Analysis for Tuesday’s card at Royal Ascot based on the Timewise ratings.

·

2.30 Ascot (12 runners)
Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British
Champions Series) (Str)

1m (1760 yards)
Group 1

  1. Rankings in Totals Order:

Based on the Timewise ratings, the horses are ranked as follows:

  1. Modern Games (IRE) – 701.9
  2. Inspiral – 636.9
  3. Native Trail – 616.4
  4. Berkshire Shadow – 572.6
  5. Mutasaabeq – 565.9
  6. Chindit (IRE) – 546.0
  7. Pogo (IRE) – 533.6
  8. Triple Time (IRE) – 532.2
  9. Angel Bleu (FR) – 527.4
  10. Lusail (IRE) – 478.6
  11. Light Infantry (FR) – 456.6
  12. Cash (IRE) – 412.4
  13. Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:
  • Modern Games (IRE): Coming in at the highest rating, Modern Games has shown impressive form with a recent Group 1 victory and managed to edge out several of today’s competitors in the Lockinge at Newbury. His consistent top-level performance marks him as a strong contender.
  • Inspiral: With the second-highest rating, Inspiral has also proven to be a top-class miler. Her victory in the Prix Jacques le Marois underscores this. Despite an underwhelming performance in her last race due to a bad start, if she returns to form she could be a formidable opponent.
  • Native Trail: This horse’s rating is slightly lower than the top two but has proven his capability by winning last year’s Irish Guineas. He had a disappointing run recently due to wind surgery. However, if he recovers his best form, he could pose a serious challenge.
  • Berkshire Shadow: Despite facing a tough year, this horse bounced back with two wins on AW. His previous victory at Royal Ascot and his solid performance in Lockinge, where he placed third, add to his appeal.
  1. Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments:
  • Chindit (IRE): Although his overall rating is lower than the top four, Chindit has demonstrated good form, winning the Group 2 Summer Mile here and landing a C&D listed race on his reappearance. He was second to Modern Games in the recent Lockinge at Newbury. With his past performance at this track, he’s definitely one to watch.
  • Mutasaabeq: Showed very promising performances with blinkers, winning two 1m Group 2 events at Newmarket. If he can dominate as he has done in smaller fields, he could be a surprise contender.
  1. Special Mentions:
  • Modern Games (IRE): This horse is definitely one to watch. With an exceptional rating and a strong, consistent performance at the top level, it’s hard to look past Modern Games.
  • Inspiral: Despite a mishap in her last race, Inspiral has proven herself to be a top-class miler. If she can return to form, she could very well dominate the race.

3.05 Ascot (22 runners)
Coventry Stakes (Group 2)
6f (1320 yards)
Group 2

This is a race card for the 3.05 race at Ascot. It’s the Coventry Stakes, a Group 2 race covering a distance of 6 furlongs or 1320 yards. The ground condition is good to firm, and the race is for 2-year-old horses.

The prize money for the winner of this race is £85065. There are 22 runners in this race and their stall positioning is at the centre.

The horses are ranked based on their total ratings, from highest to lowest. Here are some of the top contenders:

  1. River Tiber (IRE) – It has the highest total score at 649.5 and odds of 13/8. This Wootton Bassett colt impressed on debut, winning by 10 lengths and continued to perform well. The trainer has won this race a record 9 times, which is an encouraging sign.
  2. Bobsleigh (IRE) – Coming in second with a score of 594.3 and odds of 25/1. This Elzaam gelding won its debut and showed promising form in its subsequent race at Epsom. Despite longer odds, this horse cannot be underestimated.
  3. Givemethebeatboys (IRE) – Ranked third with a score of 573.9 and odds of 6/1. This Bungle Inthejungle colt has already shown to be a good investment, winning on debut and in a Group 3 race at the Curragh.

Among other horses, Asadna (IRE) recorded a very fast time on debut, Army Ethos won his debut easily, and Bucanero Fuerte won on heavy ground at the Curragh, which indicates they could be serious contenders as well.

It’s important to remember that horse racing can be unpredictable, and while these ratings and statistics provide useful information, they are not the only factors that determine the outcome of a race.

