Thu 6th Jul 2023 3.48 Perth (6 runners) Horizon Parking Manage Over 3000 Carparks Handicap Hurdle 2m½f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Captain Zebo (IRE) – 501.6
2. Zabeel Champion – 431.4
3. Glentruan (IRE) – 385.6
4. Darkest Day (IRE) – 364.0
5. Well Planted (FR) – 357.3
6. Wasdell Dundalk (FR) – 294.3

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Captain Zebo (IRE): Ended a losing run with a win and followed up with a good third. Can go well again off the same mark.
2. Zabeel Champion: Smart handicapper on the flat, also won a handicap hurdle. Needed the comeback run and failed to stay the longer trip. A return to a shorter trip is in his favor.
3. Glentruan (IRE): Fell in a handicap chase in his last outing. Reverts to hurdles with a visor for the first time. Others are preferred.
4. Darkest Day (IRE): Scored a win in March but was ninth in his last outing. Expected to get back on track.
5. Well Planted (FR): C&D winner but finished last in a handicap on the flat recently. Likely to bounce back in this sphere.
6. Wasdell Dundalk (FR): Won a handicap chase but has been below par since, finishing poorly in his recent race. Hard to warm up to.

Summarizing their chances:

1. Captain Zebo (IRE) has shown good recent form and can perform well off the same mark.
2. Zabeel Champion is a smart handicapper on the flat and a previous winner over hurdles. The shorter trip will suit him better.
3. Glentruan (IRE) fell in his last race and reverts to hurdles with a visor for the first time. Others are preferred.
4. Darkest Day (IRE) had a good run of form until his last outing and is expected to bounce back.
5. Well Planted (FR) is a C&D winner and is likely to perform better back in this sphere.
6. Wasdell Dundalk (FR) has been below par recently and it’s hard to have confidence in his chances.

Based on this analysis, Captain Zebo (IRE) appears to be the best pick. He has the highest rating, has shown good recent form, and can perform well off the same mark.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
4.10 Haydock (10 runners)
Tuffx Handicap
6f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Silent Flame – 498.5
2. Significantly – 471.5
3. Gis A Sub (IRE) – 461.8
4. Mojomaker (IRE) – 439.1
5. Khunan – 425.5
6. Roundhay Park – 423.7
7. Ibn Aldar – 407.4
8. Satin Snake – 385.7
9. Magnificence (FR) – 368.9
10. Mighty Power (IRE) – 328.9

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Silent Flame: Creditable third in his last race and better showing expected.
2. Significantly: Resumed racing after a break and finished fourth. Respectable chance, especially with first-time cheekpieces.
3. Gis A Sub (IRE): Encouraging run from a reduced mark in his last race. Cheekpieces back on, and a bounce back is possible.
4. Mojomaker (IRE): Eighth in his last race but not out of things for each-way purposes with a tongue strap on for the first time.
5. Khunan: Fourth in his last race, and a potential improvement is expected with first-time visor.
6. Roundhay Park: Second in his last race, but likely to find easier openings despite a gradually decreasing mark.
7. Ibn Aldar: Returned to form after a long absence and shaped well in subsequent races. Relatively low mileage, but previous wins came on the All-Weather.
8. Satin Snake: Fifth in his last race, with blinkers back on for this sprinting race.
9. Magnificence (FR): Revived with a second-place finish in a previous race, but a disappointing effort in the following race.
10. Mighty Power (IRE): Added to his tally in a previous race but below his best on turf.

Summarizing their chances:

1. Silent Flame has shown a creditable performance and is expected to improve.
2. Significantly, with the addition of cheekpieces, has a respectable chance to perform well.
3. Gis A Sub (IRE) showed promise from a reduced mark and can bounce back with cheekpieces.
4. Mojomaker (IRE) has each-way potential with a tongue strap on for the first time.
5. Khunan has potential to improve with the addition of a visor.
6. Roundhay Park may find this race more challenging despite a gradually decreasing mark.
7. Ibn Aldar has returned to form but previous wins came on the All-Weather.
8. Satin Snake, with blinkers back on, may perform better in this sprinting race.
9. Magnificence (FR) has had mixed recent form, and a revival is uncertain.
10. Mighty Power (IRE) has shown better form on All-Weather and may struggle on turf.

Based on this analysis, Silent Flame appears to be the best pick. He has the highest rating, showed a creditable performance in his last race, and can potentially improve further.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
5.05 Newbury (11 runners)
BetVictor Apprentice Handicap
5f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Symbol of Hope – 389.8
2. Secret Handsheikh – 370.2
3. Penguin Island – 354.6
4. Level Up (IRE) – 346.2
5. Hey Ho Lets Go – 345.4
6. Ray Vonn (IRE) – 325.8
7. Therehegoes – 301.5
8. Get Off Me (IRE) – 278.6
9. Bluebell Time (IRE) – 261.0
10. Dont Fight It (IRE) – 260.0
11. Joy Choi (IRE) – 241.6

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Symbol of Hope: Has been in good form, winning two handicaps and finishing in the frame in subsequent starts. The handicapper may have his mark right, but he should continue to perform well.
2. Secret Handsheikh: Won at Brighton but has been below that level in three starts since, finishing eighth in a recent handicap.
3. Penguin Island: Still a maiden but has been running well, finishing second in her last three starts after a 7-month break. The drop in trip should not be an issue.
4. Level Up (IRE): A three-time winner on the All-Weather and has shown effectiveness on turf with two runner-up finishes in recent starts. Should be in the mix.
5. Hey Ho Lets Go: A three-time winner last year, including this race, but has been below par this campaign on both turf and All-Weather.
6. Ray Vonn (IRE): Fair maiden who has had a wind operation since her last start. Showed promise on stable debut and the switch to handicaps could be a positive.
7. Therehegoes: Won at Windsor and has maintained good form on the All-Weather. Finished second at Lingfield in his last start, staying prominent throughout the race.
8. Get Off Me (IRE): Lightly-raced maiden who showed some promise on his handicap debut but weakened in his last start. It’s early days for him, and the addition of cheekpieces could help.
9. Bluebell Time (IRE): Won on return at Bath but hasn’t performed at her best since then. Mark has dropped, and she was not disgraced in her last start.
10. Dont Fight It (IRE): Won twice at 2 years old but hasn’t reached the same heights since joining the present stable. Finished sixth in his last start after a break.
11. Joy Choi (IRE): Winless last season and showed little improvement in her comeback run. Absent since then but could show better form from a career-low mark.

Based on this analysis, Symbol of Hope seems to be the best pick. With the highest rating and consistent performances, he is expected to continue giving a good account. Penguin Island and Level Up (IRE) also show promise and should be considered as strong contenders.

Thu 6th Jul 2023 5.40 Tipperary (16 runners) TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109) 2m

Based on the information provided, here is an analysis of the runners in the TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle at Tipperary with 16 runners:

1. Call Her Now (IRE): Considered a promising sort, finished fourth in a handicap hurdle at Downpatrick 62 days ago. The horse may still merit consideration.
2. Frontline Worker (IRE): Finished third in a handicap hurdle at Tramore 34 days ago. Expected to give a good account.
3. Bold Emperor (IRE): Previously ran in a handicap chase at Kilbeggan, finishing ninth. Switching from chase to hurdles with work to do.
4. Betty Dutton (IRE): Finished eighth in a novice hurdle at Listowel in the previous race. Makes handicap hurdle debut, so it might be best to look elsewhere.
5. Craic Eile (IRE): Placed in previous races, but no recent form available.
6. Big Island (IRE): Finished fourth in a handicap hurdle at Punchestown 25 days ago. Looks competitive and has been eased 1 lb.
7. Cullaghs Star (IRE): No recent form available.
8. Nazine (IRE): No recent form available.
9. Splashing Out (IRE): Finished fourth in a handicap hurdle at Downpatrick 62 days ago. Cheekpieces are on for the first time, and the horse still merits consideration.
10. Morning Logic (IRE): No recent form available.
11. Figurehead (IRE): No recent form available.
12. Speed Gang (IRE): No recent form available.
13. Navy Waves (IRE): No recent form available.
14. Star Official (IRE): No recent form available.
15. Gekkota (FR): No recent form available.
16. Katherine (IRE): Finished eighth in a novice hurdle at Listowel in the previous race. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Easy to look elsewhere.

Based on the available information, Call Her Now, Frontline Worker, and Big Island appear to be the more competitive runners, while others have limited recent form or results that suggest they may not be strong contenders.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
5.55 Bellewstown (15 runners)
Peadar Kearneys Pub Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)
1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Breezy Zoff (IRE) – 390.4
2. Atbay (IRE) – 333.2
3. Ferrybank – 325.8
4. The Bog Bank (IRE) – 323.7
5. Sister Lola (IRE) – 318.5
6. Simply Sideways (IRE) – 316.8
7. Shawaf – 294.5
8. Faithful Prince (IRE) – 279.4
9. Plugged In (IRE) – 277.5
10. Above It All (IRE) – 264.9
11. Sadiqaa (IRE) – 255.5
12. Tack (FR) – 220.2
13. Navorrosse (IRE) – 218.8
14. Black Bridie (IRE) – 198.6
15. Snow Lotus (IRE) – 173.5

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Breezy Zoff (IRE): Good second in a handicap and expected to be in the mix again.
2. Atbay (IRE): Modest maiden who showed improvement when fourth in a handicap. Cheekpieces back on. Should have a chance.
3. Ferrybank: Creditable second in a handicap and one to consider.
4. The Bog Bank (IRE): Disappointing effort when well held in a race at Leopardstown. Tongue strap on for the first time. Won a division of this corresponding event in 2022.
5. Sister Lola (IRE): Respectable sixth in a handicap after a break. Could be in the mix.
6. Simply Sideways (IRE): Winner at Gowran and ran well when third in a handicap. Can give another good account.
7. Shawaf: Modest performer with a recent average performance.
8. Faithful Prince (IRE): Showed little after a long break and finished far behind in a handicap.
9. Plugged In (IRE): C&D winner who regressed after a reappearance.
10. Above It All (IRE): Ran below form in a recent handicap and needs to improve.
11. Sadiqaa (IRE): Ran his best race of the season with a second-place finish in a handicap. Must be considered.
12. Tack (FR): Last of 12 in a claimer and returning after a break. Cheekpieces on for the first time. Back down in trip.
13. Navorrosse (IRE): Finished twelfth in a handicap after a long break.
14. Black Bridie (IRE): Looked rusty after a break and finished far behind in a handicap.
15. Snow Lotus (IRE): Modest performer and needs improvement.

Based on this analysis, Breezy Zoff (IRE) seems to be the best pick. With the highest rating and a good second-place finish in a recent handicap, he is expected to be in contention. Atbay (IRE) and Ferrybank also showed promise and should be considered as strong contenders.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
6.05 Newbury (9 runners)
KKA Studio Novice Stakes (Div 1)
6f

Based on the provided ratings, comments, and analysis, here is the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest rating:

1. Starlust – 407.9
2. Boyfriend – 398.4
3. Glen Heste (IRE) – 208.4
4. Array (IRE) – 116.2
5. Wessex (IRE) – 87.4
6. Navy Jack – 84.9
7. Indian Run (IRE) – 71.0
8. Cut To The Chase – 64.0
9. Odonnells Orchard (IRE) – 48.3

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Starlust: Zoustar colt who won impressively in his last race at Chelmsford City. Expected to continue improving and is fancied to perform well on turf debut.
2. Boyfriend: Twilight Son colt who showed promise in his debut race, finishing strongly and pulling clear with an experienced winner. Likely to have gained valuable experience and should be considered.
3. Glen Heste (IRE): Exceed And Excel gelding who didn’t perform well in his debut race at Windsor. It’s likely that he will need more time to show improvement.
4. Array (IRE): No Nay Never colt with a strong pedigree. Half-brother to several winners, including Maximal and Jubiloso. Being a newcomer, he should be noted for any signs of potential.
5. Wessex (IRE): Kodi Bear colt and half-brother to a previous winner. His dam has produced winners as well. Worth keeping an eye on for any positive signs.
6. Navy Jack: U S Navy Flag colt with a decent pedigree. His dam was a 2-year-old 6f winner. Half-sister to a useful 2-year-old winner. Could show some promise.
7. Indian Run (IRE): Sioux Nation colt and half-brother to a 1½m winner. His dam’s breeding suggests an affinity for distances over 1 mile. More suited to longer distances.
8. Cut To The Chase: Muhaarar colt and half-brother to a 6f winner. The dam was lightly raced. Limited information available.
9. Odonnells Orchard (IRE): Invincible Army colt closely related to a French winner and half-brother to several winners. Dam was an Italian 7f winner. An interesting contender with potential.

Based on the analysis, the best pick would be Starlust. He has the highest rating, coming off a convincing win in his last race, and is expected to improve further on his turf debut. Boyfriend, with a strong debut performance, should also be considered as a potential contender.

Thu 6th Jul 2023 6.15 Tipperary (14 runners) Kevin McManus Bookmaker Grimes Hurdle (Grade 3) 2m

Based on the provided information, here is an analysis of the runners in the Tipperary race:

1. Sharjah (FR): A very smart hurdler, but finished fourth in his last race. Stable in good form, so he could bounce back. Considered a strong contender.
2. Icare Allen (FR): Useful hurdler, won a minor event hurdle in his last race. In the mix and worth considering.
3. Tekao (FR): Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Finished third in a previous race. May have a chance to contend.
4. Sole Pretender (IRE): Smart hurdler, previously won at this course. Switching from chase to hurdles. Took this event in 2021, so considered a strong player.
5. Visionarian (IRE): Smart chaser, finished third in a previous race. Switching from chase to hurdles and shouldn’t be discounted.
6. A Wave Of The Sea (IRE): Useful chaser, but finished below form in his last race. Switching from chase to hurdles and significantly back down in trip. May be better to look elsewhere.
7. Cash Back (FR): Smart chaser, finished second in a minor event hurdle in his last race. Stable in good form. Considered a contender.
8. Da Capo Glory (IRE): Useful hurdler, won a minor event hurdle in his last race. In the mix and worth considering.
9. Fils Doudairies (FR): Smart hurdler, won a minor event hurdle in his last race. In the picture and worth considering.
10. Magic Tricks (FR): Smart hurdler, finished second in a handicap hurdle in his last race. Off for 17 months, so needs to hit the ground running.
11. Shanroe: C&D winner, but unseated rider in his last race. Switching from flat to hurdles. Useful hurdler and can’t be ruled out.
12. Enfranchise (IRE): Finished unplaced in his last race. Easy to look elsewhere.
13. Jeff Kidder (IRE): Fairly useful hurdler, but unseated rider in his last race. Plenty to find on form here.
14. Effernock Fizz (IRE): Finished unplaced in his last race. Not a strong contender.

Based on the analysis, the strongest contenders in the race appear to be Sharjah, Sole Pretender, Icare Allen, Fils Doudairies, Cash Back, and Da Capo Glory.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
7.00 Kempton (7 runners)
Unibet 3 Uniboosts Per Day Handicap
1m4f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Savvy Knight (IRE) – 553.4
2. Dubai Leader – 518.5
3. Neandra (GER) – 497.5
4. Saratoga Gold – 494.1
5. Moving Light (IRE) – 458.6
6. Nuits St Georges (IRE) – 429.5
7. Protected Guest – 397.7

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Savvy Knight (IRE): Impressive winner in his last race over the same course and distance. Has a strong record on the All-Weather and expected to perform well again.
2. Dubai Leader: Career-best performance to win last time out at Beverley. Showed potential for further improvement and could be a strong contender if he gets an uncontested lead.
3. Neandra (GER): Respectable fifth in the same race where Savvy Knight won. Should be competitive again.
4. Saratoga Gold: Unseated rider in his last race but had a consistent record prior to that. Respected based on previous form and likely to improve after the last run.
5. Moving Light (IRE): C&D winner who finished sixth in the same race where Savvy Knight won. Cheekpieces on for the first time, and not to be discounted.
6. Nuits St Georges (IRE): Poor performance in a large-field handicap after a long absence. Rejoined the yard and needs to prove his form. Market check recommended.
7. Protected Guest: Unreliable runner with no wins in the past 14 races. Last-place finish in the previous race and others are preferred.

Summarizing their chances:

1. Savvy Knight (IRE) has a strong record on the All-Weather and was an impressive winner in his last race. He is expected to perform well again.
2. Dubai Leader showed potential for improvement and had a career-best performance in his last race. Could be a strong contender if he gets an uncontested lead.
3. Neandra (GER) had a respectable fifth-place finish in the same race where Savvy Knight won and is likely to be competitive again.
4. Saratoga Gold had a mishap in the last race but had a consistent record prior to that and is worthy of respect.
5. Moving Light (IRE), a C&D winner, finished sixth in the same race where Savvy Knight won and should not be discounted, especially with the addition of cheekpieces.
6. Nuits St Georges (IRE) needs to prove his form after a poor performance and a long absence. Market check recommended.
7. Protected Guest has been unreliable and had a last-place finish in the previous race. Others are preferred.

Based on this analysis, Savvy Knight (IRE) appears to be the best pick. He has the highest rating, an impressive win in his last race, and a strong record on the All-Weather.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
7.05 Bellewstown (5 runners)
Indaver Ireland Handicap
5f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Curraheen Princess (IRE) – 529.4
2. Collective Power (IRE) – 413.8
3. Inishmot Prince (IRE) – 320.4
4. Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) – 317.2
5. Only Spoofing (IRE) – 278.1

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Curraheen Princess (IRE): Confirmed promise of the last run, always holding on. Remains on a fair mark on old form.
2. Collective Power (IRE): Returned to form with a win at Navan in June, but not in the same form in the recent race at Down Royal. A bounce back is needed.
3. Inishmot Prince (IRE): Respectable 7th place finish, potentially on a lenient turf mark. Could turn the tables.
4. Tai Sing Yeh (IRE): Ran one of the lesser races this season, finishing 4th in a claimer at Limerick. Back down in trip.
5. Only Spoofing (IRE): Eleven runs since last win. Finished 7th in a handicap at Cork. Given a chance by the handicapper.

Summarizing their chances:

1. Curraheen Princess (IRE) has confirmed promise and remains on a fair mark. She seems to be in good form.
2. Collective Power (IRE) had a win but followed it up with a disappointing performance. Bounce back needed.
3. Inishmot Prince (IRE) had a respectable finish and could potentially benefit from a lenient turf mark.
4. Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) ran a subpar race and is back down in trip. Might need to improve.
5. Only Spoofing (IRE) has been winless for a while but has been given a chance by the handicapper.

Based on this analysis, Curraheen Princess (IRE) appears to be the best pick. She has the highest rating, confirmed promise from the last run, and remains on a fair mark.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
7.35 Kempton (13 runners)
Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap
1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Naval Commander – 535.0
2. Tiempo Star – 503.4
3. Fantasy Believer (IRE) – 499.3
4. Kingori (USA) – 480.7
5. Flyawaydream – 479.9
6. Billy Mill – 459.2
7. Two Tempting (IRE) – 452.5
8. Ashky (IRE) – 449.9
9. Smiling Sunflower (IRE) – 426.6
10. Rhythm N Rock (IRE) – 409.4
11. Hes A Gentleman (IRE) – 369.8
12. Brunos Gold (IRE) – 316.2
13. Lions Mane – 107.2

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Naval Commander: Below form in the last two starts, but dropping in grade and the addition of a tongue strap could lead to a better performance.
2. Tiempo Star: Made a winning reappearance and followed up with a second-place finish. Consistent performer and a major player in this race.
3. Fantasy Believer (IRE): C&D winner who ran well to finish third last time out. Can be expected to give another good account.
4. Kingori (USA): Impressive wins in first two starts, but reportedly lame in the last race. Respectable on handicap debut despite the absence.
5. Flyawaydream: Ran creditably when third in his last race and has a consistent record. Merits consideration on return from a 9-month break.
6. Billy Mill: C&D winner who was seventh in his last race due to the race developing unfavorably. Capable of giving a good performance again.
7. Two Tempting (IRE): Sole win at this C&D and placed three times this year. Finished second in the last race and aiming to return to winning ways.
8. Ashky (IRE): Multiple wins last year but yet to find form this season. Cheekpieces on for the first time.
9. Smiling Sunflower (IRE): Course winner but faced tough tasks in the last two starts. Needs to get back on track in this grade.
10. Rhythm N Rock (IRE): C&D winner but finished last in the last race after a long absence. Bounce back is expected.
11. Hes A Gentleman (IRE): Struggled for form this year and needs to revive with the change of headgear.
12. Brunos Gold (IRE): Dual winner last year but below form in the last two starts. Needs to improve.
13. Lions Mane: Limited information provided.

Based on this analysis, Tiempo Star appears to be the best pick. He has a strong rating, made a winning reappearance, and followed up with a second-place finish. His consistency and recent form make him a major player in this race. Naval Commander has the addition of a tongue tie today, could be a big danger if it does the trick.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
7.50 Newbury (8 runners)
Country & Town House Handicap (Div 2)
7f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Flying Secret – 581.3
2. Snuggle – 542.8
3. La Maquina – 435.7
4. Eddie Temple (IRE) – 387.5
5. Al Baahy – 380.3
6. Dancinginthewoods – 374.1
7. Daahes (IRE) – 368.6
8. Hot Chesnut – 329.6

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Flying Secret: Completed a double over C&D in the last race and going the right way this year. Another strong performance is expected.
2. Snuggle: Career-best win in a minor event and stable has been among the winners recently. Going in the right direction and should be considered.
3. La Maquina: Multiple 7f winner who ran with credit over longer trips on turf/AW last year. Unsuited by the race development in the debut for a new yard. Can make more impact with a run under his belt.
4. Eddie Temple (IRE): Showed improvement with a fifth-place finish in a maiden at Nottingham. More to offer back down in trip and worth considering.
5. Al Baahy: Back to his best when scoring at Wetherby last time. Should be on the premises again if not bothered for the lead.
6. Dancinginthewoods: Fairly useful 6yo who lost form in the last race and likely to need this first outing after a break.
7. Daahes (IRE): Lightly-raced colt who showed improvement when third in a novice race. Open to further improvement in his first handicap. Worth taking a chance on.
8. Hot Chesnut: Career-best win at Chelmsford and followed it up with a solid third at Newmarket. Should give another good performance despite being more exposed.

Based on this analysis, Flying Secret appears to be the best pick. With the highest rating and a recent double over C&D, he is in good form and expected to perform well. Snuggle and La Maquina also show promise and should be considered as strong contenders.

Thu 6th Jul 2023
8.15 Bellewstown (9 runners)
Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker, Crockafotha (Q.R.) Race
1m4f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Party Central (IRE) – 550.0
2. Jesse Evans (IRE) – 435.1
3. Final Endeavour (IRE) – 297.7
4. Baltic Bird – 257.8
5. Michigan State (FR) – 233.6
6. Department Of War (IRE) – 217.8
7. Fireworks (FR) – 193.7
8. Patrick Joseph – 163.7
9. You Make Me Smile (IRE) – 157.3

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Party Central (IRE): Bumper winner with useful form over hurdles. Perfect start in this sphere, winning a maiden. Potential moving forward.
2. Jesse Evans (IRE): Useful gelding. Disappointing last of 4 in a hurdle race, but down in trip and expected to perform well.
3. Final Endeavour (IRE): Fair gelding. Below-form tenth in a handicap race. Off for 8 months.
4. Baltic Bird: Showed promise in a maiden race last spring and has shown aptitude for hurdling. Not discounted back in this sphere.
5. Michigan State (FR): Won a maiden race on debut but missed the whole of last year. Returns for a yard in good form. Market support would be significant.
6. Department Of War (IRE): Lightly-raced winner on the flat. Started out for a new yard, but a lengthy absence to overcome.
7. Fireworks (FR): Fairly useful gelding on the flat. Yet to convince over jumps. Return to the level may improve performance.
8. Patrick Joseph: Modest gelding, remains a maiden after many flat runs. Finished eighth in a maiden race recently.
9. You Make Me Smile (IRE): Twice-raced maiden on the flat. Finished last in a recent maiden race. Hard to make a case for.

Summarizing their chances:

1. Party Central (IRE) has shown potential and a perfect start in this sphere. Could be a strong contender.
2. Jesse Evans (IRE) is a useful gelding expected to perform well, especially with the drop in trip.
3. Final Endeavour (IRE) has been below form and has a significant break to overcome.
4. Baltic Bird has shown promise in both flat and hurdling races. Can’t be discounted back in this sphere.
5. Michigan State (FR) won on debut and returns for a yard in good form. Market support would be significant.
6. Department Of War (IRE) is lightly raced and faces a lengthy absence starting out for a new yard.
7. Fireworks (FR) has been fairly useful on the flat but hasn’t convinced over jumps.
8. Patrick Joseph remains a maiden after many flat runs and finished eighth in a recent race.
9. You Make Me Smile (IRE) has shown little in two flat races and is hard to make a case for.

Based on this analysis, Party Central (IRE) appears to be the best pick. She has the highest rating, has shown potential and a perfect start in this sphere.