TimeWise Chronicles

Analysis based on the TimeWise rankings for Tuesday’s card at Roscommon.

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Tue 4th Jul 2023
4.45 Roscommon (12 runners)
Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
7½f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Profit Refused (IRE) – 411.4
  2. Absolute Advantage – 387.0
  3. Basilah Bear (IRE) – 381.2
  4. Zona Verde (IRE) – 343.6
  5. Tatum (IRE) – 327.5
  6. Dandy Sands (IRE) – 303.1
  7. Megarry (IRE) – 298.6
  8. Guest Star – 272.6
  9. Glamora (IRE) – 214.6
  10. Edvard Grieg (IRE) – 66.1
  11. Newfire (IRE) – 42.7
  12. Naisiun (IRE) – 31.3

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Absolute Advantage: Showed promise in a maiden race at the Curragh, finishing sixth and never far from the leaders. Up in trip and should improve.
  2. Edvard Grieg (IRE): Well-bred gelding with a good pedigree. No race experience to assess performance.
  3. Guest Star: Fifteenth in a maiden at the Curragh on debut. Needs significant improvement.
  4. Dandy Sands (IRE): Eleventh in a maiden at Fairyhouse on debut. Up in trip with cheekpieces added.
  5. Megarry (IRE): Ninth in a maiden at Cork on debut, slowly away. Significant step up in trip and expected to progress.
  6. Zona Verde (IRE): Third in a maiden at Listowel. Shows potential and has place claims.
  7. Glamora (IRE): Eighth in a maiden at Leopardstown on debut. Considerately handled and expected to offer more.
  8. Newfire (IRE): No race experience to assess performance.
  9. Profit Refused (IRE): Third in a maiden at Limerick on debut, finishing strongly but hampered close home. Leading claims.
  10. Basilah Bear (IRE): Eighth in a minor event at Leopardstown on debut. Others are more appealing.
  11. Tatum (IRE): Eleventh in a maiden at Limerick on debut, missed the break. Difficult to make a case for.
  12. Naisiun (IRE): Well-bred filly with winners in the family. One to note in the betting.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Profit Refused (IRE). With a promising third-place finish on debut, showing a strong finish and being hampered close home, Profit Refused has leading claims in this maiden race. Absolute Advantage, Basilah Bear, and Zona Verde also have good chances based on their ratings and comments.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
5.20 Roscommon (12 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
7½f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Gypsy Woman (IRE) – 367.8
  2. Danvers Gold (IRE) – 341.7
  3. Alessia Fernanda (IRE) – 307.6
  4. Local Girl (IRE) – 257.7
  5. Mary Makebelieve (IRE) – 224.6
  6. Roman Moon (IRE) – 218.4
  7. Mayo Dawn (IRE) – 217.1
  8. Trishuli River (IRE) – 212.5
  9. Irish Rumour (IRE) – 208.4
  10. Annie (IRE) – 194.3
  11. Needsomeluck (IRE) – 43.5
  12. Shesatrolleydollie (IRE) – 42.0

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Alessia Fernanda (IRE): Very good third in a maiden at Listowel. In contention for this race.
  2. Annie (IRE): Eleventh in a maiden at Limerick on debut. Difficult to make a case for.
  3. Danvers Gold (IRE): Promising individual. Faded to seventh in a maiden at the Curragh after a long break. Up in trip. Trainer in good form. Hood back on. Potential to improve.
  4. Gypsy Woman (IRE): Fair filly. Good third in a maiden at Leopardstown. Stable in good form. Considered for this race.
  5. Irish Rumour (IRE): Eighth in a maiden at Leopardstown on debut. Needs improvement.
  6. Local Girl (IRE): Ninth in a maiden at Fairyhouse on debut, with a troubled run. Expected to improve.
  7. Mary Makebelieve (IRE): Eleventh in a maiden at Fairyhouse. Needs to step up her performance.
  8. Mayo Dawn (IRE): Last in a minor event at Dundalk on debut. Up in trip. First run for new yard.
  9. Needsomeluck (IRE): Tongue strap worn. Well-bred filly. Market can guide.
  10. Roman Moon (IRE): Fair filly. Ninth in a handicap at Gowran, returning from a break. Dropping back in trip. Trainer in good form. Considered.
  11. Shesatrolleydollie (IRE): Sister to a winner. Market can guide.
  12. Trishuli River (IRE): Eleventh in a maiden at Gowran. Has more to prove.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Gypsy Woman (IRE). With a fair performance and a good third-place finish in a maiden at Leopardstown, along with the stable being in good form, Gypsy Woman is a strong contender. Danvers Gold, Alessia Fernanda, and Local Girl also have good chances based on their ratings and comments.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
5.50 Roscommon (15 runners)
Guinness Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)
7½f 

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Swiss Army Officer (IRE) – 410.9
  2. Barnhill Rose – 340.4
  3. Designer Cailin (IRE) – 281.8
  4. Emorcee (IRE) – 272.7
  5. I Know I Can – 261.6
  6. Asisaid (IRE) – 251.2
  7. Cherry Pink (IRE) – 251.1
  8. Giocoso (IRE) – 236.4
  9. Pallasmore Lass (IRE) – 233.0
  10. Zephron – 219.5
  11. Purring Along (IRE) – 215.7
  12. Trueba (IRE) – 215.7
  13. Mass Gathering (IRE) – 214.9
  14. Tammany Hall (IRE) – 213.3
  15. Two Metres Apart (IRE) – 212.8
  16. Redshore City (IRE) – 211.1
  17. Little Trigger (IRE) – 199.9
  18. Twins For Joy (IRE) – 196.5

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Barnhill Rose: Recent win at Gowran, but below form in the last race. Needs others to falter.
  2. Zephron: Thirteenth in a handicap at Gowran on soft ground. Difficult to make a case for.
  3. Asisaid (IRE): Winner at Leopardstown, but eleventh in a handicap at Listowel. Can still be competitive.
  4. Emorcee (IRE): Lightly-raced maiden, finished fourth in a handicap at Limerick. Good chance based on form.
  5. Trueba (IRE): Multiple runs without a win. Tenth in a handicap at Cork. Chance based on previous form.
  6. I Know I Can: Still a maiden after 24 Flat runs. Very good third in a handicap at Down Royal. Cheekpieces on for the first time.
  7. Giocoso (IRE): Maiden with three runs. Sixth in a maiden at Cork. Significant step up in trip for this handicap debut.
  8. Swiss Army Officer (IRE): C&D winner. Fifth in a handicap at Down Royal. Considered for this race.
  9. Mass Gathering (IRE): Twelve runs without a win. Twelfth in a handicap at Naas. Blinkers back on. Unlikely to threaten the top contenders.
  10. Twins For Joy (IRE): Tenth in a claimer at Dundalk after an 8-month break. First run for a new yard.
  11. Purring Along (IRE): Winner at Cork. Third in a handicap at Limerick. Needs others to falter.
  12. Tammany Hall (IRE): One win from 29 Flat runs. Fourth in a handicap at Carlisle. Back up in trip.
  13. Designer Cailin (IRE): Sixteen runs without a win. Fourth in a handicap at this course. Considered for this race.
  14. Pallasmore Lass (IRE): Still a maiden after 21 Flat runs. Thirteenth in a handicap at this course. Cheekpieces back on.
  15. Two Metres Apart (IRE): Creditable third in a handicap at Gowran. Others may be more persuasive.
  16. Redshore City (IRE): Tenth in a handicap at Down Royal. Reserve.
  17. Cherry Pink (IRE): Creditable sixth in a handicap at Limerick. Reserve.
  18. Little Trigger (IRE): Tenth in a handicap at Leopardstown. Cheek

pieces on for the first time. Reserve.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Swiss Army Officer (IRE). With a solid rating and a previous win at the course, Swiss Army Officer has a good chance of performing well in this handicap race. Barnhill Rose, Designer Cailin, and Emorcee also have favorable ratings and recent performances, making them strong contenders.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
6.20 Roscommon (15 runners)
Guinness Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)
7½f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Blue Peak (IRE) – 337.0
  2. Pollanassa (IRE) – 278.9
  3. Snowdonia Song (IRE) – 270.1
  4. Morning Approach (IRE) – 243.9
  5. Kratos – 238.4
  6. Curzon Queen (IRE) – 226.3
  7. American In Paris (IRE) – 220.5
  8. Rock Dandy (IRE) – 216.4
  9. Leviosa (IRE) – 213.2
  10. Famous Enough (IRE) – 211.0
  11. Zaza Zut (IRE) – 204.5
  12. Vormir (IRE) – 200.0
  13. Hell Left Loose – 198.0
  14. Manhattan Dandy (IRE) – 197.7
  15. Crystal Pool (IRE) – 189.9
  16. Tashim (IRE) – 183.8
  17. Talking Tough (IRE) – 169.2
  18. The Rabbit Catcher (IRE) – 146.1

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Morning Approach (IRE): Below form ninth in a handicap at Fairyhouse, down in trip, potentially on a lenient mark.
  2. Blue Peak (IRE): C&D winner, below form eighth in a handicap at Leopardstown.
  3. Crystal Pool (IRE): Twelve runs since last win, last in a handicap at Clonmel. Off for 10 months, down in trip, first run for a new yard.
  4. Famous Enough (IRE): Lightly-raced maiden, ninth in a handicap at the Curragh. Modest form on the Flat, respectable run in the last race.
  5. Leviosa (IRE): Seventh in a novice hurdle at Tramore, blinkers back on. Modest on the Flat, below form on the last Flat outing.
  6. Curzon Queen (IRE): Thrice-raced maiden, eighth in a maiden at Gowran. Cheekpieces on for the first time, making handicap debut.
  7. Kratos: Sixteen runs since last win, fourth in a handicap at Down Royal.
  8. Vormir (IRE): C&D winner, seventeen runs since last win. Eleventh in a handicap at Limerick.
  9. Hell Left Loose: Eighth in a handicap at Dundalk, off for 6 months. Good chance based on previous form.
  10. Manhattan Dandy (IRE): Remains a maiden after 42 Flat runs. Last in a handicap at Listowel.
  11. Pollanassa (IRE): Blinkered for the first time, eighteenth in a handicap at Cork. Chance if rediscovering old form.
  12. Rock Dandy (IRE): Cheekpieces on for the first time, tenth in a handicap at Limerick.
  13. Snowdonia Song (IRE): Creditable fourth in a handicap at Gowran. Yard in good form.
  14. Tashim (IRE): Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. Tenth in a handicap at Leopardstown.
  15. The Rabbit Catcher (IRE): First run since leaving T. G. McCourt, last in a handicap at Gowran. Blinkered for the first time.
  16. Talking Tough (IRE): Two wins from 56 Flat runs. Seventeenth in a handicap at Cork. Reserve.
  17. American In Paris (IRE): Bit below form sixth in a handicap at Down Royal. Significantly back up in trip. Blinkers back on. Competitive on form. Reserve

.

  1. Zaza Zut (IRE): Below form fifteenth in a handicap at Naas. Significantly up in trip. Not taken lightly. Reserve.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Blue Peak (IRE). With a high rating, a previous C&D win, and a below-par performance in the last race, Blue Peak has a good chance of bouncing back and performing well in this handicap. Pollanassa, Snowdonia Song, and Morning Approach also have favorable ratings and recent performances, making them strong contenders.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
6.50 Roscommon (9 runners)
Dermot Hughes Car Sales Handicap
1m2f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Immutable (IRE) – 493.1
  2. Picture Of A City – 374.9
  3. Dubawi Spectre – 386.0
  4. Pearl Of Australia (IRE) – 416.4
  5. Blazing Sunset – 389.7
  6. Ikigai Star (IRE) – 287.7
  7. Mr King (IRE) – 293.9
  8. Eastern Legend (IRE) – 271.4
  9. Kyogo (IRE) – 296.5

