Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Friday’s card at Newmarket (July).

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Fri 30th Jun 2023
5.15 Newmarket (July) (7 runners)
Victor Veitch British EBF Maiden
Fillies Stakes (GBB Race)

6f 

Based on the ratings provided, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Dazzling Star – Rating: 341.2
  2. Looby – Rating: 334.2
  3. Idle Assembly (IRE) – Rating: 298.5
  4. Perianth (IRE) – Rating: 284.8
  5. Jumeirah Breeze (IRE) – Rating: 187.2
  6. Scarlet Rosie – Rating: 161.7
  7. Hard To Resist (IRE) – Rating: 124.8

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Dazzling Star: Eighth-place finish in the previous maiden at Kempton on debut. Expected to improve based on the pedigree and should be considered.
  2. Looby: Fifth-place finish in a minor event at Windsor on debut. Highly promising type and open to significant improvement.
  3. Idle Assembly (IRE): Fifth-place finish in a minor event at Haydock on debut. Not knocked about and may do better in this race.
  4. Perianth (IRE): Sixth-place finish in a maiden at Leicester on debut. Expected to show improvement in this race.
  5. Jumeirah Breeze (IRE): Eighth-place finish in a maiden at Doncaster on debut. Well-related and could improve with experience.
  6. Scarlet Rosie: Eighth-place finish in a maiden at Chelmsford City on debut. First run for a new yard and hooded for the first time. Hard to make a case for.
  7. Hard To Resist (IRE): Noteworthy newcomer with no previous race experience mentioned in the comments.

Based on the analysis, the runner with the highest rating and positive comments is Dazzling Star. Despite her eighth-place finish on debut, the expectation of improvement based on pedigree makes her a strong contender in this race.

5.50 Newmarket (July) (10 runners)
Minzaal Bred At Ringfort Stud Fillies Handicap
1m2f 

Based on the ratings provided, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Flash Bardot – Rating: 377.9
  2. Moonlit Cloud – Rating: 371.7
  3. Flower Of Thunder (IRE) – Rating: 355.4
  4. Meleri – Rating: 325.8
  5. Ragosina – Rating: 314.8
  6. Swing To The Stars (IRE) – Rating: 285.1
  7. Folk Star – Rating: 258.3
  8. Control – Rating: 248.1
  9. Manila Mist – Rating: 241.0
  10. Lethal Touch – Rating: 239.4

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Moonlit Cloud: Has been in fine form, winning back-to-back handicaps over this trip and narrowly missing out on a hat-trick bid. Expected to show another strong performance.
  2. Meleri: Won this race last year but has been underwhelming in her reappearance effort at Windsor. The run was likely needed, but she faces a tougher task this time.
  3. Flower Of Thunder (IRE): Successful four times in 2022 but has been out of form in her three starts this season. Needs to bounce back to previous form.
  4. Swing To The Stars (IRE): Improved in handicaps with the addition of a hood, finishing runner-up at Nottingham and a close third at Yarmouth. The step up in trip could be beneficial, and the jockey booking is notable.
  5. Flash Bardot: Won a novice race at Lingfield and followed up with a solid third in a handicap at Beverley. Enters calculations off the same mark.
  6. Control: Consistently placed last year and showed improvement with a fourth-place finish at Lingfield in her recent run. Capable of getting her head in front but faces stronger competition here.
  7. Ragosina: Showed promise in novice events and has improved in handicaps and over the longer distance. Fitting of cheekpieces could help her perform better.
  8. Lethal Touch: Had a decent record last year with two wins but ran poorly in her last race. Best watched after a break.
  9. Manila Mist: Showed signs of ability in maiden/novice company but likely to find this race too competitive.
  10. Folk Star: Little impact in novice events but improved when third on handicap debut at Thirsk over a longer distance. The trip could suit her, and she is one to consider.

Based on the analysis, the top four ranked runners are Flash Bardot, Moonlit Cloud, Flower Of Thunder (IRE), and Meleri. Among them, Flash Bardot stands out with the highest rating and positive comments about her previous performances. She has shown potential and enters the race off a good run, making her the top pick based on the analysis.

