Thu 13th Jul 2023
2.50 Carlisle (13 runners)
Mark Johnston 1987 Hinari Video Handicap
6f 

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Redrosezorro – 382.0
2. Elladora – 364.5
3. Havana Rum (IRE) – 357.5
4. Huraiz (IRE) – 348.2
5. Glorious Rio (IRE) – 347.7
6. Yorkstone – 346.6
7. Impeller – 332.5
8. Sherdil (IRE) – 321.2
9. Stella Blue (IRE) – 316.3
10. Run This Way – 296.9
11. Atomise – 293.5
12. White Umbrella – 263.9
13. Dream Deal – 243.5

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Redrosezorro: Good record at Catterick and back to winning ways in May. Only 2lb higher than the last success. Can’t be ruled out.
2. Elladora: Largely consistent with good form this year. Drop back to this trip will suit. Goes on any ground. Should give a good account.
3. Havana Rum (IRE): Ran best race since last year’s AW win when second at Hamilton. Not fully exposed and a big run wouldn’t be a surprise.
4. Huraiz (IRE): One-time smart performer but has slipped in the weights and hasn’t won since 2019. Better for reappearance run but comes with risks.
5. Glorious Rio (IRE): Has chances but probably better over a bare 5f. Running respectably of late and back down in grade.
6. Yorkstone: Yet to win but has shown enough to suggest he can win a race of this nature. Concern about losing ground at the start now back sprinting.
7. Impeller: Back to form in a race where those racing close to the near rail were favored. Leading claims if that form can be reproduced.
8. Sherdil (IRE): Dual winner at Beverley last summer but form has been inconsistent since then. Didn’t figure in a messy race at Pontefract last time.
9. Stella Blue (IRE): Ran best race with blinkers on AW but failed to build on that back on turf. Cheekpieces on and not fully exposed. May do better.
10. Run This Way: Turf wins with give in the ground. Not won since reappearance run at Thirsk last year. Good mark if first-time cheekpieces make a difference.
11. Atomise: Yet to win a handicap but ran well at Pontefract last time. Should run well if the wide draw doesn’t hinder.
12. White Umbrella: Yet to win a handicap and has plenty to prove. Continues to slip in the weights.
13. Dream Deal: Yet to win but returned to form at Pontefract. Longer trip should suit. Could run well.

Based on this analysis, Redrosezorro appears to be the best pick. With a good record at Catterick, a win over C&D, recent winning form, and a manageable weight, Redrosezorro is a strong contender. Elladora and Havana Rum also show promise, but Redrosezorro’s consistency and recent success give him the edge as the top choice.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
3.00 Newmarket (July) (17 runners)
bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap)
6f 

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Quinault (GER) – 689.0
2. Desert Cop – 632.4
3. Tajalla (IRE) – 606.3
4. Washington Heights – 595.1
5. Eminency (IRE) – 581.4
6. Alpha Capture (IRE) – 555.5
7. Frankness – 552.2
8. Mill Stream (IRE) – 542.5
9. Animate (IRE) – 540.6
10. Tough Enough – 523.3
11. Dark Thirty (IRE) – 506.0
12. Redemption Time – 499.5
13. Executive Decision (IRE) – 492.4
14. Ferrous (IRE) – 472.9
15. Be Frank – 468.4
16. Rousing Encore (IRE) – 442.0
17. Brave Nation (IRE) – 388.3

