TimeWise Chronicles

Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Thursday’s card at Royal Ascot.

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2.30 Ascot (16 runners)
Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)
5f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Elite Status – Total Rating: 585.0
  2. Noche Magica (IRE) – Total Rating: 550.8
  3. His Majesty (IRE) – Total Rating: 538.1
  4. Hala Emaraaty (IRE) – Total Rating: 506.3
  5. Thunder Blue – Total Rating: 501.8
  6. Reveiller (IRE) – Total Rating: 434.8
  7. Mon Na Slieve (IRE) – Total Rating: 417.4
  8. Toca Madera (IRE) – Total Rating: 409.0
  9. Malc – Total Rating: 405.2
  10. Devious – Total Rating: 366.7
  11. Shayekh (IRE) – Total Rating: 338.7
  12. Valiant Force (USA) – Total Rating: 318.7
  13. Baheer (IRE) – Total Rating: 299.2
  14. No Nay Mets (IRE) – Total Rating: 33.9
  15. The Fixer (IRE) – Total Rating: 31.0
  16. American Rascal (USA) – Total Rating: 0.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on their total ratings and comments:

  1. Elite Status – Total Rating: 585.0
    Elite Status has shown impressive form, winning both of his starts including a listed National Stakes at Sandown. With a strong pedigree and the addition of a tongue tie, he is considered a major player in this race.
  2. Noche Magica (IRE) – Total Rating: 550.8
    Noche Magica displayed potential with a winning start in a maiden at Cork and was narrowly denied in the Marble Hill Stakes at the Curragh. Based on those performances, he deserves his place in this field and can be expected to be competitive.
  3. His Majesty (IRE) – Total Rating: 538.1
    His Majesty won a listed race at the Curragh on debut and followed up with a third-place finish in the Marble Hill Stakes. Dropping back to the minimum trip and being the sole representative of trainer Aidan O’Brien, he has the potential to improve further.
  4. Hala Emaraaty (IRE) – Total Rating: 506.3
    Hala Emaraaty has won both of his starts, displaying versatility on different ground conditions. However, the form of those wins may not be strong enough to compete at this level, and he appears out of his depth in this company.

Additional considerations based on the comments:

  • Thunder Blue confirmed the promise of his debut with a stylish victory in a Goodwood novice, supported by a sharp timefigure. He is open to further improvement and should not be overlooked.
  • Reveiller made a winning debut at Salisbury, showing signs of inexperience but ultimately getting the job done. A big step forward is required, but he could progress and surprise.
  • The Fixer has been in good form, winning a listed race at Chantilly. With a strong performance and traveling well in that race, he has the potential to continue his progress.

Based on the analysis and comments, Elite Status, Noche Magica (IRE), His Majesty (IRE), and Thunder Blue are the top contenders to watch closely. These horses have shown strong form, potential for improvement, or notable recent victories.

3.05 Ascot (19 runners)
King George V Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
1m4f 

Rankings based on the total ratings:

  1. Bertinelli (USA) – 571.8
  2. Tagabawa – 559.5
  3. Desert Hero – 479.9
  4. Struth (IRE) – 471.2
  5. Burglar – 446.5
  6. Perfuse – 445.2
  7. Wonder Legend (IRE) – 434.0
  8. Double March (IRE) – 414.7
  9. Sisyphus Strength – 411.6
  10. Inquiring Minds – 404.6

Analysis and assessment of the top contenders:

  1. Bertinelli (USA) is carrying top weight but has shown excellent form, winning the London Gold Cup at Newbury impressively. Although a Group-class performance is needed, it would not be surprising if she proves up to the task. The 1½m distance should suit her.
  2. Tagabawa has been progressing well and recorded a convincing 4-length victory in a handicap debut over 1½m. With the support of a winning stable from last year, he is expected to be a strong contender.
  3. Desert Hero showed promise as a juvenile, finishing third in a Group 3 race. He may have needed his reappearance run but remains capable of improvement, and the 1½m distance should be within his range.
  4. Struth (IRE) posted a career-best win in a competitive handicap at Chester over 1½m and followed it up with a strong second-place finish at Doncaster. With his yard’s track record in this race, he is worth considering.
  5. Burglar has shown progression and looked comfortable when winning a Redcar handicap over 1¼m. The step up in distance is expected to suit him, and further improvement is likely.
  6. Perfuse has been impressive in his two wins so far, notably winning on soft ground at Nottingham and then on a firmer surface at Doncaster over 1½m. There is potential for more to come from him.
  7. Wonder Legend (IRE) scored easily in his handicap debut over 1¼m at Doncaster. Given that the yard had a close second-place finish in this race last year, he should be respected.
  8. Double March (IRE) won a 17-runner handicap at Newbury, and while this race is tougher, there is the possibility of more improvement. The increase in trip may suit her.
  9. Sisyphus Strength reportedly lost her action in her reappearance but showed improvement when fifth in a Goodwood listed race. Her opening handicap mark may not be generous, but she remains a contender.
  10. Inquiring Minds was second to Perfuse in a 1½m Doncaster novice. With a weight advantage this time, he has the potential for better performance.