6.25 Newmarket (July) (10 runners)
Anmaat Bred At Ringfort Stud Fillies
Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m

Based on the ratings provided, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Beautiful Summer – Rating: 413.2
  2. Sanction – Rating: 400.5
  3. Fleurir – Rating: 380.9
  4. Gentle Light – Rating: 375.0
  5. Full Regalia – Rating: 340.9
  6. Miss Lightfandango – Rating: 292.5
  7. Ayyab – Rating: 259.3
  8. Louaizeh (IRE) – Rating: 257.5
  9. Omhaire – Rating: 195.2
  10. Le Mans (IRE) – Rating: 76.5

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Ayyab: Improved from her debut run and finished fourth in a maiden at Nottingham. Likely to benefit from handicaps over further distances.
  2. Beautiful Summer: Showed improvement in her second start at Wolverhampton, but has yet to live up to her pedigree.
  3. Fleurir: Showed promise with a second-place finish at Newcastle, but disappointed on her handicap debut at Southwell. Vulnerable in this race.
  4. Full Regalia: Has a strong pedigree and showed promise in her debut run at Yarmouth, finishing fourth. More to come from her.
  5. Gentle Light: Showed fair form in two starts but looked raw in her last race at Windsor. Could improve with time.
  6. Le Mans (IRE): Well-bred filly making her debut. Faces more experienced fillies but could be a contender if ready.
  7. Louaizeh (IRE): Finished last in two novice events, indicating little form.
  8. Miss Lightfandango: Performed poorly in 7f novices in the past.
  9. Omhaire: Finished last in two contests with a significant time gap between them. Not appealing.
  10. Sanction: Well-bred filly with a slow start to her career at Newbury. Presumably had issues or learning difficulties.

Based on the analysis, the top four ranked runners are Beautiful Summer, Sanction, Fleurir, and Gentle Light. Among them, Beautiful Summer stands out with the highest rating and positive comments about her recent improvement in form. She has the potential to show further progress and is the top pick based on the analysis.

7.00 Newmarket (July) (10 runners)
Threat Bred At Ringfort Stud Handicap
1m 

Based on the ratings provided, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Cabinet Of Clowns (IRE) – Rating: 374.1
  2. High Court Judge (USA) – Rating: 366.4
  3. Grand Libya – Rating: 356.9
  4. Pearl Eye – Rating: 353.5
  5. Tamaluk (IRE) – Rating: 336.8
  6. Le Reveur (IRE) – Rating: 325.3
  7. Giovanni Baglione (IRE) – Rating: 311.7
  8. Raqraaq (USA) – Rating: 297.5
  9. Boafo Boy – Rating: 273.8
  10. Split Elevens – Rating: 247.4

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Boafo Boy: Made a breakthrough in a handicap at Newcastle but hasn’t been able to build on that performance on turf.
  2. Cabinet Of Clowns (IRE): Showed consistency last season and had a positive run at the Rowley. Performance dipped at Leicester recently.
  3. Grand Libya: Consistent performer with a solid effort at Windsor in a well-placed race. Expected to make another bold bid from the same mark.
  4. Giovanni Baglione (IRE): Promising return from a 6-month break at Yarmouth and didn’t show turf form at Haydock. Blinkers may improve performance.
  5. Raqraaq (USA): Returned from a 4-month break with a good third-place finish at Kempton and a second-place finish at Windsor. Consideration for selection.
  6. Le Reveur (IRE): Experienced a dip in form in the second half of the previous season but showed improvement with a runner-up finish over C&D. Needs to back it up to confirm form.
  7. Split Elevens: Won on the All-Weather earlier this year but had a difficult start on turf. Comes with risks.
  8. Tamaluk (IRE): Showed more zest with cheekpieces when finishing second at Leicester. Worth considering.
  9. Pearl Eye: Doubled tally at Haydock and followed up with a good third-place finish at Pontefract. Leading claims with the step up in trip.
  10. High Court Judge (USA): Improved in handicaps after gelding and back-to-back wins on the AW. Struggled since and now back on turf.

Based on the analysis, the top four ranked runners are Cabinet Of Clowns (IRE), High Court Judge (USA), Grand Libya, and Pearl Eye. Among them, Pearl Eye stands out with a strong rating and positive comments about recent performances. With the step up in trip and solid form, Pearl Eye is the top pick based on the analysis.