3.40 Ascot (19 runners)
Kings Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British
Champions Series)

5f (1100 yards)
Group 1

  1. Rankings in Totals Order:
  2. Dramatised (IRE) – 694.8
  3. Highfield Princess (FR) – 584.1
  4. Raasel – 550.9
  5. Bradsell – 548.2
  6. Manaccan – 532.3
  7. Annaf (IRE) – 524.2
  8. Vadream – 513.0
  9. Mitbaahy (IRE) – 507.9
  10. Marshman – 497.2
  11. Equilateral – 491.9
    … (The list continues)
  12. Analysis and Assessment of the Top Contenders in Totals Order:
  • Dramatised (IRE): A strong contender with the highest total ratings. Last year’s Queen Mary winner at Royal Ascot and showed continued form by beating older opposition in a recent Group 2 race at Haydock. The horse will need to further elevate her performance to secure a win but it would not be surprising if she accomplishes that feat.
  • Highfield Princess (FR): Securing the second-highest total, Highfield Princess comes with an impressive history of five wins in the 2022 campaign, including three Group 1 victories. She made a commendable return recently, securing second place in the Duke of York race. She is a serious contender with strong credentials.
  • Raasel: Despite having the third-highest total, Raasel has yet to show the same level of performance as last year when he won at listed and Group 3 level. Although he showed better form in a recent Haydock listed race, he may still struggle in the face of intense competition.
  • Bradsell: Last year’s Coventry winner has the fourth-highest total but has faced injury setbacks. Although he displayed retained ability in a recent Group 3 race, he needs to step up significantly to contend for the win.
  • Manaccan: Ranked fifth in totals, Manaccan was a highly progressive sprinter last year with a win on this course. Having shown an encouraging return recently, he is capable of making a bold bid under Dettori.
  1. Additional Considerations:
  • Twilight Gleaming (IRE): Despite not being high in ratings, Twilight Gleaming warrants attention due to her impressive second place in last year’s Queen Mary race and her recent win in listed company at Keeneland. Additionally, she comes from a highly respected American stable that won this race in 2017.
  • Coolangatta (AUS): Coolangatta is another horse not high in ratings but comes as a highly accomplished filly from Australia, having recently won the Lightning Stakes at Flemington. She is definitely one to keep an eye on.
  1. Special Mentions:
  • Dramatised (IRE) and Highfield Princess (FR): Based on their outstanding past performances and high total ratings, these two horses stand out as strong contenders in this race.

4.20 Ascot (9 runners)
St Jamess Palace Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Rnd)
1m (1753 yards +7 yards rails adjustment)
Group 1

  1. Rankings in Totals Order:

Based on the total ratings, the horses rank in the following order:

  1. Paddington: 714.1
  2. Chaldean: 706.2
  3. Cicero’s Gift: 632.2
  4. Mostabshir: 568.6
  5. Indestructible (IRE): 561.3
  6. Galeron (IRE): 518.9
  7. Isaac Shelby: 518.1
  8. Charyn (IRE): 483.7
  9. Royal Scotsman (IRE): 427.7
  10. Analysis and Assessment of the Top Contenders in Totals Order:

a. Paddington (714.1): Paddington is the top-rated horse based on the total ratings. This colt has shown a high degree of progression, making the big step up in class to clinch a hat-trick in the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh. The way things developed in that race suited him, and he was well on top at the line. It’s predicted that he still has more to offer, making him a significant contender.

b. Chaldean (706.2): Close on the heels of Paddington, Chaldean comes next. This Frankel colt had a strong last season, concluding with a victory over Royal Scotsman in the Dewhurst at Newmarket. He resumed his winning ways in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket, always prominent in the race. He’s certainly a key player.

c. Cicero’s Gift (632.2): Cicero’s Gift, an unbeaten son of Muhaarar, has demonstrated remarkable improvement with each race. He’s on a hat-trick, the most recent win being in a class 2 event at Goodwood. Despite the significant leap in class here, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him hold his own.

  1. Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings:

Although not high in the ratings, Isaac Shelby (518.1) and Mostabshir (568.6) have positive comments that suggest they might perform better than their ratings suggest.

