Analysis of my pick of today’s cards based on the Timewise rankings. (In race-time order)

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Wed 12th Jul 2023
1.55 Dundalk (7 runners)
Ladies Day At Dundalk Handicap
5f 

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Catherine Of Siena (IRE) – 505.6
  2. Harrys Bar – 482.5
  3. Harmony Rose – 459.8
  4. Dun Na Sead (IRE) – 420.1
  5. Dontspoilasale (IRE) – 414.8
  6. Primo Uomo (IRE) – 369.1
  7. Lockdown – 261.1

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Catherine Of Siena (IRE): Has won handicaps at Dundalk in the past and had a strong performance in a Listed race at Chelmsford. Showed a decent third-place finish after a break in a recent conditions event. Considered a strong contender.
  2. Harrys Bar: Won this race easily last year off a lower mark and excels on this surface. Ran well in a recent handicap at Fairyhouse. Likely to be hard to beat again.
  3. Harmony Rose: Won on this surface previously and has been consistent on turf, including a close second in a recent Tipperary conditions race where Catherine Of Siena finished third. Expected to perform well.
  4. Dun Na Sead (IRE): Showed promise earlier and returned to form with a front-running victory at Down Royal. A speedy filly who can be dangerous if given too much leeway.
  5. Dontspoilasale (IRE): Won a nursery race last season but hasn’t performed at his best in two runs this season. However, the stable is in good form, and the horse shouldn’t be underestimated.
  6. Primo Uomo (IRE): Has four wins on this surface but hasn’t shown much promise in two starts this season. In the veteran stage and lacking encouragement.
  7. Lockdown: Winner for a different trainer, but faces a tough task here being 12lb out of the handicap.

Based on this analysis, Catherine Of Siena (IRE) appears to be the best pick. With strong performances in previous handicaps at Dundalk and a competitive showing in a Listed race, she has the ability to perform well in this race. Harrys Bar, the defending champion, should also be considered as a strong contender based on his affinity for the surface and previous success in this race.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
2.20 Yarmouth (15 runners)
QuinnBet Handicap
1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Good Humor – 370.4
  2. Hitched (IRE) – 349.9
  3. Thomas Equinas – 312.0
  4. Copper Mountain – 289.6
  5. Galileo Glass (IRE) – 287.3
  6. Brigitte – 284.9
  7. Adace – 278.1
  8. Primrose Maid – 271.6
  9. Havechatma – 265.0
  10. Endless Season (IRE) – 257.8
  11. Imprint (IRE) – 245.2
  12. Closeness – 241.0
  13. Handel (USA) – 235.5
  14. Artemisia Gentile (IRE) – 208.1
  15. Amal (IRE) – 159.9

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Good Humor: Won well last time over the same course and distance. Returns to turf and wearing a first-time visor. Has a good chance based on recent form.
  2. Hitched (IRE): Won convincingly at Chepstow in his last start. Settled well and has only a small penalty. Can be competitive here.
  3. Thomas Equinas: Respectable fourth over the course and distance. Similar form when fifth at Windsor. Has a chance to be in the mix.
  4. Copper Mountain: Inconsistent form but well handicapped based on early-year AW performances. The effect of the visor could be a determining factor.
  5. Galileo Glass (IRE): Two wins in 2021 but has been below his best recently. Was beaten on the AW and finished sixth at Windsor. Needs to improve.
  6. Brigitte: Handicap debut after being 11-2 in the betting at Lingfield. Lost hind shoes but finished only a little over 3 lengths behind. May not be straightforward.
  7. Adace: Narrowly beaten at Windsor in a close finish. Likely to be thereabouts based on recent performance.
  8. Primrose Maid: Runner-up in a classified race over the course and distance. The winner of that race won easily in a weak field. Needs to show more in this handicap.
  9. Havechatma: Showed some encouraging form last year but has been below par this season. A leap of faith is needed to support her in this race.
  10. Endless Season (IRE): Has made a good start with the current yard, finishing close up in classified events on the AW and turf. Should be competitive off this mark.
  11. Imprint (IRE): Showed a bit more in two previous handicaps but still has room for improvement. New headgear may help.
  12. Closeness: Positive performances in the first two runs for the current yard but hasn’t shown the same form in the last two outings. Lack of recent form and limited turf experience make others safer choices.
  13. Handel (USA): Beaten by under 2 lengths in handicaps on the AW and Dundalk. Forced wide last time. A hold-up performer who could be in contention.
  14. Artemisia Gentile (IRE): Placed once in 12 starts and well held this season. Difficult to support based on recent performances.
  15. Amal (IRE): Short of room and pulled up in the last race. Has a poor record of 1-26 and is generally opposed.

Based on this analysis, Good Humor seems to be the best pick. With a recent win over the course and distance and the addition of a first-time visor, Good Humor appears to be in good form and well-equipped for this race. Hitched, coming off a convincing win, is another strong contender.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
3.25 Dundalk (14 runners)
Fairways Hotel Dundalk Maiden
1m 

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Sandy Creek (IRE) – 433.4
  2. Pivotal Revive – 428.1
  3. Shanadar (IRE) – 374.4
  4. Banana Three (IRE) – 350.2
  5. Rerkha (IRE) – 348.0
  6. Local Girl (IRE) – 346.8
  7. Time Tells All (IRE) – 334.8
  8. Lady Pro – 288.2
  9. Hot Moon – 263.2
  10. North Dorset – 217.5
  11. Pretty Company (IRE) – 189.5
  12. Agia (IRE) – 121.6
  13. Clady River (IRE) – 108.7
  14. Gift Of Life (IRE) – 85.4
  15. Superior Power (IRE) – 77.5
  16. Brave Thought (IRE) – 64.3
  17. He Has Style (IRE) – 41.2

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Agia (IRE): Fourth foal with a mostly middle-distance pedigree. Stable first-string and one to keep an eye on.
  2. Banana Three (IRE): Went closest on debut in a 7-furlong maiden here in April. Likely stable second-string and expected to contest handicaps in the future.
  3. Brave Thought (IRE): Fifth foal with a mixture of speed and stamina in the pedigree. Best watched.
  4. Clady River (IRE): First foal with a pedigree featuring a 7-furlong 2-year-old winner and relatives with black-type form. Homebred newcomer and likely to improve.
  5. Gift Of Life (IRE): First foal with a dam who won over 1 mile 2 furlongs and 2 miles in hurdles. Unlikely to play a significant role on debut.
  6. He Has Style (IRE): Fifth foal with a pedigree geared towards middle distances. Unlikely to be a factor on debut.
  7. Hot Moon: Third reserve. Showed promise on debut at Fairyhouse but needs to step up significantly.
  8. Lady Pro: Showed promise for Jessica Harrington in a Ballinrobe claimer. Capable of improvement, but more needed on stable debut and likely wants further.
  9. Local Girl (IRE): Promising effort when third at Roscommon. Needs to improve further but heading in the right direction.
  10. North Dorset: First reserve. Soundly beaten in a Cork maiden and gelded since. Best watched.
  11. Pivotal Revive: Narrowly beaten by a smart rival in a C&D maiden. Runner-up in a 7-furlong maiden at Limerick. The step up to 1 mile and the surface are positives.
  12. Pretty Company (IRE): Second reserve. Beaten soundly in two maidens and not appealing in this race.
  13. Rerkha (IRE): Showed promise in two maidens with a nine-month gap. Needs this race for a mark but the step up to 1 mile should suit.
  14. Sandy Creek (IRE): Didn’t build on a promising debut but was no match for a stable companion over further. Capable of better and has a good chance of winning a maiden.
  15. Shanadar (IRE): Runner-up in a maiden here over 7 furlongs when last seen. Likely to improve but may need a run after seven months off.
  16. Superior Power (IRE): Second foal with a pedigree featuring a listed-placed 6-furlong winner. Trainer knows the family well, but best watched for now.
  17. Time Tells All (IRE): Split subsequent winners in a heavy ground maiden. Failed to match that form in subsequent races. Gelded since last run and has questions to answer.

Based on this analysis, Sandy Creek (IRE) seems to be the best pick. Despite not building on a promising debut, Sandy Creek has shown potential and has a good chance of winning a maiden. Pivotal Revive and Shanadar also have good prospects, but Sandy Creek appears to have the edge based on the available information.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
3.30 Lingfield (8 runners)
Menzies Distribution Selling Handicap (AWT)
1m4f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Isle of Wolves – 326.6
  2. Bad Attitude – 312.7
  3. Lady Bryanston (IRE) – 295.8
  4. This Ones For Fred (IRE) – 291.2
  5. Huscari (IRE) – 274.3
  6. Remedium – 230.8
  7. Kanuhura – 199.1
  8. Ascot Day (FR) – 186.3

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Ascot Day (FR): Five-time winner on turf, most recently in July 2021. Ran decently over hurdles in the spring of 2022. Returns from a 403-day absence in a weak race. One of two runners for the stable.
  2. Bad Attitude: Three AW wins in 2020 but has shown little since. Well beaten over hurdles on stable debut. On a lowly mark back on the Flat, but reservations exist.
  3. Huscari (IRE): Improved with a step up in trip and switch to low-grade handicaps. Broke her maiden in a 2-mile event at this track. Generally held her form since and more appealing than many in this race.
  4. Isle of Wolves: No win since August 2019 and 0-14 on AW, but has turned in a string of good efforts on AW over the winter. Handicapped to go well. Placed on both occasions Ben Curtis has ridden him. Considered a major player.
  5. Kanuhura: Surprised at 50-1 over 1 mile 2 furlongs at Chelmsford in February 2022. Efforts since have been inconsistent. Ran poorly on turf in the latest outing.
  6. Lady Bryanston (IRE): Consistent without progressing at distances up to 1 mile 2 furlongs. Steps up to 1 mile 4 furlongs for the first time, with some encouragement in the pedigree for the distance. Taking on exposed older rivals and worth considering.
  7. Remedium: 14-race maiden who appears to be on the downgrade for the yard. Well beaten twice in April. Showed promise in one AW run for Richard Hannon but not without risk.
  8. This Ones For Fred (IRE): Not at his best in the latest outing at Ffos Las. First two runs for David Evans were encouraging. Visor left off today. Down in weights and worth considering.

Based on this analysis, Isle of Wolves seems to be the best pick. Despite not winning on AW in a while, Isle of Wolves has shown consistent form and is handicapped to go well. The presence of Ben Curtis as the jockey adds to the appeal. Huscari and Lady Bryanston also have decent chances, but Isle of Wolves appears to be the strongest contender based on the available information.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
4.10 Catterick (13 runners)
Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap
2m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Cold Henry – 406.1
  2. Baez – 383.2
  3. Infiniti (IRE) – 362.8
  4. Spantik – 354.5
  5. Arabescato – 354.3
  6. The Dancing Poet – 346.8
  7. Bonne Vitesse (IRE) – 317.9
  8. Visitant – 306.9
  9. Lord Torranaga (FR) – 289.0
  10. Jack Yeats (IRE) – 270.2
  11. Wheres The Crumpet – 265.6
  12. Grifter – 246.3
  13. Trailblazer – 232.5

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Arabescato: Suited by good or quicker ground. A stout stayer who hasn’t won since late 2021 but ran decently when fourth at Sandown after a break. Handily treated and can perform well.
  2. Baez: Maiden who has been in good form since being upped to 1 mile 5 furlongs+. Went close over 2 miles at Musselburgh last week. Likely to be competitive.
  3. Bonne Vitesse (IRE): Has two hurdle wins and showed potential with a win at Ripon over 2 miles (soft ground) in May. Minor effort on AW since, and rain would help on turf.
  4. Cold Henry: Dual C&D winner on first attempts at staying trips in 2022. Has continued with good form this year, with close calls and a recent second-place finish. Another strong performance is likely.
  5. Grifter: Sole win over an extended 1 mile at Beverley. Has had low-key runs on the Flat and over hurdles for the new yard. Stamina question remains after a moderately run 1 mile 5 furlongs race at Wetherby.
  6. Infiniti (IRE): Had a successful 2022 with a hurdle win and five Flat successes over 1 mile 6 furlongs to 2 miles 1 furlong on good or quicker ground. Out of form since September and needs a revival.
  7. Jack Yeats (IRE): Sole success in Ireland in 2019. Recent form suggests being high in the weights for a competitive race like this.
  8. Lord Torranaga (FR): Has done most of his winning on the AW but narrowly missed out on adding to his sole turf win over C&D in June. Faces a tougher field here.
  9. Spantik: Mixed results over hurdles and on the Flat in the second half of 2022. Returned with a close third at Redcar over 1 mile 6 furlongs. Current mark is exploitable, and he has potential.
  10. The Dancing Poet: Has three 1 mile 4 furlongs course wins. Showed useful form with a close second at Doncaster over 1 mile 6 furlongs. Didn’t fare well back on Newcastle AW. Cheekpieces refitted for this race.
  11. Trailblazer: Weighted to be involved on best staying efforts but has only run up to his best once this year. Others bring more solid current form. Blinkers replace tongue-tie/cheekpieces.
  12. Visitant: Series of good efforts in defeat over 1 mile 2 furlongs to 1 mile 4 furlongs. Stamina limitations shown when going beyond 1 mile 4 furlongs. Others have less to prove.
  13. Wheres The Crumpet: Lightly raced 5-year-old with two handicaps under her belt. Closely matched with Spantik on 1 mile 6 furlongs Redcar form. Expect better performance now up in trip.

Based on this analysis, Cold Henry seems to be the best pick. With dual C&D wins and consistent form over staying trips, Cold Henry is in good form and has a strong chance of performing well. Baez and Arabescato are also contenders based on their recent performances. However, Cold Henry’s proven success at the track gives him the edge.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
4.40 Catterick (8 runners)
Millbry Hill Handicap
7f 

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Barrolo – 411.7
  2. Granny B (IRE) – 307.0
  3. Camacho Star (IRE) – 287.7
  4. Valstar (IRE) – 279.2
  5. Cawthornes Gem – 267.0
  6. Secret Joy (IRE) – 266.0
  7. Red Shield (IRE) – 221.7
  8. Selbys Joy – 208.1

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Barrolo: Much improved this season, with two wins in handicaps at Ripon. Not short of pace and respected over this distance.
  2. Granny B (IRE): Eight-race maiden, unproven at this trip, and needs to settle better. Encouraging fourth at Thirsk before a disappointing run at Carlisle. Not discounted in a race lacking depth.
  3. Camacho Star (IRE): Won at Redcar and finished second at Pontefract, beaten by a good horse. Flopped at Redcar in May but has had a break and could bounce back.
  4. Valstar (IRE): Won over C&D and had a fair second at Doncaster on reappearance. Tailed off on heavy ground at Thirsk last time. Not written off with first-time blinkers.
  5. Cawthornes Gem: Failed to threaten in two handicaps, wearing cheekpieces and a tongue-tie. Switching to blinkers might bring improvement.
  6. Secret Joy (IRE): Half-brother to useful winners but hasn’t shown much in three starts. Market check advised on handicap debut but needs to find improvement.
  7. Red Shield (IRE): Showed limited promise in Ireland and well beaten in two runs for the current stable. Needs to raise his game significantly.
  8. Selbys Joy: Well beaten in first three starts but made late headway at Redcar, hinting that the step up to 7f might suit. An interesting contender.

Based on this analysis, Barrolo appears to be the best pick. With two wins in handicaps this season and a progressive profile, Barrolo is respected over the 7f distance. Granny B and Camacho Star also have potential based on their recent performances. However, Barrolo’s consistent form and improvement make him the top choice.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
4.50 Fairyhouse (11 runners)
Fairyhouse Summer Season Claiming Race
1m2f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Western Cape (IRE) – 340.1
  2. Td’s Approach (IRE) – 260.1
  3. Susie Wosie (IRE) – 252.7
  4. Silkies Sib (IRE) – 250.8
  5. Serotonin – 234.9
  6. Burvea (IRE) – 233.4
  7. Irresistible You (IRE) – 226.8
  8. Ballyvohane (IRE) – 176.2
  9. Roman Harry (IRE) – 155.0
  10. Ravelli (IRE) – 75.8
  11. Nakassama (IRE) – 64.2

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Western Cape (IRE): Traveled well but fell short in a claimer at Ballinrobe. Still considered a major player with cheekpieces returning.
  2. Td’s Approach (IRE): Lightly raced and finished fourth in a claimer. Needs to improve.
  3. Susie Wosie (IRE): Slowly away and beaten by a large margin at Gowran Park. Was a big outsider.
  4. Silkies Sib (IRE): Hasn’t been convincing in handicaps but could improve at this lower level.
  5. Serotonin: No wins in six races but had a decent run in a Sligo maiden. Excuses at Down Royal.
  6. Burvea (IRE): Well beaten in a C&D claimer and performed poorly on handicap debut. Unconvincing.
  7. Irresistible You (IRE): Best run yet in a Bellewstown claimer but still beaten by a significant margin. Cheekpieces added.
  8. Ballyvohane (IRE): Down the field in a Naas maiden. Gelded ahead of this season. Market check advised.
  9. Roman Harry (IRE): Interesting newcomer from a leading stable. Dam has a good pedigree.
  10. Ravelli (IRE): Newcomer with a decent pedigree but considered the stable’s second string based on jockey bookings.
  11. Nakassama (IRE): Market check advised. Pedigree suggests potential.

Based on this analysis, Western Cape appears to be the best pick. Despite a losing streak, Western Cape has been consistent and traveled well in recent races. With cheekpieces returning, Western Cape is expected to be a major player in this race. Silkies Sib and Serotonin also have potential for improvement at this level. However, Western Cape’s consistent performances give him the edge as the top choice.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
5.45 Catterick (10 runners)
Racing Again 19th July Handicap (Div 2)
7f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Liberty Breeze – 365.8
  2. Asmund (IRE) – 329.3
  3. Cabinet Maker (IRE) – 322.8
  4. Obee Jo (IRE) – 311.6
  5. Final Frontier (IRE) – 281.1
  6. Without Delay (IRE) – 242.0
  7. Doomsday – 241.8
  8. Genevieve – 222.3
  9. Madam Arkati – 212.5
  10. Musicality – 205.7

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Liberty Breeze: Suited by good/firmer ground. Won over C&D last month and has a good record at Catterick. Won this race last year. Warrants respect.
  2. Asmund (IRE): Won well off a similar mark last October. Showed signs of a return to form with a front-running third at Redcar. Possibilities if building on that effort.
  3. Cabinet Maker (IRE): Previously won three times over 1m on the All-Weather. Form has been poor since joining the current stable. Uncertain over this shorter distance on turf.
  4. Obee Jo (IRE): Form dipped in the last race but has previously won three times at this track. May bounce back and is well treated on the weights.
  5. Final Frontier (IRE): Won over C&D in August 2021. Hasn’t won since but finished behind Asmund at Redcar. Could raise his game at Catterick.
  6. Without Delay (IRE): Respectable fourth over C&D and wasn’t beaten far at Musselburgh. Well treated on the weights and has won off a higher mark before. Not to be dismissed.
  7. Doomsday: Sole success came on this card last year. Current form is questionable, but the first-time headgear could prompt a revival. Could be a contender.
  8. Genevieve: Showed improvement with a sixth-place finish at Ayr wearing a first-time visor. Bred to do better and has potential. Market check advised.
  9. Madam Arkati: 0-6 and poor on form. Unlikely to be a strong contender.
  10. Musicality: On a three-year losing spell and hasn’t performed well for the current yard. Best to watch unless there are strong indications in the market.

Based on this analysis, Liberty Breeze appears to be the best pick. With a good record at Catterick, a recent win over C&D, and the previous success in this race, Liberty Breeze deserves respect. Asmund and Without Delay also have potential and could challenge for top positions. However, Liberty Breeze’s recent form and track record give her the edge as the top choice.

7.40 Bath (10 runners)
Blackmore Facilities Management
Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Zaraza (GER) – 443.3
  2. Moonspirit – 394.8
  3. Lunatick – 351.1
  4. Dartman (IRE) – 350.0
  5. Sealine (IRE) – 337.0
  6. Hoornblower – 323.6
  7. Pretty Peg (IRE) – 289.2
  8. Clandestinely (IRE) – 258.8
  9. Smart Charger (IRE) – 253.5
  10. Frankfreya – 250.6

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Zaraza (GER): Shaped with promise in his two runs. Didn’t have the best track position when third as a favorite last time. Has potential and looks interesting with a tongue-tie added.
  2. Moonspirit: Finished a well-held fourth at Newmarket behind a smart prospect. Well-bred filly who should improve for that initial experience. Not ruled out in calmer waters on her second start.
  3. Lunatick: Returned after wind surgery with a good second at Windsor. Set a clear standard on that form but had a disappointing run at Kempton and flopped in a Chester handicap. Needs to get back on track.
  4. Dartman (IRE): Showed promise in four 2-year-old runs, including a fourth place in a Newmarket nursery. Returns from a break but still has potential and is respected back in a maiden.
  5. Sealine (IRE): Generally progressive in four starts. Kept on well for a sixth place at Nottingham. Eyecatching effort in a good maiden. A big player if he can take another step forward. Hood added.
  6. Hoornblower: Five-race maiden. Recorded a good RPR when runner-up in a Wolverhampton novice. Hasn’t matched that form in two runs since, including a disappointing effort on turf debut at Brighton. Bit to prove.
  7. Pretty Peg (IRE): Caught the eye with late headway at Lingfield on debut but failed to build on that in a fifth-place finish at Newmarket. Behind Moonspirit in that race. Others preferred.
  8. Clandestinely (IRE): Finished down the field in two runs. Has plenty to find here. Minor handicaps may be the way forward.
  9. Smart Charger (IRE): Showed little at Kempton and was tailed off at Newbury on return. Gelded since.
  10. Frankfreya: Finished fourth at Ffos Las on sole 2-year-old run and suffered another heavy defeat at Nottingham on return. Hood added. Needs major improvement.

Based on this analysis, Zaraza appears to be the best pick. With promising performances in his two runs, despite not having the best track position last time, Zaraza has potential and comes from a top yard. The addition of a tongue-tie adds further interest. Moonspirit and Lunatick also show potential, but Zaraza’s recent form and potential give him the edge as the top choice.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
8.10 Bath (7 runners)
Blackmore Design And Build Handicap
1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Kracking – 498.2
  2. Beautifulasalways – 404.4
  3. Alice Knyvet – 358.0
  4. New Dayrell – 338.6
  5. The Jackler (IRE) – 331.0
  6. Midsummer Music (IRE) – 298.1
  7. Outrace (IRE) – 292.0

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Kracking: Made a successful turf/handicap debut at Leicester over 7f. Shapes as if he’ll stay this extra furlong. Represents last year’s winning yard. Respected with a 5lb weight increase.
  2. Beautifulasalways: Ran well from the front at Thirsk, finishing second. Looks open to more progress now handicapping in a first-time tongue-tie. In excellent hands.
  3. Alice Knyvet: Consistent efforts at maiden/novice level. Form dipped sharply as a favorite at Haydock on handicap debut. May settle better and bounce back with the application of a hood and tongue-tie.
  4. New Dayrell: Respectable sixth over 1m at Sandown on seasonal debut. Looked like a non-stayer over 1m2f in the next race. Capable of a bigger effort now back down in trip and dropped in grade.
  5. The Jackler (IRE): Ran creditably from the front with blinkers on at Newbury, finishing fifth. Has respectable form claims off the same mark in the retained headgear.
  6. Midsummer Music (IRE): Finished last on sole 2yo start. Fared better in 7f novice events on turf. Shaped as if the step back up in trip will suit. Possibilities.
  7. Outrace (IRE): Went close over C&D but faces a slightly stronger event. Most exposed contender. Others preferred.

Based on this analysis, Kracking appears to be the best pick. With a successful turf/handicap debut and the potential to improve further, Kracking represents a winning yard and has a respected rating. Beautifulasalways and Alice Knyvet also show promise, but Kracking’s recent form and potential give him the edge as the top choice.

Wed 12th Jul 2023
8.45 Bath (11 runners)
Blackmore Building Contractors Handicap
1m2f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

  1. Galactic Glow (IRE) – 466.8
  2. Gallimimus – 431.1
  3. Pink Lily – 419.4
  4. Blue Hero (CAN) – 386.8
  5. City Escape (IRE) – 312.8
  6. Kentucky Kingdom (IRE) – 311.4
  7. Lhebayeb (GER) – 272.2
  8. Run At Dawn (IRE) – 232.0
  9. Private Bryan – 229.2
  10. Azamhan (FR) – 228.9
  11. Susanbequick (IRE) – 195.8

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

  1. Galactic Glow (IRE): Resurgent 6yo who has won over C&D in three of his last four starts. Won eased-down last time and remains well treated on his old form. Versatile ground-wise. Big player.
  2. Gallimimus: 3yo who made it 3-5 in handicaps with an emphatic win at Brighton. Open to more progress. Penalty in this deeper race but kicked again with a convincing success last time. All turf runs on good to firm.
  3. Pink Lily: Has consistent form in 1m2f handicaps, including wins over C&D and at Lingfield. Only 3lb higher than the last success. Respected back at this track.
  4. Blue Hero (CAN): Won over C&D and 1m at this track. Workable mark. Hat-trick bid foiled by a major improver. Dangerous back up in trip.
  5. City Escape (IRE): Scored at Wolverhampton and held form in four runs at that track. Returns to turf where she won at Ripon. Respected on the step back up in trip.
  6. Kentucky Kingdom (IRE): Four-time AW winner. Close calls at Chelmsford. Struggles on turf with form figures of 0768. Beaten 18l in this sphere last month. Opposable.
  7. Lhebayeb (GER): Placed in four of her last five starts, including a close second over C&D. Feasibly treated. Should go well back on turf. Headgear returns.
  8. Run At Dawn (IRE): Five-race maiden. Failed to complete over hurdles. Tailed off in recent Flat run. Goes handicapping off a lowly mark but needs improvement. Cheekpieces reapplied.
  9. Private Bryan: Well beaten in all eight starts, including handicaps. Needs blinkers to make a difference. A lot to prove.
  10. Azamhan (FR): Won over 1m2f in France but mixed record since. Failed to beat a rival in two runs for new yard. Opposable. Overall record of 1-33.
  11. Susanbequick (IRE): Won on handicap debut but hasn’t reached the same level since. Faded in recent runs. Reduced mark but opposable. Looks outclassed back up in trip.

Based on this analysis, Galactic Glow (IRE) appears to be the best pick. With resurgent form, wins over C&D, and remaining well treated, Galactic Glow is a big player and versatile on various ground conditions. Gallimimus and Pink Lily also show promise, but Galactic Glow’s recent performances give him the edge as the top choice.

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