Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Friday’s card at Market Rasen.

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1.35 Market Rasen (12 runners)
ABP Handicap Hurdle
3m

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Dicey Rielly (IRE) – 447.3
  2. Millie Of Mayo – 379.9
  3. Just Call Me Al (IRE) – 340.5
  4. Top Man (IRE) – 304.7
  5. Jimvale (IRE) – 294.1
  6. Balkotic (FR) – 277.4
  7. Tara Brooch – 262.5
  8. Merveillo – 256.5
  9. Magna Moralia (IRE) – 214.9
  10. Sight Nor Seen (IRE) – 206.0
  11. Battle Of Actium (IRE) – 190.7
  12. Smart Connection (IRE) – 165.1

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Dicey Rielly (IRE):
    Dicey Rielly is in good form, coming off a win at Worcester and a strong second-place finish at Aintree. With the same mark, Dicey Rielly has obvious claims for this race.
  2. Millie Of Mayo:
    Millie Of Mayo had a hat-trick of wins post-lockdown in 2020, including a couple of victories at this course and distance. However, the horse’s recent form has been disappointing. If Millie Of Mayo can show some ability, it is well handicapped and could be a contender.
  3. Just Call Me Al (IRE):
    Just Call Me Al had success at Sedgefield in the 2021/22 season but has been largely disappointing since then. If the horse can revive its form and stay well, it has the potential to be well handicapped.

Additional Considerations:
Merveillo finally made an impact over hurdles with a second-place finish at Uttoxeter. Despite not performing at the same level as it did on the flat, Merveillo could be a contender for this race.

Special Mention:
Balkotic (FR) has previously won twice but had a lackluster comeback at Newcastle. If Balkotic can return to its previous form, it has the ability to be competitive.

2.10 Market Rasen (8 runners)
ABP Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m1f 

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Vision Of Hope – 475.9
  2. Karannelle (IRE) – 381.8
  3. Just Dottie – 327.9
  4. Green Or Black (IRE) – 326.4
  5. Lenebane (IRE) – 298.3
  6. Lucky Draw – 207.7
  7. Bannockburn (FR) – 182.2
  8. Miss Blennerhasset (IRE) – 164.9

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Vision Of Hope:
    Vision Of Hope has shown good form, winning a hurdles race at Huntingdon and finishing creditably second over the same course and distance. With a slight rise in weight, Vision Of Hope is respected and has leading claims.
  2. Karannelle (IRE):
    Karannelle had a productive period last summer, winning back-to-back handicaps at this course and distance. Despite failing to settle in the recent race at Ffos Las, Karannelle ran well and remains a player, especially with the hood refitted.
  3. Just Dottie:
    Just Dottie didn’t perform well in bumpers and on the flat, but has found success over hurdles with the current stable. Despite some mistakes and a fifth-place finish in the recent race, Just Dottie is back against her own sex and can be considered for this race.

Additional Considerations:
Lenebane (IRE) showed promise on her handicap debut at this course but finished weakly in her subsequent run. With new headgear and a slightly lower mark, Lenebane could show improvement in this race.

Special Mention:
Lucky Draw has caught the eye in recent handicaps, finishing second behind Green or Black and well clear of the rest of the field at Uttoxeter. Shaping like a future winner, Lucky Draw has leading claims in this race.

2.45 Market Rasen (6 runners)
ABP Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)
3m

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. San Fermin (IRE) – 413.2
  2. Scudamore (FR) – 333.8
  3. Man Of Riddles (USA) – 251.5
  4. Matoury – 160.2
  5. Ballylinch (IRE) – 90.2
  6. Accompanied (USA) – 68.6

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. San Fermin (IRE):
    San Fermin is a fair bumper winner who hasn’t progressed in maiden hurdles. However, in a weak race and with the step up in trip, San Fermin still needs to be considered as a contender.
  2. Scudamore (FR):
    Scudamore is a fair winner on the flat and returned from a break to win a novice handicap hurdle over 19 furlongs at Stratford. With a good second-place finish at Fakenham and now stepping up in trip, Scudamore has leading claims in this race.
  3. Man Of Riddles (USA):
    Man Of Riddles is a fairly useful handicapper on the flat and stays up to 16.5 furlongs. Although below form in his last two starts in 2022, his recent sale and switch in trainers make him an interesting contender.

Additional Considerations:
Matoury was well held in bumpers and although he had a decent debut over hurdles, the race was tactical, and it’s uncertain if he can repeat that performance.

Special Mention:
Ballylinch (IRE) is a 6-year-old gelding with a winning Irish pointer background and positive jockey booking of Brian Hughes. With a runner-up finish in the latest outing, Ballylinch requires a market check and can’t be overlooked.

3.20 Market Rasen (12 runners)
ABP Handicap Hurdle
2m5½f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Headscarf Lil (IRE) – 434.6
  2. Rory And Me (FR) – 337.5
  3. Pileup (IRE) – 306.7
  4. Rock On Tommy – 336.9
  5. Pollypockett (IRE) – 304.0
  6. Decoration Of War (IRE) – 281.2
  7. Doors Breaker (FR) – 236.8
  8. Black Lightning (IRE) – 231.4
  9. More To Follow (IRE) – 204.8
  10. Dakota Beat (IRE) – 173.8
  11. Wedding Stress – 158.4
  12. Bay Sam Bella – 157.2

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Headscarf Lil (IRE):
    Headscarf Lil returned to form with a win over the same course and distance last time out after a breathing operation. She was suited by the way the race unfolded and remains fairly treated with a 3 lb rise. She is a leading contender in this race.
  2. Rory And Me (FR):
    Rory And Me is a course winner who ran up to his best when finishing second in a C&D handicap 14 days ago. He goes well at this track and can make his presence felt again in this race.
  3. Pileup (IRE):
    Pileup is a fair maiden hurdler who showed signs of improvement in a first-time visor when finishing third in a C&D handicap 14 days ago. He made his effort earlier than ideal and is likely to be in the mix once again.