Isaac Shelby showed great potential winning the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket and took a big step forward when leading in the Greenham at Newbury. He was only just edged out in the French 2000 Guineas at Longchamp and thus deserves consideration.

Mostabshir too has shown potential, overcoming a wide draw at Kempton on debut and impressively winning under a penalty at York. Given his top stable has fast-tracked him to a Group 1, he’s one to watch.

  1. Special Mention:

Paddington deserves a special mention given his impressive performance in the Irish 2000 Guineas and his consistent improvement. He seems to have adapted well to the higher class and there’s anticipation of more to come, suggesting an exceptional chance in this race.

In conclusion, while the total ratings provide an excellent starting point for assessing the contenders, an analysis of each horse’s previous performances, as well as trainer and jockey comments, provides a more comprehensive picture of their potential.

5.00 Ascot (20 runners)
Ascot Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
2m4f (4390 yards +14 yards rails adjustment)
Class 2

  1. Rankings in Totals Order:
    1. Ahorsewithnoname: 504.0
    2. Bring On The Night: 475.4
    3. Novel Legend (IRE): 469.8
    4. Fleurman (IRE): 455.4
    5. Irish Lullaby: 438.9
    6. Zoffee: 423.8
    7. Urban Artist: 422.2
    8. Tritonic: 421.0
    9. Solent Gateway (IRE): 405.4
    10. Calling The Wind (IRE): 398.9
  2. Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders:
    • Ahorsewithnoname: Currently the highest-rated horse in the race with a total score of 504.0. He has low mileage and has won 2m handicaps at Newbury and York last spring. His recent win at Cheltenham also demonstrates his potential.
    • Bring On The Night: Second in the ratings at 475.4, he finished second in this event last year and the stable has an excellent record in this race. Ryan Moore riding again is a positive.
    • Novel Legend (IRE): Standing at third place with a total of 469.8. Has improved this term and has performed well in recent races at Kempton and Newbury. He’s a low-mileage 4-y-o which leaves him open to further improvement.
    • Fleurman (IRE): He’s enjoying a good season, with wins on AW at Wolverhampton and Newcastle in February. Despite the higher trip, he remains a solid contender with a rating of 455.4.
    • Irish Lullaby: This filly, with a total of 438.9, has won three times up to 1m4f in 2022. While she did not perform exceptionally well in her last race, she reportedly scoped badly post-race and is expected to bounce back.
  3. Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings:
    • Solent Gateway (IRE): Has recently secured a victory in a 2m handicap at Haydock. While not one of the top-rated horses, his recent performance suggests he might deliver a surprise.
    • Zoffee: Showed a very good spell last year and performed well in the Chester Cup. His performance shouldn’t be overlooked despite not being in the top five in terms of rating.
  4. Exceptional Horses Based on Comments:
    • Ahorsewithnoname: As mentioned, his low mileage and recent victories make him a standout contender.
    • Bring On The Night: Second in this race last year and running with the same jockey, Ryan Moore, who has an excellent record, makes him a potential favourite.
    • Zoffee: Despite not being in the top five, his consistent performance, including a good run in the Chester Cup, makes him an interesting contender.

It is essential to remember that these assessments are based on current data and racing can be unpredictable. Thus, actual results may differ on the day.