Additional considerations:

  • Davideo won nicely on his reappearance in a maiden race at Newmarket and should be considered for a yard that has had success in this race before.
  • Land Legend (FR) impressed with a good second-place finish in a 1½m handicap at York. There is likely more to come from him, and he is a solid contender.
  • Mr Mistoffelees (IRE) has shown progress in defeat, and although finishing seventh in the London Gold Cup, he retains potential for improvement.

Based on the comments, Bertinelli (USA), Tagabawa, and Desert Hero stand out as top contenders in this race.

3.40 Ascot (19 runners)
Ribblesdale Stakes (Fillies Group 2)
1m4f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Al Asifah – Total Rating: 615.8
  2. Warm Heart (IRE) – Total Rating: 565.7
  3. Village Voice – Total Rating: 552.8
  4. Midnight Mile (IRE) – Total Rating: 510.2
  5. Bluestocking – Total Rating: 497.8
  6. Understated – Total Rating: 470.2
  7. Infinite Cosmos (IRE) – Total Rating: 470.0
  8. Ferrari Queen (IRE) – Total Rating: 436.4
  9. Lmay (IRE) – Total Rating: 433.9
  10. Lumiere Rock (IRE) – Total Rating: 432.5
  11. Red Riding Hood (IRE) – Total Rating: 424.8
  12. Ghara – Total Rating: 418.0
  13. Climate Friendly – Total Rating: 411.1
  14. Perfect Prophet – Total Rating: 399.1
  15. Sea Of Roses – Total Rating: 388.3
  16. Luckin Brew (IRE) – Total Rating: 381.1
  17. Maman Joon (IRE) – Total Rating: 369.6
  18. Rocha Do Leao (IRE) – Total Rating: 306.1
  19. Crown Princesse (FR) – Total Rating: 0.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on their total ratings and comments:

  1. Al Asifah – Total Rating: 615.8
    Al Asifah, a Frankel filly, has been in excellent form, winning on debut at Haydock and following up with an impressive success in listed company at Goodwood. With the step up to Group 2 level, she is considered a most exciting prospect and a big player in this race.
  2. Warm Heart (IRE) – Total Rating: 565.7
    Warm Heart, a Galileo filly, has shown improvement and proved effective on a sounder surface when defeating Bluestocking in a Newbury listed contest. With the ability to stay 1½m, she is respected as a contender, especially with the further rise in class.
  3. Village Voice – Total Rating: 552.8
    Village Voice has been progressing race by race, winning a Navan listed event on her return in April. With a good deal of potential, she is expected to be a strong contender in this race.
  4. Midnight Mile (IRE) – Total Rating: 510.2
    Midnight Mile has displayed good form, winning on debut and finishing fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. With a solid effort in the Musidora on her return, she has the potential to do even better with the step up in trip.
  5. Bluestocking – Total Rating: 497.8
    Bluestocking, bred in the purple, made a striking winning debut and shaped well when second behind Warm Heart on her return at Newbury. With the prospect of more to come, she is of firm interest in this race.

