Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Saturday’s card at Royal Ascot.

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Sat 24th Jun 2023
2.30 Ascot (17 runners)
Chesham Stakes (Listed)
7f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Pearls And Rubies (USA) – 468.3
  2. La Guarida (IRE) – 417.8
  3. Snellen (IRE) – 412.8
  4. Lightning Leo – 402.0
  5. Nemonte (IRE) – 401.2
  6. Golden Mind (IRE) – 382.5
  7. Maymay (FR) – 354.0
  8. Sayedaty Sadaty (IRE) – 347.0
  9. Matnookh (IRE) – 317.9
  10. Carolina Reaper – 314.4
  11. Quatre Bras (IRE) – 311.7
  12. Oddyssey – 301.9
  13. Content (IRE) – 289.9
  14. Hot Fuss (IRE) – 288.6
  15. Dallas Star (FR) – 255.4
  16. Count Palatine (IRE) – 233.7
  17. Warnie (IRE) – 59.1

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Pearls And Rubies (USA):
    Pearls And Rubies won impressively on debut in a 5f Navan maiden. With the pedigree and the way she stayed on strongly, stepping up to 7f should suit her. She is considered a fine prospect.
  2. La Guarida (IRE):
    La Guarida chased home Jabaara on debut in a Newmarket contest and then won a 6f Goodwood fillies’ maiden. With more to come over 7f, she is a promising contender.
  3. Snellen (IRE):
    Snellen won a 7f Limerick maiden, despite hanging badly left late on. Despite her quirks, she showed improvement and can continue to progress.

Additional Considerations:
Lightning Leo made a winning start in a 7f Yarmouth novice, showing determination to fend off Sayedaty Sadaty. With room for improvement, he can be a factor. Nemonte won a 6f Curragh maiden, and while the form is ordinary, she is open to improvement.

Special Mention:
Pearls And Rubies stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. With an impressive debut win, staying on strongly, and the potential for further improvement over 7f, she is considered a strong contender in this race.

3.05 Ascot (15 runners)
Jersey Stakes (Group 3)
7f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Covey – 599.9
  2. The Antarctic (IRE) – 579.0
  3. Olivia Maralda (IRE) – 567.5
  4. Streets Of Gold (IRE) – 539.4
  5. Enfjaar (IRE) – 529.8
  6. Zoology – 496.8
  7. Holloway Boy – 472.8
  8. Mysterious Night (IRE) – 466.5
  9. Holguin – 443.8
  10. Quar Shamar (GER) – 437.9
  11. Flight Plan – 425.9
  12. Age Of Kings (IRE) – 380.7
  13. Thunderbear (IRE) – 348.1
  14. Empty Metaphor (IRE) – 313.6
  15. Alexander John (IRE) – 288.3

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Covey:
    Covey has been improving significantly and demonstrated his potential with a commanding victory on handicap debut at Haydock over 1 mile. With the prospect of more to come, he is considered a serious player in this race.
  2. The Antarctic (IRE):
    The Antarctic had a successful juvenile season, including a good second in the Group 1 Middle Park. He returned with a win in the Lacken Stakes and is unexposed at this distance, making him an interesting contender.
  3. Olivia Maralda (IRE):
    Olivia Maralda showed the benefit of her return/yard debut effort in the 1000 Guineas and followed it up with a good win in the listed Surrey Stakes at Epsom over 7f. She is clearly in good form and shouldn’t be dismissed lightly.

Additional Considerations:
Streets Of Gold won five consecutive starts and showed improvement after a wind operation when finishing third behind Olivia Maralda. Holguin has been consistent and was a good second in a listed race at Epsom. Both horses have shown potential and could be factors in this race.

Special Mention:
Covey stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. With his significant improvement and dominant win on handicap debut, he is considered a strong contender in this race.