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Quinault (GER): Unbeaten in five handicaps at 6f and 7f. Winning margin has shrunk, but still a major player. Likely to front-run.
2. Desert Cop: Talented sprinter. Creditable sixth in Group 1 King’s Stand at Royal Ascot. First handicap back at 6f. Yard has a good record in this race.
3. Tajalla (IRE): Lack of experience showed in higher class. Won first two 5f starts. Tackles a different type of race over the new trip.
4. Washington Heights: Strong credentials for a big-field 6f handicap. Cracking efforts behind Quinault. Likely to give a good performance.
5. Eminency (IRE): Suited by big-field 6f handicaps. Recent runs behind Quinault and Tough Enough show promise. The return to an uphill finish should suit.
6. Alpha Capture (IRE): Won as a 2yo but struggled with added blinkers. Return to turf might help, but performance could go either way.
7. Frankness: Impressive win at Goodwood. Hampered sixth in a big 5f handicap at Royal Ascot. Return to 6f can suit.
8. Mill Stream (IRE): Showed good form as a 2yo. Good third behind Quinault and Washington Heights. Can be involved.
9. Animate (IRE): Both wins at 7f on AW. Impressive performance over 6f on Newcastle Tapeta. Needs to transfer form to turf.
10. Tough Enough: Hooded for all starts. Showed ability with varying tactics. Up in weight but has potential.
11. Dark Thirty (IRE): Made the running for both wins. Not performed well at Goodwood or Royal Ascot. Return to 6f could help.
12. Redemption Time: Showed promise as a 2yo. Best form over 5f and 6f at York. Needs to reproduce form on a demanding course.
13. Executive Decision (IRE): Maiden winner in Ireland. Encouraging fifth at Royal Ascot. Return to 6f can suit.
14. Ferrous (IRE): Won maiden over 6f. Fared better when returned to 5f at Goodwood. Work to do on return to 6f.
15. Be Frank: Impressed with a win in a Salisbury maiden on reappearance. Followed up with a win at Windsor. Improvement expected.
16. Rousing Encore (IRE): Runner-up in a Group 2 as a juvenile. Disappointing handicap debut. Gelded since.
17. Brave Nation (IRE): Promising 2yo form. Out of form this year, heavy defeats in handicaps. Much to prove.

Based on this analysis, Quinault appears to be the best pick. With an unbeaten record in handicaps, front-running style, and recent victories over Washington Heights and Eminency, Quinault is a strong contender. Desert Cop and Washington Heights also have strong credentials and should perform well. However, Quinault’s consistency and proven record in handicaps give him the edge as the top choice.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
3.15 Downpatrick (15 runners)
Cosy Roof (C & G) Maiden Hurdle
2m1½f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. The Folkes Tiara (IRE) – 447.8
2. Gino Drummer Boy (IRE) – 319.9
3. Art Of Silence (IRE) – 304.8
4. Colonel Bellew (IRE) – 291.7
5. Farrokh (FR) – 273.4
6. Irish Envoy (IRE) – 273.1
7. Liberty Flame (IRE) – 270.0
8. Temptation Time (IRE) – 246.4
9. Jadore Chas (FR) – 209.7
10. Mon Loulou (FR) – 204.6
11. Moneynabane (IRE) – 196.0
12. Now Is The Hour (IRE) – 94.8
13. Back To Toledo (IRE) – 68.0
14. Farewellchancer (IRE) – 64.3
15. Instinct De Loup (FR) – 63.2

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. The Folkes Tiara (IRE): Point-to-point winner. Placed on 4 of 6 attempts hurdling. Clear second in a recent race. Found a good opportunity here.
2. Gino Drummer Boy (IRE): Missed last season but showed promise over further distances. Keen and jumping errors last time. Bit to find with Colonel Bellew.
3. Art Of Silence (IRE): Bumper winner and placed in a maiden hurdle. Well held on the Flat. Tough task conceding weight.
4. Colonel Bellew (IRE): Improved when third in a modest maiden with tongue tie. Needs to jump better to be competitive.
5. Farrokh (FR): Inexperienced gelding. Novicey round of jumping in debut. May need more time to develop.
6. Irish Envoy (IRE): Bumper winner and good effort in a maiden hurdle. More needed to be a leading contender here.
7. Liberty Flame (IRE): Strong-finishing third in a bumper. Keen in subsequent race. Ability but needs to prove on hurdles debut.
8. Temptation Time (IRE): Beaten by a large margin in maiden hurdles. More suited for handicaps in the future.
9. Jadore Chas (FR): Drifted left in a recent race, impacting the result. Took a step back in a subsequent race. Bit to prove over the shorter distance.
10. Mon Loulou (FR): Fair form in bumpers but tailed off in hurdles debut. Change of yards but not much to expect.
11. Moneynabane (IRE): Poor form in point-to-points and under rules. Not much encouragement so far.
12. Now Is The Hour (IRE): Good form in point-to-points. Missed recent engagements due to ground conditions. Will need rain to be competitive.
13. Back To Toledo (IRE): Debutant with no form to assess. Market guide likely best.
14. Farewellchancer (IRE): Debutant with no form to assess. Likely lesser chance compared to stablemate.
15. Instinct De Loup (FR): Debutant with no form to assess. Likely better with experience.

