TimeWise Chronicles

Analysis based on the Timewise ratings for Sunday’s card at The Curragh.

·

Sun 2nd Jul 2023
1.50 Curragh (9 runners)
GAIN Railway Stakes (Group 2)
6f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Bucanero Fuerte
  2. His Majesty (IRE)
  3. Unquestionable (FR)
  4. Devious
  5. Democracy (IRE)
  6. Supersonic Man
  7. Mythology (IRE)
  8. I Am Invictus (IRE)
  9. Lightening Army

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Bucanero Fuerte: A promising individual and a course winner. Finished third of 20 in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, shaping well. Has shown potential and looks like a strong contender.
  2. His Majesty (IRE): Promising sort who finished fourth in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Has scope for further progress, especially back up in distance. Should be considered.
  3. Unquestionable (FR): Won a 6-runner maiden over this course and distance. Open to further improvement and looks like the stable’s first-string based on jockey bookings. A strong contender.
  4. Devious: Winner at Naas in May. Finished sixth in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Expected to progress in this slightly less competitive event, especially with the trip suiting him.
  5. Democracy (IRE): C&D winner on debut but finished last of 6 in the Marble Hill Stakes at this course and distance. Has something to find but should not be completely dismissed.
  6. Supersonic Man: Thrice-raced winner who finished tenth in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot. Hard to fancy in this field.
  7. Mythology (IRE): Once-raced maiden who finished third in a minor event over this course and distance. Open to progress and may have further improvement to show.
  8. I Am Invictus (IRE): Twice-raced maiden who finished second in a maiden at Navan. Likely out of his depth in this company.
  9. Lightening Army: Thrice-raced maiden who finished sixth in a maiden at Navan. Faces an uphill task in this race.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Bucanero Fuerte. He has shown promise, is a course winner, and performed well in a competitive race at Royal Ascot. His Majesty and Unquestionable also have strong chances based on their previous performances. Devious, with his winning record and potential for progression, is another contender to consider.

2.25 Curragh (11 runners)
Jebel Ali Racecourse & Stables Dash Stakes (Listed)
6f 

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Commanche Falls
  2. Mooneista (IRE)
  3. Ano Syra (IRE)
  4. Wodao (FR)
  5. Tango Flare (IRE)
  6. Twilight Jet (IRE)
  7. Castle Star (IRE)
  8. Coralillo (IRE)
  9. Gustavus Weston (IRE)
  10. Lady Tilbury
  11. Anthem National (IRE)

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarise their chances:

  1. Commanche Falls: A smart gelding who finished third in the Duke of York Stakes at York. With a good recent performance, he should be taken seriously in this race.
  2. Mooneista (IRE): A smart mare and a course winner. Finished thirteenth in the King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot but has the potential to bounce back.
  3. Ano Syra (IRE): A useful filly and a course winner. Finished second in a listed race at Cork, showing good form. Considered as a contender.
  4. Wodao (FR): A useful colt who finished sixth in Prix Texanita at Chantilly. Cheekpieces are on for the first time, and improvement is needed.
  5. Tango Flare (IRE): A lightly-raced winner who recently won a minor event at Fairyhouse. Open to progress and should not be ruled out despite stepping up in grade.
  6. Twilight Jet (IRE): Finished seventh in the Greenlands Stakes at this C&D. Needs to regain form and improve.
  7. Castle Star (IRE): A C&D winner who finished ninth in a listed race at Naas. Cheekpieces are on for the first time, and improvement is needed.
  8. Coralillo (IRE): A lightly-raced winner who finished eighth in a listed race at Dundalk. Off for 9 months and needs to show immediate improvement.
  9. Gustavus Weston (IRE): A useful gelding and a 3-time C&D winner. Finished last in a handicap at this C&D. Hood is back on, and improvement is required.
  10. Lady Tilbury: A useful filly who finished third in a listed race at Cork. Faces a challenging task in this race.
  11. Anthem National (IRE): Useful gelding who finished fifth in a handicap at this C&D. In the mix if he can build on that effort.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Commanche Falls. He has shown good form in a competitive race at York and should be a strong contender. Mooneista and Ano Syra also have good chances based on their previous performances. Tango Flare, with his recent win and potential for progress, is another contender to consider.