3.40 Ascot (16 runners)
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
(Group 1) (British Champions Series)

6f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Kinross – 632.6
  2. Highfield Princess (FR) – 586.1
  3. Sacred – 576.1
  4. Run To Freedom – 531.7
  5. Al Suhail – 529.6
  6. Sandrine – 520.1
  7. Rohaan (IRE) – 498.6
  8. Art Power (IRE) – 465.8
  9. Khaadem (IRE) – 444.6
  10. Emaraaty Ana – 444.0
  11. Artorius (AUS) – 436.7
  12. The Astrologist (AUS) – 324.0
  13. Wellington (AUS) – 68.9
  14. Big Invasion (USA) – 41.0
  15. Cannonball (AUS) – 289.4
  16. Coeur De Pierre (FR) – 0.0

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Kinross:
    Kinross is a strong contender, having thrived last season and winning the Champions Sprint over the same course and distance. However, he was only eighth in this race last year on fast ground, so he may be vulnerable unless there is rain.
  2. Highfield Princess (FR):
    Highfield Princess is a high-class mare who had a brilliant 2022 campaign, including three Group 1 wins. She has started this season well, finishing runner-up in a Group 2 at York and the King’s Stand at Ascot. Although she was only sixth in this race last year, she remains a respected contender.
  3. Sacred:
    Sacred is a smart mare who made a winning return in a Group 3 race at Lingfield. While her best distance may be 7f, she performed well in this race last year, finishing a close fifth. Given her form and previous performance, she should be respected in this field.

Additional Considerations:
Rohaan is a very smart gelding with an excellent record at Ascot, winning the Wokingham Stakes at this meeting for the last two seasons. He was also a Group 3 winner in October and finished fourth in the Champions Sprint. Despite a disappointing return, he is expected to bounce back.

Art Power is a very smart gelding, and his recent performances at the Curragh have been impressive, including a career-best win by a significant margin. He has shown good form at Ascot before, so he should not be taken lightly.

Special Mention:
Highfield Princess stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. Her brilliant 2022 campaign and strong performances this season, including runner-up finishes in Group races, make her a serious contender in this race.

4.20 Ascot (8 runners)
Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)
1m4f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Hukum (IRE) – 721.7
  2. Free Wind (IRE) – 689.0
  3. Pyledriver – 651.9
  4. Changingoftheguard (IRE) – 574.7
  5. Deauville Legend (IRE) – 562.0
  6. Grand Alliance (IRE) – 506.1
  7. West Wind Blows (IRE) – 442.6
  8. Ardakan – 44.6

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Hukum (IRE):
    Hukum is a very smart and likable type who has achieved success at the highest level, winning the Coronation Cup at Epsom and the Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown. Coming off a recent victory against last year’s Derby winner, he is expected to perform well and has a strong chance in this race.
  2. Free Wind (IRE):
    Free Wind is a very talented mare who has been in excellent form, winning six of her last seven starts. Her most recent victory came in the Group 2 Middleton Stakes at York over 1¼m. The return to a longer distance should suit her, and with further progress, she could be a tough contender to beat.
  3. Pyledriver:
    Pyledriver had a career-best performance when winning the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes over the same course and distance last July. While he escapes a penalty for that victory, he may need this comeback run to prepare for his defense of the King George crown next month. However, his previous success at Ascot makes him a contender to watch.

Additional Considerations:
Changingoftheguard won the King Edward VII Stakes at this meeting last year and finished a creditable third in the Group 2 Ormonde Stakes at Chester on his recent outing. Although more is needed here, his previous success at Ascot suggests he could be a factor in this race.

Deauville Legend was progressive last year, winning at Group level and finishing fourth in the Melbourne Cup. With potential to raise his game further, he cannot be ruled out.

Special Mention:
Hukum stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. His previous success at the highest level and recent victory against strong competition make him a strong contender in this race.

5.00 Ascot (28 runners)
Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
6f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Orazio (IRE) – 563.9
  2. Khanjar (IRE) – 534.1
  3. Spangled Mac (IRE) – 500.5
  4. Juan Les Pins – 498.8
  5. Flaming Rib (IRE) – 485.6
  6. Probe – 482.4
  7. Chipstead – 482.2
  8. Lethal Levi – 476.6
  9. Mums Tipple (IRE) – 458.6
  10. Bielsa (IRE) – 456.8
  11. Hurricane Ivor (IRE) – 440.2
  12. Dream Composer (FR) – 436.3
  13. Fresh – 433.2
  14. Apollo One – 432.3
  15. Summerghand (IRE) – 416.1
  16. Mr Wagyu (IRE) – 411.5
  17. Kape Moss – 410.6
  18. Tis Marvellous – 400.8
  19. Kings Lynn – 400.5
  20. Princess Shabnam (IRE) – 390.7
  21. Tanmawwy (IRE) – 389.8
  22. First Folio – 386.7
  23. Saint Lawrence (IRE) – 358.7
  24. Spirit Of Light (IRE) – 349.0
  25. Tabdeed – 322.3
  26. Hierarchy (IRE) – 318.3
  27. Albasheer (IRE) – 316.7
  28. Duca Di Como (IRE) – 0.5

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Orazio (IRE):
    Orazio is a low-mileage 4-year-old who has been in impressive form, winning at Newmarket and over the course and distance. Despite a significant hike in the weights, he still looks ahead of his mark and is considered a top contender in this race.
  2. Khanjar (IRE):
    Khanjar showed a return to form with a second-place finish in a handicap at Hamilton, where he wasn’t ideally placed after a slow start. With the potential improvement from first-time cheekpieces, he is expected to put up a bold showing and has solid claims.
  3. Spangled Mac (IRE):
    Spangled Mac ran well in the recent Buckingham Palace Stakes, keeping on strongly despite being forced to switch. With a quick turnaround in distance and the addition of a re-fitted tongue tie, he becomes an interesting contender for this race.
  4. Juan Les Pins:
    Juan Les Pins returned to winning ways in a handicap at Nottingham, showing a good finishing kick. Carrying a 5 lb penalty here, he needs to prove his ability to handle the step up in class, but his recent form makes him worth considering.
  5. Flaming Rib (IRE):
    Flaming Rib is a smart colt who started the year with a win in a Doha conditions event but has been below par in his subsequent runs. After a break, he needs to produce a big step forward to contend in this competitive field.

Additional Considerations:
Chipstead impressed when winning at York and has the potential to excel over the 6f distance. Bielsa, the 2021 Ayr Gold Cup winner, showcased his winning form at the Dante meeting and remains firmly in the picture. Hurricane Ivor and Summerghand, despite not performing at their best this season, have proven themselves in the past and can’t be ruled out.

Special Mention:
Orazio stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. His recent impressive victories at Newmarket and over the course and distance, coupled with his potential to handle the increased weight, make him a strong contender in this race.

5.35 Ascot (16 runners)
Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap)
1m2f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Local Dynasty (IRE) – 555.6
  2. Canute (USA) – 498.5
  3. James Mchenry – 452.1
  4. Ziryab – 446.4
  5. Liberty Lane (IRE) – 444.1
  6. Lion Of War – 441.5
  7. Laafi (FR) – 436.2
  8. Burdett Road – 435.7
  9. Have Secret (IRE) – 412.3
  10. Londoner (IRE) – 408.3
  11. Coco Jack (IRE) – 394.4
  12. Obelix – 386.8
  13. Lose Your Wad (IRE) – 379.0
  14. Like A Tiger – 377.4
  15. Knockbrex – 376.1
  16. Cuban Dawn (IRE) – 309.2