7.35 Newmarket (July) (5 runners)
Indie Angel Bred At Ringfort Stud Handicap
7f 

Based on the provided ratings, comments, and instructions, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Behind The Scenes (IRE)
  • Rating: 487.6
  1. In These Shoes (IRE)
  • Rating: 482.9
  1. Havana Blue
  • Rating: 480.4
  1. Dark Trooper (IRE)
  • Rating: 447.6
  1. Dark Kestrel (IRE)
  • Rating: 430.9

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  • Behind The Scenes (IRE): Debut 7f Kempton winner but below par when 15¾ lengths fourth of 6 to Continuous in Prix Thomas Bryon at Saint-Cloud (8f, soft) when last seen out 9 months ago. Needs to hit the ground running on her handicap debut.
  • In These Shoes (IRE): Resumed with 7.5f win at Beverley in April but only seventh of 10 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good) 13 days ago when seeming unsuited by the track. Sort to bounce back.
  • Havana Blue: Got off the mark with a career best in 13-runner handicap at Newmarket (7f, good) 41 days ago. Likeable sort who looks weighted to go in again.
  • Dark Trooper (IRE): Bagged a second win of 2023 at Kempton in January. Off 4 months and shaped as if needing the run when eighth of 10 in handicap there (7f) 23 days ago. Can take a step forward.
  • Dark Kestrel (IRE): Reappeared with 6f Doncaster novice success in May but well below that form on both starts since, thirteenth of 21 in handicap at York (6f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Based on the comments and the runners’ recent performances, here is a summary of their chances:

  1. Behind The Scenes (IRE): Needs to deliver a strong performance on her handicap debut but has shown potential with a debut win.
  2. In These Shoes (IRE): Has shown ability with a win at Beverley but had a disappointing performance at Chester. Could bounce back.
  3. Havana Blue: Achieved a career-best win last time out and looks well-weighted to perform well again.
  4. Dark Trooper (IRE): Showed promise with a win at Kempton but seemed in need of a run in the last handicap outing. Can improve.
  5. Dark Kestrel (IRE): Had a successful reappearance in May but has struggled in subsequent starts. Others appear more compelling.

Based on the analysis, the runner with a high rating and positive comments is Havana Blue. Therefore, Havana Blue would be the recommended selection for this race.

8.10 Newmarket (July) (8 runners)
Ubettabelieveit Bred At Ringfort
Stud Fillies Handicap

6f 

Based on the provided ratings, comments, and instructions, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Pinafore (IRE)
  • Rating: 615.2
  1. Star Guest
  • Rating: 508.8
  1. Lulworth Cove (IRE)
  • Rating: 486.1
  1. Jumbeau
  • Rating: 462.9
  1. Diamond Vega
  • Rating: 451.0
  1. Priscillas Wish
  • Rating: 440.0
  1. Coco Jamboo (IRE)
  • Rating: 406.9
  1. Powerdress (IRE)
  • Rating: 395.9

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  • Pinafore (IRE): Promising sort who got back on the up when comfortably landing the odds in a 5-runner handicap at Ripon last time. Bred to go on progressing and should take the beating.
  • Star Guest: Winner at Lingfield in January. 6/4, respectable third of 9 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good to firm) 36 days ago. Shapes like she will benefit from a drop back to this trip and has the scope for a bigger performance.
  • Lulworth Cove (IRE): Going the right way and doubled her tally in convincing fashion on AW at Lingfield recently. Seems just as effective on turf and may do better still.
  • Jumbeau: Largely acquitted herself well following Brighton debut success last term, not least when fifth of 24 in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. Has returned in good order and deserves respect on the back of a creditable second over 7f here a week ago.
  • Diamond Vega: Off the mark at the second attempt at Haydock last year. Found in listed company on the final outing, and mark looks quite stiff starting out in handicaps after 8 months off.
  • Priscillas Wish: Highly likable mare who got back on the up to gain her seventh course success at Yarmouth with something to spare. Respected again for all that she ran poorly on the Rowley course on the penultimate outing.
  • Coco Jamboo (IRE): Fairly useful sort who has been holding her form well this year, unable to sustain her effort when third to Pinafore at Ripon last time. On better terms with that rival now.
  • Powerdress (IRE): Debut winner on the Rowley course last April and returned with a good third in a conditions race here. Poor efforts since (stiff task first occasion) and has a bit to prove.