3.00 Curragh (19 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap
(Premier Handicap)
5f 

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Run Ran Run (IRE)
  2. Hispanic (IRE)
  3. Michaelas Boy (IRE)
  4. Big Gossey (IRE)
  5. Came From The Dark (IRE)
  6. Jon Riggens (IRE)
  7. Tawaazon (IRE)
  8. Sheikh Maz Mahood (IRE)
  9. Laugh A Minute
  10. Silmaniya (IRE)
  11. Screen Siren (IRE)
  12. Master Matt
  13. Loveday (IRE)
  14. Harmony Rose
  15. Lokada (FR)
  16. Mehman
  17. Screen Siren (IRE)
  18. Harrys Hill
  19. Mymomentintime (USA)
  20. Primo Uomo (IRE)

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Run Ran Run (IRE): Lightly-raced winner who won a handicap at this C&D recently. Showing good form and can be a strong contender.
  2. Hispanic (IRE): A C&D winner who was below form in a handicap at Royal Ascot. Needs to bounce back and improve.
  3. Michaelas Boy (IRE): Respectable eighth in a large field handicap at Royal Ascot. Yard is in good form, but faces a tough task here.
  4. Big Gossey (IRE): C&D winner who finished second in the Greenlands Stakes at this course. Went close in this race last year and should be considered.
  5. Came From The Dark (IRE): Excuses for the poor performance in a handicap at Epsom. Stable is in good form, and he should be respected.
  6. Jon Riggens (IRE): C&D winner who finished fourth in a handicap at this course. Showed good form and can’t be taken lightly.
  7. Tawaazon (IRE): Course winner with multiple wins this year. Last of 7 in a handicap at Navan, so needs to bounce back.
  8. Sheikh Maz Mahood (IRE): Unexposed winner of a handicap at Musselburgh. Can be considered based on that performance.
  9. Laugh A Minute: C&D winner who finished second in a handicap at this course. Ran well and can make an impact.
  10. Silmaniya (IRE): Seventh in a handicap at this C&D. Cheekpieces are on for the first time, and improvement is needed.
  11. Screen Siren (IRE): Won at Navan but finished sixth in a handicap at Down Royal. Recent form is a concern.
  12. Master Matt: C&D winner who won a handicap at Fairyhouse recently. Blinkers are back on. Runner-up in this race 2 years ago.
  13. Loveday (IRE): Respectable third in a handicap at Down Royal. Visor is back on, and she should be considered.
  14. Harmony Rose: Latest win at Dundalk in February. Finished fourth in a listed race at Cork. Not taken lightly.
  15. Lokada (FR): Fifth in a listed race at Cork. Difficult to assess at the moment.
  16. Mehman: Two wins from three runs this year. Finished fifth in a handicap at Dundalk. First run for a new yard and can’t be ignored.
  17. Screen Siren (IRE): Sixth in a handicap at Down Royal. Recent form is a concern.
  18. Harrys Hill: C&D winner. Finished twelfth in a handicap at Tipperary. Recent form is a concern.
  19. Mymomentintime (USA): C&D winner. Finished third in a handicap at Naas. Faces a tough task.
  20. Primo Uomo (IRE): C&D winner. Finished eighth in a handicap at Cork. Recent form is a concern.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Run Ran Run (IRE). With recent success in a handicap at this C&D, the lightly-raced runner is showing good form and has the potential to be a strong contender. Hispanic and Michaelas Boy also have good chances based on their previous performances. Big Gossey, with his strong track record at this course, is another contender to consider.