5.35 Ascot (16 runners)
Wolferton Stakes (Listed)
1m2f (2192 yards +14 yards rails adjustment)
Listed Race

  1. Rankings in Totals Order According to the Timewise ratings, the horses are ranked in the following order:
  2. King Of Conquest
  3. Francesco Clemente (IRE)
  4. Highland Avenue (IRE)
  5. Bolshoi Ballet (IRE)
  6. Buckaroo
  7. Cadillac (IRE)
  8. Solid Stone (IRE)
  9. Notre Belle Bete
  10. Poker Face (IRE)
  11. Saga
  12. Royal Champion (IRE)
  13. Foxes Tales (IRE)
  14. Raadobarg (IRE)
  15. Certain Lad
  16. Checkandchallenge
  17. Savvy Victory (IRE)
  18. Analysis and Assessment of Top Contenders
  • King Of Conquest: Lightly-raced and on a winning streak, he has upped his game this season. He won the listed contest at Goodwood over this trip three weeks ago and is set to go well again.
  • Francesco Clemente (IRE): A highly progressive 3-year-old, Francesco Clemente had a winning streak until being beaten by King Of Conquest. With a 3lb advantage over King Of Conquest this time, he could pose a significant challenge.
  • Highland Avenue (IRE): A three-time winner in 2021, he has performed well recently, although he was no match for Regal Reality in a Group 3 at Epsom last time. The longer trip should suit him well, and he could surprise.
  • Bolshoi Ballet (IRE): He won the Belmont Derby in 2021 and has shown promise in his recent race at Newbury. There is potential for a strong showing here.
  • Buckaroo: A smart colt who came close in the Group 1 Prix d’Ispahan last month. The distance shouldn’t be a problem, and he could pose a significant threat.
  1. Additional Considerations Based on Positive Comments of Horses Not High in the Ratings.
  • Cadillac (IRE): Despite not being in the top five in terms of total ratings, his past performance and impressive victory in an Epsom handicap over this trip could see him as a strong contender.
  • Solid Stone (IRE): He has a good record here at Ascot, and although he had a low-key return at the Brigadier Gerard at Sandown, he could perform well in this race.
  • Foxes Tales (IRE): Though not rated high, he won the Golden Gates Handicap over the course and distance in 2021, so is clearly comfortable on this track.
  1. Special Mentions.
  • King Of Conquest: Given his impressive winning streak and solid form this season, he seems to have an exceptional chance in this race.
  • Francesco Clemente (IRE): Losing his unbeaten record only recently, with a 3lb pull advantage this time, and with headgear on, he is a horse to keep an eye on.
  • Cadillac (IRE): With a considerable purchase price and a strong performance in the previous year’s race, Cadillac is one to watch. His impressive Epsom handicap victory makes him a strong contender.

6.10 Ascot (19 runners)
Copper Horse Handicap
1m6f (3114 yards +14 yards rails adjustment)
Class 2

  1. Rankings in totals order:

Based on the total ratings, the top five contenders are as follows:

  • Vauban (FR) – 565.6
  • Ruling Dynasty – 527.1
  • Scriptwriter (IRE) – 502.3
  • Point King (IRE) – 491.9
  • Gaassee (IRE) – 489.6
  1. Analysis and assessment of the top contenders in totals order:
    • Vauban (FR): This horse has demonstrated useful form, including winning a listed race and showing high-class hurdling capabilities. It’s coming off a strong performance in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle, which could indicate a solid return to flat racing.
    • Ruling Dynasty: This horse has a promising profile, having dominated in a novice race at Haydock. Its ability to quicken clear suggests it may be capable of further improvement.
    • Scriptwriter (IRE): With a low-mileage profile, this horse could still have more to offer. It has shown potential as a useful juvenile hurdler and managed to win a handicap race at Wolverhampton.
    • Point King (IRE): This horse has been consistently progressive, securing a hat-trick in a Leopardstown listed event. It’s now entering into handicaps, and based on its recent performance in a Group 3 race, it may improve further.
    • Gaassee (IRE): This horse achieved a 4-timer in a 1½m handicap at the Dante meeting last season and managed a commendable third in the Old Newton Cup. However, it has had a couple of underwhelming performances recently, which makes its current form uncertain.
  2. Additional considerations based on positive comments of horses not high in the ratings:
    • Absurde (FR): Despite not ranking high in the total ratings, this horse looks promising based on its track record. It performed well on the Flat for C. Laffon-Parias and made a successful debut over hurdles. The pick of its form in France, coupled with Dettori as the jockey, means it’s one to watch.
    • Postileo (IRE): This lightly-raced 6-y-o is another horse worth considering. It demonstrated retained ability with a win at Hamilton after a long break, suggesting that it could still have more to offer, especially with a step back up in trip.
  3. Special mention:
  • Vauban (FR): This horse has an exceptional chance based on the comments. It has demonstrated strong form on the Flat and as a hurdler, which suggests it can perform well in this race.
  • Absurde (FR): Even though it’s not in the top ratings, the comments about its past successes on the Flat and over hurdles, along with having Dettori as the jockey, suggest that it could be a dark horse in this race.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe