Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Friday’s card at Chester.

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Fri 30th Jun 2023
5.40 Chester (11 runners)
Beaverbrooks Amateur Jockeys Handicap
7f

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Metabolt – 522.3
  2. Danzan (IRE) – 447.4
  3. Maywake – 443.0
  4. Paws For Thought (IRE) – 375.7
  5. Brasil Power (FR) – 356.5
  6. King Cabo (USA) – 355.9
  7. Starshiba – 332.1
  8. Dolly Gray – 279.9
  9. Mabre (IRE) – 274.2
  10. Iconic Knight (IRE) – 240.4
  11. Voltaic – 207.2

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Metabolt: Impressive recent performances, including a win at Windsor over 1 mile. Expected to put up another bold show.
  • Danzan (IRE): Seasoned winner, including the Ayr Bronze Cup. Strong front-running display in the latest race, but the stall position (11) could pose a challenge.
  • Maywake: Consistently performed well in recent starts, with a notable third-place finish at Beverley. Expected to be in contention once again.
  • Paws For Thought (IRE): Hasn’t won for a while but showed promise with a third-place finish over this C&D. A wind operation has been undergone, and chances depend on the ground condition.
  • Brasil Power (FR): Won at Wolverhampton and showed potential in the latest run. First-time cheekpieces and step back up in trip could benefit, but better on the all-weather surface.
  • King Cabo (USA): Opened turf account and finished close third at Newbury. Unexposed on turf and drawn favorably.
  • Starshiba: Multiple AW winner but still seeking a turf victory. Decent third at Wetherby last time, but faces a more competitive field.
  • Dolly Gray: Improved form on turf recently, winning at Nottingham and narrowly missing out over the same C&D. Return to this trip is not an issue, and considered a live contender.
  • Mabre (IRE): Won at Newbury and posted a solid second at Bath. Not disgraced in the latest run, but others have stronger appeal in this race.
  • Iconic Knight (IRE): Performed well at Chepstow in 2022 but hasn’t shown much in recent appearances.
  • Voltaic: Losing streak continues, and while not handicapped out of contention, others are more appealing options.

Summarizing their chances:

Based on the ratings and comments, the top contenders in this race appear to be Metabolt, Danzan (IRE), Maywake, and Paws For Thought (IRE). These horses have shown consistent form and have the potential to perform well in this race.

Selecting the best horse:

Considering the analysis, Metabolt stands out as the top-rated runner who has shown impressive recent performances, including a win at Windsor. With another bold show expected and a penalty to contend with, Metabolt seems like the best pick for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

6.15 Chester (8 runners)
Camden Town Brewery Newcomers Restricted
Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Witness Stand – 106.9
  2. Woottons Jewel – 108.6
  3. Quick Away – 103.5
  4. Mnawekh (IRE) – 91.8
  5. Dufresne – 88.0
  6. Indication Court (IRE) – 85.5
  7. Timebar – 52.1
  8. Rukaana – 53.1

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Witness Stand: Expert Eye colt with a good pedigree, being a half-brother to winners. Considered as one of the contenders.
  • Woottons Jewel: Wootton Bassett colt, half-brother to a winner. His dam has shown staying ability. Chances depend on the performance of the progeny.
  • Quick Away: Muhaarar filly with a strong pedigree, including siblings who have been successful. Considered as a contender.
  • Mnawekh (IRE): Mehmas colt with a maiden dam who stayed 1¼ miles. The half-sister has been a useful 2-year-old winner. Chances depend on the horse’s ability to perform well.
  • Dufresne: Harry Angel colt, half-brother to a winner. The dam was a winner over 5 furlongs. Potential to show improvement.
  • Indication Court (IRE): Inns of Court colt, half-brother to winners. The dam has a limited racing record. Chances depend on the horse’s ability.
  • Timebar: Time Test colt, half-brother to several winners. The dam was a 5-furlong winner. Ability to perform well needs to be assessed.
  • Rukaana: Dark Angel colt, half-brother to a smart winner. The dam won the 1000 Guineas and stayed 10.5 furlongs. Potential for a good performance.

Summarizing their chances:

Based on the ratings and comments, Witness Stand, Woottons Jewel, Quick Away, and Mnawekh (IRE) emerge as the top contenders in this race. These horses have promising pedigrees and potential to perform well.

Selecting the best horse:

Considering the analysis, Witness Stand stands out as the top-rated runner with a strong pedigree and favourable comments. Being an Expert Eye colt and a half-brother to winners, Witness Stand seems like the best pick for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

6.50 Chester (9 runners)
Halliwell Jones Selling Stakes
7f 

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Up The Jazz (IRE) – 375.9
  2. Pretence (IRE) – 378.1
  3. Mimi Kakushi (IRE) – 297.1
  4. On Borrowed Time – 268.0
  5. Making Dreams (IRE) – 263.4
  6. Storm Alice – 257.9
  7. Kenyan Warrior (IRE) – 257.1
  8. Patasola (IRE) – 238.5
  9. Major Kessaar (IRE) – 176.2

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Up The Jazz (IRE): Unlucky not to win in his last outing and has been improving with each run. The step up to 7 furlongs should suit, and he is expected to perform well.
  • Pretence (IRE): Showed little impact in maidens in Ireland, but comes from a well-bred background. Trained by a yard that had a successful claimer winner recently. Potential for improvement.
  • Mimi Kakushi (IRE): Had a good performance at Redcar, leading until near the line. Cheekpieces are added for this race, and she is likely to be in contention despite the highest draw.
  • On Borrowed Time: Won a 7-furlong seller race at Redcar on debut, defeating a long odds-on shot. There is potential for improvement, and a follow-up performance is possible.
  • Making Dreams (IRE): Has been held in 5-furlong and 6-furlong novices and needs significant improvement for the step up in trip.
  • Storm Alice: Showed little impact in a warm 7-furlong novice race at Haydock on debut. The yard has not had a 2-year-old winner this year. Performance may be limited.
  • Kenyan Warrior (IRE): Green and always behind in the debut race at Chester, having missed the break. Improvement is needed for this race.
  • Patasola (IRE): Ran well in a 5-furlong claimer but was well held in a Carlisle maiden for the new yard. This race may be more suitable, and there is a step up in trip.
  • Major Kessaar (IRE): Was well beaten behind On Borrowed Time and Mimi Kakushi in a first-time cheekpiece run at Redcar. Currently looks poor.

Summarizing their chances:

Based on the ratings and comments, Up The Jazz (IRE), Pretence (IRE), Mimi Kakushi (IRE), and On Borrowed Time emerge as the top contenders in this race. These horses have shown promise in their recent performances and have the potential to perform well.

Selecting the best horse:

Among the top contenders, Up The Jazz (IRE) stands out as the highest-rated runner who has been improving with each run and was unlucky not to win in the previous outing. With the step up to 7 furlongs likely to suit, Up The Jazz (IRE) appears to be the best pick for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

7.25 Chester (10 runners)
Beaverbrooks Handicap
7½f

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Tajalat (IRE) – 450.4
  2. Chasseral – 441.0
  3. Hey Lyla – 436.9
  4. Metahorse – 382.0
  5. Spioradalta – 367.4
  6. Supaspecialawesome (IRE) – 357.3
  7. River Usk (IRE) – 314.2
  8. Seagrave Fox (IRE) – 291.2
  9. Pearly Star – 283.6
  10. Finn Russell (IRE) – 248.1