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Local Dynasty (IRE):
    Local Dynasty is a Dubawi colt who had an impressive juvenile campaign, winning three out of four races, including a listed success over 1 mile at Pontefract. He returned with a creditable third-place finish in the Dee Stakes at Chester and could have more to offer. Considered a top contender in this race.
  2. Canute (USA):
    Canute recently broke his maiden in handicap company at Navan over 1 ¼ miles and showed potential for more improvement. Trained by a top handler, he is considered a strong contender for this race, despite his quirks.
  3. James Mchenry:
    James Mchenry started his season with back-to-back wins in 1-mile handicaps at Ripon and Haydock. However, he failed to continue his progression in the Silver Bowl at Haydock, finishing sixth. He needs to regain his progressive form and adjust to the step up in trip for this race.
  4. Ziryab:
    Ziryab, a Kingman colt, won convincingly in maiden company over 1 mile at Leicester. Stepping up in trip for his handicap debut, he has the potential to improve further. Considered an interesting contender based on his connections and recent form.
  5. Liberty Lane (IRE):
    Liberty Lane had an impressive debut win at Nottingham over 1 mile on heavy ground last October. He showed further improvement with a second-place finish at Newmarket on his reappearance and a seventh-place finish in the Dante at York. However, he faces a tough task from his current handicap mark.

Additional Considerations:
Lion Of War, coming off a victory over the reopposing Coco Jack at Musselburgh, is back on the up and can handle the step up to 1 ¼ miles. Have Secret (IRE) put in a cracking run when fourth in a strong race at Newbury, indicating his chances in this race. Knockbrex, who saw off subsequent winners in a Pontefract maiden, is an intriguing contender dropping back in trip under the guidance of jockey Frankie Dettori.

Special Mention:
Local Dynasty (IRE) stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. His impressive juvenile form, creditable reappearance run, and strong connections make him a top contender in this race.

6.10 Ascot (10 runners)
Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race)
2m5½f

Based on the provided Timewise ratings, here are the rankings of the horses in totals order:

  1. Stratum – 543.3
  2. Dawn Rising (IRE) – 484.4
  3. Goshen (FR) – 442.0
  4. Typewriter (IRE) – 396.7
  5. The Grand Visir – 372.0
  6. First Emperor – 367.2
  7. Run For Oscar (IRE) – 364.9
  8. Falcon Eight (IRE) – 340.7
  9. Coltor (IRE) – 325.9
  10. Estacas (GER) – 315.3

Now let’s analyze and assess the top contenders based on the comments:

  1. Stratum:
    Stratum is a smart performer seeking a hat-trick in this race. Although he had a below-par run in the Saval Beg Levmoss Stakes at Leopardstown last month, he is expected to be back to his best up in trip. Considered a strong contender.
  2. Dawn Rising (IRE):
    Dawn Rising is a useful hurdler who is still unexposed on the Flat. He shaped well when finishing third in the Saval Beg Levmoss Stakes at Leopardstown, and the step up in trip could bring further improvement. With Ryan Moore aboard, he is worth chancing in this race.
  3. Goshen (FR):
    Goshen is an enigmatic but classy hurdler who has shown promise in flat races as well. He had credible performances in this sphere last season and ran well at Sandown 56 days ago. While he needs to up his game to feature at this level, his track record and potential make him an interesting contender.
  4. Typewriter (IRE):
    Typewriter has shown useful form, including placing in two listed races at Chester last year. She put in a respectable fourth-place finish in the Bronte Cup at York last month, and the longer trip in this race should suit her. Considered a strong contender.
  5. The Grand Visir:
    The Grand Visir ran with credit in the Ascot Stakes Handicap earlier in the week and has a good record at this meeting, having won that race in 2019 and secured back-to-back placings in the Queen Alexandra Stakes. While he has a poor strike rate, he cannot be ruled out and is worth considering.

Additional Considerations:
First Emperor has won twice on the AW earlier this year and had a creditable third-place finish in a handicap at Goodwood. Although he needs to improve significantly in trip, his recent form suggests he could be competitive. Run For Oscar, a useful dual-purpose operator who won the Cesarewitch last season, could also take a hand if he gets the trip.

Special Mention:
Goshen (FR) stands out as a horse with an exceptional chance based on the comments. Despite his enigmatic nature, his class and past performances make him an intriguing contender in this race.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided ratings and comments. Horse racing outcomes are unpredictable, and other factors such as recent form, jockey/trainer performance, and track conditions can also influence the result of the race.

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