Additional considerations based on the comments:

  • Infinite Cosmos (IRE) has shown promise with a comfortable victory in a Newmarket maiden and a good performance when third in the Musidora at York. Open to further progress and with an excellent pedigree, she should be considered a contender.
  • Lmay (IRE), a Frankel filly out of a half-sister to Logician, justified cramped odds to win a Newbury maiden impressively. Likely to have more to offer, she is a horse
  • to watch in this race, although it is considered a tough ask for her.
  • Luckin Brew (IRE) has shown promise with a maiden win at Kempton and an excellent second in a listed race at Pontefract. The test of this race should suit her, and she is expected to perform well on her return to action.
  • Lumiere Rock (IRE), a Saxon Warrior filly, has progressed from maidens to win a Curragh Group 3. With further improvement shown in her recent second-place finish in a Naas Group 3, the step up in distance may bring out even more progress.
  • Maman Joon (IRE), a Sea The Stars filly, has made a promising start with a second-place finish in a Newbury maiden and a fourth-place finish in the Oaks at Epsom. With the potential to improve further, she should not be overlooked.
  • Based on the comments, Al Asifah, Warm Heart, and Village Voice are considered the top contenders in this race. Al Asifah, in particular, is regarded as a most exciting prospect and a big player in the Group 2 event.

4.20 Ascot (14 runners)
Gold Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
2m4f

Rankings based on the total ratings:

  1. Coltrane (IRE) – 604.8
  2. Trueshan (FR) – 606.4
  3. Eldar Eldarov – 581.1
  4. Echoes In Rain (FR) – 579.4
  5. Yibir – 566.5
  6. Subjectivist – 534.7
  7. Emily Dickinson (IRE) – 532.9
  8. Wise Eagle (IRE) – 523.2
  9. Courage Mon Ami – 490.2
  10. Broome (IRE) – 475.2

Analysis and assessment of the top contenders:

  1. Coltrane (IRE) has shown progression, winning the Ascot Stakes, a Sandown listed event, and the Group 2 Doncaster Cup last season. He had an impressive victory in the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot this year and is a leading player in this race.
  2. Trueshan (FR) is a leading stayer and won the Northumberland Plate before winning the Long Distance Cup at Ascot. Although he hasn’t been at his best this season, recent rain will be beneficial for him. He is a strong contender with a breathing operation.
  3. Eldar Eldarov won the Queen’s Vase at Ascot last year and followed it up with a victory in the St Leger at Doncaster. He ran well when second in the Yorkshire Cup on his return, and his stamina suggests he will be a contender in this race.
  4. Echoes In Rain (FR) has performed well on both the flat and over hurdles. While her recent success came in the Mares Champion Hurdle at Punchestown, this is a tougher challenge on the flat for her. However, her talent cannot be overlooked.
  5. Yibir is a high-class performer and finished the 2022 season with a victory in the Group 2 Princess of Wales’s Stakes. Although he looked rusty in his recent fourth-place finish at Newbury, he possesses class and should be considered.
  6. Subjectivist was a top-class performer in 2021, winning the Dubai Gold Cup and the Gold Cup at Ascot. Despite missing the entire last season due to injury, he showed promise in Dubai earlier this year, and his ability cannot be discounted.
  7. Emily Dickinson (IRE) showed promise last season, winning the Group 3 Loughbrown Stakes. She resumed progress with a victory in the listed Vintage Crop Stakes but disappointed on quicker ground in her last outing. However, she remains a contender.
  8. Wise Eagle (IRE) has shown progress, winning multiple races in 2021 and picking up where he left off with a victory at Musselburgh on his return. Although he finished second to Coltrane in the Sagaro Stakes, it might be challenging for him to turn the tables.
  9. Courage Mon Ami is a highly promising son of Frankel, undefeated in three starts. He looked impressive when winning at Kempton and Newcastle and maintained his unbeaten record in a handicap at Goodwood. Despite the rise in grade, he is a fascinating contender.
  10. Broome (IRE) resumed winning ways in the Dubai Gold Cup and finished third in the Yorkshire Cup. While he hasn’t been tested over a longer trip, his ability suggests he can be competitive in this race.

Additional considerations:

  • Lone Eagle (IRE) shaped well in the Ormonde Stakes and was Irish Derby runner-up in 2021. Although untested over staying trips, he has shown promise and could be a factor.
  • Nate The Great ran up to his best when second in the Henry II Stakes and shouldn’t be overlooked despite flying high in this grade.

Based on the comments, Coltrane (IRE), Trueshan (FR), and Eldar Eldarov are highlighted as top contenders in this race.

