRE)
- Susie Miller (IRE)
- Ballymagee (IRE)
- Military Hill (IRE)
- Light Heidi (IRE)
- Perfect Arch (IRE)
- Outdoor Mozzy (IRE)
- Our Jervis (IRE)
- Zagnzig (IRE)
- Kanors Girl (IRE)
- Punk Rock Girl (IRE)
- Getaway Molly (IRE)
- Bessy Bradley (IRE)
- Analysis and assessment of top contenders:
- Ciankyle (IRE) – A course winner and came second in its last race at Ballinrobe, so clearly in good form. With an increase of just 1 lb, it remains a serious contender for the top spot.
- Hockworthy Flyer (IRE) – Also in good form, with a creditable second in its last race at this course. Definitely one to watch for this race.
- Nuttorridge (IRE) – It’s a C&D winner and had a respectable run last time at Sligo. Given the 7 months off, it might come back refreshed and ready to contest.
- Jenny Flex (IRE) – Showed promise by securing a fifth place in its last race at this course. However, being a reserve it may not participate but if it does, it could be a contender.
- Beechroad Winnie (IRE) – Secured a fourth place in its last race at Tramore, suggesting decent form. Could be competitive in this race.
- Additional considerations based on positive comments of horses not high in the ratings:
- Susie Miller (IRE) – Despite being seventh in the ranking, it secured a creditable third place at Limerick and should be considered for the shake-up.
- Westernerona (IRE) – It’s a course winner and although the last race was not particularly favourable, blinkers are on for the first time which might lead to improvement.
- Perfect Arch (IRE) – Though not in the top five, it has a good chance at these weights if it can overcome the last effort. The visor is on for the first time over jumps which could positively impact its performance.
- Outdoor Mozzy (IRE) – Shown some form in its last race at Punchestown, it could build on this in the current race.
- Special mentions:
- Ciankyle (IRE) and Hockworthy Flyer (IRE) – Based on the combination of their high ratings and strong past performances, both horses merit special mention as exceptional contenders. The recent form they’ve shown suggests they’re well placed to perform strongly in this race.
3.30 Downpatrick (7 runners)
Tote Always SP Or Better At Downpatrick
Handicap Chase (0-109)
2m3½f
- Rankings in Totals Order:
- Bal Kauto (FR) – 413.3
- Diamondinthemud (IRE) – 290.7
- Tick Along (IRE) – 283.8
- Lesssaidthebetter – 238.1
- Go Battle (IRE) – 235.7
- Monoxide – 193.6
- Let Her Flow (IRE) – 176.6
- Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders in Totals Order:
- Bal Kauto (FR) with a total rating of 413.3, is clearly the horse to beat here. The horse is in terrific form, having won a Limerick handicap hurdle last month and followed up on Clonmel chase debut eight days ago. He is in top form and appears to have the potential to pull off a quick hat-trick.
- Diamondinthemud (IRE) is the second in the list with a total rating of 290.7. The horse was a fair winner at 19f over hurdles and put on a respectable show in a handicap chase at Kilbeggan 36 days ago. He is a strong contender, especially with the return of cheekpieces which may enhance performance.
- Tick Along (IRE) sits third with a total rating of 283.8. The horse was a winner in a hurdle here in May and showed good form at Tramore 15 days ago. A switch from hurdles to chase could be advantageous. However, he might need to raise his game to challenge the top two.
- Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings:
- While Lesssaidthebetter is not as highly rated (238.1), this horse has demonstrated resilience with a third place finish in a hunter chase at Punchestown 50 days ago. Despite remaining a maiden after 29 NH runs, a breakthrough could be on the horizon.
- Go Battle (IRE), while fifth on the list, has been cited as a decent performer. A tongue strap is on for the first time, potentially hinting at an expected improvement. The horse finished a respectable fifth at Limerick 23 days ago and could be a dark horse in this race.
- Special Mentions:
- Bal Kauto (FR), as mentioned earlier, is in exceptional form. Given the horse’s current trajectory, he is the one with an exceptional chance to win in this race. The horse has not only shown promise but has also delivered by winning his last two races. The momentum is definitely with Bal Kauto (FR).
In conclusion, Bal Kauto (FR), Diamondinthemud (IRE), and Tick Along (IRE) are the frontrunners based on the total ratings and their recent performances. Lesssaidthebetter and Go Battle (IRE) may be worth watching for possible surprises, given their recent form and potential.
| Sat 17th Jun 2023 4.05 Downpatrick (7 runners) Downpatrick Welcomes Racing TV Club Members Opportunity Beginners Chase 2m7½f |
Run For Pat (IRE) – 365.1
Construct – 297.6
Some Dove (IRE) – 288.3
Sphagnum (IRE) – 286.6
Magheralin Mick (IRE) – 275.8
Priory Park (IRE) – 245.8
Any Luck Colm (IRE) – 154.9
Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders in Totals Order:
Run For Pat (IRE) tops the list with a total rating of 365.1. The horse is a fairly useful hurdler and his latest win in a hurdle at Fairyhouse in January is notable. His ninth-place finish in a handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe 19 days ago was respectable, and he might be one to look out for on his chase debut.
Construct comes in second with a total rating of 297.6. Known to be fairly useful on the Flat and over hurdles, Construct could bring an interesting dynamic to the chase. His eighth-place finish in a handicap at Roscommon 16 days ago leaves some room for improvement, but he could still make an impact.
Some Dove (IRE) is third with a total rating of 288.3. The horse is a fair hurdler with two wins from five runs last season. Despite finishing sixth in a novice chase at Limerick 23 days ago, she is expected to progress and could put up a good performance.
Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings:
Sphagnum (IRE) ranks fourth in total ratings at 286.6, but the comments suggest this horse could be worth paying attention to. Despite falling in a novice chase at Tipperary 44 days ago, it’s mentioned that Sphagnum is a fairly useful chaser, and it’s still early days for him in this sphere.
Priory Park (IRE) comes in sixth in total ratings, but he’s considered a fairly useful hurdler. He hasn’t seen a win in his last thirteen runs, but with a visor on for the first time, there may be a chance for him to improve.
Special Mentions:
Run For Pat (IRE) stands out due to his performance in hurdles, his strong total rating, and the fact that he comes from a powerful yard. His chase debut could present an exceptional opportunity for a strong performance.
In conclusion, based on the total ratings and the recent performances, Run For Pat (IRE), Construct, and Some Dove (IRE) are the frontrunners. Sphagnum (IRE) and Priory Park (IRE) could provide interesting surprises considering their positive comments and potential improvements. Run For Pat (IRE) especially deserves special attention for his chance to shine in his chase debut.
4.40 Downpatrick (9 runners)
Tennents NI Handicap Chase (0-102)
2m7½f
- Rankings in Totals Order:
The horses in this race, ranked by their total ratings are as follows: - Ardhill (IRE) – 291.1
- Iridescent (IRE) – 259.8
- Lighthouse Rose (IRE) – 239.6
- Chief Seattle (IRE) – 230.5
- Fr Gilligansvoyge – 223.8
- Likable Chancer (IRE) – 221.6
- Agirlcalledchloe (IRE) – 209.5
- Tech Talk (IRE) – 182.0
- Dukehill (IRE) – 170.9
- Analysis of Top Contenders:
- Ardhill (IRE): With the highest total rating, Ardhill seems to be the top contender. Despite being off for 18 months, its last run was a strong win at Ascot with a good performance, leaving plenty of reserves. The first-time blinkers could also add an interesting dynamic.
- Iridescent (IRE): The horse achieved a career-best win 18 days ago at Ballinrobe and is now transitioning to chase races. This might present a new challenge, but it could also unlock further potential based on its recent form.
- Lighthouse Rose (IRE): With a considerably lower total score than Ardhill and Iridescent, Lighthouse Rose recently finished tenth in a race at Down Royal and is also switching from hurdles to chases, which could lead to improvement.
- Additional Considerations:
- Fr Gilligansvoyge: Although fifth in the total rating, this horse achieved a career-best when winning a hunter chase 50 days ago at Punchestown. This recent success could suggest the potential to outperform its rating in the upcoming race.
- Tech Talk (IRE): Despite a lower total score, this horse was fourth in a handicap chase 23 days ago, being the best among those held back initially. This strategy could be advantageous depending on the pace of the upcoming race.
- Exceptional Chances:
- Ardhill (IRE): The horse’s previous performance combined with a high total score indicates a strong contender. Its win at Ascot was achieved with a considerable margin, suggesting it may have a lot left to offer.
- Iridescent (IRE): The recent career-best win coupled with a high total score and the switch to chases could suggest a potential breakthrough performance. If it adapts well to the new format, it could have a real shot at winning.
- 1.45 Downpatrick (11 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle
2m3f - Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the ranking of the horses in totals order:
- Mel Monroe (IRE) – Total: 329.1
- Howaya C D And E (IRE) – Total: 301.7
- Fizzle Rock (IRE) – Total: 266.8
- Angelsworknovrtime (IRE) – Total: 255.2
- Littel Flour (IRE) – Total: 238.5
- Winning Mischief (IRE) – Total: 232.9
- Ideal Dilemma (IRE) – Total: 151.9
- Jacks Fancy (IRE) – Total: 53.6
- Andyourbirdcansing (IRE) – Total: 42.5
- Sandy Montana (IRE) – Total: 28.1
- May Mahler (IRE) – Total: 24.1
- Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the provided comments:
- Mel Monroe (IRE) – With the highest total rating, Mel Monroe is a strong contender. The comment indicates that the horse has been consistent, with a recent performance of second place in a 16-furlong race. Solid claims can be expected from Mel Monroe.
- Howaya C D And E (IRE) – This horse has a good total rating and has shown consistent performance in previous races. The comment suggests that Howaya C D And E has solid claims, making it another strong contender in the race.
- Fizzle Rock (IRE) – Despite having a lower total rating, Fizzle Rock has shown some promise, with a recent third-place finish in a race. Although the comment doesn’t provide much information, Fizzle Rock could still be considered as a contender.
- Angelsworknovrtime (IRE) – With a decent total rating, Angelsworknovrtime has shown consistent performances in previous races, including a second-place finish. The comment mentions “solid claims,” indicating that this horse has a good chance in the race.
- Littel Flour (IRE) – Littel Flour has a competitive total rating and has shown consistency in previous races. The comment suggests that this horse has solid claims, making it another contender to watch out for.
- Based on the comments, Mel Monroe, Howaya C D And E, Angelsworknovrtime, and Littel Flour are the top contenders in the race. These horses have displayed consistent performances or solid claims, indicating their potential to perform well.
- Additionally, there are a few positive comments about other horses that may be worth considering despite not having high total ratings:
- New Sheriff (IRE) – The comment states that New Sheriff had a promising debut, finishing third and staying on well. This indicates potential for improvement and a chance to perform well in this race.
- Abi’s Champ (IRE) – The comment describes Abi’s Champ as a promising type and mentions a clear second-place finish in the horse’s debut race. With the stable having a good spell, Abi’s Champ could be a horse to watch out for.
- These horses could be considered as dark horses or ones with the potential for an upset based on the positive comments provided.
- Please note that odds have been excluded from the analysis as they are considered notional and subject to change. It’s important to check the latest odds before placing any bets.
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