3.40 Curragh (9 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1)
1m4f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Auguste Rodin (IRE)
  2. Sprewell (IRE)
  3. White Birch
  4. Adelaide River (IRE)
  5. Peking Opera (IRE)
  6. Proud And Regal (IRE)
  7. San Antonio (IRE)
  8. Up And Under (FR)
  9. Covent Garden (IRE)

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Auguste Rodin (IRE): Impressive performances, including a comfortable win in the Derby at Epsom. The clear favorite and hard to beat.
  2. Sprewell (IRE): Showed promise as a 2-year-old and has progressed well. Good fourth in the Derby at Epsom. Capable of better.
  3. White Birch: Maiden winner at Dundalk and followed up with a win in the Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown. Strong performance in the Dante at York and a good third in the Derby at Epsom. Respected.
  4. Adelaide River (IRE): Winning debut on AW but finished eighth in the Derby at Epsom. Faces a tough task again.
  5. Peking Opera (IRE): Impressive win in a listed race at Navan but struggled in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot. Faces a big challenge.
  6. Proud And Regal (IRE): Group 1 winner over 1m at 2 years old. Respectable third in the Derby Trial Stakes and sixth in the Irish 2000 Guineas. Step up in trip may suit.
  7. San Antonio (IRE): Progressive with a win in the Dee Stakes at Chester but struggled in the Derby at Epsom. Track conditions may have been a factor.
  8. Up And Under (FR): Still a maiden but finished second in the Derby Trial Stakes. Not to be overlooked.
  9. Covent Garden (IRE): Useful colt with a good third in a listed race at Navan. Plenty to find on form and may act as a pacemaker.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Auguste Rodin (IRE). With impressive performances, including a comfortable win in the Derby at Epsom, he is the clear favourite and the one to beat. Sprewell and White Birch also have strong chances based on their recent performances. Adelaide River and Peking Opera face a tough challenge.

4.15 Curragh (23 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Derby Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap)
1m

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Rahmi (IRE)
  2. Earls (IRE)
  3. No More Porter (IRE)
  4. Joe Masseria (IRE)
  5. Farnborough (IRE)
  6. Brave Troop (IRE)
  7. Blues Emperor (IRE)
  8. Snapraeterea (IRE)
  9. Current Option (IRE)
  10. Gambe Veloci (IRE)
  11. Arniemac (IRE)
  12. Howyoulikethat (IRE)
  13. Cordouan (FR)
  14. Celtic Crown (IRE)
  15. Cheers Again
  16. Tosen Wish (IRE)
  17. Chazzesmee (IRE)
  18. Casanova
  19. Zabeir (IRE)
  20. Saltonstall
  21. Super Over (IRE)
  22. Sirjack Thomas (IRE)
  23. Inchturk (IRE)

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Rahmi (IRE): Won a handicap at this C&D and in good form. Likely to go well again and a strong contender.
  2. Earls (IRE): Last win at Cork in May. Disappointing sixteenth in a handicap at this C&D. Blinkers back on. Others make more appeal.
  3. No More Porter (IRE): C&D winner. Creditable fourth in a handicap at this C&D. Tongue strap back on. Respected.
  4. Joe Masseria (IRE): Career-best win in a handicap at Cork. Solid claims for another good performance.
  5. Farnborough (IRE): Won a maiden comfortably. Carries a penalty and more required, but has potential.
  6. Brave Troop (IRE): Two wins this year. Good fourth in a handicap at this course. Enters calculations.
  7. Blues Emperor (IRE): Career-best win in a handicap at Naas. Yard in good form. Should give another good account.
  8. Snapraeterea (IRE): Eighth in a handicap at Cork. Hard to make a case for.
  9. Current Option (IRE): Creditable fifth in a handicap at this C&D. Becoming well treated and can’t be ruled out.
  10. Gambe Veloci (IRE): Good sixth in a handicap at this C&D. Cheekpieces on for the first time. Likely to be on the premises.
  11. Arniemac (IRE): Promising type. Maiden winner and suited by an increase in trip. Open to further progress and appealing on handicap debut.
  12. Howyoulikethat (IRE): Respectable fourth in a handicap at Leopardstown. Fared best of those held up. Can’t be ruled out.
  13. Cordouan (FR): Third in a handicap at Limerick. Others are more appealing.
  14. Celtic Crown (IRE): C&D winner. Good third in a handicap at Down Royal. Back down in trip. One to consider.
  15. Cheers Again: Ninth in a handicap at Cork. Others make more appeal.
  16. Tosen Wish (IRE): Shaped as if still in form when eleventh in a handicap at this C&D. Not discounted.
  17. Chazzesmee (IRE): Career-best win at Naas. Needs more improvement if he’s to complete the hat-trick.
  18. Casanova: Respectable second in a minor event at Gowran. Others have more appeal.
  19. Zabeir (IRE): Career-best win in a maiden. Likely to need the run after a break. Engaged in a race prior to this one.
  20. Saltonstall: Last of six in a minor event at Gowran. Others make more appeal.
  21. Super Over (IRE): Good third in a handicap at Dundalk. Yet to prove effectiveness on turf.
  22. Sirjack Thomas (IRE): C&D winner. Eleventh in a handicap at Leopardstown. Must improve.
  23. Inchturk (IRE): First run since leaving M. Halford. Twenty-fourth in a handicap at this C&D. Not discounted.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Rahmi (IRE). With a recent win at the same course and distance, in good form, and with the stable having a good spell, Rahmi is a strong contender and the top-rated horse. Other notable contenders include Earls, No More Porter, and Joe Masseria.

4.50 Curragh (11 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Summer Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap)
7f

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Mauiewowie
  2. Yerwanthere (IRE)
  3. No Niki No (IRE)
  4. Adelaise (IRE)
  5. Independent Expert (IRE)
  6. Lan Cinnte (IRE)
  7. Marsa (IRE)
  8. Aussie Girl (IRE)
  9. Transcendental (FR)
  10. Capuchinero
  11. Sheyya (IRE)

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner and summarize their chances:

  1. Mauiewowie: Respectable seventh in a race at Naas. Makes handicap debut but has more to find on form.
  2. Yerwanthere (IRE): Fifth in a handicap at Royal Ascot. Lightly-raced winner and open to progress. Considered.
  3. No Niki No (IRE): Won a handicap at Leopardstown. Back down in trip and needs considering.
  4. Adelaise (IRE): Fourth in a handicap at Royal Ascot. Shaped well and expected to be in the mix.
  5. Independent Expert (IRE): C&D winner. Won a handicap at Limerick and carries a penalty. Much respected.
  6. Lan Cinnte (IRE): Career-best win in a maiden at Limerick. Trainer in good form. Makes handicap debut. Not discounted.
  7. Marsa (IRE): Tongue strap on for the first time. Only sixth in a handicap at Gowran. Others more persuasive.
  8. Aussie Girl (IRE): Second in a handicap at Naas. In the picture.
  9. Transcendental (FR): Improved to win a handicap at this course. Stepping in the right direction and well in the mix.
  10. Capuchinero: Seventh in a handicap at Roscommon. Engaged in another race prior to this one.
  11. Sheyya (IRE): Last of ten in a listed race at Dundalk. Makes handicap debut but others look better treated.

Based on the analysis, the runner deemed best is Independent Expert (IRE). As a C&D winner, she comes off a recent handicap win at Limerick and carries a penalty. Despite the penalty, she is highly respected and has a good chance of performing well again. Other notable contenders include Mauiewowie, Yerwanthere, and No Niki No.

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Mauiewowie – 623.7
  2. Yerwanthere (IRE) – 534.5
  3. No Niki No (IRE) – 529.9
  4. Adelaise (IRE) – 455.9
  5. Independent Expert (IRE) – 447.2
  6. Lan Cinnte (IRE) – 433.2
  7. Marsa (IRE) – 432.4
  8. Sheyya (IRE) – 425.1
  9. Transcendental (FR) – 421.6
  10. Aussie Girl (IRE) – 409.7
  11. Capuchinero – 352.8

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Mauiewowie: Respectable seventh-place finish in the Lacken Stakes. Makes handicap debut.
  2. Yerwanthere (IRE): Good fifth-place finish in a handicap at Royal Ascot. Lightly raced and open to progress.
  3. No Niki No (IRE): Won a handicap at Leopardstown and now back down in trip.
  4. Adelaise (IRE): Shaped well with a strong-finishing fourth-place finish at Royal Ascot. Expected to be competitive.
  5. Independent Expert (IRE): C&D winner with a recent handicap win. Carries a penalty.
  6. Lan Cinnte (IRE): Impressive maiden win and now making handicap debut. Trainer in good form.
  7. Marsa (IRE): Tongue strap on for the first time after a disappointing sixth-place finish.
  8. Sheyya (IRE): Poor performance in a listed race but yard in good form. Makes handicap debut.
  9. Transcendental (FR): Improved to win a handicap at this course. Heading in the right direction.
  10. Aussie Girl (IRE): Winner at Sligo and good second-place finish in a recent handicap.
  11. Capuchinero: Latest win at Dundalk but a seventh-place finish in the last outing.

Based on the analysis, the runner with the highest rating and a promising comment is Mauiewowie. Despite a seventh-place finish in the Lacken Stakes, Mauiewowie is lightly raced and has potential for progress in the handicap debut. Therefore, Mauiewowie would be the top pick based on the analysis provided.

5.25 Curragh (12 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Celebration Stakes (Listed)
1m

Based on the provided ratings, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Salt Lake City (IRE) – 620.7
  2. Lord Massusus (IRE) – 603.7
  3. Hellsing (IRE) – 603.4
  4. Didnthavemuchtodo (IRE) – 574.8
  5. Tarawa (IRE) – 570.7
  6. Cosmic Vega (IRE) – 527.2
  7. Carrytheone – 506.9
  8. Bold Discovery (USA) – 479.3
  9. Beautiful Sunshine – 447.9
  10. Fernao (IRE) – 443.3
  11. Narmar (IRE) – 388.5
  12. Pretreville (FR) – 371.3

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Salt Lake City (IRE): Very good second-place finish in a listed race at Leopardstown. Considered.
  2. Lord Massusus (IRE): Career-best win in a 10-runner handicap at Naas. Back up in trip. Can be competitive.
  3. Hellsing (IRE): Two wins from four starts at 2. Stable in good form. Capable of improvement.
  4. Didnthavemuchtodo (IRE): Below-form third-place finish in a listed race at Navan. Not clear run.
  5. Tarawa (IRE): Promising individual with a good fourth-place finish in the Irish 1000 Guineas. Leading claims.
  6. Cosmic Vega (IRE): Career-best win in a listed race at Naas by a short head. Carries a penalty.
  7. Carrytheone: Creditable third-place finish in the Ballycorus Stakes at Leopardstown. C&D winner. Yard in good form.
  8. Bold Discovery (USA): Last of 11 in the Irish 2000 Guineas. Stiff task on form.
  9. Beautiful Sunshine: Below-form sixth-place finish in a listed race at Navan.
  10. Fernao (IRE): Thrice-raced winner. Big jump in class after winning a maiden.
  11. Narmar (IRE): Winner of a maiden at Listowel but facing a tougher challenge.
  12. Pretreville (FR): Third of four in a minor event at Fairyhouse. Enters calculations.

Based on the analysis, the runner with the highest rating and a promising comment is Salt Lake City (IRE). With a very good second-place finish in a listed race at Leopardstown, Salt Lake City has shown potential and is considered a strong contender. Therefore, Salt Lake City would be the top pick based on the analysis provided.

6.00 Curragh (18 runners)
Dubai Duty Free Irish European Breeders Fund Ragusa Handicap (Premier Handicap)
1m4f

  1. Dha Leath (IRE) – 518.4
  2. Smooth Tom (IRE) – 511.7
  3. Maze Runner (IRE) – 501.9
  4. Safecracker – 495.8
  5. Teed Up (IRE) – 486.1
  6. My Mate Mozzie (IRE) – 461.2
  7. Dame Rapide (IRE) – 457.0
  8. Golden Twilight (IRE) – 449.4
  9. Brazil (IRE) – 446.3
  10. Timourid (IRE) – 442.1
  11. Old Port (IRE) – 437.9
  12. Zoffman (IRE) – 427.2
  13. Hell Bent (IRE) – 399.0
  14. Laelaps (IRE) – 397.0
  15. Chally Chute (IRE) – 394.9
  16. Mr Escobar (IRE) – 372.1
  17. Boher Road (IRE) – 343.5
  18. Wild Dollar (IRE) – 318.8

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Dha Leath (IRE): Creditable ninth-place finish in a heavy ground handicap at this course. Significantly back up in trip. Others have achieved more.
  2. Smooth Tom (IRE): Course winner. Very good second-place finish to Timourid in a handicap at this course, running on well. Can make a presence felt.
  3. Maze Runner (IRE): Course winner. Fifth-place finish in a handicap hurdle at Leopardstown, not fully extended. Down in trip.
  4. Safecracker: Creditable second-place finish in a soft ground handicap at Cork. Deserves respect.
  5. Teed Up (IRE): Good second-place finish in a heavy ground handicap at Doncaster. Off for 7 months. Can be a big player if primed for reappearance.
  6. My Mate Mozzie (IRE): Seventh-place finish in a handicap at this course. Not fully extended.
  7. Dame Rapide (IRE): Impressive win in an 18-runner handicap at this course, responding well. Requires another career best off a higher weight.
  8. Golden Twilight (IRE): Course winner. Creditable fifth-place finish in a soft ground handicap at Cork. Tongue strap back on.
  9. Brazil (IRE): Course winner. Fourteenth-place finish in a handicap hurdle at Punchestown. Tongue strap and cheekpieces on for the first time. Looks competitive on form.
  10. Timourid (IRE): Career-best win in a 15-runner handicap at this course, narrowly beating Smooth Tom. Showed determination.
  11. Old Port (IRE): First run since leaving David Evans. Eleventh-place finish in a soft ground handicap at Cork. Worth a second look for a shrewd yard.
  12. Zoffman (IRE): Course winner. Fourteenth-place finish in a heavy ground handicap at Naas. Back down in trip.
  13. Hell Bent (IRE): Course winner. Ninth-place finish in a handicap at this course. Stable in good form. Blinkers back on.
  14. Laelaps (IRE): Unreliable type. Good third-place finish to Timourid in a handicap at this course. Can’t be fully trusted.
  15. Chally Chute (IRE): C&D winner. Good third-place finish in a handicap at Tipperary on reappearance. Consideration for selection.
  16. Mr Escobar (IRE): Promising type. Ninth-place finish in a handicap at Lingfield. Back down in trip. Worth another chance.
  17. Boher Road (IRE): Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Respectable eighth-place finish in a soft ground handicap at Cork. Tongue strap on for the first time.
  18. Wild Dollar (IRE): Course winner. Fourteenth-place finish in a handicap at this course. Not ideally placed.

Based on the rankings and comments, the runner with the highest rating and positive comments is Dha Leath (IRE). However, the comments suggest that others have achieved more, so we’ll look beyond the top-ranked horse for the selection.

Considering the comments and rankings, Smooth Tom (IRE) stands out as a strong contender. As a course winner, Smooth Tom’s very good second-place finish to Timourid in a handicap at this course indicates good form and the ability to contend in this race. Smooth Tom’s running style and ability to finish strongly could be an advantage in a competitive field.

Therefore, based on the analysis, Smooth Tom (IRE) is the top pick for this race.

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