Based on the comments and the runners’ recent performances, here is a summary of their chances:

  1. Pinafore (IRE): Showed promise and progression with a comfortable win in a 5-runner handicap. Bred to continue improving and considered the one to beat.
  2. Star Guest: Has previous winning experience and ran respectably in a handicap at Catterick. Drop back in trip could benefit her, and there is potential for a stronger performance.
  3. Lulworth Cove (IRE): On an upward trajectory and recently won convincingly on the AW. Has shown effectiveness on turf as well and could continue to improve.
  4. Jumbeau: Consistent performances following a successful debut, including a creditable second-place finish over 7f at the same course. Deserves respect and can be considered as a contender.
  5. Diamond Vega: Won at Haydock last year but faced tough competition in listed company in the final outing. Starting out in handicaps after a break, so there might be some uncertainty.
  6. Priscillas Wish: Highly likable mare with multiple course successes, but ran poorly on the Rowley course in the previous outing. Respectable, but there are some doubts based on the recent form.
  7. Coco Jamboo (IRE): Fairly consistent performer this year but unable to maintain her effort in the latest race against Pinafore. On better terms now, but others may have stronger claims.
  8. Powerdress (IRE): Started well with a debut win but hasn’t performed up to par since then. Has something to prove and may need to show improvement.

Based on the analysis, the runner with the highest rating and positive comments is Pinafore (IRE). Therefore, Pinafore would be the recommended selection for this race.

8.45 Newmarket (July) (11 runners)
Alhabayeb Stands At Meelin Stud Handicap
1m2f

Based on the provided ratings, comments, and instructions, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

  1. Peace Man
  • Rating: 549.4
  1. First Sight
  • Rating: 538.0
  1. Like A Tiger
  • Rating: 505.2
  1. Encourageable (IRE)
  • Rating: 480.3
  1. Turntable
  • Rating: 451.8
  1. Regal Empire (IRE)
  • Rating: 451.7
  1. Queen Of The Skies
  • Rating: 426.6
  1. The Parent
  • Rating: 405.3
  1. Cap Francais
  • Rating: 373.8
  1. Gloucestershire (USA)
    • Rating: 367.9
  2. Inigo Jones
    • Rating: 322.9

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  • Peace Man: Windsor maiden winner who followed up with a C&D handicap win. Races from a higher mark but expected to improve further and has a chance to make a bold bid for the hat-trick.
  • First Sight: Looked promising when winning AW maiden/novice events and now switches to turf/handicap company. Merits respect and considered a likely improver after a break.
  • Like A Tiger: Won at Kempton and made a winning return in a handicap on the Rowley Mile. Not at his best in a listed contest but still has potential and can perform well in a handicap.
  • Encourageable (IRE): Won at Thirsk but didn’t justify support in the last outing. Others are preferred based on recent form.
  • Turntable: Previously won twice on the Rowley Mile but hasn’t been competitive in recent outings for the new yard. Possibly unsuited by the ground and others are currently more convincing.
  • Regal Empire (IRE): Won a novice/handicap at Southwell and chased home Like A Tiger on turf debut. Stiff task in the Lingfield Derby Trial but can’t be discounted in this more realistic grade.
  • Queen Of The Skies: Highly tried for John & Thady Gosden and showed improvement when dropped in grade in the last outing. Respected in this race.
  • The Parent: Goodwood novice winner who showed good form on return and finished in the same position at Sandown. Should be competitive again.
  • Cap Francais: Scored on the Rowley Mile but ended last season poorly and hasn’t performed well this season. Below last winning mark and has cheekpieces applied, but others are preferred.
  • Gloucestershire (USA): Still lightly raced and ran well when third in a handicap at Chelmsford City. Another absence to overcome but shouldn’t be ruled out.
  • Inigo Jones: Placed twice in Bahrain but made little impression in the UK return. Others have stronger claims in this race.

Based on the analysis, the runner with the highest rating and positive comments is Peace Man. Therefore, Peace Man would be the recommended selection for this race.

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