Based on this analysis, The Folkes Tiara appears to be the best pick. With point-to-point experience, solid hurdling performances, and a recent clear second-place finish, The Folkes Tiara seems well placed in this race. Gino Drummer Boy and Art Of Silence have shown promise but have some drawbacks. The Folkes Tiara’s consistent performances make him the top choice.

Thu 13th Jul 2023 3.50 Downpatrick (13 runners) Tote Always SP Or Better At Downpatrick Handicap Hurdle (80-102) 2m1½f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Ask The Leader (IRE) – 327.3
2. Clear The Clouds (IRE) – 314.7
3. Kellies Dream (IRE) – 302.5
4. Trishknowsbest (IRE) – 294.2
5. Cest Quelquun (FR) – 289.6
6. Sovereign Duke (GER) – 284.6
7. Chancer Dancer (IRE) – 252.1
8. Millies Dream (IRE) – 250.0
9. Sula Warrior (IRE) – 243.0
10. Maxios Show (IRE) – 220.2
11. Thornleigh Frank (IRE) – 215.6
12. Ivane (FR) – 212.6
13. Breagagh (IRE) – 191.1

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Ask The Leader (IRE): Course specialist with three hurdle wins here. Solid fourth over C&D last month. Fell in a recent chase. Ideally wants a bit further.
2. Clear The Clouds (IRE): Inconsistent form but has shown potential on softer ground. Disappointing with first-time tongue tie last time. Drop in trip.
3. Kellies Dream (IRE): Wexford winner returning from a ten-month absence. Let down by jumping over C&D. Runs well fresh.
4. Trishknowsbest (IRE): Two handicap hurdle wins last autumn, including over C&D. Disappointing on soft ground and early casualty in a subsequent race. Yard debut.
5. Cest Quelquun (FR): Successful in handicap hurdle and novice handicap chase earlier this year. Beaten at a higher level later on. Interesting to see if Elliott can improve him.
6. Sovereign Duke (GER): Winner over 1m6f on fast ground. Second in a handicap hurdle. Didn’t stay the longer distance last time. Drop in trip should suit.
7. Chancer Dancer (IRE): Limited maiden but ran well in a handicap and second at Hexham. Too keen in the latest race. Trip/ground suits. Place claims.
8. Millies Dream (IRE): Winless in hurdling but competitive based on recent fourth-place finish. Cheekpieces fitted for drop in trip. Definite player.
9. Sula Warrior (IRE): Modest maiden winner. Outclassed in a conditions event and pulled up in a handicap. Opposable.
10. Maxios Show (IRE): Poor record in handicaps. Professional rider takes over. Limited appeal.
11. Thornleigh Frank (IRE): Lightly raced maiden. Beaten in three maidens. Limited appeal now entering handicaps.
12. Ivane (FR): Not progressing over hurdles. Unimpressive on handicap debut. Opposable.
13. Breagagh (IRE): Longstanding maiden in both codes. Not expected to change that here.

Based on this analysis, Ask The Leader appears to be the best pick. With a strong record at the course and a solid fourth-place finish over C&D in the previous race, Ask The Leader has proven ability in similar conditions. Clear The Clouds and Kellies Dream have shown promise but have inconsistent form. Ask The Leader’s course expertise and recent performance make her the top choice.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
4.25 Downpatrick (8 runners)
Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes
MBE Maiden Hurdle
2m6f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Howaya C D And E (IRE) – 369.6
2. Foxfire Glow (FR) – 351.4
3. Hees Dynamite (IRE) – 216.0
4. Fisichella (IRE) – 196.0
5. Scorsese (IRE) – 127.7
6. Kalko Blue (FR) – 64.5
7. Another Nightmare (IRE) – 33.5
8. Struell Duke (IRE) – 33.5

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Howaya C D And E (IRE): Won a bumper at the same course last summer. Has performed well in several maiden hurdles, including a second-place finish last month. Won’t mind rain.
2. Foxfire Glow (FR): Expensive to follow since coming from France. Sets the standard in the race based on third-place finishes at Down Royal, Punchestown, and the previous race here. Steps up in distance.
3. Hees Dynamite (IRE): Showed signs of ability in three hurdle runs but should perform better in handicaps.
4. Fisichella (IRE): Keen in last month’s hurdles debut at Listowel and was well held. Not much expected.
5. Scorsese (IRE): Showed spirit by winning a point-to-point race in March. Hurdles debut, and the market may provide a good indicator.
6. Kalko Blue (FR): Ordinary form in point-to-points. Not expected to make an immediate impact under rules. Half-brother to a hurdle/chase winner.
7. Another Nightmare (IRE): Maiden mare with two placed finishes in point-to-points. Rules debut.
8. Struell Duke (IRE): Maiden pointer absent for nearly two years. Can only be watched on belated rules debut.

Based on this analysis, Foxfire Glow appears to be the best pick. With consistent third-place finishes at reputable tracks, Foxfire Glow sets the standard in this race. Howaya C D And E has shown promise with a win in a bumper and a recent second-place finish, making him a strong contender. Hees Dynamite has potential but may fare better in handicaps. Scorsese’s point-to-point win adds some intrigue, and the market may provide further insights.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
5.10 Carlisle (7 runners)
Muckle Majestic Handicap
1m1f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Strangerontheshore – 392.0
2. Jewel Maker (IRE) – 362.1
3. Forever Proud – 331.1
4. Camusdarach (IRE) – 324.4
5. Dandys Angel (IRE) – 311.9
6. Tremendous Times – 297.9
7. Distinction (IRE) – 285.0

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Camusdarach (IRE): 0-6 record, remote third in a maiden. Now switches back to a handicap and needs to improve at the new trip.
2. Dandys Angel (IRE): Back on the scoresheet with a win at Beverley and ran well in subsequent races. Well-treated on her best form and expected to be competitive.
3. Distinction (IRE): Solid record this season, fifth of 14 at Newcastle in the last outing. Step back up in grade and overall record of 1-40.
4. Forever Proud: Promising third in a Newcastle maiden but struggled in two turf handicaps. Sliding mark but underperformed in the last race.
5. Jewel Maker (IRE): Handles most ground, won twice last year including this race. Mixed record this season, beaten 13l in the Cumberland Plate. Dangerous mark if bouncing back in this drop back in grade.
6. Strangerontheshore: Five wins, two at this track. Went close at Doncaster in the last race and only 1lb higher here. Considered a key player for an in-form yard.
7. Tremendous Times: Promising second on handicap/seasonal debut but underperformed as the favorite in the last race. Lightly raced, but has bit to prove after a 13l defeat.

Based on this analysis, Strangerontheshore seems to be the best pick. With the highest rating and a close performance at Doncaster in the last race, Strangerontheshore is in good form and has the potential to win. Jewel Maker and Dandys Angel also have strong chances based on their previous performances. The other runners have more to prove and face challenges in this race.

Thu 13th Jul 2023 5.20 Newmarket (July) (10 runners) Boodles Handicap 1m

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Bodorgan (IRE) – 570.5
2. Greatgadian (GER) – 521.5
3. United Front (USA) – 521.2
4. Glenfinnan (IRE) – 513.7
5. Titian (IRE) – 506.6
6. Good Karma – 503.7
7. Sirona (GER) – 477.3
8. Darkness (FR) – 473.7
9. Bling On The Music – 449.9
10. Soar Above – 410.4

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Bling On The Music: Sole win was a novice race after wind and gelding operations. Ran respectably in 1m handicaps but needs better than the latest effort.
2. Bodorgan (IRE): Off the mark in a Newmarket novice and creditable fifth on handicap/seasonal debut. Underperformed in the last outing and needs improvement.
3. Darkness (FR): Looked set to win at Epsom and Goodwood but caught close to the finish. Form dipped when the favorite at York in the last race. Blinkered in previous races and visored today. Needs to bounce back.
4. Glenfinnan (IRE): Second in a valuable Convivial Maiden and won at Yarmouth. Hooded for this reappearance. Potential for handicap debut.
5. Good Karma: Won an AW maiden and a Newbury novice. Not threatening in the handicap debut at Royal Ascot. This is a less competitive race, but needs to raise the game.
6. Greatgadian (GER): No win since last May. Lowered in weights and first time at Class 3 level since April 2022. Tried cheekpieces and blinkers in recent races.
7. Sirona (GER): Made all in a German Listed race but poor run in the Cheshire Oaks and Goodwood Listed race. Not on a great mark for handicap debut.
8. Soar Above: More seen on AW but has a sole turf win at this track. Recent form on AW has picked up. Fair efforts in two 1m runs. Others are more persuasive.
9. Titian (IRE): Placed in two of four starts this year. Big effort in the Spring Mile at Doncaster. Fair sixth at Newmarket. Back down in class and trip. Needs to be at peak.
10. United Front (USA): Turf mark is lower than the AW mark. Came good on grass at Beverley and not discredited at Carlisle. Considered.

Based on this analysis, Bodorgan seems to be the best pick. With the highest rating and a creditable fifth-place finish on handicap debut, Bodorgan has shown potential and improvement can be expected. Greatgadian and United Front also show promise, while Glenfinnan and Titian have good previous performances and should be considered. The other runners have more to prove based on recent form.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
5.30 Doncaster (11 runners)
Centric Group Handicap
7f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Mobashr (USA) – 507.2
2. Riot (IRE) – 464.1
3. Cliffcake (IRE) – 435.4
4. Alethiometer (FR) – 433.7
5. Quest For Fun – 418.6
6. Another Batt (IRE) – 388.3
7. Dagmar Run (IRE) – 376.2
8. Eldrickjones (IRE) – 349.2
9. Surprise Picture (IRE) – 334.8
10. Grant Wood (IRE) – 315.1
11. Serenity Rose (IRE) – 314.3

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Mobashr (USA): Won over C&D 12 days ago and well treated on peak AW form. Looks hard to dismiss.
2. Riot (IRE): Had an excuse in a recent C&D contest, otherwise has shown respectable form this season. Remains of interest.
3. Cliffcake (IRE): Back in better form recently with a narrow win and a second-place finish. Now 5lb lower than when fourth in this race last year.
4. Alethiometer (FR): Usually consistent and could bounce back from a below-par performance. Won comfortably at Ayr earlier in June and won over C&D last summer.
5. Quest For Fun: Ran respectably in a big field over 7f at York on the second start for a new yard. Slipped to a handy mark and looks interesting.
6. Another Batt (IRE): Defied a higher mark over C&D in the past. Inconsistent form in 2023 but has possibilities if in good form.
7. Dagmar Run (IRE): Off the mark in maidens but regressive in handicaps since then. Failed to beat a rival back on turf in the most recent outing. Something to prove.
8. Eldrickjones (IRE): Capable of useful form on occasions but hasn’t progressed. Record is just 1-21 and not solid based on 2023 evidence.
9. Surprise Picture (IRE): Couple of Class 6 wins this season but removal of usual headgear presents a question mark. Won at Musselburgh on the final run for the previous trainer.
10. Grant Wood (IRE): Placed on two occasions for previous yards. Step back up in distance looks like a plus. Maiden who may appreciate the change.
11. Serenity Rose (IRE): Better form on AW with form figures of 221. Well beaten on grass and the percentage call is to oppose based on turf record.

Based on this analysis, Mobashr appears to be the best pick. With the highest rating, a recent win over C&D, and being well-treated on peak AW form, Mobashr looks like a strong contender. Riot, Cliffcake, and Alethiometer also show promise and are worth considering. Quest For Fun and Another Batt have potential if they perform well, while Dagmar Run, Eldrickjones, Surprise Picture, Grant Wood, and Serenity Rose have more to prove based on recent form.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
5.35 Downpatrick (15 runners)
North Down Marquees Handicap Hurdle (80-95)
2m6f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Nuttorridge (IRE) – 357.2
2. Winnie Woodnutt (IRE) – 338.8
3. Ceanndana (IRE) – 317.3
4. Cool Croi (IRE) – 302.7
5. Silverstrand (IRE) – 279.8
6. Roman Parish (IRE) – 253.8
7. Laughing Trix (IRE) – 244.0
8. Our Jervis (IRE) – 242.0
9. Complete Fantasy (IRE) – 218.8
10. Presenting Beeper (IRE) – 215.5
11. Kanors Girl (IRE) – 214.8
12. Zagnzig (IRE) – 206.2
13. Wee Jerry (IRE) – 203.2
14. Mr Social (IRE) – 196.3
15. Happy Dancing (FR) – 175.2
16. Corrigaleen (IRE) – 162.0
17. Janverlil (IRE) – 161.8
18. Getaway Molly (IRE) – 157.4

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Nuttorridge (IRE): Winner over hurdles and fences at this track. Good runs in defeat, including a return over the same distance. Solid chance.
2. Winnie Woodnutt (IRE): Three-time point-to-point winner. Won a 3m handicap hurdle and had a decent chase effort over 2m3f. Should be competitive.
3. Ceanndana (IRE): Maiden after 11 hurdle starts. Has been third on three occasions, including the recent return at Sligo. Best on good ground and should go well.
4. Cool Croi (IRE): Best effort came when third in a Perth novice handicap over 3m. Disappointing since but has a chance if bouncing back.
5. Silverstrand (IRE): No win in 14 hurdle starts but had solid runs at Naas (3m) and Ballinrobe (2m6f). Questions to answer after a poor run at Kilbeggan.
6. Roman Parish (IRE): Maiden after nine hurdle runs. Good efforts at Clonmel (2m3f) and Kilbeggan (3m). This trip should be ideal and has a chance.
7. Laughing Trix (IRE): Former C&D winner. Poor form last year and not easy to make a case for.
8. Our Jervis (IRE): Modest in maidens but showed improvement on handicap debut over C&D. Capable of being involved with further improvement.
9. Complete Fantasy (IRE): Maiden after 14 hurdle starts. Showed potential initially but regressive in the last two years. Not a bad run up to 3m last time, and this trip will suit better.
10. Presenting Beeper (IRE): Some ability shown in maidens but well beaten on handicap debut. Needs improvement.
11. Kanors Girl (IRE): Regressive in handicaps and well beaten in recent outings. Others more likely.
12. Zagnzig (IRE): Veteran who has been pulled up lately over hurdles and fences. Not easy to make a case for.
13. Wee Jerry (IRE): Maiden under all codes and well beaten in recent races. Not a strong contender.
14. Mr Social (IRE): Little promise in maidens or handicaps. Needs significant improvement from comeback.
15. Happy Dancing (FR): Showed winning potential last year but beaten off lowly marks this year. Difficult to fancy.
16. Corrigaleen (IRE): Maiden after 16 starts. Well beaten off this mark in last appearance. Best watched on return.
17. Janverlil (IRE): Little promise in maidens or recent handicap debut. Difficult to make a case for.
18. Getaway Molly (IRE): Beaten a long way in recent handicaps. Visor tried. Not easy to back.

Based on this analysis, Nuttorridge appears to be the best pick. With a solid rating and previous success over hurdles and fences at this track, Nuttorridge has a strong chance in this handicap hurdle. Winnie Woodnutt also has good credentials with multiple point-to-point wins and a recent handicap hurdle victory. Ceanndana, despite being a maiden, has been consistent with third-place finishes and can perform well on good ground. Cool Croi and Silverstrand have shown potential in the past and could be contenders if they bounce back.

Thu 13th Jul 2023
6.05 Downpatrick (9 runners)
Cosy Roof Flat Race
2m2½f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. New Sheriff (IRE) – 397.1
2. Air Drop (IRE) – 295.2
3. Fathom Two (IRE) – 272.9
4. Ballerina Boxer (IRE) – 260.5
5. Wholly Boley (IRE) – 200.3
6. Feast (IRE) – 194.7
7. Castlebawn North (IRE) – 190.6
8. Mister Vic (IRE) – 127.4
9. Thief Of The Night (IRE) – 31.6

Let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. New Sheriff (IRE): Similar efforts in bumpers a year apart. Beaten by nearly 10l on the first occasion and 12l on return over C&D. Came up against a Willie Mullins odds-on shot last time. Should go close in this race.
2. Air Drop (IRE): Pulled up on sole point-to-point start but showed improvement when fourth in a Listowel maiden hurdle. Solid runner-up in a bumper at this track over slightly shorter than this distance behind a Willie Mullins odds-on shot. Can be a contender.
3. Fathom Two (IRE): Maiden point-to-point winner. Well beaten on bumper debut for the former yard but put up a better effort for the current yard over C&D. Needs to build upon that performance.
4. Ballerina Boxer (IRE): Third in a maiden point-to-point but beaten by 22l in a Thurles bumper on debut. Needs improvement after a break.
5. Wholly Boley (IRE): Well beaten in two bumpers, including over C&D last time. Needs significant improvement.
6. Feast (IRE): Two decent bumper runs for Fergal O’Brien last year, but pulled up in a maiden hurdle after. Had wind surgery and best watched on comeback unless strongly supported in the betting market.
7. Castlebawn North (IRE): Three starts for Willie Mullins. Showed promise on debut in a Leopardstown bumper but was well beaten in another bumper and a maiden hurdle. Questions now for the new yard.
8. Mister Vic (IRE): Showed promise on debut last year but was tailed off next time. Best watched on comeback.
9. Thief Of The Night (IRE): Showed some ability in three point-to-point starts last year but will need significant improvement on that form for rules debut after a break.

Based on this analysis, New Sheriff appears to be the best pick. With the highest rating and consistent efforts in bumpers, New Sheriff has a good chance in this flat race. Air Drop also showed improvement in recent races and has the potential to be a strong contender. Fathom Two had a better performance over C&D and could build upon that. Ballerina Boxer and Wholly Boley need significant improvement to be competitive. Feast, Castlebawn North, Mister Vic, and Thief Of The Night are best watched unless there is strong support in the betting market.

Thu 13th Jul 2023 7.35 Epsom (9 runners) Miles Commercial Handicap 7f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Redredrobin – 411.6
2. Marsh Benham (IRE) – 367.9
3. Harb – 367.3
4. Otago – 330.1
5. Nubough (IRE) – 254.6
6. Dulcet Spirit – 249.2
7. Evasive Power (USA) – 241.1
8. Bonus – 235.0
9. Stepmother (IRE) – 225.4