5.00 Ascot (30 runners)
Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str)
1m 

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, here are the rankings in total order for the Britannia Stakes:

  1. Surely Not (IRE) – 608.1
  2. Racingbreaks Ryder (IRE) – 555.1
  3. Saxon King – 538.6
  4. Docklands – 496.3
  5. Good Karma – 476.4
  6. Finns Charm – 475.6
  7. One Nation – 473.7
  8. Quantum Impact (IRE) – 469.8
  9. Highbank (IRE) – 463.7
  10. Panic Alarm (IRE) – 452.2
  11. Naxos – 436.4
  12. Carracci (USA) – 436.2
  13. Theoryofeverything – 430.6
  14. Urban Sprawl – 428.8
  15. Mustajaab – 428.1
  16. Fort Vega (FR) – 427.6
  17. New Endeavour (IRE) – 426.8
  18. Just An Hour (IRE) – 419.0
  19. Royal Cape (IRE) – 412.7
  20. Dark Thirty (IRE) – 410.6
  21. Bless (FR) – 0.8 (comment suggests potential, but low rating due to lack of data)

Analysis and assessment of the top contenders based on comments:

  1. Surely Not (IRE) – Dual winner last season and has already added two more wins this term. Showed a good turn of foot to score at Chester. Worth considering as a top contender.
  2. Racingbreaks Ryder (IRE) – Unbeaten so far this season, winning a 4-runner event at this track. Solid claims and in good form.
  3. Saxon King – Progressive colt with three wins from his last four starts, including a recent win at Chester. Could have more to offer and should be respected.
  4. Docklands – Highly progressive colt who impressed with a clear victory in a C&D handicap. Looks to have more to come and worth taking a chance on.
  5. Good Karma – Looked a good prospect, winning impressively at Wolverhampton and following up at Newbury. Interesting handicap debutant with potential.
  6. Finns Charm – Made the frame in the Chesham last year and returned with a win at Musselburgh. Finished second in the German 2000 Guineas since then. Not to be ignored.
  7. One Nation – Dual winner last season and has shown promise in two runs at Meydan this year. Likely to face competition for the lead but can’t be discounted.
  8. Quantum Impact (IRE) – Gutsy winner at York in his latest start. Should give another good account and Frankie Dettori booked for the ride.
  9. Highbank (IRE) – Ran up to his best when third at Meydan before a break. Opening mark doesn’t look lenient, but he’s likely to be well prepared and has potential.
  10. Panic Alarm (IRE) – Useful sort who has run well on each of his three runs this year. Third in a listed contest at Naas last time out. Longer trip should suit, but others are more progressive.

Additional considerations based on positive comments:

  • Bless (FR) – Although currently has a low rating, the comment suggests he has potential and is worth monitoring in the betting. Could be a dark horse.

Based on the comments, Surely Not (IRE), Racingbreaks Ryder (IRE), and Saxon King stand out as top contenders in this race.

5.35 Ascot (16 runners)
Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3)
1m2f 

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, the rankings in totals order for the 5.35 Ascot (Hampton Court Stakes) are as follows:

  1. Drumroll (IRE) – 614.3
  2. Bold Act (IRE) – 605.4
  3. Bolster – 548.0
  4. Epictetus (IRE) – 538.6
  5. Torito – 522.7
  6. Canberra Legend (IRE) – 501.6
  7. Oviedo (IRE) – 492.3
  8. Brave Emperor (IRE) – 491.5
  9. Waipiro (IRE) – 476.6
  10. Captain Winters – 462.1
  11. Caernarfon – 449.9
  12. Exoplanet (FR) – 448.6
  13. Dear My Friend – 439.4
  14. Killybegs Warrior (IRE) – 375.9
  15. Dancing Magic (IRE) – 364.8
  16. Tony Montana – 345.9

Analysis and assessment of the top contenders:

  1. Drumroll (IRE): With a total rating of 614.3, Drumroll has shown promise with wins at Navan and in a German Group 3. However, he will need to find more to be competitive in this race.
  2. Bold Act (IRE): Rated at 605.4, Bold Act has shown improvement with four consecutive wins, including a valuable conditions race at Chelmsford. Despite a slight dip in form in a Newmarket listed race, she merits consideration.
  3. Bolster: With a rating of 548.0, Bolster has shown potential with wins at Leicester and Windsor. His recent victory in a minor event at Windsor suggests he is improving and could be an interesting contender in this higher-grade race.
  4. Epictetus (IRE): Rated at 538.6, Epictetus had a strong 2-year-old campaign and has continued his progress this season with a win in the Blue Riband Trial at Epsom. His fifth-place finishes in both the Dante and Prix du Jockey Club indicate he can compete well at this level.
  5. Torito: Rated at 522.7, Torito has been progressing well this year with a win in a Nottingham minor event and an impressive victory on his handicap debut at Epsom. His ability to go through the race strongly makes him a major contender.