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Ikigai Star (IRE): Third of 8 in a maiden at Fairyhouse, making handicap debut. Likely to improve but opening mark may not be lenient.
  2. Immutable (IRE): Career-best win in a 7-runner handicap at Naas, up in trip, should be competitive if staying.
  3. Dubawi Spectre: Winner at Fairyhouse, sixth in a handicap at Down Royal, back down in trip, blinkers on for the first time, expected to be back on form.
  4. Picture Of A City: Career-best win in a 10-runner handicap at Down Royal, on the upgrade recently, expected to perform well.
  5. Pearl Of Australia (IRE): C&D winner, winner here in May, last in a handicap at Down Royal, others may be more persuasive.
  6. Blazing Sunset: Fourth of 6 to Dubawi Spectre in a handicap at Fairyhouse, blinkers on for the first time, respected.
  7. Mr King (IRE): Second of 8 in a maiden at Gowran, making handicap debut, one to consider.
  8. Eastern Legend (IRE): Very good fifth in a handicap at Cork, tongue strap on for the first time, likely to be competitive.
  9. Kyogo (IRE): Fifth of 12 in a minor event at Kempton, first run for a new yard, making handicap debut, could improve.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Immutable (IRE). With a high rating, a recent career-best win, and the potential to handle the increased trip, Immutable looks well placed to be competitive in this handicap. Picture Of A City, Dubawi Spectre, and Pearl Of Australia also have favorable ratings and recent performances, making them strong contenders.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
7.20 Roscommon (14 runners)
Sweeney Oil Handicap
1m2f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Kodiac Prince (IRE) – 434.9
  2. Lord Erskine (IRE) – 428.6
  3. Soaring Monarch (IRE) – 411.5
  4. Sir Antonino (IRE) – 409.5
  5. Hazy Mehmory (IRE) – 407.7
  6. Persian Queen (IRE) – 394.4
  7. Disco Boots (IRE) – 391.1
  8. Chavajod – 387.2
  9. Giselles Ausie (IRE) – 351.2
  10. Bridge Of Dawn (IRE) – 313.2
  11. Saraqael (IRE) – 273.6
  12. Knocklane Lass (IRE) – 250.5
  13. Spy – 249.2
  14. Chilled Out (IRE) – 207.6

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Soaring Monarch (IRE): Respectable eleventh in a handicap at the Curragh, off for 9 months, needs to perform well.
  2. Saraqael (IRE): Eighth in a handicap at Ballinrobe, needs to improve based on recent form.
  3. Hazy Mehmory (IRE): Creditable fifth in a handicap at Down Royal, stable in good form, chances to be in the picture.
  4. Disco Boots (IRE): Last in a handicap at Ballinrobe, back down in trip, blinkers on for the first time, others have achieved more.
  5. Sir Antonino (IRE): Respectable sixth in a handicap at Gowran, blinkers back on, enters calculations.
  6. Lord Erskine (IRE): Below form twelfth in a handicap hurdle at Leopardstown, fairly useful on the flat, still respected as a veteran.
  7. Persian Queen (IRE): Two wins this year, fifth in a handicap at Sligo, shortlisted.
  8. Spy: Below form fourth in a novice hurdle at Tramore, up in trip, fairly useful on the flat but unreliable.
  9. Bridge Of Dawn (IRE): Respectable sixth in a handicap at Tipperary, trainer in good form, possibilities.
  10. Chavajod: Thirteenth in a handicap at Leopardstown, back up in trip, more needed.
  11. Kodiac Prince (IRE): Recent win in a handicap at the Curragh, aiming for a hat-trick, big shout with a penalty.
  12. Chilled Out (IRE): Unseated rider in a handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan, fairly useful on the flat, not discounted.
  13. Giselles Ausie (IRE): Respectable sixth in a handicap at Leopardstown, tongue strap on for the first time, not easy to make a case for.
  14. Knocklane Lass (IRE): Last in a handicap at this course, off for 12 months, well handicapped but worth a market check.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Kodiac Prince (IRE). With a high rating and a recent win, Kodiac Prince is aiming for a hat-trick and has a strong chance of performing well despite the penalty. Lord Erskine, Soaring Monarch, and Sir Antonino also have favourable ratings and recent performances, making them contenders.

Tue 4th Jul 2023
7.50 Roscommon (10 runners)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Lenebane Stakes (Listed)
1m3½f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Espionage (IRE) – 474.7
  2. Angels Wrath (IRE) – 525.7
  3. Kingswood – 418.5
  4. Serious Challenge (IRE) – 420.3
  5. Harbour Wind (IRE) – 496.9
  6. Vega Magnifico (IRE) – 454.3
  7. Young Ireland (IRE) – 419.0
  8. Sionnach Eile (IRE) – 463.8
  9. Jackfinbar (FR) – 369.5
  10. Imaginarium (IRE) – 432.8