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Tajalat (IRE): Has shown fair form in three outings, and handicaps could bring out her best. Being well drawn here adds to her chances.
  • Chasseral: Showed promise as an AW novice winner, but her recent performances in 6-furlong handicaps have been creditable. However, she faces a significant step up in trip in this race.
  • Hey Lyla: Recently won a maiden at Ayr and faced tougher competition at York, where she was brushed aside. This race represents an easier assignment for her.
  • Metahorse: Won as a novice at this track last summer and had a successful nursery debut. Form has leveled off since then, but the drop in class and the addition of cheekpieces could help.
  • Spioradalta: Won a handicap at Nottingham in heavy ground conditions but struggled in a different form at York. Ground conditions may have played a role in the performance.
  • Supaspecialawesome (IRE): Showed promise at Wolverhampton but had a less impressive turf debut at Doncaster. Shaped as if something was amiss in the latest race over this course and distance.
  • River Usk (IRE): Registered a win in a 7.5-furlong handicap at Beverley but struggled with an 8lb rise and was brushed aside at York.
  • Seagrave Fox (IRE): Scored twice on the all-weather and showed promise on turf with a sixth-place finish in a handicap at Haydock. Expected to put in another good effort.
  • Pearly Star: Has yet to win in five starts but showed improvement with a third-place finish at Beverley, making up ground. Performance in that race makes Pearly Star an interesting contender.

Summarizing their chances:

Based on the ratings and comments, Tajalat (IRE), Chasseral, Hey Lyla, and Metahorse emerge as the top contenders in this race. These horses have shown promise in their recent performances and have the potential to perform well.

Selecting the best horse:

Among the top contenders, Tajalat (IRE) stands out as the highest-rated runner who has shown fair form in her outings. With the potential to improve in handicaps and a favourable draw, Tajalat (IRE) appears to be the best pick for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

8.00 Chester (8 runners)
EBF Fillies Handicap
1m2½f

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Dubai Crystal (IRE) – 461.9
  2. Market Value (IRE) – 453.7
  3. Nigwa – 428.4
  4. Wind In Your Sails (IRE) – 385.1
  5. Totnes (IRE) – 371.5
  6. Sparks Fly – 347.8
  7. Golden Melody (IRE) – 337.1
  8. Angels Landing (IRE) – 323.6

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Dubai Crystal (IRE): Has shown good form in handicaps, finishing as a runner-up in two 10-furlong races. Continues to perform well and should be in contention in this race.
  • Market Value (IRE): Improved Siyouni filly who recently won a 9-runner maiden at Ripon convincingly. Entering handicaps off a lenient opening mark, she is considered a strong contender.
  • Nigwa: In good form in handicaps without securing a win, finishing fourth at Ripon in her last race. She remains one to consider for the shortlist.
  • Wind In Your Sails (IRE): Has shown improvement in each of her three starts and won a minor event at Thirsk. Going up in trip for her handicap debut, she has more to offer and should be a player in this race.
  • Totnes (IRE): Already a dual AW winner this year, but her recent performance in a 10-furlong handicap at Salisbury was only fair. She will need to step up to be competitive.
  • Sparks Fly: Has displayed significant improvement since switching to turf and achieved a four-timer with a convincing win at Windsor. Despite a weight increase, she remains a serious contender.
  • Golden Melody (IRE): Previously won over this course and distance, but her recent form has been less encouraging, finishing ninth in a handicap at Haydock. Other contenders may be more persuasive.
  • Angels Landing (IRE): Although winless since 2021, she posted a good third-place finish in a handicap at Wetherby. With the cheekpieces back on, she has the potential to perform well again.

Summarizing their chances:

Dubai Crystal (IRE), Market Value (IRE), Nigwa, and Wind In Your Sails (IRE) emerge as the top contenders in this race. These horses have shown good form in recent outings and have the potential to be competitive.

Selecting the best horse:

Among the top contenders, Dubai Crystal (IRE) stands out as the highest-rated runner who has consistently performed well in handicaps. With a strong track record and being in good form, Dubai Crystal (IRE) is the preferred choice for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

8.30 Chester (8 runners)
Expleo Handicap
1m2½f

Based on the provided information, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Balance Play (IRE) – 436.4
  2. Theme Park – 418.1
  3. Noodle Mission (USA) – 414.8
  4. Razoni (IRE) – 414.0
  5. Tajawal (IRE) – 393.9
  6. Lil Frank – 288.4
  7. Gordon Grey (IRE) – 231.3
  8. Mandega (FR) – 59.3

Assessing the comments for the runners:

  • Balance Play (IRE): Shaped well in previous races, with the form of his second-place finish at Salisbury being boosted. He performed well when finishing third at Epsom, indicating his potential to be competitive in this race.
  • Theme Park: A 200,000 gns purchase who has shown promise in a couple of handicaps at York. His recent performance over 1 mile was encouraging, and the step up in trip could suit him well.
  • Noodle Mission (USA): Improved after stepping up in trip earlier in the year, winning twice at Wolverhampton. With a break of 4 months, it remains to be seen how effective he will be on turf.
  • Razoni (IRE): Winner of a Newcastle novice and has finished as the runner-up six times. He could produce a bigger effort with the step back up in trip and the addition of blinkers.
  • Tajawal (IRE): Placed in his first three runs and won his latest outing at Ayr. Returning to this distance for his handicap debut, he is expected to show further improvement.
  • Lil Frank: Has displayed fairly useful form, finishing second to Tajawal in a maiden at Ayr. While it is uncertain if he can reverse the result, the longer trip should suit him.
  • Mandega (FR): Previously ran well in France and performed decently in a claimer at Fontainbleau. Debuting for a new yard, market vibes could provide further insight into his chances.
  • Gordon Grey (IRE): Showed promise in a Newbury maiden and has the potential to do better. With a step back up in trip for his handicap debut, he should be considered as a contender.

Summarizing their chances:

Balance Play (IRE), Theme Park, Noodle Mission (USA), and Razoni (IRE) emerge as the top contenders based on their ratings. These horses have shown good form in previous races and have the potential to be competitive.

Selecting the best horse:

Among the top contenders, Balance Play (IRE) stands out as the highest-rated runner who has consistently performed well in recent outings. With potential and a strong track record, Balance Play (IRE) is the preferred choice for this race.

Please note that horse racing involves inherent uncertainties, and outcomes may vary.

9.00 Chester (15 runners)
Remembering Jess Whalley Handicap
5f 

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Soul Seeker (IRE)
  2. Shoebox King (IRE)
  3. Bang On The Bell
  4. Ecclesiastical
  5. Birkenhead
  6. Brian The Snail (IRE)
  7. Street Life
  8. Albegone
  9. Noteable (IRE)
  10. Han Solo Berger (IRE)
  11. Loco Lobo
  12. Therehegoes
  13. High Security
  14. Astapor
  15. Red Walls

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Soul Seeker (IRE): Placed in the last three starts, has a good chance, especially in this lower grade.
  2. Shoebox King (IRE): Showed promise with wins at Wolverhampton and Yarmouth, could perform well on a quicker surface.
  3. Bang On The Bell: Won at Wolverhampton and Yarmouth but struggled in heavy ground in the last race, could bounce back on a better surface.
  4. Ecclesiastical: Impressive winner at Ripon, but carries a penalty. Still considered a strong contender.
  5. Birkenhead: Won at Southwell recently, had a decent performance at Ripon despite a slow start. Draw and cheekpieces are concerns.
  6. Brian The Snail (IRE): Won at Ripon and had an excuse in the last race, but wide draw is a challenge.
  7. Street Life: Won at Catterick but had a tricky ride in the last race. Others may be more appealing.
  8. Albegone: Hasn’t won in a while and failed to meet expectations in the last race. Market check recommended.
  9. Noteable (IRE): Mixed performances after a surgery, needs to improve to shed the maiden tag.
  10. Han Solo Berger (IRE): Won at Southwell but wide draw is a significant disadvantage. Maintaining good form overall.
  11. Loco Lobo: Limited success in minor events and has a lot to prove in handicap debut.
  12. Therehegoes: Won at Windsor and had encouraging performances at Wolverhampton and Lingfield. Draw is a slight concern.
  13. High Security: Good third at Nottingham but disappointed at Ayr. Draw and recent form raise doubts.
  14. Astapor: Won twice at Catterick but struggled in the last race. Not discounted with a claimer and return to the minimum trip.
  15. Red Walls: Second at Wolverhampton but inconsistent performances since then. Others appear more favorable.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Soul Seeker (IRE). It has consistently placed in recent races and is respected in this lower grade. It ranks highest in the ratings and has a good chance of performing well.

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