Additional considerations based on positive comments:

  • Waipiro (IRE): Though rated at 476.6, Waipiro has shown promise with a win in a novice race at Newmarket and a runner-up finish in the Lingfield Derby Trial. Despite a less-than-ideal position in the Derby, he was not discredited and could perform well over the shorter distance in this race.
  • Exoplanet (FR): Rated at 448.6, Exoplanet has shown improvement this season with a third-place finish in the London Gold Cup at Newbury. He has the potential to continue his progress and return to winning ways.
  • Captain Winters: With a rating of 462.1, Captain Winters has shown promise with a third-place finish in a listed race at Haydock and a listed prize victory at Sandown. His improvement indicates that he could be a strong contender.

Based on the comments, Torito stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance, given his impressive performances on his handicap debut at Epsom. He has the ability to go through the race strongly and should be a major contender in this race.

6.10 Ascot (29 runners)
Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)
7f

Based on the Timewise ratings provided, here is the ranking of the horses in totals order for the Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) at Ascot:

  1. Montassib
  2. Biggles
  3. Lir Speciale (IRE)
  4. Vafortino (IRE)
  5. Croupier (IRE)
  6. Spanish Star (IRE)
  7. Kingdom Come (IRE)
  8. Spangled Mac (IRE)
  9. Percys Lad
  10. Unforgotten (IRE)
  11. The Gatekeeper (IRE)
  12. Silent Film
  13. Bopedro (FR)
  14. Accidental Agent
  15. Warrior Brave
  16. Spirit Of Light (IRE)
  17. Documenting
  18. Rhythm Master (IRE)
  19. Vafortino (IRE)
  20. Kingdom Come (IRE)
  21. Montassib
  22. Totally Charming
  23. Bopedro (FR)
  24. Accidental Agent
  25. Warrior Brave
  26. Spirit Of Light (IRE)
  27. Documenting
  28. Silent Film
  29. Witch Hunter (FR)

Analysis and assessment of the top contenders:

  1. Montassib: This horse has shown progressive form and won convincingly at Newmarket a month ago. With the potential to improve further, he is considered a strong contender.
  2. Biggles: A highly progressive horse, Biggles has been performing well and finished best of the rest behind Rebel Territory over C&D in his latest outing. He is a must-consider horse from the same mark.
  3. Lir Speciale (IRE): A progressive 3-year-old, Lir Speciale won a handicap at Kempton impressively and is in the hands of a top trainer. Although up 7 lb in a better race, he shouldn’t be underestimated.
  4. Vafortino (IRE): The winner of the Victoria Cup over C&D in May 2022, Vafortino has continued to perform well with a series of placed efforts. However, his jockey can no longer claim a weight allowance.
  5. Croupier (IRE): Showing improvement last year, Croupier won at Windsor and Chelmsford and has continued his progress this season. He tanked along when regaining the winning thread at York and has a fair 3 lb rise.

Additional considerations based on positive comments:

  • Spanish Star (IRE): In great form, Spanish Star has won at Goodwood and Epsom in his last two outings. He has shown that he is in top form and is a credit to his connections.
  • Bopedro (FR): A previous Irish Cambridgeshire winner, Bopedro won a 1m Newmarket handicap in April. He was second at York a month ago and should be suited by the stiffer track at Ascot.
  • Silent Film: Although inconsistent in recent races, Silent Film was unlucky not to win in his last race in Meydan. With a change of stable, he could be one to watch.
  • Accidental Agent: A former Queen Anne winner, Accidental Agent has shown he is capable of smart handicap performances. Although not at his peak, he could still be a factor in this race.
  • Baradar (IRE): Back to form when winning a handicap at Doncaster in November, Baradar showed promise when third in the Victoria Cup over C&D. With a tongue tie fitted, he could be interesting.

Based on the comments, Montassib and Biggles stand out as strong contenders for the Buckingham Palace Stakes. They have shown progressive form and have performed well in recent races. Spanish Star, Bopedro, Silent Film, Accidental Agent, and Baradar are also worth considering based on their positive comments and recent performances.

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