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Imaginarium (IRE): Won a 16-runner maiden at the Curragh, off for 8 months, up in trip, faces a tough task but potential for more improvement.
  2. Jackfinbar (FR): Returns after over 3 years, first run for a new yard, worth checking the market after such a lengthy absence.
  3. Sionnach Eile (IRE): Ninth in a handicap at Cork, might bounce back after a break but vulnerable to less-exposed types.
  4. Vega Magnifico (IRE): Good third in a listed race at Leopardstown, up in trip, not ruled out.
  5. Angels Wrath (IRE): Creditable second in a listed race at Ayr, merits respect as a useful filly.
  6. Espionage (IRE): Promising individual, second in the Criterium International at Saint-Cloud, off for 8 months, looks to be the one to beat on return.
  7. Harbour Wind (IRE): Second in a minor event at this course, needs improvement to feature in this grade.
  8. Kingswood: Excellent third in the Gallinule Stakes at the Curragh, open to further improvement, makes the shortlist.
  9. Serious Challenge (IRE): Very good third in a listed race at Limerick, yard in good form, should perform well again.
  10. Young Ireland (IRE): Fairly useful colt, winner at Cork, creditable fourth in a handicap at Down Royal, trainer going well, uphill task.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Espionage (IRE). With a high rating and an impressive performance in the Criterium International, Espionage is expected to continue improving and appears to be the one to beat. Angels Wrath, Kingswood, and Serious Challenge also have favourable ratings and recent performances, making them strong contenders.

8.20 Roscommon (16 runners)
Colm Markey, MEP, Supporting Roscommon
Racecourse Maiden
1m3½f

Here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest based on their ratings:

  1. Glan (IRE) – 564.8
  2. Ash Tree Meadow (FR) – 539.2
  3. Filey Bay (IRE) – 439.6
  4. Barnacullia (IRE) – 385.8
  5. Banned – 373.0
  6. Buddy One (IRE) – 372.8
  7. Captain Conby (IRE) – 315.0
  8. Moon Over Claddagh – 310.4
  9. Impero (IRE) – 283.7
  10. Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE) – 275.1
  11. Chicago Storm – 254.8
  12. Boots And Jeans (IRE) – 195.6
  13. Golden Reel (IRE) – 154.3
  14. Lady Wingalong (IRE) – 151.1
  15. Helens Delight (IRE) – 136.9
  16. Dawn Noir (IRE) – 33.0

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Ash Tree Meadow (FR): Good second in a minor event hurdle, wearing a tongue strap for the first time in this code, highly respected.
  2. Barnacullia (IRE): Encouraging fourth in a maiden on flat debut, not to be discounted.
  3. Boots And Jeans (IRE): Pulled up in a novice hurdle, more required on flat debut.
  4. Buddy One (IRE): Very good second in a handicap hurdle, merits serious consideration on flat debut.
  5. Captain Conby (IRE): Seventeenth in a handicap hurdle, more needed in this code.
  6. Chicago Storm: Respectable fifth in a maiden, back up in trip, still a maiden after 8 flat runs.
  7. Dawn Noir (IRE): Making debut, wears a tongue strap.
  8. Filey Bay (IRE): Very good third in the County Hurdle, interesting flat debutant.
  9. Golden Reel (IRE): Seventh in a maiden on debut, significantly up in trip, more needed.
  10. Impero (IRE): Respectable second in a maiden, still a maiden after 10 flat runs.
  11. Moon Over Claddagh: Good sixth in a maiden, not ruled out.
  12. Wrecking Ball Paul (IRE): Won a handicap hurdle, significantly back up in trip, fair on the flat.
  13. Banned: Creditable third in a maiden, back up in trip, still a maiden after 13 flat runs.
  14. Glan (IRE): Won a handicap hurdle, in the picture on her flat debut.
  15. Helens Delight (IRE): Sixteenth in a maiden on flat debut, up in trip.
  16. Lady Wingalong (IRE): Eighth in a maiden, significantly up in trip.

Based on the analysis, the top pick for this race would be Glan (IRE). With the highest rating and coming off a win in a handicap hurdle, Glan is expected to be competitive on her flat debut. Ash Tree Meadow, Filey Bay, and Buddy One also have favorable ratings and recent performances, making them strong contenders.

Remember to consider additional factors such as jockey form, trainer statistics, and any relevant race conditions for your final decision.

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