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Redredrobin: Won twice over this trip at Chepstow last season. Has been in good form this summer, winning three sprint handicaps on good or faster ground. Caught out by the drop to 5f in the last race but still looks well weighted. Could be difficult to catch from a handy draw.
2. Marsh Benham (IRE): Has won at Chepstow (1m, good to soft) and Brighton (7f, good to firm) this summer. Ran creditably in an amateurs’ event at Sandown last week, despite falling short of a hat-trick. Not to be discounted in a race lacking depth.
3. Harb: Won two sprint handicaps on AW in the second half of 2022. Running okay this season and slipping down the weights. Has something to prove over 7f.
4. Otago: One of his two C&D wins came in this race in 2021 off a 3lb higher mark. Started the season well, finishing second at Lingfield (1m, AW) and winning a Class 4 race at Brighton (7f, good) in April. Less impressive in two subsequent runs, but a revival wouldn’t be a major surprise at this track.
5. Nubough (IRE): No win since December 2021 and 0-19 on turf. Dropped away at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) in the last race, and others have stronger claims.
6. Dulcet Spirit: Won a 7f AW handicap in January on her second run for Brett Johnson. Experienced tough going afterward, but returned to form with a good third over 7f at Brighton last month while leading. Needs to better that form to be competitive here.
7. Evasive Power (USA): Ran some fair races on AW over the winter, including a 1m AW win in December. Has a poor record fresh for the current yard and is returning from a 132-day break. May be opposed in this race.
8. Bonus: Three wins on good or slower ground, with the last two victories coming off the current mark. However, was tailed off at Bath on seasonal return, raising reservations for now.
9. Stepmother (IRE): Placed in an AW novice for the Gosdens last summer but has not come close to that level in four runs for the new yard in 2023. Dropping down the weights but others appear safer.

Based on this analysis, Redredrobin seems to be the best pick. With the highest rating and a strong recent form, including three wins on good or faster ground, Redredrobin looks well placed to perform strongly. Marsh Benham also has good recent form and cannot be discounted. Harb and Otago have shown potential but need to prove themselves over 7f. The remaining runners, Nubough, Dulcet Spirit, Evasive Power, Bonus, and Stepmother, face more significant challenges or have inconsistencies in their recent performances.

Thu 13th Jul 2023 7.50 Newbury (7 runners) Pegasus Pump Novice Stakes (GBB Race) 1m2f

Based on the ratings provided, here’s the ranking of the runners from highest to lowest:

1. Tony Montana – 488.3
2. Cracksking – 471.9
3. Fleet Admiral – 427.8
4. Clever Relation – 361.5
5. Sailing On – 272.0
6. Esmeray (IRE) – 146.1
7. Truth Will Out – 122.7

Now let’s assess the comments for each runner:

1. Tony Montana: Finished within 2l of a subsequent Group-placed filly on his 2yo debut. Ran a nice comeback race over C&D. Struggled in a higher class at Royal Ascot but can be forgiven. Has every chance in this race.
2. Cracksking: Beaten by two heads on his Kempton debut, finishing strongly. Found the good to firm ground at Sandown too lively and retains potential.
3. Fleet Admiral: Finished third on 7f debut at Newbury. Showed improvement at Leicester, finishing 5l off a useful winner who performed well in a handicap at Royal Ascot. Should stay the distance and is one to be interested in.
4. Clever Relation: Won a soft-ground novice race at Windsor. Ran poorly in a Class 2 novice at Sandown, being unsteerable and tailed off. Bit to prove now with a penalty.
5. Sailing On: Pulled up in a race at Newbury due to an irregular heartbeat. Gelded since then, and better performance is expected.
6. Esmeray (IRE): First foal with a strong pedigree. Market support would be significant given the lack of field experience.
7. Truth Will Out: Gelded ahead of his belated debut. Pedigree suggests distance potential, but it would be better to observe for now.

Based on this analysis, Tony Montana appears to be the best pick. With the highest rating, good previous form, and a forgiving performance at Royal Ascot, Tony Montana has every chance of performing well in this race. Cracksking and Fleet Admiral also show potential and are worth considering. Clever Relation and Sailing On need to bounce back from recent poor performances, while Esmeray and Truth Will Out have limited information and are best observed for now.