Additional Considerations:
Rock On Tommy was pulled up in his latest race and needs to bounce back from that disappointing performance. Doors Breaker has had a mixed record recently, including being pulled up in two of his last three outings. Dakota Beat has shown little form for the current yard and may not be a strong contender.

Special Mention:
Decoration Of War (IRE) showed little promise in four starts over fences last summer and will likely need the run back over hurdles after a 10-month break. However, with a fair winning record on the flat, Decoration Of War can’t be entirely dismissed and may improve in this race.

3.55 Market Rasen (10 runners)
ABP Summer Plate Trial Handicap Chase
2m6½f 

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Francky Du Berlais (FR) – 484.4
  2. Tardree (IRE) – 415.3
  3. Northern Bound (IRE) – 413.9
  4. Topofthecotswolds (IRE) – 411.8
  5. Jemima P (IRE) – 389.7
  6. Ile De Jersey (FR) – 386.5
  7. And The New (IRE) – 361.5
  8. Brief Times (IRE) – 357.3
  9. Bothwell Bridge (IRE) – 353.5
  10. Fix At All (FR) – 313.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Francky Du Berlais (FR):
    Francky Du Berlais is a past winner of the valuable Summer Plate over the same course and distance. He showed promise in a marathon trip cross country race at Cheltenham and had a good run at the Festival before finishing well-held in the Grand National. After a break, he has the potential to bounce back and is a strong contender in this race.
  2. Tardree (IRE):
    Tardree had a fortunate win over fences at Wetherby but didn’t perform well over hurdles in his recent return. He needs to prove himself in this race and may face a challenge.
  3. Northern Bound (IRE):
    Northern Bound has a good strike rate over fences and won a handicap at Newbury impressively. He had a solid run before unseating at Chepstow and produced another good effort when finishing sixth at Uttoxeter. He has the ability to remain competitive in this race.

Additional Considerations:
Jemima P (IRE) confirmed her promise in her last run with a second-place finish at Aintree and deserves respect in this race. Ile De Jersey (FR) ran her best race back over hurdles after a break and returns to chasing with a refitted tongue strap, making her an interesting contender. Bothwell Bridge (IRE) has shown little impact in his recent runs, and others may be preferred.

Special Mention:
And The New (IRE) capitalized on a lower mark to win comfortably in a previous race, but couldn’t replicate the same form under a penalty at Cartmel. However, with a return to a longer trip, And The New could be a horse to watch in this race.

4.30 Market Rasen (5 runners)
ABP Handicap Chase
2m4f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Marajman (FR) – 341.0
  2. Restandbethankful – 335.2
  3. Izzys Champion (IRE) – 310.2
  4. High Noon (IRE) – 268.6
  5. Silvretta Schwarz (IRE) – 158.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Marajman (FR):
    Marajman took advantage of a falling mark to win over the same course and distance two weeks ago. With a 6 lb rise, he remains well treated based on his previous form and is favored to follow up with another strong performance in this race.
  2. Restandbethankful:
    Restandbethankful is a multiple hurdle winner but is yet to win in 8 attempts over fences. In his recent race at Stratford, he struggled to find more when under pressure. Although jockey Brian Hughes retains the ride, there are some risks associated with this 7-year-old.
  3. Izzys Champion (IRE):
    Izzys Champion finished as a runner-up over a shorter distance at Market Rasen on his return from a break and put up a creditable fourth-place performance at Perth 7 weeks later. He is expected to be competitive and should be in the mix for a good finish.

Additional Considerations:
High Noon is a course and distance winner but finished fifth, 23¼ lengths behind Marajman, in their recent encounter. While his stable won this race last year, he faces a tough challenge to overturn the form. Silvretta Schwarz has shown poor form both as a hurdler and a chaser and returns to Rules racing with a lot to prove.

Special Mention:
Marajman stands out as the top contender based on his recent win and favorable ratings. With his strong form and potential for improvement, Marajman is the horse to watch in this race.

5.05 Market Rasen (5 runners)
ABP Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
2m1f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here is the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Mr Zippi – 342.5
  2. Six And Out – 293.8
  3. Taghadoe (IRE) – 287.2
  4. Burrows Light (FR) – 173.9
  5. Quechua – 31.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Mr Zippi:
    Mr Zippi is closely related to winners on the Flat and made an impressive start to his career by winning at Southwell 30 days ago. With that victory under his belt, he is considered a strong contender to follow up with another successful performance.
  2. Six And Out:
    Six And Out has shown promise with runner-up finishes in bumpers at Ludlow and Wincanton, with a significant gap between the races. Although returning after a further 7 months, the horse has demonstrated capability when fresh and is equipped with a first-time tongue tie. Six And Out sets the standard in this race.
  3. Taghadoe (IRE):
    Taghadoe is a half-brother to multiple winners and has recently switched stables. While he failed to make an impact in his debut race for the new stable, there is potential for improvement in this outing.

Additional Considerations:
Burrows Light has not shown much in his debut race at Sedgefield, and Quechua’s performance in a point bumper was unremarkable. They face an uphill battle to contend with the top-rated horses.

Special Mention:
Mr Zippi stands out as the top contender based on the impressive debut win and the positive comments regarding the horse’s pedigree and potential. With a strong total rating and a promising start to his career, Mr Zippi is the horse to watch and is expected to have an exceptional chance in this race.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided ratings and comments. Horse racing outcomes are unpredictable, and other factors such as recent form, jockey/trainer performance, and track conditions can also influence the result of the race.

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